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Financial Globalization And The International Transmission Of Interest Rate Shocks
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Book Synopsis Financial Globalization and the International Transmission of Interest Rate Shocks by : Xiaoli Wan
Download or read book Financial Globalization and the International Transmission of Interest Rate Shocks written by Xiaoli Wan and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the spillovers from U.S. monetary policy to China's domestic interest rates over 1999-2016, focusing on the impacts of long-term interest rate and exchange rate regimes on the capacity of China to moderate external interest rate shocks. We find that China's central bank owns some extent of autonomy as it has a significant preference to control inflation and stimulate the economy even beyond the potential growth. However, China's interest rates are significantly impacted by U.S. monetary policy especially after the crisis. The transmission from U.S. interest rates to China at the long-end even exists before the crisis, but only for the positive change of U.S. interest rates. The comparison with New Zealand's experience provides some evidence that central banks are more likely facing a "monetary dilemma" and China's fixed exchange rate regime with capital controls might help to mitigate the spillovers of external monetary shocks in a turmoil period.
Book Synopsis Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy by : Steven B. Kamin
Download or read book Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy written by Steven B. Kamin and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-05 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews the available evidence and previous research on potential effects of financial globalization, that is, the international integration of financial markets. Central banks with floating currencies retain the ability to independently determine short-term interest rates and thus influence broader financial conditions and macro-economic performance in their economies. However, domestic financial conditions appear to have become more vulnerable to a wide range of external shocks, complicating the task of making appropriate monetary policy decisions. Moreover, the financial crisis has highlighted the importance of cross-border channels for the transmission of liquidity and credit shocks. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand report.
Book Synopsis Financial Globalization, Shadow Banking and Interest Rate Transmission by : Xiaoli Wan
Download or read book Financial Globalization, Shadow Banking and Interest Rate Transmission written by Xiaoli Wan and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many long-held views about the global financial system and the effectiveness of monetary policy have been questioned since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007/2009. At stake is the capacity of monetary authorities to isolate international monetary policy shocks under financial globalization coupled with the rapid development of shadow banking and its impact on the banking system and monetary policy transmission. This thesis comprises three empirical studies to examine these issues by providing evidence from China. The first study investigates the international transmission of monetary policy from the U.S. to China. The results show that the spillover effects of U.S. monetary policy are significant and strong on China's short-term interest rates after the GFC. The spillover at the long-end of the yield curve even holds before the GFC, but only for positive changes in U.S. long-term interest rates. By comparing the results with countries under flexible exchange rates such as New Zealand, I find a fixed exchange rate regime with capital controls helps to mitigate more effectively external monetary shocks especially during a turmoil period. The second study shifts the focus on the driving forces of the rise of shadow banking in China. Aside from micro arbitrage factors suggested by previous literature, I paid specific attention to a wide range of macro-finance factors. To reflect the unique institutional features that shape macroeconomic policy making in China, I introduce a novel identification strategy to isolate pure monetary policy shocks from the influence of other macroeconomic policy variations. The empirical results show robustly that China's shadow banking is essentially driven by macro-policy factors including credit scale tightening, strengthened risky-loan regulation, and intensified interest-rate repression. In contrast, the effect of a pure monetary contraction is to reduce shadow banking, due to an economy-wide tightening of liquidity. The third essay investigates how shadow banking impacts loan pricing and the pass-through from policy rates to retail lending rates. The results show that the yield of shadow banking products impacts the lending rates positively, in which 20 percent of the impact takes effect through the deposit channel. The scale of shadow banking wealth management products (WMPs) does not significantly impact lending rates. Furthermore, the rise in shadow banking appears to have decreased the pass-through from benchmark policy rates to lending rates after 2013 by providing alternative credit options to bank loans, supporting the loan-demand side view. On the other hand, I find the effect of shadow banking on the pass-through from market-based short-term policy rates to lending rates became insignificant after 2013 as the arbitrage model shifted from the WMP-channel-shadow credit to interbank-entrustment-securities. However, China's shadow banking appears to have significantly decreased net interest margins of banks after 2013 as the average return on financial securities invested by shadow banking is lower than on-balance loan yields.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies by : Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques
Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies written by Mr.Luis Brandao-Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-02-21 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.
Book Synopsis Globalization and Changing Patterns in the International Transmission of Shocks in Financial Markets by : Michael D. Bordo
Download or read book Globalization and Changing Patterns in the International Transmission of Shocks in Financial Markets written by Michael D. Bordo and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we compare various characteristics of the cross-country transmission of shocks in the financial markets of both advanced and emerging countries during two periods of globalization -- the pre-World War I classical gold standard era, 1880-1914, and the post-Bretton Woods era, 1975-2000. Based on principal components analysis on monthly spreads on long-term sovereign bond yields and on an EMP measure of currency crises, an index of global stress, and impulse response functions from VARs estimated using weekly data on short-term interest rates, we conclude that financial market shocks were more globalized before 1914 compared to the present. We postulate that this difference in systemic stability between the two eras of globalization reflects factors such as strong cross-country interdependence fostered through links to gold, the growing financial maturity of advanced countries, and the widening of the center to include a more diverse group of countries spanning several regions.
Book Synopsis Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy by : Steven B. Kamin
Download or read book Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy written by Steven B. Kamin and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the available evidence and previous research on potential effects of financial globalization, that is, the international integration of financial markets. In particular, we address the questions: Has financial globalization materially increased the influence of external developments on domestic monetary conditions? And, has it reduced the influence of central banks over financial and economic conditions in their own country? We find that central banks with floating currencies retain the ability to independently determine short-term interest rates and thus influence broader financial conditions and macroeconomic performance in their economies. However, domestic financial conditions appear to have become more vulnerable to a wide range of external shocks, complicating the task of making appropriate monetary policy decisions. Moreover, the financial crisis has highlighted the importance of cross-border channels for the transmission of liquidity and credit shocks. With financial transactions increasingly being undertaken in vehicle currencies such as dollars and euros, the liquidity provision and the lender-of-last resort functions of many central banks are being challenged. Accordingly, international arrangements for liquidity provision may become increasingly important in the future.
Book Synopsis Essays in International Money and Finance by : James R Lothian
Download or read book Essays in International Money and Finance written by James R Lothian and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2017-06-29 with total page 820 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The aim of the book is to make the author's scholarly research in the areas of international finance and monetary economics easily accessible to other researchers and students. The articles included in the book span a wide range. The topics include the behavior of the three key relations in international finance, purchasing power parity, interest rate parity and real interest rate equality, the relation between money and other key economic variables, financial globalization and the transmission of economic disturbances internationally.
Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis by : Laurent Ferrara
Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.
Book Synopsis Global Transmission of Interest Rates by : Jeffrey A. Frankel
Download or read book Global Transmission of Interest Rates written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hikes in U.S. interest rates in 1999-2000 have started to spill over to other economies' interest rates, which in many countries have risen to reflect the higher U.S. rates. Are countries with flexible exchange rates better able to isolate their domestic interest rates from this type of negative international shock? Less and less so, as economies become more integrated.
Book Synopsis Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy by : Michael B. Devereux
Download or read book Financial Globalization and Monetary Policy written by Michael B. Devereux and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-07 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What does financial globalization imply for the design of monetary policy? Does the case for price stability change in an environment of large cross country gross asset holdings?. This paper is concerned with the effects of monetary policy under endogenous international portfolio choice and incomplete markets. With endogenous portfolios, monetary policy takes on new importance due to its impact on the distribution of returns on nominal assets. Surprisingly, we find an even stronger case for price stability in this environment. Even without nominal rigidities, price stability has a welfare benefit by enhancing the risk sharing capacity of nominal bond returns.
Download or read book أخاديد في الذاكرة written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Puzzling Change in the International Transmission of U.S. Macroeconomics Policy Shocks by : Ethan Ilzetzki
Download or read book The Puzzling Change in the International Transmission of U.S. Macroeconomics Policy Shocks written by Ethan Ilzetzki and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Capital Flows by : Martin Feldstein
Download or read book International Capital Flows written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.
Book Synopsis Global Banks and International Shock Transmission by : Nicola Cetorelli
Download or read book Global Banks and International Shock Transmission written by Nicola Cetorelli and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global banks played a significant role in transmitting the 2007-09 financial crisis to emerging-market (EM) economies. The authors examine adverse liquidity shocks on main developed-country banking systems and their relationships to EM across Europe, Asia, and Latin Amer., isolating loan supply from loan demand effects. Loan supply in EM across Europe, Asia, and Latin Amer. was affected significantly through three separate channels: (1) a contraction in direct, cross-border lending by foreign banks; (2) a contraction in local lending by foreign banks¿ affiliates in EM; and (3) a contraction in loan supply by domestic banks, resulting from the funding shock to their balance sheets induced by the decline in interbank, cross-border lending. Charts and tables.
Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose
Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
Book Synopsis Bank Globalization and Monetary Policy Transmission in Small Open Economies by : Inhwan So
Download or read book Bank Globalization and Monetary Policy Transmission in Small Open Economies written by Inhwan So and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates how the openness of banking sector influences the transmission channels of home and foreign monetary policy shocks in small open economies. For the analysis, I construct a small open economy DSGE model enriched with a banking sector. I consider two forms of bank globalization: international bank capital finance and foreign loan account import. From the analysis, I find that bank globalization leads to a significant attenuation of domestic monetary policy transmission. On the other hand, opening of the banking sector intensifies the impact of foreign interest rate shocks on the local bank activities.
Book Synopsis International Dimensions of Monetary Policy by : Jordi Galí
Download or read book International Dimensions of Monetary Policy written by Jordi Galí and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-15 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.
