External Shocks, Policy Response and Economic Performance

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis External Shocks, Policy Response and Economic Performance by : J. Peter Neary

Download or read book External Shocks, Policy Response and Economic Performance written by J. Peter Neary and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Measuring the Effect of External Shocks and the Polic[y] Response to Them

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring the Effect of External Shocks and the Polic[y] Response to Them by : F. Desmond McCarthy

Download or read book Measuring the Effect of External Shocks and the Polic[y] Response to Them written by F. Desmond McCarthy and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1994 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can the governments in Eastern Europe and developing countries reduce their vulnerability to such shocks? What are the appropriate policy responses? Here is a method for measuring the effect of external shocks on the current account, applied to the Philippines.

The Balance of Payments Effects of External Shocks and of Policy Responses to These Shocks

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Author :
Publisher : Development Centre of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Balance of Payments Effects of External Shocks and of Policy Responses to These Shocks by : Bela Balassa

Download or read book The Balance of Payments Effects of External Shocks and of Policy Responses to These Shocks written by Bela Balassa and published by Development Centre of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. This book was released on 1981 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Transmission of External Shocks in Asia: Country Characteristics and Policy Responses

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513566113
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Transmission of External Shocks in Asia: Country Characteristics and Policy Responses by : Mr.Pragyan Deb

Download or read book The Transmission of External Shocks in Asia: Country Characteristics and Policy Responses written by Mr.Pragyan Deb and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-01-08 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian economies are increasingly integrated to the global economy through trade and financial linkages, exposing them to the international financial cycle. This paper explores how external shocks are transmitted to Asian economies and whether the use of policies, such as the monetary policy interest rate, foreign exchange intervention (FXI) and macroprudential measures (MPMs), can mitigate the impact of these external shocks. It uses panel quantile regressions on a sample of 14 Asian advanced and emerging economies (AEs and EMs) to assess the impact of financial and real shocks on investment and GDP growth at the median and 5th percentile tail. It finds that external financial shocks tend to have a larger effect on Asian economies than real shocks, and that the main transmission channels through which shocks are propagated are capital flows (particularly via corporate and bank balance sheets) for EMs, and credit for AEs. It also finds evidence that for Asian EMs, FXI may help dampen the capital flows and real exchange rate channels and mitigate financial shocks in the short run, and monetary policy transmission tends to be relatively weak; meanwhile MPMs can help mitigate the credit channel for both AEs and EMs.

External shocks, food security, and development

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Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis External shocks, food security, and development by : Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio

Download or read book External shocks, food security, and development written by Díaz-Bonilla, Eugenio and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2016-12-23 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We conduct an ex ante evaluation of the impacts of a potential global recession within the next years and the possible policy responses to support economic activity and improve social indicators in five Central American countries: Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua. We review the economic and social evolution of the past decades in those countries, and we consider a global scenario that includes further deceleration of world growth, lower commodity prices, and a decline in remittances and capital flows to those countries. We simulate those scenarios and related policy issues using recursive dynamic CGE models for the countries considered. The global shock is run under fixed exchange rates and flexible exchange rates (in the case of El Salvador, which has adopted the US dollar as the domestic currency, the simulation of a flexible exchange rate is just indicative). In all cases, a flexible exchange rate delivers better results in terms of GDP per capita, by softening the overall economic impact of the external shocks. Two possible interventions to deal with the recession are simulated: one focuses on policies to strengthen the safety net for the poor; the other applies a more general macroeconomic stimulus (a tax cut plus a modest increase in public investments, financed by un-conventional monetary policy) to try to cushion the shock. For all countries except El Salvador, these two simulations are run with a flexible exchange rate. In the first policy simulation GDP per capita in those countries does not change much, but the poor groups targeted clearly improve their incomes and consumption, helping them the most during the years of the negative shocks. In the second simulation, the macroeconomic stimulus improves the performance of the economies, allowing GDP per capita to be higher than in the case of the shock alone. In summary, facing a potential global downturn as the one simulated here, those countries that have flexible exchange rates and the use of domestic monetary policies can use a mix of adjustment in exchange rates combined with targeted poverty transfers and macroeconomic stimulus to alleviate the shock. El Salvador, which does not have the exchange rate and monetary instruments, will require further support from multilateral and bilateral sources to soften the shock

Are External Shocks Responsible for the Instability of Output in Low Income Countries?

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Are External Shocks Responsible for the Instability of Output in Low Income Countries? by : Claudio E. Raddatz

Download or read book Are External Shocks Responsible for the Instability of Output in Low Income Countries? written by Claudio E. Raddatz and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: External shocks, such as commodity price fluctuations, natural disasters, and the role of the international economy, are often blamed for the poor economic performance of low-income countries. The author quantifies the impact of these different external shocks using a panel vector autoregression (VAR) approach and compares their relative contributions to output volatility in low-income countries vis-à-vis internal factors. He finds that external shocks can only explain a small fraction of the output variance of a typical low-income country. Internal factors are the main source of fluctuations. From a quantitative perspective, the output effect of external shocks is typically small in absolute terms, but significant relative to the historic performance of these countries.

Economic Comovement and Its Mechanisms

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (383 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Comovement and Its Mechanisms by : Martin K. Zhu

Download or read book Economic Comovement and Its Mechanisms written by Martin K. Zhu and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475528515
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris

Download or read book Exogenous Shocks and Growth Crises in Low-Income Countries written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new index which provides early warning signals of a growth crisis in the event of large external shocks in low-income countries. Multivariate regression analysis and a univariate signaling approach are used to map information from a parsimonious set of underlying policy, structural, and institutional indicators into a composite vulnerability index. The results show that vulnerabilities to a growth crisis in low-income countries declined significantly from their peaks in the early 1990s, but have risen in recent years as fiscal policy buffers were expended in the wake of the global financial crisis.

The Impact of External Shocks on Economic Performance and Policy Responses in Zimbabwe

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of External Shocks on Economic Performance and Policy Responses in Zimbabwe by : Smart Manda

Download or read book The Impact of External Shocks on Economic Performance and Policy Responses in Zimbabwe written by Smart Manda and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

New Directions in the World Economy

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349105880
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (491 download)

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Book Synopsis New Directions in the World Economy by : Bela Balassa

Download or read book New Directions in the World Economy written by Bela Balassa and published by Springer. This book was released on 1989-06-18 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An attempt to assist policy-makers in developing countries to cope with the challenges they face during the rest of the century and beyond. For this purpose it provides information on the experience of developing, developed and socialist countries.

Energy Shocks and the World Economy

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Publisher : Praeger
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Shocks and the World Economy by : Hui-Liang Tsai

Download or read book Energy Shocks and the World Economy written by Hui-Liang Tsai and published by Praeger. This book was released on 1989-09-25 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The second of two works resulting from the author's extensive study of energy and the world economy, this book examines the international macroeconomic aspects of energy adjustment. Specifically, the author analyzes the ways in which economies adjust to external shocks, particularly the oil price shock and other energy market changes of the 1970s and early 1980s. He seeks to put the recessions experienced by industrial countries during the last decade in historical and analytical perspective, arguing that with the increasing openness of the world economy, the effects of the domestic policies of the industrial economies are increasingly relevant to the economic prospects of developing countries. He argues further that the apparent problems of the global economy during the post-1973 era--stagnant growth, inflation, the international debt crisis, and rising protectionism--are in part the result of a deterioration in the economic performance of industrial countries. The author begins by examining the effects of energy supply disturbances on the world economy. Subsequent chapters explore such issues as challenges to economic stabilization policy; the impact of external shocks on the economies of less developed countries, especially with regard to inflation and balance of payments problems; the relationship between world payment imbalances and recycling problems; and the link between energy markets and the international debt crisis. Finally, the author provides a theoretical framework for the international adjustment to energy shocks, focusing on flexible exchange-rate policy responses to exogenous shocks in the 1970s and the contribution of exchange rate misalignment to the international debt crisis of the 1980s.

The Great Inflation

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226066959
Total Pages : 545 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Inflation by : Michael D. Bordo

Download or read book The Great Inflation written by Michael D. Bordo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2013-06-28 with total page 545 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Controlling inflation is among the most important objectives of economic policy. By maintaining price stability, policy makers are able to reduce uncertainty, improve price-monitoring mechanisms, and facilitate more efficient planning and allocation of resources, thereby raising productivity. This volume focuses on understanding the causes of the Great Inflation of the 1970s and ’80s, which saw rising inflation in many nations, and which propelled interest rates across the developing world into the double digits. In the decades since, the immediate cause of the period’s rise in inflation has been the subject of considerable debate. Among the areas of contention are the role of monetary policy in driving inflation and the implications this had both for policy design and for evaluating the performance of those who set the policy. Here, contributors map monetary policy from the 1960s to the present, shedding light on the ways in which the lessons of the Great Inflation were absorbed and applied to today’s global and increasingly complex economic environment.

External Shocks and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the Philippines and Thailand

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (223 download)

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Book Synopsis External Shocks and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the Philippines and Thailand by : Soonthorn Chaiyindeepum

Download or read book External Shocks and Macroeconomic Adjustments in the Philippines and Thailand written by Soonthorn Chaiyindeepum and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Adjustment to External Shocks in Socialist and Private Market Economies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Adjustment to External Shocks in Socialist and Private Market Economies by : Bela Balassa

Download or read book Adjustment to External Shocks in Socialist and Private Market Economies written by Bela Balassa and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Output Drops and the Shocks That Matter

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Output Drops and the Shocks That Matter by : Torbjörn Becker

Download or read book Output Drops and the Shocks That Matter written by Torbjörn Becker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-07 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Output drops are usually associated with major disruption for the residents of affected countries, both directly and often through ensuing, prolonged growth slowdowns. Using a century of data, we document that output drops are more frequent in countries at a lower stage of economic development. We then turn to a more in-depth analysis of the post-1970 era, examining output drops in a large panel of countries, and systematically relating them to a variety of shocks. We compute the expected cost of each type of shock as a function of the shock's frequency, the likelihood that the shock will be associated with a drop in output, and the size of the output drop. The largest costs are associated with external financial shocks (notably, sudden stops in financial flows) for emerging markets, and with real external shocks (in particular, terms-of-trade shocks) for developing countries.

The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inequality

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475568355
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inequality by : Davide Furceri

Download or read book The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inequality written by Davide Furceri and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-18 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence of the effect of monetary policy shocks on income inequality. Using a measure of unanticipated changes in policy rates for a panel of 32 advanced and emerging market countries over the period 1990-2013, the paper finds that contractionary (expansionary) monetary actions increase (reduce) income inequality. The effect, however, varies over time, depending on the type of the shocks (tightening versus expansionary monetary policy) and the state of the business cycle, and across countries depending on the share of labor income and redistribution policies. In particular, we find that the effect is larger for positive monetary policy shocks, especially during expansions. Looking across countries, we find that the effect is larger in countries with higher labor share of income and smaller redistribution policies. Finally, while an unexpected increase in policy rates increases inequality, changes in policy rates driven by an increase in growth are associated with lower inequality.

The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484361555
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment by : Mr.Abdul Abiad

Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Investment written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-05-04 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides new evidence of the macroeconomic effects of public investment in advanced economies. Using public investment forecast errors to identify the causal effect of government investment in a sample of 17 OECD economies since 1985 and model simulations, the paper finds that increased public investment raises output, both in the short term and in the long term, crowds in private investment, and reduces unemployment. Several factors shape the macroeconomic effects of public investment. When there is economic slack and monetary accommodation, demand effects are stronger, and the public-debt-to-GDP ratio may actually decline. Public investment is also more effective in boosting output in countries with higher public investment efficiency and when it is financed by issuing debt.