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Author : Claire Thürwächter
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789180142670
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (426 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy and Firm Heterogeneity written by Claire Thürwächter and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Roberto Naim Jorge Fattal Jaef
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (776 download)
Download or read book Essays on Firm Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Dynamics written by Roberto Naim Jorge Fattal Jaef and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Christian D. Bustamante Amaya
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 119 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (114 download)
Download or read book Essays in Heterogeneous Agent Monetary Economics written by Christian D. Bustamante Amaya and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In these essays, I study the interplay of monetary policy with agent heterogeneity in economies with frictional markets. While accounting for the heterogeneity observed at the micro level, I investigate the implications of having persistent differences in firms and households' balance sheets and their consequences for business cycle fluctuations in monetary economies during both normal times and in times of economic distress. In the first chapter, “Debt Overhang, Monetary Policy, and Economic Recoveries After Large Recessions”, I explore why conventional monetary policy was so ineffective in mitigating the severity of the 2007 U.S. recession and unsuccessful thereafter in stimulating aggregate demand. Linking firm-level data with predictions from a model, I show that accounting for individual firms’ debt structures is crucial in explaining why business investment fell so dramatically through the recession and remained low for several years, despite the Federal Reserve repeatedly cutting its target interest rate until conventional policy tools were exhausted. Using a sample of publicly traded firms, I establish that firms with greater long-term debt exposure experienced larger contractions and slower recoveries in their investment expenditure. Next, I show that debt overhang episodes were unusually prevalent over the years following the onset of the recession, and particularly so among firms relying more heavily on long-maturing debt. To understand these microeconomic observations and their implications for aggregates, I develop a New Keynesian model where heterogeneous firms finance investment using defaultable nominal long-term debt and where the central bank faces an explicit zero lower bound constraint. There, the greater a firm’s leverage, the higher its likelihood of experiencing a debt overhang episode following a large aggregate shock. Moreover, the severity of debt overhang problems, and their consequences for the distribution and level of aggregate investment, compounds with (1) an increased real value of debt, i.e., debt deflation, and (2) the monetary authority’s inability to restore inflation once nominal interest rates reach the zero lower bound. Together, firms’ long maturity debt positions and the binding zero lower bound are critical in transmitting the consequences of a deep recession into a remarkably anemic recovery in aggregate investment.
Author : Alaïs Martin-Baillon
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomic Policies in Heterogeneous Agent Models written by Alaïs Martin-Baillon and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now recognized that the heterogeneity of economic agents plays a crucial role in understanding the fluctuations of an economy. The different chapters of my thesis serve the same question: How does heterogeneity changes the way economic policies should be conducted? Today, heterogeneous-agent macroeconomics is developing in several directions, each shedding different light on the problems we face as economists. My thesis is at the confluence of the different facets of this field. The first chapter of my thesis, participates in the heterogeneous agent macroeconomics that derives analytical solutions in reduced-heterogeneity models. I study how governments should increase or decrease taxes on firms over the business cycle. I show that taking into account firms heterogeneity greatly changes tax policy recommendations. The second chapter of my thesis is part of quantitative heterogeneous agent macroeconomics. We study whether monetary policy should use its ability to redistribute wealth among heterogenous households to achieve its objectives. The third chapter of my thesis participates in field that uses micro data to understand macroeconomics and to design public policies. I estimate firms' propensities to invest to better understand how economic policies can vary firms' investment by varying their income.
Author : Timothy Moreland
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (282 download)
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics written by Timothy Moreland and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chapter 1: Financial Consolidation and the Cyclicality of Corporate FinancingWe study the impact of the concentration and complexity of the banking sector on firms' financing and investment behavior over the business cycle. We find that, after the late 1990s, while debt issuance remained procyclical for U.S. firms of all sizes, equity issuance and liquidity accumulation switched from countercyclical to procyclical for small and medium- sized publicly-traded firms. Using matched firm-bank data, we provide evidence that bank consolidation contributed to this change. We rationalize these findings in a general equilibrium business cycle model. After bank consolidation, the weakening in firms' bargaining power and relational ties with banks enhances firms' precautionary demand for liquidity and equity issuance incentives following positive shocks. The change in financing behavior increases investment and employment sensitivity to aggregate productivity shocks.Chapter 2: Monetary Policy and Firm Heterogeneity: The Role of Leverage Since the Financial CrisisWe study how leverage determines firm-level responses to monetary policy. Using both high-frequency financial market and quarterly investment data, we find that the role of leverage in monetary transmission changed around the financial crisis of 2007-09. Firms with high leverage were less responsive to monetary policy shocks in the pre-crisis period but have become more responsive since the crisis. The higher responsiveness is drivenby firms whose leverage is more dependent on long-term debt, suggesting an outsize role for monetary policy affecting long-term funding conditions since the crisis. We also find suggestive evidence for transmission through changes in monetary policy uncertainty.Chapter 3: The International Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy UncertaintyAn extensive literature studies the international transmission of US monetary policy surprises (shifts in expected path of the policy rate). In this paper we show that changes in uncertainty around the expected path constitute an important additional dimension of spillover effects to global bond yields. In advanced countries, it is the term premium component of yields that responds to uncertainty. We find that this can be explained by an international portfolio balance mechanism. In contrast, for emerging countries it is the expected component of yields that reacts to uncertainty. This can be rationalized from a flight to safety channel. We find heterogeneity in the country-level response to uncertainty only in emerging countries and it is driven by the degree of financial openness. Finally, equity markets in both advanced and emerging countries also respond to US monetary policy uncertainty.
Author : Fabian Schnell
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3658097310
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)
Download or read book Heterogeneity in Macroeconomics and its Implications for Monetary Policy written by Fabian Schnell and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-28 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fabian Schnell develops a model indicating that by keeping real interest rates too low, monetary policy can distort the allocation of resources across firms and potentially delay economic recovery after a recession. This is a new channel of monetary policy that is especially relevant in view of “Quantitative Easing” programs. A second model focuses on the short-term implications of heterogeneously productive firms, showing an acceleration effect of technology shocks. Finally, an empirical investigation of firms’ price-setting behaviors shows that time-dependent factors, relative to state-dependent ones, play a small role with respect to the probability and the size of a price change. All results provide new insights for monetary policy.
Author : Liyan Shi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics and Firm Dynamics written by Liyan Shi and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation contributes towards the understanding of the macroeconomic effects of micro-level firm dynamics, in particular firm entry, exit, and innovation activities in driving aggregate economic dynamism and growth. It focuses on the frictions affecting firms in these activities when contracting with their managers and workers, as well as peers, and the corrective role policies can play. The dissertation consists of two chapters. The first chapter, "Restrictions on Executive Mobility and Reallocation: The Aggregate Effect of Non-Competition Contracts", assesses the aggregate effect of non-competition employment contracts, agreements that exclude employees from joining competing firms for a duration of time, in the managerial labor market. These contracts encourage firm investment but restrict manager mobility. To explore this tradeoff, I develop a dynamic contracting model in which firms use non-competition to enforce buyout payment when their managers are poached, ultimately extracting rent from outside firms. Such rent extraction encourages initial employing firms to undertake more investment, as they partially capture the external payoff, but distorts manager allocation. I show that the privately-optimal contract over-extracts rent by setting an excessively long non-competition duration. Therefore, restrictions on non-competition can improve efficiency. To quantitatively evaluate the theory, I assemble a new dataset on non-competition contracts for executives in U.S. public firms. Using the contract data, I find that executives under non-competition are associated with a lower separation rate and higher firm investment. I also provide new empirical evidence consistent with non-competition reducing wage-backloading in the model. The calibrated model suggests that the optimal restriction on non-competition duration is close to banning non-competition. The second chapter, "Knowledge Creation and Diffusion with Limited Appropriation" (joint with Hugo Hopenhayn), studies the interaction of innovation and imitation in driving economic growth. In relation to a series of recent papers in the macro literature have emphasized the interaction between the two forces, we introduce two key elements in considering the incentives to innovate versus imitate. First, we consider frictions in matching innovators and imitators in the process of knowledge diffusion. Second, while most of the recent literature assume that imitators capture the entire surplus from knowledge diffusion, we consider a general bargaining problem between the innovators and imitators in dividing surplus. In a simple one period model, we derive a Hosios condition for the optimal surplus division when firms are ex-ante homogeneous. But we also find that as the degree of firm heterogeneity increases, innovators' share of surplus must decrease to maximize growth, approaching zero for sufficiently large heterogeneity. Our calibrated dynamic model suggests that the optimal share of surplus innovators appropriate should be at the lower end, consistent with weak intellectual property rights.
Author : Chang Liu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (116 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics with Heterogeneous Regions written by Chang Liu and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation studies macroeconomics with regional heterogeneity in three general dimensions. First, it documents some novel empirical patterns of regional heterogeneity (in Chapter 1, 2, 3). Second, these empirical facts are used to identify key economic forces underlying theoretical models (in Chapter 1 and 3). Third, aggregate implications of regional heterogeneity are also studied (in Chapter 1). In the first chapter of this dissertation, I highlight time-varying regional risk and federal fiscal transfer policy as two competing forces driving regional risk sharing over the business cycle and in turn quantify their impacts on aggregate fluctuations. I find that during an economic downturn, increased regional risk worsens risk sharing and amplifies the impact of aggregate productivity shocks. However, state-contingent federal government transfers provide additional risk sharing and help stabilize the aggregate economy, by providing insurance to the regions that need it the most. In the second chapter (joint with Noah Williams), we first estimate a quarterly dataset for state-level aggregates by building a novel empirical framework that allows for mixed-frequency raw data with measurement errors. We then apply this dataset to study the monetary policy effects at the state levels. We find that states behave remarkably homogeneous with each other in their responses of output and price to an unanticipated monetary policy shock. In the third chapter (joint with Noah Williams), we use the state-level quarterly dataset to analyze the impact of unexpected changes in federal personal and corporate income taxes. We find substantial heterogeneity in the impact of federal fiscal policy across states, with more than half having no significant response to the tax cuts. In addition, less capital-intensive states have larger responses to corporate tax cuts. Although puzzling in standard models, a model with corporate and non-corporate sectors is consistent with this evidence. Overall, our results suggest the importance of variation and reallocation across states in evaluating federal policy.
Author : Gergő Motyovszki
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (127 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomic Policies and Household Heterogeneity written by Gergő Motyovszki and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis is composed of three independent chapters, but all centered around the broader topic of how macroeconomic policies interact with various aspects of household heterogeneity. Monetary Policy and Inequality under Labor Market Frictions and Capital-Skill Complementarity We provide a new channel through which monetary policy has distributional consequences at business cycle frequencies. We show that an unexpected monetary easing increases labor income inequality between high and less-skilled workers. In particular, this effect is prominent in sectors intensive in less-skilled labor, that exhibit high degree of capital-skill complementarity (CSC) and are subject to matching inefficiencies. To rationalize these findings we build a New Keynesian DSGE model with asymmetric search and matching (SAM) frictions across the two types of workers and CSC in the production function. We show that CSC on its own introduces a dynamic demand amplification mechanism: the increase in high-skilled employment after a monetary expansion makes complementary capital more productive, encouraging a further rise in investment demand and creating a multiplier effect. SAM asymmetries magnify this channel. Monetary-Fiscal Interactions and Redistribution in Small Open Economies Ballooning public debts in the wake of the covid-19 pandemic can present monetary-fiscal policies with a dilemma if and when neutral real interest rates rise, which might arrive sooner in emerging markets: policymakers can stabilize debts either by relying on fiscal adjustments (AM-PF) or by tolerating higher inflation (PM-AF). The choice between these policy mixes affects the efficacy of the fiscal expansion already today and can interact with the distributive properties of the stimulus across heterogeneous households. To study this, I build a two agent New Keynesian (TANK) small open economy model with monetary-fiscal interactions. Targeting fiscal transfers more towards high-MPC agents increases the output multiplier of a fiscal stimulus, while raising the degree of deficitfinancing for these transfers also helps. However, precise targeting is much more important under the AM-PF regime than the question of financing, while the opposite is the case with a PM-AF policy mix: then deficit-spending is crucial for the size of the multiplier, and targeting matters less. Under the PM-AF regime fiscal stimulus entails a real exchange rate depreciation which might offset "import leakage" by stimulating net exports, if the share of hand-to-mouth households is low and trade is price elastic enough. Therefore, a PM-AF policy mix might break the Mundell-Fleming prediction that open economies have smaller fiscal multipliers relative to closed economies. Weak Wage Recovery and Precautionary Motives after a Credit Crunch During the economic recovery following the financial crisis many advanced economies saw subdued wage dynamics, in spite of falling unemployment and an increasingly tight labour market. We propose a mechanism which can account for this puzzle and work against usual aggregate demand channels. In a heterogeneous agent model with incomplete markets we endogenize uninsurable idiosyncratic risk through search-and-matching (SAM) frictions in the labour market. In this setting, apart from the usual precautionary saving behaviour, households can self-insure also by settling for lower wages in order to secure a job and thereby avoid becoming borrowing constrained. This channel is especially pronounced for asset-poor agents, already close to the constraint. We introduce a credit crunch into this framework modelled as a gradual tightening of the borrowing constraint (and utilizing a continuous time approach, known as HACT). The perfect foresight transition dynamics feature falling wages despite a tightening labour market and expanding employment. As households suddenly find themselves closer to the borrowing constraint, the increased precautionary motive drives them to accept lower wages in the bargaining process, while firms respond to this by posting more vacancies, leading to a tighter labour market and falling unemployment. If the household deleveraging pressure is persistent enough after the credit crunch, it can explain the weak wage recovery in spite of already stronger aggregate demand.
Author : Min Fang (Economist)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (125 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics with Heterogeneous Agents written by Min Fang (Economist) and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This dissertation consists of essays addressing the macroeconomic outcomes of heterogeneous agent general equilibrium models with micro-level frictions. Each chapter employs both empirical and quantitative macroeconomic methods. The first chapter studies the impact of elevated volatility on the effectiveness of monetary policy on aggregate investment under firm-level capital adjustment costs. I argue that monetary policy is less effective at stimulating investment during periods of elevated volatility in firm-level TFP than during normal times. Empirically, I document that high volatility weakens investment responses to monetary stimulus. I then develop a heterogeneous firm New Keynesian model with lumpy investment to interpret these findings. In the model, non-convex capital adjustment costs create a sizable extensive margin of investment which is more sensitive to changes in both interest rate and volatility than the intensive margin. When volatility is high, firms tend to stay inactive at the extensive margin, so monetary stimulus motivates less investment at the extensive margin. I find that the quantitative implications of the model are primarily shaped by the specifications of the capital adjustment costs. Unlike much of the prior literature, I use the dynamic moments of investment to identify this key model element. Based on this parameterization, high volatility reduces the effectiveness of monetary stimulus for investment by 30%. This reduction is about half of what I find in the data. Therefore, the effect of monetary policy depends on both the lumpy nature of firm-level investment and fluctuations in volatility. The second chapter studies the role of migration and housing constraints in determining income inequality within and across Chinese cities. Combining microdata and a spatial equilibrium model, we quantify the impact of the massive spatial reallocation of workers and the rapid growth of housing costs on the national income distribution. We first show several stylized facts detailing the strong positive correlation between migration inflows, housing costs, and imputed income inequality among Chinese cities. We then build a spatial equilibrium model featuring workers with heterogeneous skills, housing constraints, and heterogeneous returns from housing ownership to explain these facts. Our quantitative results indicate that the reductions in migration costs and the disproportionate growth in productivity across cities and skills result in the observed massive migration flows. Combining with the tight land supply policy in big cities, the expansion of the housing demand causes the rapid growth of housing costs, and enlarges the inequality between local housing owners and migrants. The counterfactual analysis shows that if we redistribute land supply increment by migrant flow and increase land supply toward cities with more migrants, we could lower the within-city income inequality by 14% and the national income inequality by 18%. Meanwhile, we can simultaneously encourage more migration into higher productivity cities"--Pages vii-viii.
Author : Yu She
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)
Download or read book Essays on Macroeconomics of Monetary and Fiscal Policies written by Yu She and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: My thesis contains three chapters which focus heavily on the macroeconomic policies. The first chapter focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy on firms with different financial constraints. The second chapter addresses on how would the optimal tax policy change the evolution of inequality. The third chapter emphasizes on how to provide a proxy means testing from a welfare perspective to a transfer program. In the first chapter, I study the role of financial constraints in the effects of monetary policy on firm investments. I construct a quarterly textual measure of financial constraints from SEC filings using a deep learning model. It improves the prediction accuracy as compared to a Naive Bayes method by capturing the context information, such as grammatical structure and order of words. Firms classified as highly constrained are younger, smaller, have a higher liquidity ratio and higher leverage ratio. However, popular proxies of financial constraints often do not move monotonically with the level of financial constraints. Particularly for the liquidity ratio, it is high for both the least constrained firms, which have ample of cash, and the most constrained firms, which hoard cash due to precautionary saving motives and the high marginal cost of external capital. Using the constructed measure of financial constraints, the investments of financially constrained firms are persistently less responsive to monetary policy shocks due to high marginal cost of external funds. This implies that monetary policy might be less effective during crisis time due to a larger fraction of constrained firms. My results reconcile previous empirical findings and argue that the seemingly contrary conclusions are, to some extent, consistent with each other. In the second chapter, it intends to address on the question: how would the optimal taxes change the evolution of wealth inequality? This paper studies this question quantitatively under a standard incomplete market heterogeneous agent model. The benchmark model captures the wealth distribution and its evolution from 1967-2010. Optimal tax policy exercise considers an once-and-for-all tax reform at 1967 accounting for the time varying economic environment and transition dynamics. With a utilitarian social planner, the optimal linear comprehensive income tax leads to a higher level inequality in wealth where top 10\% and top 1\% gain at least 5\% more wealth shares at 2010 compared to benchmark. The optimal tax under a parameterized nonlinear tax function implies a highly progressive tax system which is also highly redistributive compared to the benchmark model. The wealth inequality in this case is increasing from 1960s to mid 1990s and then start to decline to its 1960s level or even lower. At 2010, top 10\% remains roughly their wealth holdings at their 1967 level while top 1\%, 0.1\% and 0.01\% wealth holding even decrease on average about 2\% compared to their low level at year 1967. In the last chapter, I propose a new proxy means testing method with minimizing welfare loss as the target instead of traditional targets such as minimizing consumption loss. In a simple economy with a utilitarian social planner, the welfare approach is equivalent to a weighted logistic regression with inverse consumption as weights. As a result, it focuses mainly on the exclusion error where poor are identified as non-poor and less weights on the inclusion error where non-poor are identified as poor. Using the socio-economic survey data in India in 2011, I compare the targeting performance of the welfare approach to other standard approaches in PMT. It shows that the welfare approach enjoys a lower exclusion error rate by sacrificing the inclusion error rate and does not out-perform the traditional method. It does, on the other hand, provide a welfare foundation for the poverty weighted least square method.
Author : Antoine Camous
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 114 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (18 download)
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomic Theory written by Antoine Camous and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 114 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis investigates the design of appropriate institutions to ensure the good conduct of fiscal and monetary policy. The three chapters develop theoretical frameworks to address the time-inconsistency of policy plans or prevent the occurrence of self-fulfilling prophecies. Time-inconsistency refers to a situation where preferences over policy change over time. Optimal policy plans are not credible, since agents anticipate the implementation of another policy in the future. This issue is particularly pervasive to monetary policy, since nominal quantities (price level, interest rates, etc.) are very sensitive to expected policies, but predetermined to actual policy choices. The first chapter investigates how fiscal policy can mitigate the inflation bias of monetary policy in an economy with heterogeneous agents. Whenever there is a desire for redistribution, progressive fiscal helps to implement a policy mix less biased toward inflation. Importantly, even the richest supports some fiscal progressivity, since over their life cycle, they benefit from a more balanced policy-mix. A self-fulfilling prophecy, or coordination failure, refers to a situation where a more desirable economic outcome could be reached, but fail to be, by the only effect of pessimistic expectations. Self-fulfilling debt crises are a classical example: pessimistic investors bid down the price of debt, which increases the likelihood of default, which in turn justifies the initial decrease in price. The second chapter, co-authored with Russell Cooper, asks whether monetary policy can deter self-fulfilling debt crises. The analysis shows how a counter-cyclical inflation policy with commitment is effective in doing so. Importantly, it can be implemented without endangering the primary objective of monetary policy, to deliver an inflation target for instance. The third chapter, co-authored with Andrew Gimber, revisits the classic Laffer curve coordination failure: taxes could be low, but they are high because agents anticipate high tax rates. In a dynamic environment with debt issuance, the multiplicity of equilibria critically depends on inherited debt. At high levels of public debt, fiscal policy is pro-cyclical: taxes increase when output decreases, and self-fulfilling fiscal crisis can occur. Overall, this chapter sheds light on the perils of high level of public debt.
Author : Eugenio Rojas
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics with Financial Frictions written by Eugenio Rojas and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of two chapters on macroeconomics with financial frictions. The first chapter studies the role of firm heterogeneity in the transmission of financial shocks to the real economy. Evidence from the recent European debt crisis shows that firms responded differently to the severe credit tightening that occurred during this period, where smaller ones adjusted their balance sheets more aggressively and performed better in economies with a more skewed firm size distribution. A model of heterogeneous firms, that face financial frictions (defaultable debt and costly equity issuance), a financial intermediation sector, and a sovereign, is proposed to explain these facts. Financial frictions are key because they generate financing structures that depend on firm size, where small firms rely more on equity than debt, which is relatively more costly. Sufficiently large increases in public debt trigger a binding lending constraint for the intermediaries that cause a crowding out of private lending and leads smaller firms to adjust more than large firms. Quantitative results show that firm heterogeneity has aggregate effects and that the model, calibrated to match Spanish firm-level data, is consistent with the empirical facts during the crisis. The second chapter studies the positive and normative implications of "liability dollarization", the intermediation of capital inflows in units of tradables into domestic loans in units of aggregate consumption, on Sudden Stops models. Liability dollarization adds three important effects driven by real-exchange-rate fluctuations that alter standard models of Sudden Stops significantly: Changes on the debt repayment burden, on the price of new debt, and on a risk-taking incentive. The optimal policy under commitment is time-inconsistent, follows a complex non-linear structure, and shows that when domestic credit or capital inflows taxes are present, capital controls are not justified. Quantitatively, an optimized pair of constant taxes on domestic debt and capital inflows makes crises slightly less likely and yields a small welfare gain, but other pairs reduce welfare sharply. For high effective debt taxes, capital controls and domestic debt taxes are equivalent, and for low ones welfare is higher with higher taxes on domestic debt than on capital inflows.
Author : Thomas Walsh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)
Download or read book Essays in Macroeconomics written by Thomas Walsh and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis comprises three independent essays in applied macroeconomics. The three papers examine unemployment insurance policy, monetary policy transmission to real economic activity, and how government spending passes through production networks. Job Search and the Threat of Unemployment Benefit Sanctions examines the impact of the threat to cut jobseekers' unemployment benefits in order to spur search effort and accelerate the return to work. Faster exit from unemployment is often associated with worse reentry characteristics associated with a substitution of social insurance transfer payments towards "market insurance". Sectoral Volatility and the Investment Channel of Monetary Policy investigates how the dispersion of individual-level fluctuations in firms' productivity affects their investment responsiveness to monetary policy operations, with consequences for when monetary policy is more or less powerful over the business cycle. Goverment Spending in Production Networks: Size versus Centrality examines how government spending propagates through the production network. We ask what are the consequences for fiscal spending multipliers when we account for both the networked structure of production and the heterogeneity of firms which occupy important nodes simultaneously. Specifically, we examine whether there is a race between centrality (implying large network effects) and firm size (dampening responsiveness due to slacker constraints).
Author : Fumitaka Nakamura
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)
Download or read book Essays on Empirical Macroeconomics written by Fumitaka Nakamura and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation is a collection of three unrelated essays. All of the three essays are in the area of empirical macroeconomics. Chapter 1 finds that households with different income levels show heterogeneous consumption response to monetary policy, and investigates what mechanism causes this. Firstly, this paper empirically shows that high income households' consumption is more responsive to monetary policy shocks than low income households' consumption. Secondly, this paper uses a heterogeneous agent model to quantify the importance of the two channels to explain the empirical facts: illiquid assets and heterogeneous income source. We find that introducing illiquid assets is the key, which makes the high income households liquidity constrained and more responsive to monetary policy shocks. Chapter 2 introduces the goods-level real exchange rate volatility curve as a function of the degree of price stickiness to investigate the sources of its volatility, as suggested by Crucini et al. (2013). In particular, our model has several key elements not considered in existing literature: adding the Taylor rule monetary policy, adding persistence of shocks, and assuming a more general form of household preferences. From the empirical analysis, we find that the contribution of monetary policy shocks is smaller compared to the previous research. Moreover, we find that the contribution of good-specific productivity shocks is dominant over that of country-level productivity shocks. Chapter 3 discusses the characteristics of trade of global value chains by comparing the coefficients of the gravity model of trade with conventional gross trade statistics and those with trade in value added (TiVA) statistics. We have two main findings. Firstly, the coefficient of distance is lower in gross trade than that of TiVA, which indicates that the volume of gross trade including intermediates is more decreasing in distance compared to that of TiVA. Secondly, the coefficient of common language dummy is higher in gross trade than that of TiVA. This is because firms choose countries for the production to minimize their costs, choosing ones which are closer and use the same language as other stages of production.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 102 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (919 download)
Download or read book Three Essays in Macroeconomics of Fiscal and Monetary Policies written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 102 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Niels-Jakob Harbo Hansen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (138 download)
Download or read book Should Inequality Factor Into Central Banks' Decisions? written by Niels-Jakob Harbo Hansen and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
