Escape From Model Land

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Escape from Model Land

Author : Erica Thompson
Publisher : Basic Books
ISBN 13 : 1541600991
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (416 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Model Land by : Erica Thompson

Download or read book Escape from Model Land written by Erica Thompson and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2022-12-06 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why mathematical models are so often wrong, and how we can make better decisions by accepting their limits Whether we are worried about the spread of COVID-19 or making a corporate budget, we depend on mathematical models to help us understand the world around us every day. But models aren’t a mirror of reality. In fact, they are fantasies, where everything works out perfectly, every time. And relying on them too heavily can hurt us. In Escape from Model Land, statistician Erica Thompson illuminates the hidden dangers of models. She demonstrates how models reflect the biases, perspectives, and expectations of their creators. Thompson shows us why understanding the limits of models is vital to using them well. A deeper meditation on the role of mathematics, this is an essential book for helping us avoid either confusing the map with the territory or throwing away the map completely, instead pointing to more nuanced ways to Escape from Model Land.

Escape from Model Land

Author : Erica Thompson
Publisher : Basic Books
ISBN 13 : 9781541600980
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Model Land by : Erica Thompson

Download or read book Escape from Model Land written by Erica Thompson and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2022-12-06 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why mathematical models are so often wrong, and how we can make better decisions by accepting their limits Whether we are worried about the spread of COVID-19 or making a corporate budget, we depend on mathematical models to help us understand the world around us every day. But models aren't a mirror of reality. In fact, they are fantasies, where everything works out perfectly, every time. And relying on them too heavily can hurt us. In Escape from Model Land, statistician Erica Thompson illuminates the hidden dangers of models. She demonstrates how models reflect the biases, perspectives, and expectations of their creators. Thompson shows us why understanding the limits of models is vital to using them well. A deeper meditation on the role of mathematics, this is an essential book for helping us avoid either confusing the map with the territory or throwing away the map completely, instead pointing to more nuanced ways to Escape from Model Land.

Escape from Model-land

Author : Erica L. Thompson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (116 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Model-land by : Erica L. Thompson

Download or read book Escape from Model-land written by Erica L. Thompson and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both mathematical modelling and simulation methods in general have contributed greatly to understanding, insight and forecasting in many fields including macroeconomics. Nevertheless, we must remain careful to distinguish model-land and model-land quantities from the real world. Decisions taken in the real world are more robust when informed by estimation of real-world quantities with transparent uncertainty quantification, than when based on “optimal” model-land quantities obtained from simulations of imperfect models optimized, perhaps optimal, in model-land. The authors present a short guide to some of the temptations and pitfalls of model-land, some directions towards the exit, and two ways to escape. Their aim is to improve decision support by providing relevant, adequate information regarding the real-world target of interest, or making it clear why today’s model models are not up to that task for the particular target of interest.

Modelland

Author : Tyra Banks
Publisher : Delacorte Books for Young Readers
ISBN 13 : 0375899448
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (758 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelland by : Tyra Banks

Download or read book Modelland written by Tyra Banks and published by Delacorte Books for Young Readers. This book was released on 2011-09-13 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modelland - the FIERCE NEW NOVEL BY TYRA BANKS—IS OUT! No one gets in without being asked. And with her untamable hair, large forehead, and gawky body, Tookie De La Crème isn’t expecting an invitation. Modelland—the exclusive, mysterious place on top of the mountain—never dares to make an appearance in her dreams. But someone has plans for Tookie. Before she can blink her mismatched eyes, Tookie finds herself in the very place every girl in the world obsesses about. And three unlikely girls have joined her. Only seven extraordinary young women become Intoxibellas each year. Famous. Worshipped. Magical. What happens to those who don’t make it? Well, no one really speaks of that. Some things are better left unsaid. Thrown into a world where she doesn’t seem to belong, Tookie glimpses a future that could be hers—if she survives the beastly Catwalk Corridor and terrifying Thigh-High Boot Camp. Along the way, she learns all about friendship, courage, laughter and what it feels like to start to believe in yourself. When you enter the fantastical world of Modelland, you'll see that Tookie was inspired by Tyra’s life as a supermodel. All those crazy and wild adventures Tookie has with her friends? Some of them were ripped straight from the headlines of Tyra’s life! Tyra knows all about beauty and fashion and fierceness, and she shares everything here in MODELLAND. It’s fun, zany, and 100 bazillion-percent Tyra. You don’t want to miss Tyra’s amazing new novel! From the Hardcover edition.

Escape Under the Forever Sky

Author : Eve Yohalen
Publisher : Chronicle Books
ISBN 13 : 1452133484
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (521 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape Under the Forever Sky by : Eve Yohalen

Download or read book Escape Under the Forever Sky written by Eve Yohalen and published by Chronicle Books. This book was released on 2013-08-27 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Loosely based on real-life events, this suspenseful story, by a debut novelist, is also funny and touching and will have readers riveted from start to finish. Lucy's mother is the U.S. Ambassador to Ethiopia, so Lucy's life must be one big adventure, right? Wrong. Lucy's worrywart mother keeps her locked up inside the ambassador's residence. All Lucy can do is read about the exotic and exciting world that lies beyond the compound walls and imagine what it would be like to be a part of it. That is, until one day Lucy decides she has had enough and she and a friend sneak off for some fun. But to their horror, Lucy gets kidnapped! With only herself to rely upon, Lucy must use her knowledge of African animals, inventiveness, will, and courage to escape, and in the process embarks on an adventure beyond her wildest imagination. Includes bonus material! - Book Club Discussion Guide

Escape from Yokai Land

Author : Charles Stross
Publisher : Tordotcom
ISBN 13 : 1250805716
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Yokai Land by : Charles Stross

Download or read book Escape from Yokai Land written by Charles Stross and published by Tordotcom. This book was released on 2022-03-01 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Regular readers of Charles Stross's Laundry Files might have noticed Bob Howard's absence from the events of The Nightmare Stacks, and his subsequent return from Tokyo at the start of The Delirium Brief. Escape from Yokai Land explains what he was doing there. Bob's been assigned to work with the Miyamoto Group, checking the wards that lock down Japan's warded sites—a task previously handled by his predecessor Dr. Angleton, the Eater of Souls. This mostly involves policing yokai: traditional magical beings, increasingly grown more annoying and energetic. But then Bob's simple trip turns into a deadly confrontation with the ultimate yokai. It's massively powerful. It's pink. And it says "Hello." At the Publisher's request, this title is being sold without Digital Rights Management Software (DRM) applied.

The Great Escape

Author : Angus Deaton
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691259259
Total Pages : 392 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Escape by : Angus Deaton

Download or read book The Great Escape written by Angus Deaton and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2024-05-21 with total page 392 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Nobel Prize–winning economist tells the remarkable story of how the world has grown healthier, wealthier, but also more unequal over the past two and half centuries The world is a better place than it used to be. People are healthier, wealthier, and live longer. Yet the escapes from destitution by so many has left gaping inequalities between people and nations. In The Great Escape, Nobel Prize–winning economist Angus Deaton—one of the foremost experts on economic development and on poverty—tells the remarkable story of how, beginning 250 years ago, some parts of the world experienced sustained progress, opening up gaps and setting the stage for today's disproportionately unequal world. Deaton takes an in-depth look at the historical and ongoing patterns behind the health and wealth of nations, and addresses what needs to be done to help those left behind. Deaton describes vast innovations and wrenching setbacks: the successes of antibiotics, pest control, vaccinations, and clean water on the one hand, and disastrous famines and the HIV/AIDS epidemic on the other. He examines the United States, a nation that has prospered but is today experiencing slower growth and increasing inequality. He also considers how economic growth in India and China has improved the lives of more than a billion people. Deaton argues that international aid has been ineffective and even harmful. He suggests alternative efforts—including reforming incentives to drug companies and lifting trade restrictions—that will allow the developing world to bring about its own Great Escape. Demonstrating how changes in health and living standards have transformed our lives, The Great Escape is a powerful guide to addressing the well-being of all nations.

All the Light We Cannot See

Author : Anthony Doerr
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1476746605
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (767 download)

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Book Synopsis All the Light We Cannot See by : Anthony Doerr

Download or read book All the Light We Cannot See written by Anthony Doerr and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2014-05-06 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *NOW A NETFLIX LIMITED SERIES—from producer and director Shawn Levy (Stranger Things) starring Mark Ruffalo, Hugh Laurie, and newcomer Aria Mia Loberti* Winner of the Pulitzer Prize and National Book Award finalist, the beloved instant New York Times bestseller and New York Times Book Review Top 10 Book about a blind French girl and a German boy whose paths collide in occupied France as both try to survive the devastation of World War II. Marie-Laure lives with her father in Paris near the Museum of Natural History where he works as the master of its thousands of locks. When she is six, Marie-Laure goes blind and her father builds a perfect miniature of their neighborhood so she can memorize it by touch and navigate her way home. When she is twelve, the Nazis occupy Paris, and father and daughter flee to the walled citadel of Saint-Malo, where Marie-Laure’s reclusive great uncle lives in a tall house by the sea. With them they carry what might be the museum’s most valuable and dangerous jewel. In a mining town in Germany, the orphan Werner grows up with his younger sister, enchanted by a crude radio they find. Werner becomes an expert at building and fixing these crucial new instruments, a talent that wins him a place at a brutal academy for Hitler Youth, then a special assignment to track the Resistance. More and more aware of the human cost of his intelligence, Werner travels through the heart of the war and, finally, into Saint-Malo, where his story and Marie-Laure’s converge. Doerr’s “stunning sense of physical detail and gorgeous metaphors” (San Francisco Chronicle) are dazzling. Deftly interweaving the lives of Marie-Laure and Werner, he illuminates the ways, against all odds, people try to be good to one another. Ten years in the writing, All the Light We Cannot See is a magnificent, deeply moving novel from a writer “whose sentences never fail to thrill” (Los Angeles Times).

Escape Velocity

Author : Geoffrey A. Moore
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 006204091X
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape Velocity by : Geoffrey A. Moore

Download or read book Escape Velocity written by Geoffrey A. Moore and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2011-09-06 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Readthis book to learn how to create a company as powerful as Apple.”—Guy Kawasaki,former chief evangelist of Apple InEscape Velocity Geoffrey A. Moore, author of the marketing masterwork Crossingthe Chasm, teaches twenty-first century enterprises how to overcome thepull of the past and reorient their organizations to meet a new era ofcompetition. The world’s leading high-tech business strategist, Moore connectsthe dots between bold strategies and effective execution, with an action planthat elucidates the link between senior executives and every other branch of acompany. For readers of Larry Bossidy’s Execution,Clay Christensen’s Innovator’s Solution, and Gary Vaynerchuck’sCrush It!, and for anyone aiming for the pinnacle of business success, EscapeVelocity is an irreplaceable roadmap to the top.

My Escape

Author : Benoite Groult
Publisher : Other Press, LLC
ISBN 13 : 1590515447
Total Pages : 383 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis My Escape by : Benoite Groult

Download or read book My Escape written by Benoite Groult and published by Other Press, LLC. This book was released on 2012-10-23 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This witty autobiography captures the rich and varied life of a renowned French author and pioneering feminist, through the obstacles and movements in twentieth-century France. Born in 1920 in Paris, Benoite Groult obtained the right to vote only when she was twenty-five years old. She married four times, bore three children, underwent several illegal abortions, became a writer after she turned forty, and a feminist in her fifties. Groult chronicles her experiences and her intellectual developments through successive phases—as an obedient child, an awkward and bookish adolescent, and a submissive wife—until finally becoming a liberated novelist. Here, she recounts the childhood trips she spent with her family, Paris during the occupation, her marriages, motherhood, and her continuous fight for women’s rights. At ninety-one years old, she concludes that she has been, and still is, a happy woman—lucky to have captured her freedoms, one by one, paying for them, delighting in them, and loving them. Sexy, chatty, and full of shrewd insight, My Escape covers her years of struggle and success—as a daughter, lover, writer, wife, mother, and reluctant socialite—and draws a portrait of the role of French women in the twentieth century.

The Equality Machine

Author : Orly Lobel
Publisher : Hachette UK
ISBN 13 : 1541774736
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (417 download)

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Book Synopsis The Equality Machine by : Orly Lobel

Download or read book The Equality Machine written by Orly Lobel and published by Hachette UK. This book was released on 2022-10-18 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: AN ECONOMIST BEST BOOK OF 2022 At a time when AI and digital platforms are under fire, Orly Lobel, a renowned tech policy scholar, defends technology as a powerful tool we can harness to achieve equality and a better future. Much has been written about the challenges tech presents to equality and democracy. But we can either criticize big data and automation or steer it to do better. Lobel makes a compelling argument that while we cannot stop technological development, we can direct its course according to our most fundamental values. With provocative insights in every chapter, Lobel masterfully shows that digital technology frequently has a comparative advantage over humans in detecting discrimination, correcting historical exclusions, subverting long-standing stereotypes, and addressing the world’s thorniest problems: climate, poverty, injustice, literacy, accessibility, speech, health, and safety. Lobel's vivid examples—from labor markets to dating markets—provide powerful evidence for how we can harness technology for good. The book’s incisive analysis and elegant storytelling will change the debate about technology and restore human agency over our values.

Escape This Book! Race to the Moon

Author : Bill Doyle
Publisher : Random House Books for Young Readers
ISBN 13 : 0593119258
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape This Book! Race to the Moon by : Bill Doyle

Download or read book Escape This Book! Race to the Moon written by Bill Doyle and published by Random House Books for Young Readers. This book was released on 2020-11-10 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part activity book, part adventure novel, The Escape This Book series makes YOU the star of history! Doodle, decide, and demolish your way through the Apollo 11 Moon landing--the perfect book for fun and educational reading! Reader beware! This book is filled with adventure that is out of this world! You will have three chances to join the space program and help the Apollo missions reach the moon! Flight Director: You're the boss at Mission Control! Can you make split second decisions to keep the astronauts safe on their trip to the moon? Flight Commander: You're the astronaut in charge on the spacecraft. You'll face problems as big as an explosion on the ship and as small as what to eat in space! Moon Buggy Driver: You get to explore the moon's surface...if you can safely land on its surface first! In the Escape This Book series, YOU are the star of history! In this third book, you'll complete challenges similar to what the astronauts faced on Apollo 11 and 13 and get to meet famous NASA employees like Neil Armstrong and Katherine Johnson! Don't be afraid to rip or fold a page. Your mission might depend on it!

Staying with the Trouble

Author : Donna J. Haraway
Publisher : Duke University Press
ISBN 13 : 0822373785
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (223 download)

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Book Synopsis Staying with the Trouble by : Donna J. Haraway

Download or read book Staying with the Trouble written by Donna J. Haraway and published by Duke University Press. This book was released on 2016-08-25 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the midst of spiraling ecological devastation, multispecies feminist theorist Donna J. Haraway offers provocative new ways to reconfigure our relations to the earth and all its inhabitants. She eschews referring to our current epoch as the Anthropocene, preferring to conceptualize it as what she calls the Chthulucene, as it more aptly and fully describes our epoch as one in which the human and nonhuman are inextricably linked in tentacular practices. The Chthulucene, Haraway explains, requires sym-poiesis, or making-with, rather than auto-poiesis, or self-making. Learning to stay with the trouble of living and dying together on a damaged earth will prove more conducive to the kind of thinking that would provide the means to building more livable futures. Theoretically and methodologically driven by the signifier SF—string figures, science fact, science fiction, speculative feminism, speculative fabulation, so far—Staying with the Trouble further cements Haraway's reputation as one of the most daring and original thinkers of our time.

Escape from Atlantis

Author : Kate O'Hearn
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1534456937
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Atlantis by : Kate O'Hearn

Download or read book Escape from Atlantis written by Kate O'Hearn and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2021-12-14 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the Pegasus series comes a spellbinding first book in a new fantasy series for fans of Rick Riordan and Shannon Messenger following two cousins whose summer vacation gets swept away by a storm that lands them on the lost island of Atlantis. The last way that Riley Evans wanted to spend spring break was studying whales on the family sailboat in the middle of the Bermuda Triangle. With only her dad, aunt, and annoying cousin Alfie for company, she is so bored staring at the waves that she’s starting to see mermaids between them. But when their boat is capsized during a sudden storm, Riley finds more excitement than she bargained for as she and Alfie are washed ashore with neither of their parents in sight. Where they’ve been shipwrecked is no deserted island, though. Atlantis is a place beyond imagination, inhabited by both people and incredible creatures ranging from unicorns and gargoyles to talking animals. But not everyone welcomes the cousins’ arrival, and beneath the wonder of this mythical land lurk dangerous secrets—something strange is happening to the inhabitants. What Riley wants more than anything is to find her father and go home. But the closer she gets to this goal, the more the islanders seem determined to keep her from reaching it. As Riley and Alfie unravel the mystery of Atlantis and its most terrifying part, the Forbidden Zone, they realize that the clock is ticking. If they can’t learn what happened to their parents and find a way off the island soon, it may be too late to leave.

Escape from Rome

Author : Walter Scheidel
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691216738
Total Pages : 698 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from Rome by : Walter Scheidel

Download or read book Escape from Rome written by Walter Scheidel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-03-16 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The gripping story of how the end of the Roman Empire was the beginning of the modern world The fall of the Roman Empire has long been considered one of the greatest disasters in history. But in this groundbreaking book, Walter Scheidel argues that Rome's dramatic collapse was actually the best thing that ever happened, clearing the path for Europe's economic rise and the creation of the modern age. Ranging across the entire premodern world, Escape from Rome offers new answers to some of the biggest questions in history: Why did the Roman Empire appear? Why did nothing like it ever return to Europe? And, above all, why did Europeans come to dominate the world? In an absorbing narrative that begins with ancient Rome but stretches far beyond it, from Byzantium to China and from Genghis Khan to Napoleon, Scheidel shows how the demise of Rome and the enduring failure of empire-building on European soil launched an economic transformation that changed the continent and ultimately the world.

Escape from the Ordinary

Author : Julie Bradley
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781732918405
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis Escape from the Ordinary by : Julie Bradley

Download or read book Escape from the Ordinary written by Julie Bradley and published by . This book was released on 2018-12-14 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Retire early, sell everything, buy a boat and sail around the world. What could go wrong? Told with great suspense and sparkling with wry humor, Escape from the Ordinary captures the terrors and pleasures that come with forging ahead against great odds on the adventure of a lifetime.

Jesus Land

Author : Julia Scheeres
Publisher : Catapult
ISBN 13 : 161902134X
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Jesus Land by : Julia Scheeres

Download or read book Jesus Land written by Julia Scheeres and published by Catapult. This book was released on 2012-10-30 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: New York Times bestseller: An “exquisitely wrought memoir” about how “love can flourish even in the harshest climates”—for readers of The Liar’s Club and Running with Scissors (People). This poignant, darkly funny account of two siblings—one white, one Black—growing up in the Christian fundamentalist communities of Indiana and the Dominican Republic is “one of the best memoirs in years” (Anne Lamott, author of Bird by Bird). Julia and her adopted brother, David, are 16 years old. Julia is white. David is black. It is the mid–1980s and their family has just moved to rural Indiana, a landscape of cottonwood trees, trailer parks, and an all–encompassing racism. At home are a distant mother—more involved with her church’s missionaries than her own children—and a violent father. In this riveting and heartrending memoir, Julia Scheeres takes us from the Midwest to a place beyond imagining. Surrounded by natural beauty, Escuela Caribe—a religious reform school in the Dominican Republic—is characterized by a disciplinary regime that extracts repentance from its students by any means necessary. Julia and David strive to make it through these ordeals and their tale is relayed here with startling immediacy, extreme candor, and wry humor. Over a decade after its first publication, Jesus Land remains deeply resonant with readers. This New York Times bestselling memoir is a gripping tale of rage and redemption, hope and humor, morality and malice—and most of all, the truth: that being a good person takes more than just going to church.