Finite Sample Properties Of The Maximum Likelihood Estimator In Autoregressive Models With Markov Switching

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Computational Intelligence Techniques for Trading and Investment

Author : Christian Dunis
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136195106
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (361 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Intelligence Techniques for Trading and Investment by : Christian Dunis

Download or read book Computational Intelligence Techniques for Trading and Investment written by Christian Dunis and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-03-26 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computational intelligence, a sub-branch of artificial intelligence, is a field which draws on the natural world and adaptive mechanisms in order to study behaviour in changing complex environments. This book provides an interdisciplinary view of current technological advances and challenges concerning the application of computational intelligence techniques to financial time-series forecasting, trading and investment. The book is divided into five parts. The first part introduces the most important computational intelligence and financial trading concepts, while also presenting the most important methodologies from these different domains. The second part is devoted to the application of traditional computational intelligence techniques to the fields of financial forecasting and trading, and the third part explores the applications of artificial neural networks in these domains. The fourth part delves into novel evolutionary-based hybrid methodologies for trading and portfolio management, while the fifth part presents the applications of advanced computational intelligence modelling techniques in financial forecasting and trading. This volume will be useful for graduate and postgraduate students of finance, computational finance, financial engineering and computer science. Practitioners, traders and financial analysts will also benefit from this book.

Market Risk Analysis, Boxset

Author : Carol Alexander
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470997990
Total Pages : 1691 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Risk Analysis, Boxset by : Carol Alexander

Download or read book Market Risk Analysis, Boxset written by Carol Alexander and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-02-24 with total page 1691 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Market Risk Analysis is the most comprehensive, rigorous and detailed resource available on market risk analysis. Written as a series of four interlinked volumes each title is self-contained, although numerous cross-references to other volumes enable readers to obtain further background knowledge and information about financial applications. Volume I: Quantitative Methods in Finance covers the essential mathematical and financial background for subsequent volumes. Although many readers will already be familiar with this material, few competing texts contain such a complete and pedagogical exposition of all the basic quantitative concepts required for market risk analysis. There are six comprehensive chapters covering all the calculus, linear algebra, probability and statistics, numerical methods and portfolio mathematics that are necessary for market risk analysis. This is an ideal background text for a Masters course in finance. Volume II: Practical Financial Econometrics provides a detailed understanding of financial econometrics, with applications to asset pricing and fund management as well as to market risk analysis. It covers equity factor models, including a detailed analysis of the Barra model and tracking error, principal component analysis, volatility and correlation, GARCH, cointegration, copulas, Markov switching, quantile regression, discrete choice models, non-linear regression, forecasting and model evaluation. Volume III: Pricing, Hedging and Trading Financial Instruments has five very long chapters on the pricing, hedging and trading of bonds and swaps, futures and forwards, options and volatility as well detailed descriptions of mapping portfolios of these financial instruments to their risk factors. There are numerous examples, all coded in interactive Excel spreadsheets, including many pricing formulae for exotic options but excluding the calibration of stochastic volatility models, for which Matlab code is provided. The chapters on options and volatility together constitute 50% of the book, the slightly longer chapter on volatility concentrating on the dynamic properties the two volatility surfaces the implied and the local volatility surfaces that accompany an option pricing model, with particular reference to hedging. Volume IV: Value at Risk Models builds on the three previous volumes to provide by far the most comprehensive and detailed treatment of market VaR models that is currently available in any textbook. The exposition starts at an elementary level but, as in all the other volumes, the pedagogical approach accompanied by numerous interactive Excel spreadsheets allows readers to experience the application of parametric linear, historical simulation and Monte Carlo VaR models to increasingly complex portfolios. Starting with simple positions, after a few chapters we apply value-at-risk models to interest rate sensitive portfolios, large international securities portfolios, commodity futures, path dependent options and much else. This rigorous treatment includes many new results and applications to regulatory and economic capital allocation, measurement of VaR model risk and stress testing.

Journal of Econometrics

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 830 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Econometrics by :

Download or read book Journal of Econometrics written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 830 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Corporate Risk Management

Author : Georges Dionne
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119583152
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Corporate Risk Management by : Georges Dionne

Download or read book Corporate Risk Management written by Georges Dionne and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-04-22 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An updated review of the theories and applications of corporate risk management After the financial crisis of 2008, issues concerning corporate risk management arose that demand new levels of oversight. Corporate Risk Management is an important guide to the topic that puts the focus on the corporate finance dimension of risk management. The author—a noted expert on the topic—presents several theoretical models appropriate for various industries and empirically verifies theoretical propositions. The book also proposes statistical modeling that can evaluate the importance of different risks and their variations according to economic cycles. The book provides an analysis of default, liquidity, and operational risks as well as the failures of LTCM, ENRON, and financial institutions that occurred during the financial crisis. The author also explores Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR), which is central to the debate on the measurement of market risk under Basel III. This important book: Includes a comprehensive review of the aspects of corporate risk management Presents statistical modeling that addresses recent risk management issues Contains an analysis of risk management failures that lead to the 2008 financial crisis Offers a must-have resource from author Georges Dionne the former editor of The Journal of Risk and Insurance Corporate Risk Management provides a modern empirical analysis of corporate risk management across industries. It is designed for use by risk management professionals, academics, and graduate students.

International Bibliography of Economics 1998

Author : Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science
Publisher : Psychology Press
ISBN 13 : 9780415221054
Total Pages : 644 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (21 download)

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Book Synopsis International Bibliography of Economics 1998 by : Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science

Download or read book International Bibliography of Economics 1998 written by Compiled by the British Library of Political and Economic Science and published by Psychology Press. This book was released on 1999-12-16 with total page 644 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Renowned for its international coverage and rigorous selection procedures, this series provides the most comprehensive and scholarly bibliographic service available in the social sciences. Arranged by topic and indexed by author, subject and place-name, each bibliography lists and annotates the most important works published in its field during the year of 1997, including hard-to-locate journal articles. Each volume also includes a complete list of the periodicals consulted.

Generalized Method of Moments Estimation

Author : Laszlo Matyas
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521669672
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (696 download)

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Book Synopsis Generalized Method of Moments Estimation by : Laszlo Matyas

Download or read book Generalized Method of Moments Estimation written by Laszlo Matyas and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-13 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation has emerged as providing a ready to use, flexible tool of application to a large number of econometric and economic models by relying on mild, plausible assumptions. The principal objective of this volume is to offer a complete presentation of the theory of GMM estimation as well as insights into the use of these methods in empirical studies. It is also designed to serve as a unified framework for teaching estimation theory in econometrics. Contributors to the volume include well-known authorities in the field based in North America, the UK/Europe, and Australia. The work is likely to become a standard reference for graduate students and professionals in economics, statistics, financial modeling, and applied mathematics.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0444536841
Total Pages : 719 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Aanwinsten van de Centrale Bibliotheek (Queteletfonds)

Author : Bibliothèque centrale (Fonds Quetelet)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 916 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Aanwinsten van de Centrale Bibliotheek (Queteletfonds) by : Bibliothèque centrale (Fonds Quetelet)

Download or read book Aanwinsten van de Centrale Bibliotheek (Queteletfonds) written by Bibliothèque centrale (Fonds Quetelet) and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 916 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Advances in Markov-Switching Models

Author : James D. Hamilton
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642511821
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Markov-Switching Models by : James D. Hamilton

Download or read book Advances in Markov-Switching Models written by James D. Hamilton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.

NBS Special Publication

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis NBS Special Publication by :

Download or read book NBS Special Publication written by and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

State-space Models with Regime Switching

Author : Chang-Jin Kim
Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262112383
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (123 download)

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Book Synopsis State-space Models with Regime Switching by : Chang-Jin Kim

Download or read book State-space Models with Regime Switching written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data.The authors present numerous applications of these approaches in detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle and the question of whether booms and recessions are duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.

Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling

Author : Vladik Kreinovich
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030042634
Total Pages : 784 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling by : Vladik Kreinovich

Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.

Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions

Author : Hans-Martin Krolzig
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364251684X
Total Pages : 369 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions by : Hans-Martin Krolzig

Download or read book Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressions written by Hans-Martin Krolzig and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contributes to re cent developments on the statistical analysis of multiple time series in the presence of regime shifts. Markov-switching models have become popular for modelling non-linearities and regime shifts, mainly, in univariate eco nomic time series. This study is intended to provide a systematic and operational ap proach to the econometric modelling of dynamic systems subject to shifts in regime, based on the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model. The study presents a comprehensive analysis of the theoretical properties of Markov-switching vector autoregressive processes and the related statistical methods. The statistical concepts are illustrated with applications to empirical business cyde research. This monograph is a revised version of my dissertation which has been accepted by the Economics Department of the Humboldt-University of Berlin in 1996. It con sists mainly of unpublished material which has been presented during the last years at conferences and in seminars. The major parts of this study were written while I was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschajt (DFG), Berliner Graduier tenkolleg Angewandte Mikroökonomik and Sondeiforschungsbereich 373 at the Free University and Humboldt-University of Berlin. Work was finally completed in the project The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting founded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) at the Institute of Economies and Statistics, University of Oxford. It is a pleasure to record my thanks to these institutions for their support of my research embodied in this study.

Journal of Economic Literature

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 758 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Journal of Economic Literature by :

Download or read book Journal of Economic Literature written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 758 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova

Author : Juan J. Dolado
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1803828315
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova by : Juan J. Dolado

Download or read book Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova written by Juan J. Dolado and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2022-09-21 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both parts of Volume 44 of Advances in Econometrics pay tribute to Fabio Canova for his major contributions to economics over the last four decades.

Large Dimensional Factor Analysis

Author : Jushan Bai
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1601981449
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Large Dimensional Factor Analysis by : Jushan Bai

Download or read book Large Dimensional Factor Analysis written by Jushan Bai and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2008 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Large Dimensional Factor Analysis provides a survey of the main theoretical results for large dimensional factor models, emphasizing results that have implications for empirical work. The authors focus on the development of the static factor models and on the use of estimated factors in subsequent estimation and inference. Large Dimensional Factor Analysis discusses how to determine the number of factors, how to conduct inference when estimated factors are used in regressions, how to assess the adequacy pf observed variables as proxies for latent factors, how to exploit the estimated factors to test unit root tests and common trends, and how to estimate panel cointegration models.

Non-Linear Time Series

Author : Kamil Feridun Turkman
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319070282
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-Linear Time Series by : Kamil Feridun Turkman

Download or read book Non-Linear Time Series written by Kamil Feridun Turkman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-09-29 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a useful combination of probabilistic and statistical tools for analyzing nonlinear time series. Key features of the book include a study of the extremal behavior of nonlinear time series and a comprehensive list of nonlinear models that address different aspects of nonlinearity. Several inferential methods, including quasi likelihood methods, sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods and particle filters, are also included so as to provide an overall view of the available tools for parameter estimation for nonlinear models. A chapter on integer time series models based on several thinning operations, which brings together all recent advances made in this area, is also included. Readers should have attended a prior course on linear time series, and a good grasp of simulation-based inferential methods is recommended. This book offers a valuable resource for second-year graduate students and researchers in statistics and other scientific areas who need a basic understanding of nonlinear time series.