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Author : D. J. Daley
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521640794
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (47 download)
Download or read book Epidemic Modelling written by D. J. Daley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-13 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a general introduction to the mathematical modelling of diseases.
Author : George Christakos
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540281657
Total Pages : 332 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (42 download)
Download or read book Interdisciplinary Public Health Reasoning and Epidemic Modelling: The Case of Black Death written by George Christakos and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-24 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This multidisciplinary reference takes the reader through all four major phases of interdisciplinary inquiry: adequate conceptualization, rigorous formulation, substantive interpretation, and innovative implementation. The text introduces a novel synthetic paradigm of public health reasoning and epidemic modelling, and implements it with a study of the infamous 14th century AD Black Death disaster that killed at least one-fourth of the European population.
Author : Ottar N. Bjørnstad
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319974874
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)
Download or read book Epidemics written by Ottar N. Bjørnstad and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-10-30 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is designed to be a practical study in infectious disease dynamics. The book offers an easy to follow implementation and analysis of mathematical epidemiology. The book focuses on recent case studies in order to explore various conceptual, mathematical, and statistical issues. The dynamics of infectious diseases shows a wide diversity of pattern. Some have locally persistent chains-of-transmission, others persist spatially in ‘consumer-resource metapopulations’. Some infections are prevalent among the young, some among the old and some are age-invariant. Temporally, some diseases have little variation in prevalence, some have predictable seasonal shifts and others exhibit violent epidemics that may be regular or irregular in their timing. Models and ‘models-with-data’ have proved invaluable for understanding and predicting this diversity, and thence help improve intervention and control. Using mathematical models to understand infectious disease dynamics has a very rich history in epidemiology. The field has seen broad expansions of theories as well as a surge in real-life application of mathematics to dynamics and control of infectious disease. The chapters of Epidemics: Models and Data using R have been organized in a reasonably logical way: Chapters 1-10 is a mix and match of models, data and statistics pertaining to local disease dynamics; Chapters 11-13 pertains to spatial and spatiotemporal dynamics; Chapter 14 highlights similarities between the dynamics of infectious disease and parasitoid-host dynamics; Finally, Chapters 15 and 16 overview additional statistical methodology useful in studies of infectious disease dynamics. This book can be used as a guide for working with data, models and ‘models-and-data’ to understand epidemics and infectious disease dynamics in space and time.
Author : Xue-Zhi Li
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030424960
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)
Download or read book Age Structured Epidemic Modeling written by Xue-Zhi Li and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-05-28 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces advanced mathematical methods and techniques for analysis and simulation of models in mathematical epidemiology. Chronological age and class-age play an important role in the description of infectious diseases and this text provides the tools for the analysis of this type of partial differential equation models. This book presents general theoretical tools as well as large number of specific examples to guide the reader to develop their own tools that they may then apply to study structured models in mathematical epidemiology. The book will be a valuable addition to the arsenal of all researchers interested in developing theory or studying specific models with age structure.
Author : Xinzhi Liu
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319532081
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book Infectious Disease Modeling written by Xinzhi Liu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-25 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents infectious diseases modeled mathematically, taking seasonality and changes in population behavior into account, using a switched and hybrid systems framework. The scope of coverage includes background on mathematical epidemiology, including classical formulations and results; a motivation for seasonal effects and changes in population behavior, an investigation into term-time forced epidemic models with switching parameters, and a detailed account of several different control strategies. The main goal is to study these models theoretically and to establish conditions under which eradication or persistence of the disease is guaranteed. In doing so, the long-term behavior of the models is determined through mathematical techniques from switched systems theory. Numerical simulations are also given to augment and illustrate the theoretical results and to help study the efficacy of the control schemes.
Author : István Z. Kiss
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319508067
Total Pages : 423 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)
Download or read book Mathematics of Epidemics on Networks written by István Z. Kiss and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-08 with total page 423 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides an exciting new addition to the area of network science featuring a stronger and more methodical link of models to their mathematical origin and explains how these relate to each other with special focus on epidemic spread on networks. The content of the book is at the interface of graph theory, stochastic processes and dynamical systems. The authors set out to make a significant contribution to closing the gap between model development and the supporting mathematics. This is done by: Summarising and presenting the state-of-the-art in modeling epidemics on networks with results and readily usable models signposted throughout the book; Presenting different mathematical approaches to formulate exact and solvable models; Identifying the concrete links between approximate models and their rigorous mathematical representation; Presenting a model hierarchy and clearly highlighting the links between model assumptions and model complexity; Providing a reference source for advanced undergraduate students, as well as doctoral students, postdoctoral researchers and academic experts who are engaged in modeling stochastic processes on networks; Providing software that can solve differential equation models or directly simulate epidemics on networks. Replete with numerous diagrams, examples, instructive exercises, and online access to simulation algorithms and readily usable code, this book will appeal to a wide spectrum of readers from different backgrounds and academic levels. Appropriate for students with or without a strong background in mathematics, this textbook can form the basis of an advanced undergraduate or graduate course in both mathematics and other departments alike.
Author : Institute of Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309185548
Total Pages : 397 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Microbial Threats to Health written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-08-25 with total page 397 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Infectious diseases are a global hazard that puts every nation and every person at risk. The recent SARS outbreak is a prime example. Knowing neither geographic nor political borders, often arriving silently and lethally, microbial pathogens constitute a grave threat to the health of humans. Indeed, a majority of countries recently identified the spread of infectious disease as the greatest global problem they confront. Throughout history, humans have struggled to control both the causes and consequences of infectious diseases and we will continue to do so into the foreseeable future. Following up on a high-profile 1992 report from the Institute of Medicine, Microbial Threats to Health examines the current state of knowledge and policy pertaining to emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases from around the globe. It examines the spectrum of microbial threats, factors in disease emergence, and the ultimate capacity of the United States to meet the challenges posed by microbial threats to human health. From the impact of war or technology on disease emergence to the development of enhanced disease surveillance and vaccine strategies, Microbial Threats to Health contains valuable information for researchers, students, health care providers, policymakers, public health officials. and the interested public.
Author : Hakan Andersson
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461211581
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Epidemic Models and Their Statistical Analysis written by Hakan Andersson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present lecture notes describe stochastic epidemic models and methods for their statistical analysis. Our aim is to present ideas for such models, and methods for their analysis; along the way we make practical use of several probabilistic and statistical techniques. This will be done without focusing on any specific disease, and instead rigorously analyzing rather simple models. The reader of these lecture notes could thus have a two-fold purpose in mind: to learn about epidemic models and their statistical analysis, and/or to learn and apply techniques in probability and statistics. The lecture notes require an early graduate level knowledge of probability and They introduce several techniques which might be new to students, but our statistics. intention is to present these keeping the technical level at a minlmum. Techniques that are explained and applied in the lecture notes are, for example: coupling, diffusion approximation, random graphs, likelihood theory for counting processes, martingales, the EM-algorithm and MCMC methods. The aim is to introduce and apply these techniques, thus hopefully motivating their further theoretical treatment. A few sections, mainly in Chapter 5, assume some knowledge of weak convergence; we hope that readers not familiar with this theory can understand the these parts at a heuristic level. The text is divided into two distinct but related parts: modelling and estimation.
Author : Denis Mollison
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521475365
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (753 download)
Download or read book Epidemic Models written by Denis Mollison and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1995-07-13 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Surveys the state of epidemic modelling, resulting from the NATO Advanced Workshop at the Newton Institute in 1993.
Author : Nicolas Bacaër
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0857291157
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (572 download)
Download or read book A Short History of Mathematical Population Dynamics written by Nicolas Bacaër and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-02-01 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As Eugene Wigner stressed, mathematics has proven unreasonably effective in the physical sciences and their technological applications. The role of mathematics in the biological, medical and social sciences has been much more modest but has recently grown thanks to the simulation capacity offered by modern computers. This book traces the history of population dynamics---a theoretical subject closely connected to genetics, ecology, epidemiology and demography---where mathematics has brought significant insights. It presents an overview of the genesis of several important themes: exponential growth, from Euler and Malthus to the Chinese one-child policy; the development of stochastic models, from Mendel's laws and the question of extinction of family names to percolation theory for the spread of epidemics, and chaotic populations, where determinism and randomness intertwine. The reader of this book will see, from a different perspective, the problems that scientists face when governments ask for reliable predictions to help control epidemics (AIDS, SARS, swine flu), manage renewable resources (fishing quotas, spread of genetically modified organisms) or anticipate demographic evolutions such as aging.
Author : Tom Britton
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030309002
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Epidemic Models with Inference written by Tom Britton and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-30 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focussing on stochastic models for the spread of infectious diseases in a human population, this book is the outcome of a two-week ICPAM/CIMPA school on "Stochastic models of epidemics" which took place in Ziguinchor, Senegal, December 5–16, 2015. The text is divided into four parts, each based on one of the courses given at the school: homogeneous models (Tom Britton and Etienne Pardoux), two-level mixing models (David Sirl and Frank Ball), epidemics on graphs (Viet Chi Tran), and statistics for epidemic models (Catherine Larédo). The CIMPA school was aimed at PhD students and Post Docs in the mathematical sciences. Parts (or all) of this book can be used as the basis for traditional or individual reading courses on the topic. For this reason, examples and exercises (some with solutions) are provided throughout.
Author : Maia Martcheva
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1489976124
Total Pages : 453 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (899 download)
Download or read book An Introduction to Mathematical Epidemiology written by Maia Martcheva and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-10-20 with total page 453 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the mathematical modeling and analysis of infectious diseases. It includes model building, fitting to data, local and global analysis techniques. Various types of deterministic dynamical models are considered: ordinary differential equation models, delay-differential equation models, difference equation models, age-structured PDE models and diffusion models. It includes various techniques for the computation of the basic reproduction number as well as approaches to the epidemiological interpretation of the reproduction number. MATLAB code is included to facilitate the data fitting and the simulation with age-structured models.
Author : D. J. Daley
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521014670
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (146 download)
Download or read book Epidemic Modelling written by D. J. Daley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-05-28 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a general introduction to the mathematical modelling of diseases.
Author : Linda J. S. Allen
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331921554X
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Population and Epidemic Models written by Linda J. S. Allen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-08-20 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph provides a summary of the basic theory of branching processes for single-type and multi-type processes. Classic examples of population and epidemic models illustrate the probability of population or epidemic extinction obtained from the theory of branching processes. The first chapter develops the branching process theory, while in the second chapter two applications to population and epidemic processes of single-type branching process theory are explored. The last two chapters present multi-type branching process applications to epidemic models, and then continuous-time and continuous-state branching processes with applications. In addition, several MATLAB programs for simulating stochastic sample paths are provided in an Appendix. These notes originated as part of a lecture series on Stochastics in Biological Systems at the Mathematical Biosciences Institute in Ohio, USA. Professor Linda Allen is a Paul Whitfield Horn Professor of Mathematics in the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at Texas Tech University, USA.
Author : O. Diekmann
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471492412
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (924 download)
Download or read book Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases written by O. Diekmann and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2000-04-07 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation O. Diekmann University of Utrecht, The Netherlands J. A. P. Heesterbeek Centre for Biometry Wageningen, The Netherlands The mathematical modelling of epidemics in populations is a vast and important area of study. It is about translating biological assumptions into mathematics, about mathematical analysis aided by interpretation and about obtaining insight into epidemic phenomena when translating mathematical results back into population biology. Model assumptions are formulated in terms of, usually stochastic, behaviour of individuals and then the resulting phenomena, at the population level, are unravelled. Conceptual clarity is attained, assumptions are stated clearly, hidden working hypotheses are attained and mechanistic links between different observables are exposed. Features: * Model construction, analysis and interpretation receive detailed attention * Uniquely covers both deterministic and stochastic viewpoints * Examples of applications given throughout * Extensive coverage of the latest research into the mathematical modelling of epidemics of infectious diseases * Provides a solid foundation of modelling skills The reader will learn to translate, model, analyse and interpret, with the help of the numerous exercises. In literally working through this text, the reader acquires modelling skills that are also valuable outside of epidemiology, certainly within population dynamics, but even beyond that. In addition, the reader receives training in mathematical argumentation. The text is aimed at applied mathematicians with an interest in population biology and epidemiology, at theoretical biologists and epidemiologists. Previous exposure to epidemic concepts is not required, as all background information is given. The book is primarily aimed at self-study and ideally suited for small discussion groups, or for use as a course text.
Author : Fred Brauer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540789103
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)
Download or read book Mathematical Epidemiology written by Fred Brauer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on lecture notes of two summer schools with a mixed audience from mathematical sciences, epidemiology and public health, this volume offers a comprehensive introduction to basic ideas and techniques in modeling infectious diseases, for the comparison of strategies to plan for an anticipated epidemic or pandemic, and to deal with a disease outbreak in real time. It covers detailed case studies for diseases including pandemic influenza, West Nile virus, and childhood diseases. Models for other diseases including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, fox rabies, and sexually transmitted infections are included as applications. Its chapters are coherent and complementary independent units. In order to accustom students to look at the current literature and to experience different perspectives, no attempt has been made to achieve united writing style or unified notation. Notes on some mathematical background (calculus, matrix algebra, differential equations, and probability) have been prepared and may be downloaded at the web site of the Centre for Disease Modeling (www.cdm.yorku.ca).
Author : Michael Y. Li
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319721224
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)
Download or read book An Introduction to Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases written by Michael Y. Li and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-01-30 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text provides essential modeling skills and methodology for the study of infectious diseases through a one-semester modeling course or directed individual studies. The book includes mathematical descriptions of epidemiological concepts, and uses classic epidemic models to introduce different mathematical methods in model analysis. Matlab codes are also included for numerical implementations. It is primarily written for upper undergraduate and beginning graduate students in mathematical sciences who have an interest in mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Although written in a rigorous mathematical manner, the style is not unfriendly to non-mathematicians.
