Fund-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332854
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Fund-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Fund-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-23 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the theoretical foundations for, and empirical evidence of, Fund support in preventing capital account crises. At a theoretical level, Fund supported programs can lower the crisis probability in two ways. First, such programs provide the member with additional external reserves, making a run for the exit by private creditors less likely. Second, such programs induce and signal better economic policies, though this needs to be supported by conditionality.

IMF-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention: An Analytical Framework

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention: An Analytical Framework by : Jun Il Kim

Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs and Crisis Prevention: An Analytical Framework written by Jun Il Kim and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-06 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents an analytical framework for considering the role of IMF-supported programs in preventing crises, particularly capital account crises. The model builds upon the global games framework to establish a unique relationship between the crisis probability and the parameters of the program, which is assumed to be negotiated between the IMF and the member country, taking explicit account of each party's interests. In the model, from the perspective of the borrowing country, IMF financing and policy adjustment are (perfect) substitutes inasmuch as they both contribute to the country's liquidity and thus reduce the likelihood of a crisis. In equilibrium, however, IMF financing promotes stronger policies, implying that financing and adjustment are strong complements in crisis prevention. Conditionality plays a crucial role in sustaining the program, providing mutual assurances-to the member country that, if it undertakes the agreed policies, financing will indeed be forthcoming, and to the IMF that the country will implement the agreed policies as the IMF disburses its resources. The model helps explain how liquidity crises may come about, how IMF support can reduce the likelihood of a crisis by providing liquidity and sustaining stronger policies, and why the observed mix between financing and adjustment may vary across programs.

IMF Support and Crisis Prevention

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067096
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Support and Crisis Prevention by : Mr.Juan Zalduendo

Download or read book IMF Support and Crisis Prevention written by Mr.Juan Zalduendo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-05-16 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the various roles of IMF financing in crisis prevention. Emerging market economies that experienced financial crises in the past have been subject to enormous economic and social costs, highlighting the importance of crisis prevention. While the main defense against a crisis lies in a country’s own policies and institutional framework, the IMF can contribute to these efforts through its surveillance activities, provision of technical assistance, and promotion of standards and codes. But the IMF may be able to contribute to crisis prevention more directly by providing contingent financial support. This paper explores the theoretical basis of, and empirical evidence for, possible “crisis prevention programs.”

The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention

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Author :
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451863352
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (633 download)

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Book Synopsis The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention by : Mr.Juan Zalduendo

Download or read book The Role of IMF Support in Crisis Prevention written by Mr.Juan Zalduendo and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2006-03-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the role of IMF-supported programs in crisis prevention; specifically, whether, conditional on an episode of intense market pressures, IMF financial support helps prevent a capital account crisis from developing and, if so, through what channels. In doing so, the paper distinguishes between the seal of approval inherent in IMF support and its financing, evaluates the interaction of IMF support with economic policies, and assesses whether IMF financing has a different impact on the likelihood of a crisis than other forms of liquidity. The main result is that IMF financing helps prevent crises through the liquidity provided (i.e., money matters). However, since the effect holds even after controlling for (gross) foreign exchange reserves, stronger policies and the seal of approval under an IMFsupported program must also play a role. Finally, the results suggest that IMF financing as a crisis prevention tool is most effective for an intermediate range of economic fundamentals.

Review of Fund Facilities-Analytical Basis for Fund Lending and Reform Options

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498336310
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of Fund Facilities-Analytical Basis for Fund Lending and Reform Options by : International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept.

Download or read book Review of Fund Facilities-Analytical Basis for Fund Lending and Reform Options written by International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the context of the ongoing review of Fund facilities, this paper examines the analytical basis for Fund lending in emerging market countries and provides a broad-ranging perspective for reforming the General Resources Account (GRA) lending toolkit. The Fund’s important lending role in crisis prevention and resolution is buttressed by its unique characteristics: (i) its ability as a nonatomistic lender to provide large-scale financing and reduce the likelihood of a run by private creditors; (ii) its ability as a cooperative institution with near-universal membership to agree conditionality with members, thus providing national authorities with a policy commitment tool to underpin confidence and catalyze private lending; and (iii) its de facto preferred creditor status, which allows it to provide crisis financing when private creditors may be reluctant to lend.

Review of the Adequacy of and Options for Supplementing Fund Resources

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149833640X
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Adequacy of and Options for Supplementing Fund Resources by : International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept.

Download or read book Review of the Adequacy of and Options for Supplementing Fund Resources written by International Monetary Fund. Finance Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This review discusses the potential scale of a possible increase, as well as modalities that would facilitate a prompt increase in the Fund’s resources should the need for additional resources be agreed. While a permanent increase in Fund resources has traditionally been achieved through an increase in quotas, borrowing has often been used to bridge to a general quota increase given the substantial time involved in the latter undertaking. At a time of crisis, the case for such an approach is even stronger. The precise design and scope of any such borrowing would need to be considered in consultation with potential creditors, and with careful attention to the broader implications for the Fund’s finances.

The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513502344
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries by : Mr.Ali J Al-Sadiq

Download or read book The Impact of IMF-Supported Programs on FDI in Low-income Countries written by Mr.Ali J Al-Sadiq and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-16 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is common for IMF-supported adjustment programs with low-income member countries (LICs) to project that they will facilitate FDI inflows. The main objective of this paper is to empirically examine this hypothesis. Using an unbalanced panel dataset for 73 low-income countries over the period 1980–2012, and two different econometric methods that address the selection-bias problem, the empirical results robustly show that participating in IMF-supported program is associated with a significant increase in FDI inflows.

Review of the Fund's Financing Role in Member Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498334326
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Fund's Financing Role in Member Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Review of the Fund's Financing Role in Member Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-08-28 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper raises and discusses issues related to how the Fund provides financial assistance to its members. It is part of the strategic review to ensure the Fund remains relevant and effective. The objective is not to increase Fund lending, but to make sure the Fund has the right instruments and policies to help all of its members—with appropriate protection of Fund resources—as they integrate into a world of growing and increasingly complex cross-border flows. Other institutions (including major central banks and the World Bank) also are retooling their lending instruments and in the process grappling with similar issues. The paper offers a high-level view of the issues and does not make specific policy proposals. Policy proposals will be presented in follow-up papers, some of which are planned for Board discussion later in 2008.

Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463923287
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris

Download or read book Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-10-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a cost-benefit approach that helps to quantify the optimal level of international reserves in low-income countries, focusing on the role of reserves in preventing and mitigating absorption drops triggered by large external shocks. The approach is applied to a sample of 49 LICs over the period 1980-2008 to yield estimates of the likelihood and severity of a crisis. The calibration results suggest that the standard metric of three months of imports is inadequate for countries with fixed exchange rate regimes. The results also highlight the role of overall policy frameworks and availability of Fund-support in determining optimal reserve levels, raising questions about the uniform applicability of standard rules of thumb across countries.

Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332382
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-08 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this paper is to consider key issues in the design of a new liquidity instrument for market access countries. It reviews the motivations and challenges of creating such an instrument and lays out options and issues related to four key design elements. Recognizing the need to consider the relationship between these elements, the paper sets out an example of how they might be combined in a lending instrument – called here the Reserve Augmentation Line, or RAL. It also discusses risks.

Further Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries - Design Issues

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498333788
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Further Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries - Design Issues by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Further Consideration of a New Liquidity Instrument for Market Access Countries - Design Issues written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-02-13 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on a specific set of issues -- qualification criteria, monitoring structure, access levels and terms, links to other Fund facilities, and links to the private sector. This paper is a complement and follow-up to an earlier paper, which itself considered the broader issues involved in creating a new instrument. The paper does not put forward a concrete proposal to Directors, but seeks to achieve a further convergence of views on these key issues.

Precautionary Arrangements - Purposes and Performance

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332862
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Precautionary Arrangements - Purposes and Performance by : International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept.

Download or read book Precautionary Arrangements - Purposes and Performance written by International Monetary Fund. Policy Development and Review Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-23 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares experience under precautionary and non-precautionary programs over the period 1992-2005, with a view to answering two questions: Are there systematic differences between precautionary and non-precautionary programs in terms of policies, conditionality, or macroeconomic outcomes? And, if so, are these attributable to the nature of the arrangement or to the economic problems facing the member and the circumstances that led it to seek the Fund’s support? The paper finds that countries with weak initial macroeconomic performance tend to request drawing programs whereas those with stronger macroeconomic fundamentals, but facing economic uncertainties, favor precautionary programs. While significant differences exist in the behavior of key macroeconomic variables (output growth and inflation) at the outset of the programs, these differences tend to disappear over the following two to three years, and can be largely explained by the different initial conditions facing the member.

Independent Evaluation Office, Annual Report 2003

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589063198
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (631 download)

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Book Synopsis Independent Evaluation Office, Annual Report 2003 by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book Independent Evaluation Office, Annual Report 2003 written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-17 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This first Annual Report describes the activities of the IEO through the first full year of operation. The report provides a summary of the main findings and recommendations of the first three evaluation projects on the prolonged use of IMF resources, the role of the IMF in recent capital account crises, and the role of fiscal adjustment in IMF-supported programs. It also indicates the status of ongoing evaluation projects, and discusses several common themes emerging from the IEO’s evaluations.

Adequacy of the Global Financial Safety Net—Considerations for Fund Toolkit Reform

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498346162
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Adequacy of the Global Financial Safety Net—Considerations for Fund Toolkit Reform by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department

Download or read book Adequacy of the Global Financial Safety Net—Considerations for Fund Toolkit Reform written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-19 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: liquidity in the face of increased vulnerabilities calls for enhancing the liquidity support provided through the global financial safety net (GFSN). The global economy is experiencing a period of protracted uncertainty, marked by frequent episodes of volatility. Demand for liquidity has intensified, in particular from emerging markets, which are experiencing a build-up of vulnerabilities and the depletion of their fiscal buffers. The enhanced GFSN meets only partially this higher demand for liquidity. The IMFC and G20 have called on the Fund to further strengthen the safety net. The uneven use of the Fund’s toolkit for crisis prevention suggests the need to reconsider its design. Despite a major overhaul of the Fund’s lending instruments available for precautionary financing, only a modest number of countries have used them. In particular, the lack of access to a liquidity backstop for members with strong policies—similar to the standing bilateral swap arrangements (BSAs) among central banks—limits the availability of Fund support over the whole duration of the shock during protracted periods of global uncertainty. Moreover, the need to resort to Fund financing still carries a high political cost (stigma) for some members. To enhance further the Fund’s toolkit for crisis prevention, consideration could be given to revisiting the existing toolkit and introducing new instruments. The toolkit could thus be enhanced by: establishing a new facility for precautionary financing that would provide a "standing" liquidity backstop to members with strong fundamentals and policies for use when hit by liquidity shocks; and adjusting the existing toolkit to maintain cohesion. Any change to the Fund toolkit would need to take into account the tradeoffs between reducing stigma and containing moral hazard, while simultaneously safeguarding Fund resources. A Fund policy monitoring instrument could improve the cohesion of the global safety net. As the GFSN has expanded and become more multi-layered, there is a need to improve cooperation across the different layers to unlock financing and signal commitment to reforms. Creating a policy monitoring instrument that is available to all Fund members could help in this regard. Next steps . In light of Directors’ views on these points, staff could come back with subsequent papers that lay out specific and detailed proposals for reforming the lending toolkit. While these papers focus on the GRA lending toolkit, a separate forthcoming paper will assess some aspects of the concessional lending toolkit.

Statement by the Managing Director on the Interim Work Program of the Executive Board

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498333079
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Statement by the Managing Director on the Interim Work Program of the Executive Board by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Statement by the Managing Director on the Interim Work Program of the Executive Board written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-12-14 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This interim work program statement reflects the imperative of accelerating the process of reform that has been underway in the Fund for some time.

Financial Crises

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475543409
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Crises by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.

IMF Lending and Banking Crises

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484308697
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Lending and Banking Crises by : Luca Papi

Download or read book IMF Lending and Banking Crises written by Luca Papi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-26 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper looks at the effects of International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending programs on banking crises in a large sample of developing countries, over the period 1970-2010. The endogeneity of the IMF intervention is addressed by adopting an instrumental variable strategy and a propensity score matching estimator. Controlling for the standard determinants of banking crises, our results indicate that countries participating in IMF-supported lending programs are significantly less likely to experience a future banking crisis than nonborrowing countries. We also provide evidence suggesting that compliance with conditionality and loan size matter.