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Factor Returns In The Polish Equity Market
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Book Synopsis Factor Returns in the Polish Equity Market by : Adam Zaremba
Download or read book Factor Returns in the Polish Equity Market written by Adam Zaremba and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ability to indicate factors which best explains common variation in stock returns, is crucial to construction of a correct pricing model and forecasting equity returns. Taking into account long finance literature, firm characteristics such as market capitalization, book-to-market ration, the short-term history of past returns, or market turnover are important determinants of stock returns. This study seeks to identify factors important for forecasting changes in stock prices in Poland. The paper examines the relationships between common stock returns and four well-recognized factors: size, value, momentum and liquidity. First, we review existing literature in the field. Second, we investigate the relationship between fundamental factors and stock returns in the Polish market. We study also interactions between separate factors. We perform a long/short portfolio analysis based on all stocks listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2000 and 2012. We find that historically in Poland it was possible to build factor-based portfolios which outperformed the broad market. However, the Polish market seems too young to derive some significant statistical interference.
Book Synopsis Size, Value, and Momentum in Polish Equity Returns by : Adam Zaremba
Download or read book Size, Value, and Momentum in Polish Equity Returns written by Adam Zaremba and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, I test the performance of the CAPM, Fama-French three-factor and Carhart four-factor models on the Polish market. I use stock level data from April 2001 to January 2014. I find strong evidence for the value and momentum effects, but only weak evidence for the size premium. I form portfolios double-sorted on size and book-to-market ratios, as well as on size and momentum, and I try to explain their returns with the above-mentioned asset pricing models. The CAPM model is rejected and the three-factor and four-factor models perform well for the size and B/M sorted portfolios, but fail to explain the returns on the size and momentum sorted portfolios. With the exception of the momentum factor, the local Polish factors are not correlated with their European and global counterparts, suggesting market segmentation. Finally, the international value, size and momentum factors perform poorly in explaining cross-sectional variation in stock returns on the Polish market.
Book Synopsis An Application of Factor Pricing Models to the Polish Stock Market by : Adam Zaremba
Download or read book An Application of Factor Pricing Models to the Polish Stock Market written by Adam Zaremba and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We evaluate and compare the performance of four popular factor pricing models: the capital asset pricing model (Sharpe 1964), the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model, Carhart's (1997) four-factor model, and the five-factor model of Fama and French (2015). We aim to establish which of these models is most applicable in the Polish stock market. To do so, we employ a battery of tests -- cross-sectional regressions, examination of one-way and two-way sorted portfolios, tests of monotonic relationships, and factor redundancy tests -- and apply them to a sample of more than 1100 stocks for the years 2000-2018. The results indicate that the four-factor model outperforms the other models; it has the greatest explanatory power for cross-sectional returns and is therefore well-suited for asset pricing in Poland.
Book Synopsis Market, Macroeconomic, and Behavioural Factors in Emerging Markets by : Tomasz Schabek
Download or read book Market, Macroeconomic, and Behavioural Factors in Emerging Markets written by Tomasz Schabek and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We test a broad set of market, macroeconomic, and behavioural factors in the Polish stock market using local and US data. In time series regressions, employing general to specific modelling and principal component analysis, we find that both local and foreign aggregate indicators significantly predict the behaviour of a broad portfolio of Polish stocks. However, no common factor is able to explain the cross-section of expected returns in Poland. Only firm-specific characteristics, in particular, market/book value and momentum, show significance in the cross-sectional analysis. Our results are consistent with recent methodological critiques, suggesting that most candidate factors fail to explain the cross-section of expected returns when more stringent inference procedures are adopted.
Book Synopsis A Risk-Based Explanation of Return Patterns -- Evidence from the Polish Stock Market by : Antonina Waszczuk
Download or read book A Risk-Based Explanation of Return Patterns -- Evidence from the Polish Stock Market written by Antonina Waszczuk and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using both sorting and cross-sectional tests, this paper investigates the patterns in the average stock returns related to stock fundamentals, past return performance, idiosyncratic risk, and turnover in the Polish equity market for the period 2002-2011. To examine the persistence of the patterns, we apply the Monotonic Relation test of Patton and Timmermann (2010). The results favour the book-to-market ratio as a determinant of the cross-sectional variation of stock returns while momentum remains insignificant. The Fama and French (1993) three-factor model, which uses local size and value risk premiums adjusted for the skewed size distribution of the sample, captures most of the recognised anomalies. Further, we show that Polish domestic SMB and HML factors are not correlated with their U.S. and German counterparts.
Book Synopsis The Relationship between Economic Factors and Equity Markets in Central Europe by : Jan Hanousek
Download or read book The Relationship between Economic Factors and Equity Markets in Central Europe written by Jan Hanousek and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the possibility that newly-emerging equity markets in Central Europe exhibit semi-strong form efficiency such that no relationship exists between lagged values of changes in economic variables and changes in equity prices. We find that while there are connections between the real economy and equity market returns in Poland and Hungary, these links occur with lags, suggesting the possibility of profitable trading strategies based on public information and rejecting semi-strong efficiency. For the Czech Republic the situation is more complex. In recent periods, little connection exists between lagged economic variables and equity market returns. Although this finding might be viewed as consistent with semi-strong efficiency, in fact there is also little connection between current economic values and stock prices in the Czech Republic. Thus, instead of processing information efficiently, the Czech market appears to be entirely divorced from the real world. It is suggested that the difference in the current status of these markets may be due to the different methods by which they were created.
Book Synopsis Understanding the Polish Capital Market by : Marek Dietl
Download or read book Understanding the Polish Capital Market written by Marek Dietl and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-12-30 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first stock exchange in Warsaw – capital city of the Kingdom of Poland– was established in 1817. Over the past 205 years, the fortunes of the capital market have been closely linked to the "bumpy road" of Polish history. The establishment of the GPW Warsaw Stock Exchange in 1991 was a landmark for transformation from a centrally planned communist economy to a market-driven capitalist one. Since the doors of the exchange reopened, Polish GDP per capita (current USD) increased eight times, translating into an average yearly growth rate of over 7%. The capital market has played a pivotal role in the economic success of Poland over the last three decades. It is not easy to precisely quantify the impact, as it was rather a spill-over effect. Economic growth has fostered the development of a capital market, and more efficient conversion of savings to investments via the capital market. The excellence of capital market institutions can be gauged with reference to various parameters. A synthetic measure is so-called market status. According to FTSE Russell (global index provider), Polish capital attained developed market status in 2018, being the first and only post-communist state to do so. It is fair to say that transformation has been completed and developed market status indicates clearly that the institutions and regulations are world class. The current challenge is competing with other developed markets for the best issuers and offering the most demanding investors an excellent trading experience. This book offers scientific insight into the Polish capital market story. Authored by a group of renowned scholars, with contributions aspiring to the highest academic standards for theoretical considerations and empirical research. The book covers various topics, including links between monetary policy and capital markets, micro and macro market structures, and investors and issuers' behaviour and strategies. All chapters are rooted in contemporary finance theory, supported by various econometric models based on the most recently available data. The book aims to provide academics and practitioners insight into the Polish capital market, appealing especially to those interested in gaining a deeper understanding of emerging markets' successful transformation into developed ones. It can also be used as supplementary reading for doctoral and master’s students in finance, particularly relating to capital markets and economics – predominantly development economics and economic policy.
Book Synopsis The Influence of Macroeconomic Factors on Behaviour and Predictability of Stock Market Returns in East European Countries by : Magdalena Sokalska
Download or read book The Influence of Macroeconomic Factors on Behaviour and Predictability of Stock Market Returns in East European Countries written by Magdalena Sokalska and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective by : Vasant Naik
Download or read book Factor Investing and Asset Allocation: A Business Cycle Perspective written by Vasant Naik and published by CFA Institute Research Foundation. This book was released on 2016-12-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Profitability of Following Analyst Recommendations on the Polish Stock Market by : Adam Zaremba
Download or read book The Profitability of Following Analyst Recommendations on the Polish Stock Market written by Adam Zaremba and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The profitability of analysts' recommendations is documented in numerous studies from all over the world. However, the evidence from the Polish market is relatively modest. The primary aim of this study is to fill this gap. The paper contributes to the economic literature in four ways. First, it provides fresh out-of-sample evidence on return patterns following analysts' recommendations from Poland. Second, it examines the relations between these patterns and the size of the rated companies. Finally, it investigates whether it is possible to design profitable strategies based on the discovered patterns. We use monthly stock level data from Poland and the sample period is 2004-2013. In order to examine the profitability of analysts' reports, we build market-neutral portfolios and test their performance against CAPM, Fama-French three-factor and Carhart four-factor models.The principal findings can be summarized as follows. First, we document that the top rated companies deliver better returns than the bottom rated companies. Second, we find that the profitability is particularly impressive among the small companies. Third, the abnormal returns are partially explained by momentum and value based factors. Finally, we provide evidence that strategies based on information in recommendations deliver statistically significant positive abnormal rates of return.
Book Synopsis Applications of Mathematics in Economics by : Warren Page
Download or read book Applications of Mathematics in Economics written by Warren Page and published by MAA. This book was released on 2013 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shows instructors what mathematics is used at the undergraduate level in various parts of economics. Separate sections provide students with opportunities to apply their mathematics in relevant economics contexts. Brings together many different mathematics applications to such varied economics topics.
Book Synopsis Liquidity and the Polish Stock Market by : Pavol Ruzicka
Download or read book Liquidity and the Polish Stock Market written by Pavol Ruzicka and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Factor Investing by : Emmanuel Jurczenko
Download or read book Factor Investing written by Emmanuel Jurczenko and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2017-10-17 with total page 482 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This new edited volume consists of a collection of original articles written by leading industry experts in the area of factor investing.The chapters introduce readers to some of the latest research developments in the area of equity and alternative investment strategies.Each chapter deals with new methods for constructing and harvesting traditional and alternative risk premia, building strategic and tactical multifactor portfolios, and assessing related systematic investment performances. This volume will be of help to portfolio managers, asset owners and consultants, as well as academics and students who want to improve their knowledge and understanding of systematic risk factor investing. A practical scope An extensive coverage and up-to-date researcch contributions Covers the topic of factor investing strategies which are increasingly popular amongst practitioners
Book Synopsis International Capital Flows by : Martin Feldstein
Download or read book International Capital Flows written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.
Book Synopsis Advances in Longitudinal Data Methods in Applied Economic Research by : Nicholas Tsounis
Download or read book Advances in Longitudinal Data Methods in Applied Economic Research written by Nicholas Tsounis and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-03-31 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents new methods and applications in longitudinal data estimation methodology in applied economic. Featuring selected papers from the 2020 the International Conference on Applied Economics (ICOAE 2020) held virtually due to the corona virus pandemic, this book examines interdisciplinary topics such as financial economics, international economics, agricultural economics, marketing and management. Country specific case studies are also featured.
Book Synopsis International Portfolio Diversification in the Warsaw Stock Market During the Financial Crisis by : Lukasz Prorokowski
Download or read book International Portfolio Diversification in the Warsaw Stock Market During the Financial Crisis written by Lukasz Prorokowski and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates issues relating to international portfolio diversification from the perspective of the Polish stock market in the context of the financial crisis. Beginning with an outline of the functioning of the Polish stock market, the first contribution of the thesis is to consider the risks, benefits and opportunities in this market. Within this context, trading strategies are considered with an emphasis on the impact on risk reduction or return enhancement of initial public offerings. Second, the thesis provides a model which may be relevant for measuring trend durations in equity prices. A third element of the thesis considers the influence of spill-over effects (from the financial crisis) on equity investments in Poland, incorporating country and industry specific factors. Finally, the thesis considers financial crisis contagion and policies that may be relevant for practitioners.
Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung
Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.
