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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789150624359
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions and Firm Dynamics written by and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Paul R. Bergin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (879 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions and Firm Dynamics written by Paul R. Bergin and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Firm entry dynamics are an integral part of the propagation of financial shocks to the real economy. A VAR documents that adverse financial shocks in the U.S. postwar period are associated with a fall in new firm creation and a fall in firm equity values. We propose a DSGE model with endogenous firm entry and financial frictions that is able to explain these facts. The model is novel in giving firms a choice of financing up-front entry costs through a combination of debt as well as equity, so that financial shocks directly impact the financing of firm entry. The model is also novel in making use of the asset pricing implications of the firm entry condition to explain the equity price response to a financial shock. The model indicates that free entry of new firms limits the ability of incumbent firms to respond to negative financial shocks through endogenous capital restructuring. Also, allowing the number of firms to fall after an adverse financial shock is a useful margin of macroeconomic adjustment, reducing the overall impact of the shock on aggregate output. This is because the remaining firms become financially stronger and better able to withstand a financial shock.
Author : Sophia Chen
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484393740
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Financial Constraints, Intangible Assets, and Firm Dynamics written by Sophia Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I study whether firms' reliance on intangible assets is an important determinant of financing constraints. I construct new measures of firm-level physical and intangible assets using accounting information on U.S. public firms. I find that firms with a higher share of intangible assets in total assets start smaller, grow faster, and have higher Tobin’s q. Asset tangibility predicts firm dynamics and Tobin’s q up to 30 years but has diminishing predicative power. I develop a model of endogenous financial constraints in which firm size and value are limited by the enforceability of financial contracts. Asset tangibility matters because physical and intangible assets differ in their residual value when the contract is repudiated. This mechanism is qualitatively important to explain stylized facts of firm dynamics and Tobin’s q.
Author : Juan Carlos Ruiz-García
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions, Firm Dynamics and the Aggregate Economy written by Juan Carlos Ruiz-García and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Davide Maria Melcangi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (116 download)
Download or read book Essays on the Macroeconomics of Firm Dynamics and Financial Frictions written by Davide Maria Melcangi and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Dongchen Zhao
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)
Download or read book Essays on Firm Dynamics, Financial Frictions, and the Labor Market written by Dongchen Zhao and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of three chapters. The first chapter concerns the secular changes in the U.S. firm size distribution and firm dynamics. This chapter sets up a quantitative model of firm dynamics with debt heterogeneity to study the implications of changes in real interest rates for the firm size distribution and firm dynamics. It shows that the decline in long-term real interest rates since the early 1980s can account for a significant fraction of the shift in employment shares to large firms as well as the decline in firms per capita and firm entry rates experienced in the U.S. over the same period. In the model, firms endogenously choose financial intermediaries issuing debt with either earnings-based (EBC) or asset-based (ABC) borrowing constraints. The two types of constraints arise naturally from the imperfect enforceability of debt contracts and are in line with recent empirical findings. A decline in real interest rates benefits firms with EBC more because they are not constrained by their assets and can expand more due to increased earnings. Since firms with higher earnings optimally choose earnings-based lending, the decline in real interest rates shifts employment shares to larger firms. Moreover, the growth of large firms crowds out smaller firms and firm entry through general equilibrium effects. The paper tests the mechanism in cross-country data from the OECD and finds a stronger association between the decline in real interest rates and changes in firm dynamics, especially in countries with deeper credit markets. In the second chapter, I study the effects of government regulations on firm dynamism. The impact of government regulations on the economy is a central topic in policy debates. However, due to the endogeneity of regulations and challenges in measuring them, these debates remain contentious. This paper establishes the causal effects of government regulations on firm dynamism by employing a novel shift-share (Bartik) instrument in conjunction with the RegData dataset, which quantifies regulations based on the text of federal regulatory documents. The primary assumption for identification is that, for each sector, the exposure to regulations from different government agencies at the beginning of the period is exogenous to any confounding factors. The findings reveal that government regulatory restrictions significantly increase firm exit rates and discourage the formation of establishments, while having no substantial impact on firm entry. Furthermore, these restrictions contribute to reduced job creation, elevated job destruction, and diminished overall employment. These effects are consistently observed across various age groups. The results lend support to the idea that government regulations can raise production costs for firms and/or enhance the monopolistic power of certain companies. Both mechanisms can diminish the profits of affected firms, leading to increased firm exit rates and reduced labor demand. Additionally, the findings refute the interpretation of regulations as solely serving as entry barriers. The final chapter of the dissertation investigates the labor market outcomes for involuntary part-time workers and their subsequent effects on welfare levels. Through an analysis of survey data, I demonstrate that involuntary part-time workers exhibit reservation wages comparable to those of unemployed workers. This similarity largely stems from parallel wage offers and offer arrival rates. Contrary to previous research, this finding indicates that involuntary part-time workers experience welfare levels akin to unemployed workers. One possible explanation for this discrepancy lies in the methodology of prior studies. Conclusions drawn from earlier research, which primarily focused on the faster transition of involuntary part-time workers into full-time positions compared to other workers, may be flawed. This is because these workers also tend to revert to their previous job types at a faster rate. To further explore the implications of these discoveries, I employ a quantitative search model. The calibrated model supports the assertion that involuntary part-time workers experience welfare levels similar to those of unemployed workers. Furthermore, the model suggests that neither extending unemployment insurance to part-time workers nor enhancing the likelihood that unemployed workers transition to part-time positions would effectively increase the prevalence of full-time employment
Author : Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451962932
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Bankruptcy and Firm Dynamics written by Jose Daniel Rodríguez-Delgado and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-02-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial frictions have been documented as an important determinant of firm dynamics. In this paper I model bankruptcy procedures, liquidation in particular, as an institutional feature that affects both sides of financial transactions. I construct a model of firm dynamics that generate endogenous borrowing limits and I find that a) inefficient bankruptcy procedures can have quantitatively important aggregate effects, but more importantly; b) that such effects would not be directly visible in the firms that industrial censuses and surveys focus on. I conclude that to capture the effects of the legal framework we need to look beyond the existing firms.
Author : Huiyu Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Firm Dynamics, Financing and Aggregate Productivity written by Huiyu Li and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: (Chapter 1. Leverage and Productivity Financial frictions can reduce aggregate productivity) in particular when firms with high productivity cannot borrow against their earnings. This paper investigates the quantitative importance of this form of borrowing constraint using a large panel of firms in Japan. The firms are young and unlisted, precisely the firms for which credit frictions are expected to be the most severe. In this data, I find that firm leverage (asset-to-equity ratio) and firm output-to-capital ratios rise with firm productivity, both over time in a firm and across firms of the same age and cohort. I use these facts in indirect inference to estimate a standard general equilibrium model where financial frictions arise from the limited pledgeability of earnings and assets. In this model more financially constrained firms have higher output-to-capital ratios. The model matches the two facts the best when firms can pledge the equivalent of over half of their one-year-ahead earnings and one-fifth of their assets. Compared to the common assumption that firms can pledge only assets, aggregate productivity loss due to financing frictions is one-third smaller when earnings are also pledgeable to the degree seen in Japan. (Chapter 2. Income fluctuation problem) This paper studies the income fluctuation problem without imposing bounds on utility, assets, income or consumption. We prove that the Coleman operator is a contraction mapping over the natural class of candidate consumption policies when endowed with a metric that evaluates consumption differences in terms of marginal utility. We show that this metric is complete, and that the fixed point of the operator coincides with the unique optimal policy. As a consequence, even in this unbounded setting, policy function iteration always converges to the optimal policy at a geometric rate. (Chapter 3. Errorbounds) This paper derives explicit error bounds for numerical policies of $\eta$-concave stochastic dynamic programming problems, without assuming the optimal policy is interior. We demonstrate the usefulness of our error bound by using it to pinpoint the states at which the borrowing constraint binds in a widely used income fluctuation problem with standard calibrations and a firm production problem with financial constraints.
Author : Cristina Arellano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (429 download)
Download or read book Firm Dynamics and Financial Development written by Cristina Arellano and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the impact of cross-country variation in financial market development on firms' financing choices and growth rates using comprehensive firm-level datasets. We document that in less financially developed economies, small firms grow faster and have lower debt to asset ratios than large firms. We then develop a quantitative model where financial frictions drive firm growth and debt financing through the availability of credit and default risk. We parameterize the model to the firms' financial structure in the data and show that financial restrictions can account for the majority of the difference in growth rates between firms of different sizes across countries.
Author : Paul R. Bergin
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions and Trade Dynamics written by Paul R. Bergin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper demonstrates theoretically that a financial shock can have very persistent effects on international trade. Motivation is taken from the aftermath of the dramatic trade collapse in 2008-9, which despite a substantial recovery, has left a persistently slower growth rate in trade. We find conditions under which a transitory financial shock significantly reduces the investment by firms in entering the export market, and that this can have long-lasting effects on the range of goods exported and hence overall trade. Important to our mechanism are endogenous capital structure decisions by firms in response to the financial shock, and firm entry investment that requires traded goods. This mechanism provides an example of how firm dynamics can serve as a potent propagation mechanism, generating very long-lasting effects of transitory macroeconomic shocks.
Author : Matthias Kehrig
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions and Investment Dynamics in Multi-Plant Firms written by Matthias Kehrig and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using confidential Census data on U.S. manufacturing plants, we document that most of the dispersion in investment rates across plants occurs within firms instead of across firms. Between firm dispersion is almost acyclical, but within-firm dispersion is strongly procyclical. To investigate the role of firms in the allocation of capital in the economy, we build a multi-plant model of the firm with frictions at both levels of aggregation. We show that external financing constraints at the level of the firm can have important implications for plant-level investment dynamics. Finally, we present empirical evidence supporting the predictions of the model.
Author : David Laszlo Zeke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 213 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Essays on Financial Frictions and Aggregate Dynamics written by David Laszlo Zeke and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation studies the effects of firm debt and financing frictions on the macroeconomy. Chapter 1 investigates the role of changes in firms' idiosyncratic risk and their cost of default in driving changes in employment and credit spreads, both over the business cycle and in the cross-section. I use firm-level panel data and a structural model of financial frictions and volatility shocks to assess the effects of shocks to firm volatility and default costs. I find that volatility shocks alone can only generate modest declines in aggregate employment. However, simultaneous shocks to firm volatility and default costs can interact to generate large employment declines. Chapter 2, co-authored with Robert Kurtzman, investigates the role of changes in the allocation of labor and capital between firms in driving productivity dynamics. This chapter presents accounting decompositions of changes in aggregate labor and capital productivity. Our simplest decomposition breaks changes in an aggregate productivity ratio into two components: A mean component, which captures common changes to firm factor productivity ratios, and a dispersion component, which captures changes in the variance and higher order moments of their distribution. We demonstrate that in standard models of production with heterogeneous firms, our dispersion component reflects changes in distortions to the allocation of labor and capital between firms. We find, for public firms in the United States and Japan, that the dispersion component plays a minor role in productivity changes over the business cycle. Chapter 3, co-authored with Robert Kurtzman, investigates the role of debt overhang, an agency problem between firms' equity holders and creditors, in distorting firm growth and aggregate welfare. This chapter addresses this question through the lens of a general equilibrium model of firm dynamics and endogenous innovation in which debt overhang affects the firm innovation decision and subsequent firm growth. The estimated model implies that while the private gains to a firm from resolving debt overhang can be large if it faces sufficient default risk, the social gains to long-run productivity and output are relatively modest. The time-varying distribution of firm default risk suggests social gains may be greater during recessions.
Author : Lei Zhang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics and Firm Dynamics written by Lei Zhang and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation contains three essays at the interaction between macroeconomics and the financial market, with an emphasis on macroeconomic implications of heterogeneous firms under financial frictions. My dissertation explores the relationships among financial market friction, firms' entry and exit behaviors, and job reallocation over the business cycle. Chapter 1 examines the macroeconomic effects of financial leverage and firms' endogenous entry and exit on job reallocation over the business cycle. Financial leverage and the extensive margin are the keys to explain job reallocation at both the firm-level and the aggregate level. I build a general equilibrium industry dynamics model with endogenous entry and exit, a frictional labor market, and borrowing constraints. The model provides a novel theory that financially constrained firms adjust employment more often. I characterize an analytical solution to the wage bargaining problem between a leveraged firm and workers. Higher financial leverage allows constrained firms to bargain for lower wages, but also induces higher default risks. In the model, firms adopt (S,s) employment decision rules. Because the entry and exit firms are more likely to be borrowing constrained, a negative shock affects the inaction regions of the entry and exit firms more than that of the incumbents. In the simulated model, the extensive margin explains 36% of the job reallocation volatility, which is very close to the data and is quantitatively significant. Chapter 2 investigates firms' financial behaviors and size distributions over the business cycle. We propose a general equilibrium industry dynamics model of firms' capital structure and entry and exit behaviors. The financial market frictions capture both the age dependence and size dependence of firms' size distributions. When we add the aggregate shocks to the model, it can account for the business cycle patterns of firm dynamics: 1) entry is more procyclical than exit; 2) debt is procyclical, and equity issuance is countercyclical; and 3) the cyclicalities of debt and equity issuance are negatively correlated with firm size and age. Chapter 3 studies the equilibrium pricing of complex securities in segmented markets by risk-averse expert investors who are subject to asset-specific risk. Investor expertise varies, and the investment technology of investors with more expertise is subject to less asset-specific risk. Expert demand lowers equilibrium required returns, reducing participation, and leading to endogenously segmented markets. Amongst participants, portfolio decisions and realized returns determine the joint distribution of financial expertise and financial wealth. This distribution, along with participation, then determines market-level risk bearing capacity. We show that more complex assets deliver higher equilibrium returns to expert participants. Moreover, we explain why complex assets can have lower overall participation despite higher market-level alphas and Sharpe ratios. Finally, we show how complexity affects the size distribution of complex asset investors in a way that is consistent with the size distribution of hedge funds.
Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455209317
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions, Investment, and Institutions written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial frictions have been identified as key factors affecting economic fluctuations and growth. But, can institutional reforms reduce financial frictions? Based on a canonical investment model, we consider two potential channels: (i) financial transaction costs at the firm level; and (ii) required return at the country level. We empirically investigate the effects of institutions on these financial frictions using a panel of 75,000 firm-years across 48 countries for the period 1990 - 2007. We find that improved corporate governance (e.g., less informational problems) and enhanced contractual enforcement reduce financial frictions, while stronger creditor rights (e.g., lower collateral constraints) are less important.
Author : Saeed Shaker Akhtekhane
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (134 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions, Entry and Exit, and Aggregate Productivity Differences Across Countries written by Saeed Shaker Akhtekhane and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In these essays, I study cross-country differences in productivity caused by misallocation of resources. Particularly, I examine the misallocation created by financial frictions as well as that created by entry barriers. In the first chapter, "Financial Frictions and Productivity Losses: Importance of Default-Led Heterogeneity in Collateral and Loan Rates", I develop a model of entrepreneurship with default to quantitatively analyze the impact of financial frictions on total factor productivity (TFP). Default risk justifies the need for collateral. Entrepreneurs are charged higher loan rates if the value of their collateral is low, which favors the wealthy over the poor, regardless of their talent, and discourages poor individuals from self-financing to start or expand their businesses. The close link between deposit rates and loan rates, in most models, is broken. Consistent with empirical evidence, my model can generate a weak self-financing motive while allowing for a highly persistent individual productivity, a challenge for existing models of financial frictions. Financial frictions in my model stem from three different sources: limited enforceability related to the recovery rate of collateral by financial intermediaries; informational frictions related to inefficiencies in financial intermediaries' evaluation of entrepreneurs' default risks; and frictions related to entrepreneurs' expectations of future loan terms. I use machine learning classification techniques to solve the problem financial intermediaries face evaluating entrepreneurs' default risks. My analysis shows sizeable losses from financial frictions, more than 40% in TFP losses for the U.S. if we were to replace its financial markets with a poorly functioning one. Large TFP losses arise as there is amplification between the three sources of financial friction. Without default and heterogeneity in collateral and loan rates, my model would function similarly to a neo-classical model, and there would be a small impact of financial frictions with only a 7% loss in TFP. In the second chapter, "Impact of Entry Costs on Aggregate Productivity: Financial Development Matters", I revisit the question: what is the impact of entry costs on cross-country differences in output and total factor productivity (TFP)? I argue that for the countries with low levels of financial development, the answer is the conventional one in the literature, that higher entry costs cause misallocation of productive factors and lower TFP. However, for countries with reasonably high levels of financial development, the conventional answer does not hold. Motivated by observations on cross-country data, I propose a new theory on the impact of entry costs on TFP. In my mechanism, two competing forces affect TFP when entry cost changes: A wealth-based selection force and a productivity-based selection force. This results in TFP being a hump-shaped function of entry costs. That is, entry costs are not inherently bad for TFP if their target is to deter low productivity individuals from starting businesses. I develop an analytically tractable model of firm dynamics with entry barriers and financial frictions and derive the sufficient conditions for the impact of entry cost on TFP in both wealth- and productivity-based selection phases. In the third chapter, "Firm Entry and Exit in Continuous Time", I develop and analyze a model of firms' entry and exit in a continuous-time setting. I build my analysis based on Hopenhayn (1992) firm dynamics framework and use the continuous-time structure to solve the model. Solving the model in continuous time brings in many advantages, such as lower computational cost and the model's tractability. However, there are some challenges too. One of the major challenges is to have entry cost in the model, i.e., to obtain a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation that incorporates the entry cost. I use a form of exit cost as the future value of the entry cost to avoid this problem. To do so, I have to keep track of the firms' age distribution in addition to the distribution of the shocks, which makes my model richer than Hopenhayn's (1992). To solve for the joint stationary distribution of the firms, I introduce a simple process for aging and obtain the Kolmogorov forward equation using the age and shock processes. Another methodological contribution is to introduce a way to deal with the Kolmogorov equation in two states with discontinuity and combine them into one equation that governs the state of the economy. The results obtained in this chapter are in line with those reported in Hopenhayn (1992). However, the methods, tools, and the way of approaching the model differs depending on whether I solve the model in discrete or continuous time. The tools and procedures developed in this chapter can easily be extended to other optimal stopping time problems.
Author : Christian Gouriéroux
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019152509X
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)
Download or read book Simulation-based Econometric Methods written by Christian Gouriéroux and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 1997-01-09 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces a new generation of statistical econometrics. After linear models leading to analytical expressions for estimators, and non-linear models using numerical optimization algorithms, the availability of high- speed computing has enabled econometricians to consider econometric models without simple analytical expressions. The previous difficulties presented by the presence of integrals of large dimensions in the probability density functions or in the moments can be circumvented by a simulation-based approach. After a brief survey of classical parametric and semi-parametric non-linear estimation methods and a description of problems in which criterion functions contain integrals, the authors present a general form of the model where it is possible to simulate the observations. They then move to calibration problems and the simulated analogue of the method of moments, before considering simulated versions of maximum likelihood, pseudo-maximum likelihood, or non-linear least squares. The general principle of indirect inference is presented and is then applied to limited dependent variable models and to financial series.
Author : William Gbohoui
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149830088X
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book Financial Frictions and Stimulative Effects of Temporary Corporate Tax Cuts written by William Gbohoui and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-07 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses an industry equilibrium model where some firms are financially constrained to quantify the effects of a transitory corporate tax cut funded by a future tax increase on the U.S. economy. It finds that by increasing current cash-flows tax cuts alleviate financing frictions, hereby stimulating current investment. Per dollar of tax stimulus, aggregate investment increases by 26 cents on impact, and aggregate output by 3.5 cents. The average effect masks heterogeneity: multipliers are close to 1 for constrained firms, especially new entrants, and negative for larger and unconstrained firms. The output effects extend well past the period the policy is reversed, leading to a cumulative multiplier of 7.2 cents. Multipliers are significantly larger when controlling for the investment crowding-out effect among unconstrained firms.
