Forecast And Solution

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Forecast and Solution

Author : Ike Jeanes
Publisher : Ike Jeanes
ISBN 13 : 9780936015620
Total Pages : 804 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (156 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecast and Solution by : Ike Jeanes

Download or read book Forecast and Solution written by Ike Jeanes and published by Ike Jeanes. This book was released on 1996 with total page 804 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: EVERYONE'S GUIDE - FORECAST & SOLUTION introduces new, easy-to-use statistical methods so that the reader can answer the questions: How long will nuclear peace tend to continue? And, what can be done to extend it further? Dietrich Fischer, a past MacArthur Fellow at Princeton, was emphatic: "This is an original & highly readable contribution to the most important issue facing humanity today - surviving the nuclear threat. Jeanes combines lucid common sense with mathematical rigor in this landmark work. Anyone with an interest in having a future should read this work." Similarly, another distinguished scholar & author in the field declared, "It was more than interesting: it was completely fascinating." The general literate reader can assess when a nuclear use (small or otherwise) would tend to occur at probabilities from 1% to 99.9%, & what precisely can be done to forestall such use. Jeanes debunks deterrence theory, illustrates consequences of proliferation, & provides a unified explanation for warfare, conventional & nuclear. A comprehensive work - ethical, political, historical, analytical. 100+ Graphs & Tables, 1,500+ footnotes. TOLL-FREE, 24 hours-a-day, credit card line (800) 448-3330; Publisher: (800) 446-0467.

Completing the Forecast

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309180538
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Completing the Forecast by : National Research Council

Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Weather Prediction by Numerical Process

Author : Lewis F. Richardson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Weather Prediction by Numerical Process by : Lewis F. Richardson

Download or read book Weather Prediction by Numerical Process written by Lewis F. Richardson and published by . This book was released on 1922 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Numerical Methods in Weather Prediction

Author : G Marchuk
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0323157467
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (231 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Methods in Weather Prediction by : G Marchuk

Download or read book Numerical Methods in Weather Prediction written by G Marchuk and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2012-12-02 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerical Methods in Weather Prediction focuses on the numerical methods for solving problems of weather prediction and explains the aspect of the general circulation of the atmosphere. This book explores the development in the science of meteorology, which provides investigators with improved means of studying physical processes by mathematical stimulation. Organized into eight chapters, this book starts with an overview of the significant physical factors that are instrumental in enriching the theoretical models of weather prediction. This text then examines the system of hydrodynamic equations and the equation of heat transfer related to large-scale atmospheric processes. Other chapters consider the quasigeostrophic approximation model, which is the basis for concepts of the dynamics of atmospheric motions and instrumental in establishing the basic features and laws of evolution of meteorological variables as applied to large-scale processes. The final chapter deals with the adjustment of the humidity field. This book is a valuable resource for meteorologists.

Business Forecasting

Author : Michael Gilliland
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111922456X
Total Pages : 419 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Forecasting by : Michael Gilliland

Download or read book Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-01-05 with total page 419 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive collection of the field's most provocative, influential new work Business Forecasting compiles some of the field's important and influential literature into a single, comprehensive reference for forecast modeling and process improvement. It is packed with provocative ideas from forecasting researchers and practitioners, on topics including accuracy metrics, benchmarking, modeling of problem data, and overcoming dysfunctional behaviors. Its coverage includes often-overlooked issues at the forefront of research, such as uncertainty, randomness, and forecastability, as well as emerging areas like data mining for forecasting. The articles present critical analysis of current practices and consideration of new ideas. With a mix of formal, rigorous pieces and brief introductory chapters, the book provides practitioners with a comprehensive examination of the current state of the business forecasting field. Forecasting performance is ultimately limited by the 'forecastability' of the data. Yet failing to recognize this, many organizations continue to squander resources pursuing unachievable levels of accuracy. This book provides a wealth of ideas for improving all aspects of the process, including the avoidance of wasted efforts that fail to improve (or even harm) forecast accuracy. Analyzes the most prominent issues in business forecasting Investigates emerging approaches and new methods of analysis Combines forecasts to improve accuracy Utilizes Forecast Value Added to identify process inefficiency The business environment is evolving, and forecasting methods must evolve alongside it. This compilation delivers an array of new tools and research that can enable more efficient processes and more accurate results. Business Forecasting provides an expert's-eye view of the field's latest developments to help you achieve your desired business outcomes.

Numerical Methods of Solution of Weather Forecast Problems

Author : Guriĭ Ivanovich Marchuk
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Methods of Solution of Weather Forecast Problems by : Guriĭ Ivanovich Marchuk

Download or read book Numerical Methods of Solution of Weather Forecast Problems written by Guriĭ Ivanovich Marchuk and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Weather Forecasting Red Book

Author : Tim Vasquez
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780970684066
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Weather Forecasting Red Book by : Tim Vasquez

Download or read book Weather Forecasting Red Book written by Tim Vasquez and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Weather Forecasting Red Book is a groundbreaking reference that breaks away from theory and helps forecasters tackle everyday prediction problems. The book contains a wealth of information on real-life techniques, methods, and forecast systems. It draws upon a wealth of experience collected by the weather services of the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The first section deals with observational systems, explaining what quantities of wind, temperature, and pressure really mean. The analysis section defines standards and conventions for weather maps. The forecasting section has over a hundred pages of techniques, methods, patterns, and basic ideas and principles. And in the numerical model section, key details of the latest models are explained. It's written by a forecaster for forecasters. If it's needed at the forecast desk, it's in here.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Fair Weather

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030916852X
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Fair Weather by : National Research Council

Download or read book Fair Weather written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-05-14 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decades of evolving U.S. policy have led to three sectors providing weather servicesâ€"NOAA (primarily the National Weather Service [NWS]), academic institutions, and private companies. This three-sector system has produced a scope and diversity of weather services in the United States second to none. However, rapid scientific and technological change is changing the capabilities of the sectors and creating occasional friction. Fair Weather: Effective Partnerships in Weather and Climate Services examines the roles of the three sectors in providing weather and climate services, the barriers to interaction among the sectors, and the impact of scientific and technological advances on the weather enterprise. Readers from all three sectors will be interested in the analysis and recommendations provided in Fair Weather.

Practical Meteorology

Author : Roland Stull
Publisher : Sundog Publishing, LLC
ISBN 13 : 9780888652836
Total Pages : 942 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (528 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Meteorology by : Roland Stull

Download or read book Practical Meteorology written by Roland Stull and published by Sundog Publishing, LLC. This book was released on 2018 with total page 942 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A quantitative introduction to atmospheric science for students and professionals who want to understand and apply basic meteorological concepts but who are not ready for calculus.

The Weather Machine

Author : Andrew Blum
Publisher : HarperCollins
ISBN 13 : 1443438618
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (434 download)

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Book Synopsis The Weather Machine by : Andrew Blum

Download or read book The Weather Machine written by Andrew Blum and published by HarperCollins. This book was released on 2019-06-25 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the acclaimed author of Tubes, a lively and surprising tour through the global network that predicts our weather, the people behind it, and what it reveals about our climate and our planet The weather is the foundation of our daily lives. It’s a staple of small talk, the app on our smartphones, and often the first thing we check each morning. Yet, behind all these humble interactions is the largest and most elaborate piece of infrastructure human beings have ever constructed—a triumph of both science and global cooperation. But what is the weather machine, and who created it? In The Weather Machine, Andrew Blum takes readers on a fascinating journey through the people, places, and tools of forecasting, exploring how the weather went from something we simply observed to something we could actually predict. As he travels across the planet, he visits some of the oldest and most important weather stations and watches the newest satellites blast off. He explores the dogged efforts of forecasters to create a supercomputer model of the atmosphere, while trying to grasp the ongoing relevance of TV weather forecasters. In the increasingly unpredictable world of climate change, correctly understanding the weather is vital. Written with the sharp wit and infectious curiosity Andrew Blum is known for, The Weather Machine pulls back the curtain on a universal part of our everyday lives, illuminating our changing relationships with technology, the planet, and our global community.

Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Author : Thomas Tomkins Warner
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139494317
Total Pages : 549 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction by : Thomas Tomkins Warner

Download or read book Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction written by Thomas Tomkins Warner and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-12-02 with total page 549 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a comprehensive yet accessible treatment of weather and climate prediction, for graduate students, researchers and professionals. It teaches the strengths, weaknesses and best practices for the use of atmospheric models. It is ideal for the many scientists who use such models across a wide variety of applications. The book describes the different numerical methods, data assimilation, ensemble methods, predictability, land-surface modeling, climate modeling and downscaling, computational fluid-dynamics models, experimental designs in model-based research, verification methods, operational prediction, and special applications such as air-quality modeling and flood prediction. This volume will satisfy everyone who needs to know about atmospheric modeling for use in research or operations. It is ideal both as a textbook for a course on weather and climate prediction and as a reference text for researchers and professionals from a range of backgrounds: atmospheric science, meteorology, climatology, environmental science, geography, and geophysical fluid mechanics/dynamics.

Numerical Weather Prediction

Author : George J. Haltiner
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Weather Prediction by : George J. Haltiner

Download or read book Numerical Weather Prediction written by George J. Haltiner and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecast Verification

Author : Ian T. Jolliffe
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470864419
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecast Verification by : Ian T. Jolliffe

Download or read book Forecast Verification written by Ian T. Jolliffe and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handy reference introduces the subject of forecastverification and provides a review of the basic concepts,discussing different types of data that may be forecast. Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity(predictand), then looks at some of the relationships betweeneconomic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the keyconcepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification thatreceive the most attention in other disciplines. The book concludes with a discussion on the most importanttopics in the field that are the subject of current research orthat would benefit from future research. An easy to read guide of current techniques with real life casestudies An up-to-date and practical introduction to the differenttechniques and an examination of their strengths andweaknesses Practical advice given by some of the world?s leadingforecasting experts Case studies and illustrations of actual verification and itsinterpretation Comprehensive glossary and consistent statistical andmathematical definition of commonly used terms

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123850231
Total Pages : 697 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences by : Daniel S. Wilks

Download or read book Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences written by Daniel S. Wilks and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2011-07-04 with total page 697 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, and related disciplines. In this new edition, what was a single chapter on multivariate statistics has been expanded to a full six chapters on this important topic. Other chapters have also been revised and cover exploratory data analysis, probability distributions, hypothesis testing, statistical weather forecasting, forecast verification, and time series analysis. There is now an expanded treatment of resampling tests and key analysis techniques, an updated discussion on ensemble forecasting, and a detailed chapter on forecast verification. In addition, the book includes new sections on maximum likelihood and on statistical simulation and contains current references to original research. Students will benefit from pedagogical features including worked examples, end-of-chapter exercises with separate solutions, and numerous illustrations and equations. This book will be of interest to researchers and students in the atmospheric sciences, including meteorology, climatology, and other geophysical disciplines. Accessible presentation and explanation of techniques for atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing and forecasting Many worked examples End-of-chapter exercises, with answers provided

Business Forecasting

Author : Michael Gilliland
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Forecasting by : Michael Gilliland

Download or read book Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Business Forecasting

Author : Michael Gilliland
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119782473
Total Pages : 435 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Forecasting by : Michael Gilliland

Download or read book Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.