Essays in Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Conditions and Implications from Asset Pricing Models

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Conditions and Implications from Asset Pricing Models by : Mehboob Uddin Ahmed

Download or read book Essays in Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency Conditions and Implications from Asset Pricing Models written by Mehboob Uddin Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays in International Finance

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Publisher : Stanford University
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays in International Finance by : Byong-Ju Lee

Download or read book Three Essays in International Finance written by Byong-Ju Lee and published by Stanford University. This book was released on 2011 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of three essays on international finance. The first essay is "Exchange rates and Fundamentals". A new open interest rate parity condition that takes account of economic fundamentals is developed from stochastic discount factors (SDFs) of two countries. Through this parity condition, business cycles or fundamentals are linked to exchange rates. Key empirical findings from this parity condition are as follows. First, this model beats the random walk hypothesis: economic fundamentals explain exchange rate movements for high interest rate currencies. Exchange rates of low interest rate currencies act like a random walk because they are less correlated with fundamentals owing to their low risk. For example, U.S. business cycles explain the direction of changes in exchange rates against the dollar. The same thing is true for Japan. Second, this model resolves the forward premium puzzle: the forward premium puzzle is not a general characteristic as regarded in previous studies. It happens when the risk awareness of investors is low, during economic expansions and for low risk currencies. The second essay is "Carry Trade and Global Financial Instability". Carry trade, an opportunistic investment strategy that takes advantage of interest rate differential across countries, is identified the cause of the large-scale depreciations of peripheral currencies in the later half of 2008. A simultaneous equations model, which is derived from a conceptual partial equilibrium model for a local foreign exchange market, is estimated from a cross-sectional sample. The results suggest that the larger appreciation of the yen than the dollar was brought about by a lack of the local supply of the yen rather than a more severe crunch of yen credits. The third essay is "The Economic Origin of Letters of Credit". This essay discusses the economic origin of letters of credit, an instrument widely used in international trade. A game theoretical analysis shows that letters of credit improve efficiency in trade settlements, increasing returns in trade. A few notable facts on letters of credit are discussed. First, the new institution is adopted by merchant banks to maximize their profits and in the process, an improvement in efficiency of international transactions is obtained. Second, the organization established by the legacy institution, bills of exchange, played a critical role in adopting the new institution. Third, the legal enforcement is not essential in this economic institution. Finally, two drivers are identified that improve efficiency of transactions: concentration and projection.

Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451849222
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals by : Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni

Download or read book Excess Volatility and the Asset-Pricing Exchange Rate Model with Unobservable Fundamentals written by Mr.Lorenzo Giorgianni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-05-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a method to test the volatility predictions of the textbook asset-pricing exchange rate model, which imposes minimal structure on the data and does not commit to a choice of exchange rate “fundamentals.” Our method builds on existing tests of excess volatility in asset prices, combining them with a procedure that extracts unobservable fundamentals from survey-based exchange rate expectations. We apply our method to data for the three major exchange rates since 1984 and find broad evidence of excess exchange rate volatility with respect to the predictions of the canonical asset-pricing model in an efficient market.

Essays on Empirical Asset Pricing in the Foreign Exchange Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Empirical Asset Pricing in the Foreign Exchange Market by : Ilias Filippou

Download or read book Essays on Empirical Asset Pricing in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Ilias Filippou and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Three Essays on Exchange Rate Dynamics and Model Uncertainty

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)

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Book Synopsis Three Essays on Exchange Rate Dynamics and Model Uncertainty by : Edouard Tsague Djeutem

Download or read book Three Essays on Exchange Rate Dynamics and Model Uncertainty written by Edouard Tsague Djeutem and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At least since Knight (1921), economists have suspected that the distinction between risk and ̀uncertainty' might be important in economics. However,Savage (1954) showed this distinction is meaningless if agents adhere to certain axioms, which seem to be normatively compelling. Savage's SubjectiveExpected Utility (SEU) model became the dominant paradigm in economics, and remains so to this very day. Still, suspicions that the distinction matters never really died. The Ellsberg Paradox (1961) first raised doubts about the SEU model. Then, Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989) showed how to modifySavage's axioms so that the distinction does matter. In their model, agents entertain a set of priors, and optimize against the worst-caseprior. Finally, Hansen and Sargent (2008) operationalized this new approach by linking it to the engineering literature on ̀robust control'. My dissertationapplies the Hansen-Sargent framework to the foreign exchange market. I show that if we think of market participants as confronting both uncertainty andrisk, then we can easily explain several well known empirical puzzles in the foreign exchange market.The second chapter of my dissertation, entitled "Robustness and Exchange Rate Volatility", was published in the Journal of International Economics in 2013, and is coauthored with my supervisor, Prof. Kenneth Kasa. This paper uses the monetary model of exchange rates. It assumes investors are aware of their own lack of knowledge about the economy. They respond to their ignorance strategically, by constructing forecasts that are robust to model misspecification. We show that revisions of robust forecasts are more sensitive to new information, and can easily explain observed violations of Shiller's variance bound inequality.The third chapter, entitled "Model Uncertainty and the Forward Premium Puzzle", was published in the "Journal of International Money and Finance" in 2014. It studies a standard two-country Lucas (1982) asset-pricing model. The main objective is to understand the determinants of observed excess return in the foreign exchange market. The paper shows that Hansen-Jagannathan (1991) volatility bounds can be attained with both reasonable degrees of risk aversion and empirically plausible detection error probabilities. Hence, excess returns in the foreign exchange market appear to be primarily driven by a ̀model uncertainty premium' rather than a risk premium.The fourth chaper, entitled "Robust Learning in the Foreign Exchange Market", was recently revised and resubmitted to the "Canadian Journal of Economics". Following Hansen and Sargent (2010), it assumes agents cope with uncertainty by both learning and by formulating robust decision rules. Agents entertain two competing models, differing by the persistence of consumption growth. As in my previous paper, agents continue to doubt the specification of each model. It shows that robust learning can not only explain unconditional risk premia in the foreign exchange market, but can also explain the cyclical dynamics of risk premia. In particular, an empirically plausible concern for model misspecification and model uncertainty generates a stochastic discount factor that uniformly satisfies the spectral Hansen-Jagannathan bound of Otrok et. al. (2007).

Essays in Market Efficiency and Empirical Asset Pricing

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Market Efficiency and Empirical Asset Pricing by : Jianan Liu

Download or read book Essays in Market Efficiency and Empirical Asset Pricing written by Jianan Liu and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Essays on Exchange Rate Determination

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (413 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Exchange Rate Determination by : Rangan Varadan

Download or read book Essays on Exchange Rate Determination written by Rangan Varadan and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the second essay presented in Chapter III, I explain the failure of UFRH based on the argument of existence of time-varying risk premium. I investigate the pricing of forward contracts in the context of conditional international asset pricing models. In contrast to much of this previous work, I consider generalizations in two important dimensions. First, the international asset pricing model (IAPM) is specified in a conditional environment. Second, in this chapter I treat the pricing of forward contracts in a framework that allows for more than one source of risk. The strongest support to the model's restrictions comes from using a set of country-specific variables in a two-factor setting. This implies that, in the forward exchange market, the exchange, rate risk is an important factor. Furthermore, the evidence supports the idea that deviations from the expected future spot rate are due to a risk premium.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569406
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals)

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317559126
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (175 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) by : Kathryn Dominguez

Download or read book Exchange Rate Efficiency and the Behavior of International Asset Markets (Routledge Revivals) written by Kathryn Dominguez and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-10-20 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1992, examines the subject of foreign exchange market efficiency and, in particular, the effectiveness of central bank intervention in the market. This book is ideal for students of economics.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Theory and Practice

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226050998
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Theory and Practice by : John F. Bilson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Theory and Practice written by John F. Bilson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Essays in Financial Economics

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Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1789733898
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (897 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Financial Economics by : Rita Biswas

Download or read book Essays in Financial Economics written by Rita Biswas and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-10-24 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume, dedicated to John W. Kensinger, explores a variety of topics in financial economics, including firm growth, investment risks, and the profitability of the banking industry. With its global perspective, Essays in Financial Economics is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any researcher in finance.

Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets

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Publisher : Mdpi AG
ISBN 13 : 9783036530802
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong

Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.

American Doctoral Dissertations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 776 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis American Doctoral Dissertations by :

Download or read book American Doctoral Dissertations written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135043493
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments by : Jacob Frenkel

Download or read book The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments written by Jacob Frenkel and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects together the basic documents of an approach to the theory and policy of the balance of payments developed in the 1970s. The approach marked a return to the historical traditions of international monetary theory after some thirty years of departure from them – a departure occasioned by the international collapse of the 1930s, the Keynesian Revolution and a long period of war and post-war reconstruction in which the international monetary system was fragmented by exchange controls, currency inconvertibility and controls over international trade and capital movements.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

An Empirical Study of the Foreign-exchange Market: Test of a Theory

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis An Empirical Study of the Foreign-exchange Market: Test of a Theory by : Fred R. Glahe

Download or read book An Empirical Study of the Foreign-exchange Market: Test of a Theory written by Fred R. Glahe and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: