Fiscal Policy, Public Debt and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642585957
Total Pages : 284 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy, Public Debt and the Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Roland Demmel

Download or read book Fiscal Policy, Public Debt and the Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Roland Demmel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The introduction of the thesis consists of four parts: first, we motivate our chosen macroeconomic setting by looking at some real world phenomena. For a better understanding of these phenomena, we argue that the mutual dynamic interactions between flScal policy and financial markets need to be closely examined in a macroeconomic framework. Second, we review different strands of the economic literature in order to show that most of the literature has so far exclusively concentrated either on fmancial market dynamics or on flScal policy issues. We conclude that a more integrated model setting is called for in order to explain the dynamic interactions observed in reality. Third, we discuss at length the economic assumptions underlying our model. This avoids multiple repetition later on. Finally, we outline the structure of the thesis and the objectives we pursue in the different chapters. 1. 1 Motivation Fiscal policy and financial market reactions are increasingly receiving world wide attention. The most recent examples are the Maastricht criteria about flScal control, the South-East Asia financial crisis and the resulting IMF policy stance, the high level of public debt in developed and developing countries and the effect on interest rates and economic growth. In contrast to the still underdeveloped theoretical literature on these dynamic links, finding empirical evidence that supports the existence of these links is not a very hard task.

Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455202185
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields by : Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar

Download or read book Fiscal Deficits, Public Debt, and Sovereign Bond Yields written by Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent sharp increase in fiscal deficits and government debt in many countries raises questions regarding their impact on long-term sovereign bond yields. While economic theory suggests that this impact is likely to be adverse, empirical results have been less clear cut, have generally ignored nonlinear effects of deficits and debt through some other key determinants of yields, and have been mostly confined to advanced economies. This paper reexamines the impact of fiscal deficits and public debt on long-term interest rates during 1980 - 2008, taking into account a wide range of country-specific factors, for a panel of 31 advanced and emerging market economies. It finds that higher deficits and public debt lead to a significant increase in long-term interest rates, with the precise magnitude dependent on initial fiscal, institutional and other structural conditions, as well as spillovers from global financial markets. Taking into account these factors suggests that large fiscal deficits and public debts are likely to put substantial upward pressures on sovereign bond yields in many advanced economies over the medium term.

The Congress Should Consider Repealing the 4-1/4 Percent Interest Rate Limitation on Long-term Public Debt, Department of the Treasury

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Congress Should Consider Repealing the 4-1/4 Percent Interest Rate Limitation on Long-term Public Debt, Department of the Treasury by : United States. General Accounting Office

Download or read book The Congress Should Consider Repealing the 4-1/4 Percent Interest Rate Limitation on Long-term Public Debt, Department of the Treasury written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Public Debt Management

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139935860
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (399 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Debt Management by : Rudiger Dornbusch

Download or read book Public Debt Management written by Rudiger Dornbusch and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-11-30 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As Europe proceeds towards economic and monetary union, fiscal convergence and the prospect of a common money are at the centre of discussion. This volume from the Centre for Economic Policy Research brings together theoretical, applied and historical research on the management of public debt and its implications for financial stability. Gale fills a gap in the literature, using a consistent framework to investigate the welfare economics of public debt, while Calvo and Guidotti analyse the trade-off between indexation and maturity when it comes to minimizing debt service. Confidence crises have become relevant again in view of the high debt ratios in countries such as Belgium, Italy and Ireland. Alesina, Prati and Tabellini develop a formal model of the propagation of a debt run and use it to interpret Italian debt panics. Giavazzi and Pagano concentrate on how inappropriate debt management can precipitate a run on the currency while Makinen and Woodward review a broad sweep of historical experience.

Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates in the European Union

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781781959657
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (596 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates in the European Union by : Klaas Knot

Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates in the European Union written by Klaas Knot and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an extensive study concerned with the potential effects of fiscal policy on financial markets in the EU. It takes into account the gradual liberalization of capital movements through Western Europe & the framework of the European Monetary System.

The Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis The Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Jacob B. Michaelsen

Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Jacob B. Michaelsen and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Public Debt in a Democratic Society

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Publisher : Washington, D.C. : American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Public Debt in a Democratic Society by : James M. Buchanan

Download or read book Public Debt in a Democratic Society written by James M. Buchanan and published by Washington, D.C. : American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research. This book was released on 1967 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 92 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt by : United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee

Download or read book Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt written by United States. Congress. Joint Economic Committee and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 738 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt by : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on the Economic Report

Download or read book Monetary Policy and the Management of the Public Debt written by United States. Congress. Joint Committee on the Economic Report and published by . This book was released on 1952 with total page 738 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service by : Silvia Ardagna

Download or read book Fiscal Discipline and the Cost of Public Debt Service written by Silvia Ardagna and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a panel of 16 OECD countries over several decades to investigate the effects of government debts and deficits on long-term interest rates. In simple static specifications, a one-percentage-point increase in the primary deficit relative to GDP increases contemporaneous long-term interest rates by about 10 basis points. In a vector autoregression (VAR), the same shock leads to a cumulative increase of almost 150 basis points after 10 years. The effect of debt on interest rates is non-linear: only for countries with above-average levels of debt does an increase in debt affect the interest rate. World fiscal policy is also important: an increase in total OECD-government borrowing increases each country's interest rates. However, domestic fiscal policy continues to affect domestic interest rates even after controlling for worldwide debts and deficits.

Government Debt and Long-term Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Debt and Long-term Interest Rates by : Noriaki Kinoshita

Download or read book Government Debt and Long-term Interest Rates written by Noriaki Kinoshita and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the relationship between government debt and long-term interest rates. A dynamic general equilibrium model that incorporates debt nonneutrality is specified and solved, and numerical simulations using the model are undertaken. In addition, empirical evidence using panel data for 19 industrial countries is examined. The estimation provides some evidence supporting the theoretical predictions: the paper finds that the simulated and estimated interest rate effects of government debt tend to be small. However, an increase in government consumption and debt leads to a considerably larger effect. The paper also argues that, although the interest rate effects of pure crowding out may be limited, the economic impact of accumulating government debt cannot be ignored.

The Liquidation of Government Debt

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498338380
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Liquidation of Government Debt by : Ms.Carmen Reinhart

Download or read book The Liquidation of Government Debt written by Ms.Carmen Reinhart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-21 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High public debt often produces the drama of default and restructuring. But debt is also reduced through financial repression, a tax on bondholders and savers via negative or belowmarket real interest rates. After WWII, capital controls and regulatory restrictions created a captive audience for government debt, limiting tax-base erosion. Financial repression is most successful in liquidating debt when accompanied by inflation. For the advanced economies, real interest rates were negative 1⁄2 of the time during 1945–1980. Average annual interest expense savings for a 12—country sample range from about 1 to 5 percent of GDP for the full 1945–1980 period. We suggest that, once again, financial repression may be part of the toolkit deployed to cope with the most recent surge in public debt in advanced economies.

Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475590180
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management by : Mr.Cristiano Cantore

Download or read book Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Debt Crisis and Management written by Mr.Cristiano Cantore and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-30 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The initial government debt-to-GDP ratio and the government’s commitment play a pivotal role in determining the welfare-optimal speed of fiscal consolidation in the management of a debt crisis. Under commitment, for low or moderate initial government debt-to-GPD ratios, the optimal consolidation is very slow. A faster pace is optimal when the economy starts from a high level of public debt implying high sovereign risk premia, unless these are suppressed via a bailout by official creditors. Under discretion, the cost of not being able to commit is reflected into a quick consolidation of government debt. Simple monetary-fiscal rules with passive fiscal policy, designed for an environment with “normal shocks”, perform reasonably well in mimicking the Ramsey-optimal response to one-off government debt shocks. When the government can issue also long-term bonds–under commitment–the optimal debt consolidation pace is slower than in the case of short-term bonds only, and entails an increase in the ratio between long and short-term bonds.

Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262372754
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates by : Olivier Blanchard

Download or read book Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates written by Olivier Blanchard and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2023-01-10 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rethinking fiscal and monetary policy in an economic environment of high debt and low interest rates. Policy makers in advanced economies find themselves in an unusual fiscal environment: debt ratios are historically high, and—once the fight against inflation is won—real interest rates will likely be very low again. This combination calls for a rethinking of the role of fiscal and monetary policy—and this is just what Olivier Blanchard proposes in Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates. There is a wide set of opinions about the direction that fiscal policy should take. Some, pointing to the high debt levels, make debt reduction an absolute priority. Others, pointing to the low interest rates, are less worried; they suggest that there is still fiscal space, and, if justified, further increases in debt should not be ruled out. Blanchard argues that low interest rates decrease not only the fiscal costs of debt but also the welfare costs of debt. At the same time, he shows how low rates decrease the room to maneuver in monetary policy—and thus increase the benefits of using fiscal policy, including deficits and debt, for macroeconomic stabilization. In short, low rates imply lower costs and higher benefits of debt. Having sketched what optimal policy looks like, Blanchard considers three examples of fiscal policy in action: fiscal consolidation in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, the large increase in debt in Japan, and the current US fiscal and monetary policy mix. His conclusions hold practical implications for economic and fiscal policy makers, bankers, and politicians around the world.

Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210870
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications by : Mr.Udaibir S. Das

Download or read book Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications written by Mr.Udaibir S. Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the relationship between the level and management of public debt and financial stability, and explains the channels through which the two are interlinked. It suggests that the broader implications of a debt management strategy and its implementation should be carefully analyzed by debt managers and policy makers in terms of their impact on the government's balance sheet, macroeconomic developments, and the financial system.

Coordinating Public Debt and Monetary Management

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557755551
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Coordinating Public Debt and Monetary Management by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Coordinating Public Debt and Monetary Management written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-04-15 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by V. Sundararajan, Peter Dattels, and Hans Blommestein, this volume outlines strategies for managing public debt, developing government securities markets, and coordinating those activities with monetary management through legal, administrative, and operational arrangements. Both transition and market economies are surveyed. The analysis draws partly on the literature on the microstructure of markets and auction systems and on selected country experiences.

The Economics of Public Debt

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 134919459X
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (491 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Public Debt by : Kenneth J. Arrow

Download or read book The Economics of Public Debt written by Kenneth J. Arrow and published by Springer. This book was released on 1988-09-19 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays presenting new insights into the analysis of public debt theory, recent historical episodes, econometric analyses and policy dilemmas and options. It also documents the perceptions of debt problems from viewpoints of national economies as well as the world economy.