Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475550936
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy by : Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi

Download or read book Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy written by Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-29 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries than in advanced economies. We also find that they correlate with capital flows more closely than in advanced economies. We then condition the analysis on an exogenous change to a particular component of capital flows. We find that a global liquidity shock, identified by aggregating bank-to-bank cross border flows and by using the external instrumental variable approach of Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), has a much stronger impact on house prices and consumption in emerging markets than in advanced economies. In our empirical model, holding house prices or the exchange rate constant in response to this shock tends to dampen its effects on consumption in emerging economies.

Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484346033
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy by : Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi

Download or read book Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy written by Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-29 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow faster, are more volatile, less persistent and less synchronized across countries than in advanced economies. We also find that they correlate with capital flows more closely than in advanced economies. We then condition the analysis on an exogenous change to a particular component of capital flows. We find that a global liquidity shock, identified by aggregating bank-to-bank cross border flows and by using the external instrumental variable approach of Stock and Watson (2012) and Mertens and Ravn (2013), has a much stronger impact on house prices and consumption in emerging markets than in advanced economies. In our empirical model, holding house prices or the exchange rate constant in response to this shock tends to dampen its effects on consumption in emerging economies.

House Prices and the Macroeconomy

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780199204595
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (45 download)

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Book Synopsis House Prices and the Macroeconomy by : Charles Goodhart

Download or read book House Prices and the Macroeconomy written by Charles Goodhart and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House price bubbles, and their aftermath, have become a focus of macro-economic policy concern in most developed countries. This book elucidates the two-way relationship between house-price fluctuations and economic fundamentals. Housing has many features which make it distinct from other assets, like equity. Real estate is not only an asset but also a durable consumption good for households, providing shelter and other housing services. As a result, a house is often the largest and most important asset of households and therefore accounts for a major share of household wealth. Similarly a large share of bank assets is tied to housing values. House price fluctuations may, therefore, have a major effect on economic activity and the soundness of the financial system. Following an introductory chapter, the book is structured into three parts. The first demonstrates the importance of house prices as determinants or indicators of inflation and economic activity. The second focuses on the inter-relationships between bank credit extension and housing prices, and how bubbles can lead to financial crises. The third discusses resultant public policy issues, such as whether, and how, to include housing prices in a general inflation index, and how to restrain the housing/bank credit cycle.

Global Liquidity and Asset Prices

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451858248
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Asset Prices by : Mr.Charles Frederick Kramer

Download or read book Global Liquidity and Asset Prices written by Mr.Charles Frederick Kramer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much recent commentary suggests that global liquidity has influenced financial conditions in the major international markets to an important degree, and that excess liquidity in one financial center can influence financial conditions elsewhere. Little formal research has addressed these issues, however. In this paper, we use three indexes of liquidity (money growth) in the Group of Seven industrial countries to explore the international dimension of the relationship between liquidity and asset returns. Evidence suggests that an increase in G-7 liquidity is consistent with a decline in G-7 real interest rates and an increase in G-7 real stock returns. There is also evidence of liquidity spillovers across countries.

Understanding Global Liquidity

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Global Liquidity by : Sandra Eickmeier

Download or read book Understanding Global Liquidity written by Sandra Eickmeier and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455205265
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices? by : Mr.Reginald Darius

Download or read book Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices? written by Mr.Reginald Darius and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the extent to which the rise in asset prices was influenced by developments in global liquidity. We confirm that global liquidity had a significant impact on the buildup in house prices; however, the impact on equity prices was limited. In contrast to common perception, we find that the impact of global liquidity declined during the period of the Great Moderation. The paper also examines spillovers from global liquidity to domestic variables and concludes that domestic factors generally played a more significant role in house price appreciation relative to global factors. This contradicts the hypothesis of weakened potency of domestic monetary policy in the presence of increased international liquidity.

Global Liquidity through the Lens of Monetary Aggregates

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484383338
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity through the Lens of Monetary Aggregates by : Kyuil Chung

Download or read book Global Liquidity through the Lens of Monetary Aggregates written by Kyuil Chung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-24 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines how the financial activities of non-financial corporates (NFCs) in international markets potentially affects domestic monetary aggregates and financial conditions. Monetary aggregates reflect, in part, the activities of NFCs, who channel capital market financing into the domestic banking system, thereby influencing funding conditions and credit availability. Periods of capital inflows are also those when the domestic currency is appreciating, and such periods of rapid exchange rate appreciation coincide with increases in the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves, increasing the stock of narrow money. The paper examines economic significance of cross-country panel data on monetary aggregates and other measures of non-core bank liabilities. Non-core liabilities that reflect the activities of NFCs reflect broad credit conditions and predict global trade and growth.

Global House Price Fluctuations

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523629
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Global House Price Fluctuations by : Mr.Hideaki Hirata

Download or read book Global House Price Fluctuations written by Mr.Hideaki Hirata and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-06 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, what are the main shocks driving movements in global house prices? To address these questions, we first estimate the global components in house prices and various macroeconomic and financial variables. We then evaluate the roles played by a variety of global shocks, including shocks to interest rates, monetary policy, productivity, credit, and uncertainty, in explaining house price fluctuations using a wide range of FAVAR models. We find that house prices are synchronized across countries, and the degree of synchronization has increased over time. Global interest rate shocks tend to have a significant negative effect on global house prices whereas global monetary policy shocks per se do not appear to have a sizeable impact. Interestingly, uncertainty shocks seem to be important in explaining fluctuations in global house prices.

Exploring the Dynamics of Global Liquidity

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475512791
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Exploring the Dynamics of Global Liquidity by : Ms.Sally F. (Sally Fangnan) Chen

Download or read book Exploring the Dynamics of Global Liquidity written by Ms.Sally F. (Sally Fangnan) Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-10-11 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the concept of global liquidity, its measurement and macro-financial importance. We construct two sets of indicators for global liquidity: a quantity series distinguishing between core and noncore liabilities of financial intermediatires and a corresponding price series. Using price and quantity indicators simultaneously, it is possible to distinguish between shocks to the supply and demand for global liquidity, and isolate their impact on the economy. Our results confirm that global liquidity conditions matter for economic and financial stability, and points to indicators whose regular monitoring could be valuable to policymakers.

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484385691
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions by : Adrian Alter

Download or read book House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions written by Adrian Alter and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-11-28 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border banking flows in residential property markets is examined as well. Looser global financial conditions are associated with greater house price synchronicity, even after controlling for bilateral financial integration. Moreover, we find that synchronicity across major cities may differ from that of their respective countries’, perhaps due to the influence of global investors on local house price dynamics. Policy choices such as macroprudential tools and exchange rate flexibility appear to be relevant for mitigating the sensitivity of domestic housing markets to the rest of the world.

Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148436211X
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti

Download or read book Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a definition of global liquidity consistent with its meaning as the “ease of financing” in international financial markets. Using a longer time series and broader sample of countries than in previous studies, it identifies global factors driving cross-border bank flows, alongside country-specific factors. It confirms the explanatory power of US financial conditions, with flows decreasing in market volatility (VIX) and term premia, and increasing in bank leverage, growth in domestic credit and M2. A new finding is that similar variables for other systemic countries – the UK and the Euro Area – are also important, sometimes even more so, consistent with the dominant role of European banks in cross-border banking. Furthermore, recipient country characteristics are found to affect not only the level of country-specific flows, but also the cyclical impact of global liquidity, with sensitivities of flows to banks decreasing with stronger macroeconomic frameworks and better bank regulation, but less so for flows to non-financial firms.

Global Liquidity

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455264458
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity by : Mr.Akito Matsumoto

Download or read book Global Liquidity written by Mr.Akito Matsumoto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is global liquidity and how does it affect an economy? The paper addresses that question by looking at liquidity from two different perspectives: global liquidity as availability of funds in safe and risky asset markets. This distinction between safe and risky asset markets is important due to market segmentation, which called for unconventional monetary policy to restore a function of risky asset markets. To analyze the effect of global liquidity, I construct proxy variables and then asses how they affect an emerging economy whose interest rate is affected by a world risk-free rate and a risk premium. Using the data from four major Latin American countries, I find that these two aspects of global liquidity have similar effects on economic performance in emerging market economies except for their effect on inflation.

Global Liquidity and Asset Prices

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Asset Prices by : Klaas Baks

Download or read book Global Liquidity and Asset Prices written by Klaas Baks and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Much recent commentary suggests that global liquidity has influenced financial conditions in the major international markets to an important degree, and that excess liquidity in one financial center can influence financial conditions elsewhere. Little formal research has addressed these issues, however. In this paper, we use three indexes of liquidity (money growth) in the Group of Seven industrial countries to explore the international dimension of the relationship between liquidity and asset returns. Evidence suggests that an increase in G-7 liquidity is consistent with a decline in G-7 real interest rates and an increase in G-7 real stock returns. There is also evidence of liquidity spillovers across countries.

Money as a Global Phenomenon

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Author :
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 3844100768
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis Money as a Global Phenomenon by : Andreas Rees

Download or read book Money as a Global Phenomenon written by Andreas Rees and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2011 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484369122
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies by : Ms.Nan Geng

Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-18 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.

The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures by the Systemic Four on Global Liquidity and Monetary Conditions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513515020
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures by the Systemic Four on Global Liquidity and Monetary Conditions by : Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko

Download or read book The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures by the Systemic Four on Global Liquidity and Monetary Conditions written by Ms.Yevgeniya Korniyenko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper examines the impact of unconventional monetary policy measures (UMPMs) implemented since 2008 in the United States, the United Kingdom, Euro area and Japan— the Systemic Four—on global monetary and liquidity conditions. Overall, the results show positive significant relationships. However, there are differences in the impact of the UMPMs of individual S4 countries on these conditions in other countries. UMPMs of the Bank of Japan have positive association with global liquidity but negative association with securities issuance. The quantitative easing (QE) of the Bank of England has the opposite association. Results for the quantitative easing measures of the United States Federal Reserve System (U.S. Fed) and the ECB UMPMs are more mixed.

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484326458
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses by : Woon Gyu Choi

Download or read book Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses written by Woon Gyu Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper distills and identifies global liquidity (GL) momenta from the macro-financial data of advanced economies through a factor model with sign restrictions as policy-driven, market-driven, and risk averseness factors. Using a panel factor-augmented VAR, we investigate responses of emerging market economies (EMEs) to GL shocks. A policy-driven liquidity increase boosts growth in EMEs, elevating stock prices and currency values, while a risk averseness rise has an opposite effect. A market-driven GL expansion boosts stock markets and lowers funding costs, promoting competitiveness and current account. Inflation targeting EMEs fare better than EMEs under alternative regimes with respect to macrofinancial volatility.