Explicit Air-Sea Momentum Exchange in Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Modeling of Tropical Cyclones

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Explicit Air-Sea Momentum Exchange in Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Modeling of Tropical Cyclones by : Milan Curcic

Download or read book Explicit Air-Sea Momentum Exchange in Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Modeling of Tropical Cyclones written by Milan Curcic and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Atmosphere and ocean are coupled through momentum, enthalpy, and mass fluxes on all spatial and temporal scales. Accurate representation of these fluxes in numerical models is essential for prediction of global weather and climate systems. Current physical parameterizations of the surface fluxes were developed based on observations in low-to-moderate wind speeds. They are not suited for high wind conditions, especially in extreme weather conditions such as tropical cyclones (TC) and mid-latitude winter storms. In high winds, ocean surface waves control most of the air-sea momentum transfer. While there has been some progress in representation of atmosphere-wave-ocean momentum exchange in coupled models, explicit and conservative air-sea momentum exchange has not been accomplished to date. In this study, we have developed an explicit air-sea momentum exchange through surface waves, namely the Unified Wave INterface (UWIN) for coupled models, which is physically based and computationally efficient. UWIN has been implemented and tested in a fully coupled atmosphere- wave-ocean model (UWIN-CM). The goal of this study is to better understand air-sea momentum exchange in high winds and its impact on TC prediction using UWIN-CM and observations. To address the complexity of the fully-coupled physical processes, we conducted UWIN-CM simulations of five TCs with a wide range of storm intensity over the Atlantic and Pacific basins, including Ike (2008), Earl (2010), Fanapi (2010), Isaac (2012), and Sandy (2012). A set of uncoupled and coupled numerical experiments is done for each TC case to investigate the impacts of explicit wave-based momentum exchange on the TC track, intensity, wind speed structure, and ocean feedback processes. Model results are evaluated using a comprehensive set of atmospheric and oceanic measurements from the Impact of Typhoons on the Ocean in the Pacific (ITOP) and the Grand Lagrangian Deployment (GLAD) field campaigns. Surface waves in TCs vary with storm size and intensity, storm-relative asymmetry, and between deep and shallow water. UWIN-CM produces the observed wind, wave, and upper-ocean structures in most cases. Based on wind speed measurements from 32 flights in Ike, Earl, Fanapi, and Isaac, we find that coupling with waves improves the prediction of storm size and asymmetry compared to drag coefficient-based coupling and uncoupled modeling. One of the most important capabilities of UWIN is its treatment of the air-sea momentum exchange through surface waves, which allows the wind-wave and wave-current stresses to be computed explicitly through wave growth and dissipation tendencies in the wave energy balance equation. The ocean surface currents are largely driven by dissipation of steep waves and to a lesser extent by surface wind. The largest difference between atmospheric and oceanic stress is found on the left-hand side of the storm due to complex wind-wave interactions. Waves that propagate against wind increase atmospheric stress while dissipating energy. The ratio between the oceanic and atmospheric stress is typically between 0.85 and 1 depending on the wave state. Wave momentum budget calculations indicate that approximately 10% of wave momentum leaks from the storm into the environment. Explicit stress treatment affects the amount of momentum delivered to subsurface currents, impacting upper-ocean mixing and sea surface temeperature response. Forcing the ocean with atmospheric stress leads to an overprediction of surface temperature cooling in the wake of the storm by up to 1 degree C. Through ocean feedback processes, TC winds and subsequent evolution of the storm are impacted. Besides governing the atmospheric and oceanic stress, waves also induce mass transport in the direction of their propagation. The velocity associated with this transport, Stokes drift, is strongly sheared near the surface and interacts with subsurface Eulerian circulation. Based on UWIN-CM simulation and Lagrangian velocity estimates from nearly 200 surface drifters deployed in the path of Hurricane Isaac (2012), we find that Stokes drift contributes up to 20% of material surface transport. It induces structured, basin-scale pattern of surface trajectories that are cyclonic on the left-hand side of the storm and anti-cyclonic on the right-hand side. Waves significantly enhance cross-track and shoreward transport within the storm, and to a lesser extent, relative dispersion of surface material.

Air-sea Momentum Flux in a Coupled Ocean-wave Model and Its Impact on the Ocean Response to a Hurricane

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (891 download)

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Book Synopsis Air-sea Momentum Flux in a Coupled Ocean-wave Model and Its Impact on the Ocean Response to a Hurricane by : Colin J. Hughes

Download or read book Air-sea Momentum Flux in a Coupled Ocean-wave Model and Its Impact on the Ocean Response to a Hurricane written by Colin J. Hughes and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Interaction of Ocean Waves and Wind

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521465400
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (214 download)

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Book Synopsis The Interaction of Ocean Waves and Wind by : Peter Janssen

Download or read book The Interaction of Ocean Waves and Wind written by Peter Janssen and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-10-28 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book was published in 2004. The Interaction of Ocean Waves and Wind describes in detail the two-way interaction between wind and ocean waves and shows how ocean waves affect weather forecasting on timescales of 5 to 90 days. Winds generate ocean waves, but at the same time airflow is modified due to the loss of energy and momentum to the waves; thus, momentum loss from the atmosphere to the ocean depends on the state of the waves. This volume discusses ocean wave evolution according to the energy balance equation. An extensive overview of nonlinear transfer is given, and as a by-product the role of four-wave interactions in the generation of extreme events, such as freak waves, is discussed. Effects on ocean circulation are described. Coupled ocean-wave, atmosphere modelling gives improved weather and wave forecasts. This volume will interest ocean wave modellers, physicists and applied mathematicians, and engineers interested in shipping and coastal protection.

Environmental and Internal Controls of Tropical Cyclones Intensity Change

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (668 download)

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Book Synopsis Environmental and Internal Controls of Tropical Cyclones Intensity Change by : Melicie Desflots

Download or read book Environmental and Internal Controls of Tropical Cyclones Intensity Change written by Melicie Desflots and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change is governed by internal dynamics (e.g. eyewall contraction, eyewall replacement cycles, interactions of the inner-core with the rainbands) and environmental conditions (e.g. vertical wind shear, moisture distribution, and surface properties). This study aims to gain a better understanding of the physical mechanisms responsible for TC intensity changes with a particular focus to those related to the vertical wind shear and surface properties by using high resolution, full physics numerical simulations. First, the effects of the vertical wind shear on a rapidly intensifying storm and its subsequent weakening are examined. Second, a fully coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean model with a sea spray parameterization is used to study the impact of sea spray on the hurricane boundary layer. The coupled model consists of three components: the high resolution, non-hydrostatic, fifth generation Pennsylvania State University-NCAR mesoscale model (MM5), the NOAA/NCEPWAVEWATCH III (WW3) ocean surface wave model, and theWHOI threedimensional upper ocean circulation model (3DPWP). Sea spray parameterizations were developed at NOAA/ESRL and modified by the author to be introduced in uncoupled and coupled simulations. The model simulations are conducted in both uncoupled and coupled modes to isolate various physical processes influencing TC intensity. The very high-resolutionMM5 simulation of Hurricane Lili (at 0.5 km grid resolution) showed a rapid intensification associated with a contracting eyewall. Changes in both the magnitude and the direction of the vertical wind shear associated with an approaching upper-tropospheric trough were responsible for the weakening of the storm before landfall. Hurricane Lili weakened in a 5-10 m/s vertical wind shear environment. The simulated storm experienced wind shear direction normal to the storm motion, which produced a strong wavenumber one rainfall asymmetry in the downshear-left quadrant of the storm. The rainfall asymmetry was confirmed by various observations from the TRMM satellite and the WSR-88D ground radar in the coastal region. The increasing vertical wind shear induced a vertical tilt of the vortex with a time lag of about 5-6 hours after the wavenumber one rainfall asymmetry was first observed in the model simulation. Other key factors controlling intensity and intensity change in tropical cyclones are the air-sea fluxes. Accurate measurement and parameterization of air-sea fluxes under hurricane conditions are challenging. Although recent studies have shown that the momentum exchange coefficient levels off at high wind speed, little is known about the high wind behavior of the exchange coefficient for enthalpy flux. One of the largest uncertainties is the potential impact of sea spray. The current sea spray parameterizations are closely tied to wind speed and tend to overestimate the mediated heat fluxes by sea spray in the hurricane boundary layer. The sea spray generation depends not only on the wind speed but also on the variable wave state. A new spray parameterization based on the surface wave energy dissipation is introduced in the coupled model. In the coupled simulations, the wave energy dissipation is used to quantify the amount of wave breaking related to the generation of sea spray. The spray parameterization coupled to the waves may be an improvement compared to sea spray parameterizations that depends on wind speed only.

Atmosphere-ocean Interactions

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Publisher : WIT Press
ISBN 13 : 1853129291
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (531 download)

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Book Synopsis Atmosphere-ocean Interactions by : William Allan Perrie

Download or read book Atmosphere-ocean Interactions written by William Allan Perrie and published by WIT Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increase in levels of population and human development in coastal areas has led to a greater importance of understanding atmosphere-ocean interactions. This second volume on atmosphere-ocean interactions aims to present several of the key mechanisms that are important for the development of marine storms.

Bottom-Up Determination of Air-Sea Momentum Exchange Under a Major Tropical Cyclone

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 5 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Bottom-Up Determination of Air-Sea Momentum Exchange Under a Major Tropical Cyclone by :

Download or read book Bottom-Up Determination of Air-Sea Momentum Exchange Under a Major Tropical Cyclone written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As a result of increasing frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones, an accurate forecasting of cyclone evolution and ocean response is becoming even more important to reduce threats to lives and property in coastal regions. To improve predictions, accurate evaluation of the air-sea momentum exchange is required. Using current observations recorded during a major tropical cyclone, we have estimated this momentum transfer from the ocean side of the air-sea interface, and we discuss it in terms of the drag coefficient. For winds between 20 and 48 meters per second, this coefficient initially increases and peaks at winds of about 32 meters per second before decreasing.

Ocean Engineering Science

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Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780674017399
Total Pages : 1340 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (173 download)

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Book Synopsis Ocean Engineering Science by : Bernard Le Méhauté

Download or read book Ocean Engineering Science written by Bernard Le Méhauté and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2005-06-28 with total page 1340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Understanding the Effect of Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling on Tropical Cyclone Structure

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding the Effect of Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling on Tropical Cyclone Structure by : Chia-Ying Lee

Download or read book Understanding the Effect of Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling on Tropical Cyclone Structure written by Chia-Ying Lee and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is well-recognized that tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is strongly modulated by air-sea interactions. However, how and to what extent air-sea interactions affect TC structure remains an open question. The overall goal of this study is to better understand the physical processes of the atmosphere-wave-ocean couplings and their impact on TC structure. Because the boundary layer connects the air-sea interface to TC convection, it is also important to understand how the couplings modulate boundary layer structure. In this study, coupled atmosphere-(wave)-ocean models and observations from two field programs are used in this study: Coupled Boundary Air-Sea Transfer (CBLAST, 2003-04), and Impact of Typhoons on the Ocean in the Pacific (ITOP, 2010). High-resolution numerical experiments with and without ocean and/or wave couplings are conducted for Hurricane Frances (2004), Typhoon Choiwan (2009), and Typhoon Fanapi (2010). Results show that both ocean- and wave-couplings cause significant changes in TC and TC boundary layer structures. In particular, a stable boundary layer forms over the storm-induced cold wake. Tracer and trajectory analyses in a coupled-model simulation suggest that the stable boundary layer thermodynamically suppresses convection in and downstream of the cold wake, and dynamically causes the surface wind to turn further inward. The stabilized air tends to stay in the boundary layer longer and penetrate further into the eyewall. This stabilized air then brings extra energy into the eyewall due to enhanced fluxes downstream of the cold wake. The boundary layer in a TC has been seen as a passive layer that is driven by both the TC vortex above and by the ocean underneath. This study shows that the boundary layer, when in the presence of the storm-induced cold wake, can actively influence TC structure through the formation of an internal stable boundary layer. Although the stable boundary layer is a consequence of the TC-induced cold wake that has a negative impact on TC intensity, it appears counter-intuitive that the stable boundary layer has a positive impact on TC intensity via this separate mechanism. In summary, we find that atmosphere-wave-ocean coupling affects boundary layer structure and the physical properties of the near-surface air flow in TCs, which in turn changes the convective organization and eventually affects TC structure, energetics and intensity. This indicates that atmosphere-wave-ocean coupling affects TC structure via complex physical processes. Hence it is difficult to parameterize the atmosphere-wave-ocean coupling processes in TCs without a fully coupled model.

Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139462520
Total Pages : 9 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters by : Leo H. Holthuijsen

Download or read book Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters written by Leo H. Holthuijsen and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-04 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Waves in Oceanic and Coastal Waters describes the observation, analysis and prediction of wind-generated waves in the open ocean, in shelf seas, and in coastal regions with islands, channels, tidal flats and inlets, estuaries, fjords and lagoons. Most of this richly illustrated book is devoted to the physical aspects of waves. After introducing observation techniques for waves, both at sea and from space, the book defines the parameters that characterise waves. Using basic statistical and physical concepts, the author discusses the prediction of waves in oceanic and coastal waters, first in terms of generalised observations, and then in terms of the more theoretical framework of the spectral energy balance. He gives the results of established theories and also the direction in which research is developing. The book ends with a description of SWAN (Simulating Waves Nearshore), the preferred computer model of the engineering community for predicting waves in coastal waters.

An Examination of Tropical Cyclone Dynamics Utilizing the 3-Way Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (656 download)

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Book Synopsis An Examination of Tropical Cyclone Dynamics Utilizing the 3-Way Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model by :

Download or read book An Examination of Tropical Cyclone Dynamics Utilizing the 3-Way Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tropical Cyclones are fundamentally connected to the environment in which they exist. Currently most numerical models do not represent the interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, and wave environments. These environments are drastically modified by the existence of the tropical cyclone and therefore drastically modify the tropical cyclone as a continuous feedback mechanism. As a result, improvement of solutions provided by the individual numerical models representing the atmosphere, ocean, and waves is sought through coupling these models together. In the first chapter, the dynamic feedback mechanisms are explored in depth through literature review of previous studies into the reaction of the ocean to tropical cyclones. Several analytical and numerical studies are researched in order to provide sufficient background into the problem, provide motivation into developing a coupled numerical model, and provide a base from which hypotheses for experimentation may be drawn. In the second chapter, experiments will be based off of an atmospheric model tied to a simple 1-dimensional ocean model. Three different experiments are carried out, with the sea surface condition as the only variable between them. By including this simple configuration allowing ocean feedback, hypotheses regarding track, intensity, and sea surface temperature changes will tested. In the third chapter, the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) model is introduced. An idealized tropical cyclone is placed into the model domain and the COAWST model is tested. Three experiments of increasing complexity are used in testing the coupling scheme and examining the dynamical differences in the modeled solution. The idealized tropical cyclone is used to test several hypotheses based on modeled track, intensity, size, sea surface temperature change, and significant wave height. The COAWST model performs as expected and the initial proof of concept is successful. In the fourth chapter, the C.

The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1935704133
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (357 download)

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Book Synopsis The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models by : Kerry Emanuel

Download or read book The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models written by Kerry Emanuel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-03-30 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents descriptions of numerical models for testing cumulus in cloud fields. It is divided into six parts. Part I provides an overview of the problem, including descriptions of cumulus clouds and the effects of ensembles of cumulus clouds on mass, momentum, and vorticity distributions. A review of closure assumptions is also provided. A review of "classical" convection schemes in widespread use is provided in Part II. The special problems associated with the representation of convection in mesoscale models are discussed in Part III, along with descriptions of some of the commonly used mesoscale schemes. Part IV covers some of the problems associated with the representation of convection in climate models, while the parameterization of slantwise convection is the subject of Part V.

Surface Gravity Wave Modeling in Tropical Cyclones

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)

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Book Synopsis Surface Gravity Wave Modeling in Tropical Cyclones by : Yalin Fan

Download or read book Surface Gravity Wave Modeling in Tropical Cyclones written by Yalin Fan and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tropical cyclones are among the deadliest geophysical phenomena on earth. Tropical cyclone-generated wave fields are of interest both scientifically for understanding wind,Äìwave-ocean interaction physics and operationally for predicting potentially hazardous conditions for ship navigation and coastal regions. This chapter briefly reviews the development of third generation wave models, the improvements of their input/dissipation source functions, and their applications in tropical cyclone generated surface wave predictions. Discussion on the status of coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean modeling in tropical cyclone predictions are given at the end of the chapter prompted by the growing scientific evidence on the importance of sea state on air-sea fluxes under extreme wind conditions.

Tropical Cyclones

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1935704281
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (357 download)

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Book Synopsis Tropical Cyclones by : Richard Anthes

Download or read book Tropical Cyclones written by Richard Anthes and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-29 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tropical Cyclones and hurricanes, long feared for the death and destruction that often accompanies them, are among the most fascinating of atmospheric phenomena. Created by thermodynamic processes, they unleash vast amounts of energy and influence a wide variety of natural processes along their paths. Richard Anthes tells the story of tropical cyclones creation and destruction, of meteorology's successes in understanding, modeling and predicting their behavior, and of the attempts to modify them. The book begins with a lively introduction to hurricanes, their awesome power, and their effects on individuals and societies in the past and present. The characteristics of the mature hurricane are revealed by consideration of rawinsonde, aircraft and satellite data. The physical processes responsible for the development and maintenance of tropical cyclones are treated comprehensively, and illustrated with both qualitative and quantitative examples. The role of the planetary boundary layer, cumulus convection and radiation are all discussed in detail. Progress in numerical simulation of tropical cyclones is carefully reviewed. Modern, three-dimensional models succeed in simulating observed features such as the eye and spiral rain bands and in predicting storm motion over time intervals of three days. Current capabilities to predict and modify hurricanes and tropical cyclones are fully examined. The methods and difficulties of operational forecasting, the economic aspects of storm predictions, and the trends in accuracy of offical forecasts are all considered. The potential benefits and scientific problems associated with hurricane modification are discussed as part of a review of experimental and theoretical results on the consquences of seeding hurricane clouds. A unique feature of the book is a thorough treatment of the interactions between storm and ocean, with both observations and thery being integrated to provide a complete description.

The Development of a High-resolution Coupled Atmosphere-ocean Model and Applications Toward Understanding the Limiting Factors for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 135 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (769 download)

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Book Synopsis The Development of a High-resolution Coupled Atmosphere-ocean Model and Applications Toward Understanding the Limiting Factors for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction by : Henry R. Winterbottom

Download or read book The Development of a High-resolution Coupled Atmosphere-ocean Model and Applications Toward Understanding the Limiting Factors for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Prediction written by Henry R. Winterbottom and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Suggestions for additions to the coupled atmosphere-ocean model include a wave-model (WAVEWATCH3), the assimilation of troposphere thermodynamic observations, and modifications to the existing atmospheric boundary-layer parametrization. The current suite of atmosphere model parametrizations do not accurately simulate the observed azimuthal and radial variations for the exchange coefficients (e.g., drag and enthalpy) that have been indicated as potential predictor variables for TC intensity modulation. However, these modifications should be implemented only after the limitations for the current coupled-model and TC vortex initialization methods are fully evaluated.

Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate Dynamics

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0080954561
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate Dynamics by : John Marshall

Download or read book Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate Dynamics written by John Marshall and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 1978-11-16 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate students in atmospheric, oceanic, and climate science, Atmosphere, Ocean and Climate Dynamics is an introductory textbook on the circulations of the atmosphere and ocean and their interaction, with an emphasis on global scales. It will give students a good grasp of what the atmosphere and oceans look like on the large-scale and why they look that way. The role of the oceans in climate and paleoclimate is also discussed. The combination of observations, theory and accompanying illustrative laboratory experiments sets this text apart by making it accessible to students with no prior training in meteorology or oceanography. * Written at a mathematical level that is appealing for undergraduates and beginning graduate students * Provides a useful educational tool through a combination of observations and laboratory demonstrations which can be viewed over the web * Contains instructions on how to reproduce the simple but informative laboratory experiments * Includes copious problems (with sample answers) to help students learn the material.

Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642418015
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model by : Tianjun Zhou

Download or read book Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model written by Tianjun Zhou and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-19 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Coupled climate system models are of central importance for climate studies. A new model known as FGOALS ( the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model), has been developed by the Sate Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences (LASG/IAP, CAS), a first-tier national geophysical laboratory. It serves as a powerful tool, both for deepening our understanding of fundamental mechanisms of the climate system and for making decadal prediction and scenario projections of future climate change. "Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model: A Modeling Tool for the Climate Change Research Community” is the first book to offer systematic evaluations of this model’s performance. It is comprehensive in scope, covering both developmental and application-oriented aspects of this climate system model. It also provides an outlook of future development of FGOALS and offers an overview of how to employ the model. It represents a valuable reference work for researchers and professionals working within the related areas of climate variability and change. Prof. Tianjun Zhou, Yongqiang Yu, Yimin Liu and Bin Wang work at LASG, the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China.

Next Generation Earth System Prediction

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309388805
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Next Generation Earth System Prediction by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Next Generation Earth System Prediction written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2016-08-22 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nation's S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times.