Generalized Correlation Measures Of Causality And Forecasts Of The Vix Using Non Linear Models

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Generalized Correlation Measures of Causality and Forecasts of the VIX Using Non-Linear Models

Author : David E. Allen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Generalized Correlation Measures of Causality and Forecasts of the VIX Using Non-Linear Models by : David E. Allen

Download or read book Generalized Correlation Measures of Causality and Forecasts of the VIX Using Non-Linear Models written by David E. Allen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper features an analysis of causal relations between the VIX, S&P500, and the realised volatility (RV) of the S&P500 sampled at 5 minute intervals, plus the application of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to forecast the VIX. Causal relations are analysed using the recently developed concept of general correlation Zheng et al. (2012) and Vinod (2017). The neural network analysis is performed using the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) approach. The results suggest that causality runs from lagged daily RV and lagged continuously compounded return on the S&P500 index to the VIX. Out of sample tests suggest an ANN model can successfully predict the VIX using lagged RV and lagged S&P500 Index continuously compounded returns as inputs.

Conceptual Econometrics Using R

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444643125
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Conceptual Econometrics Using R by :

Download or read book Conceptual Econometrics Using R written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-08-20 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Conceptual Econometrics Using R, Volume 41 provides state-of-the-art information on important topics in econometrics, including quantitative game theory, multivariate GARCH, stochastic frontiers, fractional responses, specification testing and model selection, exogeneity testing, causal analysis and forecasting, GMM models, asset bubbles and crises, corporate investments, classification, forecasting, nonstandard problems, cointegration, productivity and financial market jumps and co-jumps, among others. - Presents chapters authored by distinguished, honored researchers who have received awards from the Journal of Econometrics or the Econometric Society - Includes descriptions and links to resources and free open source R, allowing readers to not only use the tools on their own data, but also jumpstart their understanding of the state-of-the-art

Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics

Author : Michael McAleer
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3038974439
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (389 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics by : Michael McAleer

Download or read book Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics written by Michael McAleer and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-07-23 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.A Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” will be devoted to advancements in the mathematical and statistical development of risk measures with applications in finance and economics. This Special Issue will bring together the theory, practice and real-world applications of risk measures. This book is a collection of papers published in the Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” for Sustainability in 2018.

Hands-on Intermediate Econometrics Using R: Templates For Learning Quantitative Methods And R Software (Second Edition)

Author : Hrishikesh D Vinod
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811256195
Total Pages : 645 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Hands-on Intermediate Econometrics Using R: Templates For Learning Quantitative Methods And R Software (Second Edition) by : Hrishikesh D Vinod

Download or read book Hands-on Intermediate Econometrics Using R: Templates For Learning Quantitative Methods And R Software (Second Edition) written by Hrishikesh D Vinod and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2022-04-08 with total page 645 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to learn both applied statistics (econometrics) and free, open-source software R? This book allows students to have a sense of accomplishment by copying and pasting many hands-on templates provided here.The textbook is essential for anyone wishing to have a practical understanding of an extensive range of topics in Econometrics. No other text provides software snippets to learn so many new statistical tools with hands-on examples. The explicit knowledge of inputs and outputs of each new method allows the student to know which algorithm is worth studying. The book offers sufficient theoretical and algorithmic details about a vast range of statistical techniques.The second edition's preface lists the following topics generally absent in other textbooks. (i) Iteratively reweighted least squares, (ii) Pillar charts to represent 3D data. (iii) Stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) (iv) model selection with Mallows' Cp criterion. (v) Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter. (vi) Automatic ARIMA models. (vi) Nonlinear Granger-causality using kernel regressions and bootstrap confidence intervals. (vii) new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). (viii) Market-neutral pairs trading using two cointegrated stocks. (ix) Artificial neural network (ANN) for product-specific forecasting. (x) Vector AR and VARMA models. (xi) New tools for diagnosing the endogeneity problem. (xii) The elegant set-up of k-class estimators and identification. (xiii) Probit-logit models and Heckman selection bias correction. (xiv) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and areas under them. (xv) Confusion matrix. (xvi) Quantile regression (xvii) Elastic net estimator. (xviii) generalized Correlations (xix) maximum entropy bootstrap for time series. (xx) Convergence concepts quantified. (xxi) Generalized partial correlation coefficients (xxii) Panel data and duration (survival) models.

Volatility and Correlation

Author : Riccardo Rebonato
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470091401
Total Pages : 864 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and Correlation by : Riccardo Rebonato

Download or read book Volatility and Correlation written by Riccardo Rebonato and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-07-08 with total page 864 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility and Correlation 2nd edition: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox, Rebonato looks at derivatives pricing from the angle of volatility and correlation. With both practical and theoretical applications, this is a thorough update of the highly successful Volatility & Correlation – with over 80% new or fully reworked material and is a must have both for practitioners and for students. The new and updated material includes a critical examination of the ‘perfect-replication’ approach to derivatives pricing, with special attention given to exotic options; a thorough analysis of the role of quadratic variation in derivatives pricing and hedging; a discussion of the informational efficiency of markets in commonly-used calibration and hedging practices. Treatment of new models including Variance Gamma, displaced diffusion, stochastic volatility for interest-rate smiles and equity/FX options. The book is split into four parts. Part I deals with a Black world without smiles, sets out the author’s ‘philosophical’ approach and covers deterministic volatility. Part II looks at smiles in equity and FX worlds. It begins with a review of relevant empirical information about smiles, and provides coverage of local-stochastic-volatility, general-stochastic-volatility, jump-diffusion and Variance-Gamma processes. Part II concludes with an important chapter that discusses if and to what extent one can dispense with an explicit specification of a model, and can directly prescribe the dynamics of the smile surface. Part III focusses on interest rates when the volatility is deterministic. Part IV extends this setting in order to account for smiles in a financially motivated and computationally tractable manner. In this final part the author deals with CEV processes, with diffusive stochastic volatility and with Markov-chain processes. Praise for the First Edition: “In this book, Dr Rebonato brings his penetrating eye to bear on option pricing and hedging.... The book is a must-read for those who already know the basics of options and are looking for an edge in applying the more sophisticated approaches that have recently been developed.” —Professor Ian Cooper, London Business School “Volatility and correlation are at the very core of all option pricing and hedging. In this book, Riccardo Rebonato presents the subject in his characteristically elegant and simple fashion...A rare combination of intellectual insight and practical common sense.” —Anthony Neuberger, London Business School

The Option-iPoD

Author : Christian Capuano
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451870523
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Option-iPoD by : Christian Capuano

Download or read book The Option-iPoD written by Christian Capuano and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-08-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a framework to derive the probability of default implied by the price of equity options. The framework does not require any strong statistical assumption, and provide results that are informative on the expected developments of balance sheet variables, such as assets, equity and leverage, and on the Greek letters (delta, gamma and vega). We show how to extend the framework by using information from the price of a zero-coupon bond and CDS-spreads. In the episode of the collapse of Bear Stearns, option-iPoD was able to early signal market sentiment.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627405
Total Pages : 667 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility

Author : Ser-Huang Poon
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470856157
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility by : Ser-Huang Poon

Download or read book A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility written by Ser-Huang Poon and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-08-19 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial market volatility forecasting is one of today's most important areas of expertise for professionals and academics in investment, option pricing, and financial market regulation. While many books address financial market modelling, no single book is devoted primarily to the exploration of volatility forecasting and the practical use of forecasting models. A Practical Guide to Forecasting Financial Market Volatility provides practical guidance on this vital topic through an in-depth examination of a range of popular forecasting models. Details are provided on proven techniques for building volatility models, with guide-lines for actually using them in forecasting applications.

Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining

Author : Rozaida Ghazali
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031669657
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (316 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining by : Rozaida Ghazali

Download or read book Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining written by Rozaida Ghazali and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores methods for leveraging data to create innovative solutions that offer significant and meaningful value. It provides practical insights into the concepts and techniques essential for maximizing the outcomes of large-scale research and data mining projects. Readers are guided through analytical thinking processes, addressing challenges in deciphering complex data systems and deriving commercial value from the data. Soft computing and data mining, also known as data-driven science, encompass a diverse range of interdisciplinary scientific methods and processes. The proceedings of "Recent Advances on Soft Computing and Data Mining" provide comprehensive knowledge to address various challenges encountered in complex systems. By integrating practices and applications from both domains, it offers a robust framework for tackling these issues. To excel in data-driven ecosystems, researchers, data analysts, and practitioners must carefully select the most suitable approaches and tools. Understanding the design choices and options available is essential for appreciating the underlying concepts, tools, and techniques utilized in these endeavors.

Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Author : Söhnke M. Bartram
Publisher : CFA Institute Research Foundation
ISBN 13 : 195292703X
Total Pages : 95 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (529 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management by : Söhnke M. Bartram

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management written by Söhnke M. Bartram and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2020-08-28 with total page 95 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and risk management practices by increasing efficiency, accuracy, and compliance. In particular, AI techniques help construct portfolios based on more accurate risk and return forecasts and more complex constraints. Trading algorithms use AI to devise novel trading signals and execute trades with lower transaction costs. AI also improves risk modeling and forecasting by generating insights from new data sources. Finally, robo-advisors owe a large part of their success to AI techniques. Yet the use of AI can also create new risks and challenges, such as those resulting from model opacity, complexity, and reliance on data integrity.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Author : Craig Pirrong
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139501976
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong

Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes)

Author : Cheng Few Lee
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9811202400
Total Pages : 5053 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) by : Cheng Few Lee

Download or read book Handbook Of Financial Econometrics, Mathematics, Statistics, And Machine Learning (In 4 Volumes) written by Cheng Few Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-07-30 with total page 5053 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This four-volume handbook covers important concepts and tools used in the fields of financial econometrics, mathematics, statistics, and machine learning. Econometric methods have been applied in asset pricing, corporate finance, international finance, options and futures, risk management, and in stress testing for financial institutions. This handbook discusses a variety of econometric methods, including single equation multiple regression, simultaneous equation regression, and panel data analysis, among others. It also covers statistical distributions, such as the binomial and log normal distributions, in light of their applications to portfolio theory and asset management in addition to their use in research regarding options and futures contracts.In both theory and methodology, we need to rely upon mathematics, which includes linear algebra, geometry, differential equations, Stochastic differential equation (Ito calculus), optimization, constrained optimization, and others. These forms of mathematics have been used to derive capital market line, security market line (capital asset pricing model), option pricing model, portfolio analysis, and others.In recent times, an increased importance has been given to computer technology in financial research. Different computer languages and programming techniques are important tools for empirical research in finance. Hence, simulation, machine learning, big data, and financial payments are explored in this handbook.Led by Distinguished Professor Cheng Few Lee from Rutgers University, this multi-volume work integrates theoretical, methodological, and practical issues based on his years of academic and industry experience.

Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data

Author : Gilles Dufrénot
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030542521
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data by : Gilles Dufrénot

Download or read book Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data written by Gilles Dufrénot and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-21 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides a comprehensive overview of the latest econometric methods for studying the dynamics of macroeconomic and financial time series. It examines alternative methodological approaches and concepts, including quantile spectra and co-spectra, and explores topics such as non-linear and non-stationary behavior, stochastic volatility models, and the econometrics of commodity markets and globalization. Furthermore, it demonstrates the application of recent techniques in various fields: in the frequency domain, in the analysis of persistent dynamics, in the estimation of state space models and new classes of volatility models. The book is divided into two parts: The first part applies econometrics to the field of macroeconomics, discussing trend/cycle decomposition, growth analysis, monetary policy and international trade. The second part applies econometrics to a wide range of topics in financial economics, including price dynamics in equity, commodity and foreign exchange markets and portfolio analysis. The book is essential reading for scholars, students, and practitioners in government and financial institutions interested in applying recent econometric time series methods to financial and economic data.

McMillan on Options

Author : Lawrence G. McMillan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118045882
Total Pages : 672 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis McMillan on Options by : Lawrence G. McMillan

Download or read book McMillan on Options written by Lawrence G. McMillan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-02-15 with total page 672 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Legendary trader Larry McMillan does it-again-offering his personal options strategies for consistently enhancing trading profits Larry McMillan's name is virtually synonymous with options. This "Trader's Hall of Fame" recipient first shared his personal options strategies and techniques in the original McMillan on Options. Now, in a revised and Second Edition, this indispensable guide to the world of options addresses a myriad of new techniques and methods needed for profiting consistently in today's fast-paced investment arena. This thoroughly new Second Edition features updates in almost every chapter as well as enhanced coverage of many new and increasingly popular products. It also offers McMillan's personal philosophy on options, and reveals many of his previously unpublished personal insights. Readers will soon discover why Yale Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac says, "McMillan is an options guru par excellence."

Distributions with Fixed Marginals and Related Topics

Author : Michael Dee Taylor
Publisher : IMS
ISBN 13 : 9780940600409
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Distributions with Fixed Marginals and Related Topics by : Michael Dee Taylor

Download or read book Distributions with Fixed Marginals and Related Topics written by Michael Dee Taylor and published by IMS. This book was released on 1996 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

Author : Robert A. Meyers
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

R In Finance And Economics: A Beginner's Guide

Author : Abhay Kumar Singh
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
ISBN 13 : 9813144483
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (131 download)

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Book Synopsis R In Finance And Economics: A Beginner's Guide by : Abhay Kumar Singh

Download or read book R In Finance And Economics: A Beginner's Guide written by Abhay Kumar Singh and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2016-12-14 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the statistical software R and its application with an empirical approach in finance and economics. It is specifically targeted towards undergraduate and graduate students. It provides beginner-level introduction to R using RStudio and reproducible research examples. It will enable students to use R for data cleaning, data visualization and quantitative model building using statistical methods like linear regression, econometrics (GARCH etc), Copulas, etc. Moreover, the book demonstrates latest research methods with applications featuring linear regression, quantile regression, panel regression, econometrics, dependence modelling, etc. using a range of data sets and examples.