Noise

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Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.

Judgment Misguided

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195111087
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (951 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Misguided by : Jonathan Baron

Download or read book Judgment Misguided written by Jonathan Baron and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1998 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.

Unbelievable Errors

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198785895
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Unbelievable Errors by : Bart Streumer

Download or read book Unbelievable Errors written by Bart Streumer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unbelievable Errors defends an error theory about all normative judgements: not just moral judgements, but also judgements about reasons for action, judgements about reasons for belief, and instrumental normative judgements. This theory states that normative judgements are beliefs that ascribe normative properties, but that normative properties do not exist. It therefore entails that all normative judgements are false. Bart Streumer also argues, however, that we cannot believe this error theory. This may seem to be a problem for the theory. But he argues that it makes this error theory more likely to be true, since it undermines objections to the theory and it makes it harder to reject the arguments for the theory. He then sketches how certain other philosophical theories can be defended in a similar way. He concludes that to make philosophical progress, we need to make a sharp distinction between a theory's truth and our ability to believe it.

Errors of Judgment

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Publisher : Allison & Busby
ISBN 13 : 0749014822
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Errors of Judgment by : Caro Fraser

Download or read book Errors of Judgment written by Caro Fraser and published by Allison & Busby. This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a hedonistic personal lifestyle so often at odds with his professional existence, Leo Davies QC, head of chambers at 5 Caper Court, is thinking he has perhaps reached an age when he should opt for a quieter pace of life. But when a lovely face from the past turns up, an ex-lover who can give him a run for his money any day in games of sex and intrigue, Leo realizes he relishes the challenges as much as ever. And what of Anthony Cross, younger member of chambers, former love interest, and the man Leo has never quite been able to rid from his mind? When Anthony falls in love with a beguiling young law student, it sets off a chain of events in which Leo is more closely involved than he ever could have imagined. Behind the sedate exterior of 5 Caper Court, the lives of its employees twist and turn in ever more intriguing ways ...

Common Errors in English Usage

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Author :
Publisher : Franklin, Beedle & Associates, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1887902899
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis Common Errors in English Usage by : Paul Brians

Download or read book Common Errors in English Usage written by Paul Brians and published by Franklin, Beedle & Associates, Inc.. This book was released on 2003 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Online version of Common Errors in English Usage written by Paul Brians.

Merry and McCall Smith's Errors, Medicine and the Law

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110718049X
Total Pages : 427 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Merry and McCall Smith's Errors, Medicine and the Law by : Alan Merry

Download or read book Merry and McCall Smith's Errors, Medicine and the Law written by Alan Merry and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-04-13 with total page 427 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Errors and violations harm many patients: this book explores how to improve both accountability and patient safety in healthcare.

Unbelievable Errors

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0191088951
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Unbelievable Errors by : Bart Streumer

Download or read book Unbelievable Errors written by Bart Streumer and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017-08-11 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Unbelievable Errors, Bart Streumer defends an error theory about all normative judgements: not just moral judgements, but also judgements about reasons for action, judgements about reasons for belief, and instrumental normative judgements. This theory says that these judgements are beliefs that ascribe normative properties, but that these properties do not exist. It therefore entails that all normative judgements are false. Streumer also argues, however, that we cannot believe this error theory. This may seem to be a problem for the theory, but he argues that it is not. Instead, he argues, our inability to believe this error theory makes the theory more likely to be true, since it undermines objections to the theory, it makes it harder to reject the arguments for the theory, and it undermines revisionary alternatives to the theory. Streumer then sketches how certain other philosophical views can be defended in a similar way, and how philosophers should modify their method if there can be true theories that we cannot believe. He concludes that to make philosophical progress, we should sharply distinguish the truth of a theory from our ability to believe it

Assessing the Nursing and Care Needs of Older Adults

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Author :
Publisher : Radcliffe Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781857757187
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (571 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing the Nursing and Care Needs of Older Adults by : Helen Taylor (PhD.)

Download or read book Assessing the Nursing and Care Needs of Older Adults written by Helen Taylor (PhD.) and published by Radcliffe Publishing. This book was released on 2005 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Health resources are becoming increasingly constrained. So it is essential that professionals, and the public, recognise the need to work together in establishing local priorities and collaborate in their implementation. Priority Setting and The Public challenges many widely accepted beliefs and perceptions. It links together academic literature, critical overviews of methods and approaches with practical applications and original research. It shows the different approaches to engaging the public, challenges and how progress can be achieved. A wide number of methods, from a range of disciplines are described, reviewed and guidance is given on factors to consider for selection. This book is essential reading for all health service and primary care organisations, especially those responsible for resource allocation, clinical governance and public health.

Decisive

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Publisher : Random House Canada
ISBN 13 : 0307361144
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Decisive by : Chip Heath

Download or read book Decisive written by Chip Heath and published by Random House Canada. This book was released on 2013-03-26 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The four principles that can help us to overcome our brains' natural biases to make better, more informed decisions--in our lives, careers, families and organizations. In Decisive, Chip Heath and Dan Heath, the bestselling authors of Made to Stick and Switch, tackle the thorny problem of how to overcome our natural biases and irrational thinking to make better decisions, about our work, lives, companies and careers. When it comes to decision making, our brains are flawed instruments. But given that we are biologically hard-wired to act foolishly and behave irrationally at times, how can we do better? A number of recent bestsellers have identified how irrational our decision making can be. But being aware of a bias doesn't correct it, just as knowing that you are nearsighted doesn't help you to see better. In Decisive, the Heath brothers, drawing on extensive studies, stories and research, offer specific, practical tools that can help us to think more clearly about our options, and get out of our heads, to improve our decision making, at work and at home.

Judgment Under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521284141
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (841 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Under Uncertainty by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1982-04-30 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thirty-five chapters describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments, but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas rather than describing single experimental studies.

Journals of the House of Lords

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 628 pages
Book Rating : 4.B/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Journals of the House of Lords by :

Download or read book Journals of the House of Lords written by and published by . This book was released on 1808 with total page 628 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Material Falsity and Error in Descartes' Meditations

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134270941
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (342 download)

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Book Synopsis Material Falsity and Error in Descartes' Meditations by : Cecilia Wee

Download or read book Material Falsity and Error in Descartes' Meditations written by Cecilia Wee and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2006-09-27 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presenting an independent reading on issues of interest, such as Descartes' view on error, truth and falsehood, this book makes important contributions to topics that have been the focus of recent scholarship, such as Descartes' ethics and theodicy.

EXPERIMENTS IN PSYCHOLOGY

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Publisher : PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 8120350375
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis EXPERIMENTS IN PSYCHOLOGY by : AKBAR HUSSAIN

Download or read book EXPERIMENTS IN PSYCHOLOGY written by AKBAR HUSSAIN and published by PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.. This book was released on 2014-10-11 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Primarily intended for the undergraduate and postgraduate students of psychology, this book will help understand the methodology of experiments and the basic concepts of experimental psychology. Since the experiments are described in detail with the help of purely hypothetical data, the readers will easily understand the procedure and the steps involved in each experiment. Complete reports of more than fifty experiments will certainly help understand the significance of each step in an experiment. The detailed description of experiments will also help in conceptualising relevant problems and designing appropriate experiments. Another feature is that, more than half of the experiments described in the book do not require sophisticated apparatus. Key Features • Sample data are provided in each experiment. • Theoretical background of experiments is sufficient and clear. • Sample data are analysed with the help of statistical techniques. • Language is lucid and easy to comprehend. • Experiments on most of the topics have been covered.

Safety and Ethics in Healthcare

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Publisher : Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 9780754644378
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (443 download)

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Book Synopsis Safety and Ethics in Healthcare by : Bill Runciman

Download or read book Safety and Ethics in Healthcare written by Bill Runciman and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2007 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A single coherent source of information on the various interlinking domains of patient safety, litigation and ethical behaviour, based on accounts of real-life situations and intended for all healthcare students, specialists and administrators.

An Analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's Judgment Under Uncertainty

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351350609
Total Pages : 93 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (513 download)

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Book Synopsis An Analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's Judgment Under Uncertainty by : Camille Morvan

Download or read book An Analysis of Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman's Judgment Under Uncertainty written by Camille Morvan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-07-05 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman’s 1974 paper ‘Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases’ is a landmark in the history of psychology. Though a mere seven pages long, it has helped reshape the study of human rationality, and had a particular impact on economics – where Tversky and Kahneman’s work helped shape the entirely new sub discipline of ‘behavioral economics.’ The paper investigates human decision-making, specifically what human brains tend to do when we are forced to deal with uncertainty or complexity. Based on experiments carried out with volunteers, Tversky and Kahneman discovered that humans make predictable errors of judgement when forced to deal with ambiguous evidence or make challenging decisions. These errors stem from ‘heuristics’ and ‘biases’ – mental shortcuts and assumptions that allow us to make swift, automatic decisions, often usefully and correctly, but occasionally to our detriment. The paper’s huge influence is due in no small part to its masterful use of high-level interpretative and analytical skills – expressed in Tversky and Kahneman’s concise and clear definitions of the basic heuristics and biases they discovered. Still providing the foundations of new work in the field 40 years later, the two psychologists’ definitions are a model of how good interpretation underpins incisive critical thinking.

Thinking, Fast and Slow

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Author :
Publisher : Farrar, Straus and Giroux
ISBN 13 : 1429969350
Total Pages : 511 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis Thinking, Fast and Slow by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Thinking, Fast and Slow written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Farrar, Straus and Giroux. This book was released on 2011-10-25 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: *Major New York Times Bestseller *More than 2.6 million copies sold *One of The New York Times Book Review's ten best books of the year *Selected by The Wall Street Journal as one of the best nonfiction books of the year *Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient *Daniel Kahneman's work with Amos Tversky is the subject of Michael Lewis's best-selling The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, world-famous psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions. Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives—and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Topping bestseller lists for almost ten years, Thinking, Fast and Slow is a contemporary classic, an essential book that has changed the lives of millions of readers.

The Practising Attorney

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 582 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Practising Attorney by : William Bohun

Download or read book The Practising Attorney written by William Bohun and published by . This book was released on 1724 with total page 582 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: