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Author : Ute Von Reibnitz
Publisher : McGraw-Hill Companies
ISBN 13 : 9780070659315
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (593 download)
Download or read book Scenario Techniques written by Ute Von Reibnitz and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1989-01-01 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : R. Bradley MacKay
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108664318
Total Pages : 175 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (86 download)
Download or read book Scenario Thinking written by R. Bradley MacKay and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-10-04 with total page 175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Element infuses established scenario planning routines with an exploration of cognitive reasoning, by contextualising scenario thinking within the wider human endeavour of grappling with future uncertainties. A study of ancient civilisations shows that scenario thinking is not new, but has evolved significantly since ancient times. By de-coupling scenario thinking from scenario planning, it is elevated as the essential ingredient in managerial foresight projects. The historical theme continues, focussing on the evolution of modern scenario planning, by way of the French and Anglo-American schools of thought, using the intuitive logics methodology. Archival research has discovered early contributions in the UK around the development and use of scenario thinking in public policy, which has been overlooked in many received histories. Finally, the usefulness of scenario thinking for strategic management is challenged here and the argument that it is a heuristic device for overcoming cognitive biases and making better strategic decisions is refined.
Author : Thomas J Chermack
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1317279409
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (172 download)
Download or read book Foundations of Scenario Planning written by Thomas J Chermack and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-02-03 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pierre Wack was head of scenario planning at Royal Dutch / Shell Oil in London for just over ten years. He died in 1997. He was a pioneer of what we know today as scenario planning – an alternative and complement to strategic planning. Scenarios explore a variety of possible futures for examining decisions in organizational planning. Pierre was a unique man with interests in Indian and Japanese cultures and traditions. He travelled extensively and led a unique life that involved long periods of visiting gurus in India and extended sabbaticals in Japan. His experiences with Eastern thought no doubt shaped his ability to evolve the scenario method at Shell, and as a result he was able to lead a team that foresaw the oil crises of the 1970’s and 80’s. This new volume will cover the basic context of his life timeline and attach it to the development of his thinking about scenario planning over the course of his career. After his death, Wack’s materials, papers and documents were collected by Napier Collyns and have recently been made available at the University of Oxford where the Pierre Wack Memorial Library has been established. These documents contain a variety of clues and stories that reveal more about who Pierre Wack was, how he thought and will provide details about scenario planning that have never been seen or published. They also reveal a curious man and include a timeline written by his wife, Eve, which details their relationship over the course of 40 years. Written for management and business historians and researchers, this book will uncover unseen contributions by a scenario planning pioneer shaped by significant events in his personal life that helped him to see the world differently.
Author : Thomas J. Chermack
Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1605099082
Total Pages : 379 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (5 download)
Download or read book Scenario Planning in Organizations written by Thomas J. Chermack and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2011-02-14 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project. Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. “This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage”. -- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
Author : Burkhard Schwenker
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3658028750
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)
Download or read book Scenario-based Strategic Planning written by Burkhard Schwenker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-05 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.
Author : Rosanna Fornasiero
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030635058
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)
Download or read book Next Generation Supply Chains written by Rosanna Fornasiero and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-31 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book explores supply chains strategies to help companies face challenges such as societal emergency, digitalization, climate changes and scarcity of resources. The book identifies industrial scenarios for the next decade based on the analysis of trends at social, economic, environmental technological and political level, and examines how they may impact on supply chain processes and how to design next generation supply chains to answer these challenges. By mapping enabling technologies for supply chain innovation, the book proposes a roadmap for the full implementation of the supply chain strategies based on the integration of production and logistics processes. Case studies from process industry, discrete manufacturing, distribution and logistics, as well as ICT providers are provided, and policy recommendations are put forward to support companies in this transformative process.
Author : Michel Godet
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9782717852448
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (524 download)
Download or read book Creating Futures written by Michel Godet and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : M. Lindgren
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230511627
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (35 download)
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by M. Lindgren and published by Springer. This book was released on 2002-12-04 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.
Author : Roland Kupers
Publisher : Amsterdam University Press
ISBN 13 : 9048522099
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (485 download)
Download or read book The essence of scenarios written by Roland Kupers and published by Amsterdam University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-15 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or scenarios, Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would look much like the presentan assumption that marred most corporate planning at the time. The Essence of Scenarios offers unmatched insight into the companys innovative practice, which still has a huge influence on the way businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In the course of their research, Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with many top Shell executives from later periods. Drawing on these interviews, the authors identify several principles that characterize the Shell process and explain how it has survived and thrived for so long. They also enumerate the qualities of successful Shell scenarios, which above all must be plausible stories with logical trajectories. Ultimately, Wilkinson and Kupers demonstrate the value of scenario planning as a sustained practice, rather than as a one-off exercise.
Author : Mats Lindgren
Publisher : Palgrave MacMillan
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)
Download or read book Scenario Planning - Revised and Updated written by Mats Lindgren and published by Palgrave MacMillan. This book was released on 2009-03-31 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this text, the authors draw upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy.
Author : Jeremy Stapleton
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781558444058
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (44 download)
Download or read book How to Use Exploratory Scenario Planning (Xsp) written by Jeremy Stapleton and published by . This book was released on 2020-08-15 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exploratory scenario planning (XSP) can help communities prepare for uncertainties posed by climate change, pandemics, automation, and other unprecedented twenty-first-century challenges. This manual is a comprehensive resource for anyone interested in using this emergent planning approach, which is effective at the local, regional, or organizational level. Through the XSP process, stakeholders envision and develop various potential futures (i.e., scenarios) and consider how to measure and prepare for each, rather than working toward a single shared vision for the future. Through instructive case studies, recommendations, sample workshop agendas, and more, this manual equips would-be practitioners with the background knowledge, procedural guidance, and practical strategies to implement this planning tool successfully. Readers will be prepared to facilitate--or even lead--an effective, impactful XSP process in their own settings.
Author : Pierre Wack
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (275 download)
Download or read book Scenarios written by Pierre Wack and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Gill Ringland
Publisher : Choir Press
ISBN 13 : 9781909300545
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (5 download)
Download or read book Scenario Planning written by Gill Ringland and published by Choir Press. This book was released on 2014-03 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to help business managers implement scenario techniques to manage the uncertainties of the future.
Author : Tatsuyoshi Saijo
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811554072
Total Pages : 236 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)
Download or read book Future Design written by Tatsuyoshi Saijo and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-25 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses imaginary future generations and how current decision-making will influence those future generations. Markets and democracies focus on the present and therefore tend to make us forget that we are living in the present, with ancestors preceding and descendants succeeding us. Markets are excellent devices to equate supply and demand in the short term, but not for allocating resources between current and future generations, since future generations do not exist yet. Democracy is also not “applicable” for future generations, since citizens vote for candidates who will serve members of their, i.e., the current, generation. In order to overcome these shortcomings, the authors discusses imaginary future generations and future ministries in the context of current decision-making in fields such as the environment, urban management, forestry, water management, and finance. The idea of imaginary future generations comes from the Native American Iroquois, who had strong norms that compelled them to incorporate the interests of people seven generations ahead when making decisions.
Author : Rafael Ramírez
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198745699
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)
Download or read book Strategic Reframing written by Rafael Ramírez and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2016 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.
Author : Bill Sharpe
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780470723098
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (23 download)
Download or read book Scenarios for Success written by Bill Sharpe and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-07-31 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Properly researched and intelligently deployed, scenario planning is today’s most powerful tool for understanding and preparing for an uncertain future. Yet it remains a niche approach, poorly understood by leaders at large. To bring it into the strategy mainstream, leaders need advice on how to turn concepts (scenarios) into actions (strategy). Scenarios for Success delivers a unique and coherent account of the state of the scenario planning art. It is aimed particularly at those trying to implement its findings. Striking a balance between theory and practice, the contributors show how and why the core techniques of scenario thinking have endured and are still valuable, while bringing new tools and processes that keep scenario planning in touch with modern realities.
Author : Joan Giesecke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780838987513
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)
Download or read book Navigating the Future with Scenario Planning written by Joan Giesecke and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A collection designed by instruction librarians to promote critical thinking and engaged learning, this volume provides teaching librarians detailed, ready-to-use, and easily adaptable lesson ideas to help students understand and be transformed by information literacy threshold concepts. The lessons in this book, created by teaching librarians across the country, are categorized according to the six information literacy frames identified in the ACRL Framework for Information Literacy in Higher Education (2015) and offer concrete and specific ways of teaching the threshold concepts that are central to this Framework"--
