Assessing Competitiveness and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Competitiveness and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Low-Income Countries by : Gabriel Di Bella

Download or read book Assessing Competitiveness and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Low-Income Countries written by Gabriel Di Bella and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-08 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assessing a country's competitiveness routinely starts with an analysis of the real exchange rate. However, in low-income countries, empirical analysis of the real exchange rate is often subject to important limitations that seriously weaken the results. This paper summarizes the methodologies used to assess real exchange rate misalignments and discusses the range of obstacles common to low-income countries. Recognizing the importance of using a wide range of indicators for assessing competitiveness in low-income countries, the paper discusses alternative competitive measures and then proposes a template of indicators to allow for a systematic assessment of competitiveness in low-income countries. The template is then used to rank countries according to their competitiveness performance in 2006.

Misalignment of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226507254
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis Misalignment of Exchange Rates by : Richard C. Marston

Download or read book Misalignment of Exchange Rates written by Richard C. Marston and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists writing on flexible exchange rates in the 1960s foresaw neither the magnitude nor the persistence of the changes in real exchange rates that have occurred in the last fifteen years. Unexpectedly large movements in relative prices have lead to sharp changes in exports and imports, disrupting normal trading relations and causing shifts in employment and output. Many of the largest changes are not equilibrium adjustments to real disturbances but represent instead sustained departures from long-run equilibrium levels, with real exchange rates remaining "misaligned" for years at a time. Contributors to Misalignment of Exchange Rates address a series of questions about misalignment. Several papers investigate the causes of misalignment and the extent to which observed movements in real exchange rates can be attributed to misalignment. These studies are conducted both empirically, through the experiences of the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and the countries of the European Monetary System, and theoretically, through models of imperfect competition. Attention is then turned to the effects of misalignment, especially on employment and production, and to detailed estimates of the effects of changes in exchange rates on several industries, including the U.S. auto industry. In response to the contention that there is significant "hysteresis" in the adjustment of employment and production to changes in exchange rates, contributors also attempt to determine whether the effects of misalignment can be reversed once exchange rates return to earlier levels. Finally, the issue of how to avoid—or at least control—misalignment through macroeconomic policy is confronted.

Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness by : Samuel G. Asfaha

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness written by Samuel G. Asfaha and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on Edwards' (1989) intertemporal general equilibrium model of a small open economy, this study attempts to estimate the degree of real exchange rate misalignment and its impact on the international trade competitiveness of the South African economy for the period 1985:1-2000:4. For this purpose, an error-correction model (ECM)and five years moving average technique have been employed to estimate the exchange rate misalignment, while impulse response analysis and variance decomposition techniques of cointegrated VAR (vector auto regression) have been established to assess the impact of the misalignment on trade competitiveness. The study reveals that the real exchange rate had been consistently overvalued during the period 1988:3-1998:2 but undervalued during periods 1998:3-2000:4. For most of the periods during 1985:1-1988:2 the rand had been undervalued. Moreover, the study discloses that the exchange rate misalignment debilitates South Africa's international trade competitiveness accounting for 20 percent of the variation in competitiveness.

Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries

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Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 110 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries by : Sebastian Edwards

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries written by Sebastian Edwards and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1988 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article analyzes the theory of equilibrium real exchange rates and defines misalignment as a deviation of the real exchange rate (RER) from its equilibrium level. The role of macroeconomic policies is then analyzed under three alternative nominal exchange rate regimes: predetermined nominal exchange rates; floating nominal rates; and dual or black market nominal exchange rates. This discussion points out how inconsistent macroeconomic policies often lead to real exchange rate misalignment. Corrective measures, including nominal devaluation and several alternative approaches, are then evaluated.

Exchange Rate Misalignment

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 019521126X
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (952 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment by : Lawrence E. Hinkle

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment written by Lawrence E. Hinkle and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study cautiously identifies exchange rate misalignment as an important element in most of the exchange rate crises that plagued the developing world during the last decade. Given that the increasing integration of world capital markets, has escalated the costs of such crises, a broad consensus emerged in recent years, that the overriding objective of exchange rate policy in developing countries, should be to avoid episodes of prolonged, and substantial misalignment, i.e., situations in which the actual real exchange rate differs significantly from its long-run equilibrium value. It was the Bank's involvement in one such misalignment episode, that eventually led to this book. Following an overview on the concepts and measurement of exchange rate misalignment, its impact on the purchasing power parity, and the relationship between the external real exchange rate (RER), and the two-good internal RER for tradables non-tradables, the study presents methodologies - empirical applications - for estimating the RER equilibrium. The study reaches an optimistic conclusion - that enough is known to identify cases of misalignment, and be able to sound clear warning signals. The implication for exchange rate policy is that ignorance about the empirical value of the equilibrium exchange rate, cannot be used to clinch arguments for extreme exchange arrangements, such as clean floats, currency boards, and "dollarization."

Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness by : S. G. Asfaha

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment and International Trade Competitiveness written by S. G. Asfaha and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Overvaluation and Trade Protection

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Overvaluation and Trade Protection by : Howard J. Shatz

Download or read book Exchange Rate Overvaluation and Trade Protection written by Howard J. Shatz and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Lessons from world experience about the consequences of exchange rate overvaluation (the frequent cause of trade crises), the consequences of trying to defend an overvalued exchange rate, and the most appropriate policies for resolving an overvaluation"--Cover.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Exchange Rate Misalignment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451864000
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment by : Mr.Atsushi Iimi

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment written by Mr.Atsushi Iimi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-06-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Botswana's successive currency devaluations and recent move from a fixed to a crawling peg exchange rate regime raise the question of whether the exchange rate might be misaligned with economic fundamentals. This paper, applying the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach, analyzes the behavior of the real exchange rate for the period 1985-2004. It finds that the pula was undervalued in the later 1980s but overvalued in recent years. Some policy lessons from experiences in other countries with crawling peg arrangements are therefore considered in the context of Botswana.

The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country by : Nicola Spatafora

Download or read book The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country written by Nicola Spatafora and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Questions about external competitiveness, exchange rate misalignment, and the appropriate exchange rate policy feature prominently in the Russian policy debate. This paper furthers the debate by estimating empirically Russia's equilibrium real exchange rate (ERER)-that is, the rate consistent with the long-run economic fundamentals-and sheds light on the extent to which exchange rate policy should be changed. The paper confirms that the ERER reflects both productivity and the terms of trade. It suggests that Russia should target a significant medium-term current account deterioration and a real appreciation perhaps exceeding 10 percent. However, this latter number remains very sensitive to the assumed long-run oil prices.

Explaining Competitive Currencies

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (233 download)

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Book Synopsis Explaining Competitive Currencies by : Michael A. Pisa

Download or read book Explaining Competitive Currencies written by Michael A. Pisa and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I analyze how representative institutions affect policymaker preferences over the level of the domestic exchange rate. In the first chapter, I use cross-country survey data to test whether firm managers have strong concerns about the volatility and value of the exchange rate. I find that exchange rate volatility is a far more consistent concern for managers than the value of the domestic currency. In the second chapter, I develop a theory which argues that policymakers in autocratic settings are more likely than those in democracies to maintain misaligned exchange rates and that the direction of preferred misalignment will depend on the political power of the tradables sector. The cross-county regression analysis supports the claims that democracies are more likely to have equilibrium exchange rates and that autocracies with small tradables sectors are more likely to have overvalued currencies. In the final substantive chapter, I provide strong evidence that East Asian governments have manipulated the weights of currencies in their exchange rate basket policies in pursuit of maintaining the competitiveness of their currencies.

Armenia

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455211958
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Armenia by : Anke Weber

Download or read book Armenia written by Anke Weber and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-01-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a range of different methodologies to estimate the equilibrium real exchange rate in Armenia with both single-country and panel estimation techniques. We estimate a country specific autoregressive distributed lag model and then proceed with the estimation of a cointegrated panel consisting of transition economies in Europe and Central Asia. This addresses cross section dependence by using common correlated effects estimators. While our analysis focuses on Armenia, the methods are applicable to a large number of transition economies, and the paper thus provides an overview of methods that can be used to assess a country’s equilibrium exchange rate.

Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356349
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment by : Steve Brito

Download or read book Real Exchange Rates, Economic Complexity, and Investment written by Steve Brito and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-10 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that the response of firm-level investment to real exchange rate movements varies depending on the production structure of the economy. Firms in advanced economies and in emerging Asia increase investment when the domestic currency weakens, in line with the traditional Mundell-Fleming model. However, in other emerging market and developing economies, as well as some advanced economies with a low degree of structural economic complexity, corporate investment increases when the domestic currency strengthens. This result is consistent with Diaz Alejandro (1963)—in economies where capital goods are mostly imported, a stronger real exchange rate reduces investment costs for domestic firms.

A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates by : Menzie David Chinn

Download or read book A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates written by Menzie David Chinn and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Several alternative measures of "effective" exchange rates are discussed in the context of their theoretical underpinnings and actual construction. Focusing on contemporary indices and recently developed econometric methods, the empirical characteristics of these differing series are examined, including the exchange rates for the U.S., the euro area and several East Asian countries. The issues that confront the applied economist or policymaker in using the measures of real effective exchange rates available are illustrated in several case studies from current interest: (i) evaluating exchange rate misalignment, (ii) testing the Balassa-Samuelson effect, (iii) estimating the price responsiveness of trade flows, and (iv) assessing the potential impact of competitive devaluations"--NBER website

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Exchange Rates and International Competitiveness of the Canadian Economy

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and International Competitiveness of the Canadian Economy by : Richard G. Harris

Download or read book Exchange Rates and International Competitiveness of the Canadian Economy written by Richard G. Harris and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This document presents background information on the competitiveness concept. It discusses the equilibrium exchange rates and the current account. It also looks at short-run effects of exchange-rate changes. It provides a summary and policy conclusions.

Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484330609
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas

Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.