Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation by : Charlotte Gardes-Landolfini

Download or read book Energy Transition and Geoeconomic Fragmentation written by Charlotte Gardes-Landolfini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-11-28 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The transition to a low-carbon economy, which is needed to mitigate climate change and meet the Paris Agreement temperature goals, has been affected by the supply chain and energy supply disruptions that originated during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the subsequent energy crisis and exacerbation of geopolitical tensions. These developments, and the broader context of the ongoing “polycrisis,” can affect future decarbonization scenarios. This reflects three main factors: (1) pullbacks in climate mitigation policies and increased carbon lock-in in fossil fuel infrastructure and policymaking; (2) the decreasing likelihood of continuous cost reduction in renewable energy technologies; and (3) the likely intensification of macroeconomic shocks amid increasing geoeconomic fragmentation, and the associated policy responses. In this context, the note assesses the implications of the polycrisis for hypothetical scenarios used to assess climate-related financial risks. Following an analysis of the channels through which these effects are likely to materialize over short- and long-term horizons and some policy implications, the note proposes potential adjustments to the design of the climate scenarios used by financial institutions, central banks, and financial sector supervisors and regulators within their risk management frameworks.

The Geopolitics of the Global Energy Transition

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030390667
Total Pages : 398 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis The Geopolitics of the Global Energy Transition by : Manfred Hafner

Download or read book The Geopolitics of the Global Energy Transition written by Manfred Hafner and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-06-09 with total page 398 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world is currently undergoing an historic energy transition, driven by increasingly stringent decarbonisation policies and rapid advances in low-carbon technologies. The large-scale shift to low-carbon energy is disrupting the global energy system, impacting whole economies, and changing the political dynamics within and between countries. This open access book, written by leading energy scholars, examines the economic and geopolitical implications of the global energy transition, from both regional and thematic perspectives. The first part of the book addresses the geopolitical implications in the world’s main energy-producing and energy-consuming regions, while the second presents in-depth case studies on selected issues, ranging from the geopolitics of renewable energy, to the mineral foundations of the global energy transformation, to governance issues in connection with the changing global energy order. Given its scope, the book will appeal to researchers in energy, climate change and international relations, as well as to professionals working in the energy industry.

Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 78 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets by : Mr. Jorge A Alvarez

Download or read book Geoeconomic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets written by Mr. Jorge A Alvarez and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-10-03 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the economic impact of fragmentation of commodity trade. We assemble a novel dataset of production and bilateral trade flows of the 48 most important energy, mineral and agricultural commodities. We develop a partial equilibrium framework to assess which commodity markets are most vulnerable in the event of trade disruptions and the economic risks that they pose. We find that commodity trade fragmentation – which has accelerated since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – could cause large price changes and price volatility for many commodities. Mineral markets critical for the clean energy transition and selected agricultural commodity markets appear among the most vulnerable in the hypothetical segmentation of the world into two geopolitical blocs examined in the paper. Trade disruptions result in heterogeneous impacts on economic surplus across countries. However, due to offsetting effects across commodity producing and consuming countries, surplus losses appear modest at the global level.

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis by :

Download or read book written by and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Trinidad and Tobago

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Trinidad and Tobago by : International Monetary

Download or read book Trinidad and Tobago written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-06-05 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economy continues to recover while inflation is low. Banks’ credit is expanding, and the financial sector appears sound and stable. The current account is in surplus and international reserve coverage is adequate. The fiscal position in FY2023 was better than budgeted, while public debt remained below the authorities’ soft debt target.

World Economic Outlook, October 2023

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 2023 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2023 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-10-10 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest World Economic Outlook reports signs that policy tightening is starting to cool activity despite core inflation proving persistent. Risks are more balanced as banking sector stress has receded, but they remain tilted to the downside. Monetary policy should stay the course to bring inflation to target, while fiscal consolidation is needed to tackle soaring debts. Structural reforms are crucial to revive medium-term growth prospects amid constrained policy space.

Belgium

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Belgium by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Belgium written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-12-08 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial sector has remained resilient to a series of shocks and is well capitalized and profitable, but risks remain. Bank profitability and capital have surpassed pre-pandemic levels. Liquidity buffers remain strong and banks’ direct exposures to Russia are limited. The insurance and investment funds sectors have also weathered the pandemic well. There is limited evidence of credit or asset price booms over the past decade. However, inflationary pressures, partly the result of spillovers from Russia’s war on Ukraine, and a rapid tightening of financial conditions have weakened activity and reined in credit demand. Among high uncertainty, GDP growth is projected to slow in 2023, before returning to potential over the medium-term.

Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition by : Etienne Espagne

Download or read book Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition written by Etienne Espagne and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-09-08 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system.

Review of Maritime Transport 2023

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Publisher : Stylus Publishing, LLC
ISBN 13 : 9213585500
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of Maritime Transport 2023 by : United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

Download or read book Review of Maritime Transport 2023 written by United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and published by Stylus Publishing, LLC. This book was released on 2023-09-28 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Review of Maritime Transport is an UNCTAD flagship publication, published annually since 1968. Around 80 per cent of the volume of international trade in goods is carried by sea, and the percentage is even higher for most developing countries. The Review of Maritime Transport provides an analysis of structural and cyclical changes affecting seaborne trade, ports and shipping, as well as an extensive collection of statistical information. The report calls for a “just and equitable transition” to a decarbonized shipping industry. The sector, whose greenhouse gas emissions have risen 20% over the last decade, operates an ageing fleet that runs almost exclusively on fossil fuels. As global leaders prepare for the next UN climate conference (COP28), UNCTAD advocates for system-wide collaboration, swift regulatory intervention and stronger investments in green technologies and fleets. Full decarbonization by 2050 will require massive investments and could lead to higher maritime logistics costs, raising concerns for vulnerable shipping-reliant nations like small island developing states. The report emphasizes the need to balance environmental goals with economic needs but underscores that the cost of inaction far outweighs the required investments. The report recommends policy actions to overcome supply chain hurdles African countries face, including poor logistics, low levels of technology, fragmented markets, limited capital sources, and weak institutions and regulations. Beyond cleaner fuels, the industry needs to move faster towards digital solutions like AI and blockchain to improve efficiency as well as sustainability. In its analysis of global maritime trends, the report highlights shipping’s resilience despite major challenges stemming from global crises, such as the war in Ukraine. Maritime trade is expected to grow 2.4% in 2023 and more than 3% between 2024 and 2028.

Mexico

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 105 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Mexico by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Download or read book Mexico written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-11 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A broad-based expansion is underway, with robust domestic demand. Inflation has started to recede, and prudent fiscal policy has kept public debt in check. The changes underway in the global economy—including a shift to a lower carbon economy and the reshaping of supply chains—provide an important opportunity for Mexico. However, a broad set of reforms will be needed to translate this opportunity into improved employment prospects and better living standards.

Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU by : Chikako Baba

Download or read book Geoeconomic Fragmentation: What’s at Stake for the EU written by Chikako Baba and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-11-30 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Geoeconomic fragmentation (GEF) is becoming entrenched worldwide, and the European Union (EU) is not immune to its effects. This paper takes stock of GEF policies impinging on—and adopted by—the EU and considers how exposed the EU is through trade, financial and technological channels. Motivated by current policies adopted by other countries, the paper then simulates how various measures—raising costs of trade and technology transfer and fossil fuel prices, and imposition of sectoral subsidies—would affect the EU economy. Due to its high-degree of openness, the EU is found to be exposed to GEF through multiple channels, with simulated losses that differ significantly across scenarios. From a welfare perspective, this suggests the need for a cautious approach to GEF policies. The EU’s best defence against GEF is to strengthen the Single Market while advocating for a multilateral rules-based trading system.

Riding the Energy Transition

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484301242
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Riding the Energy Transition by : Reda Cherif

Download or read book Riding the Energy Transition written by Reda Cherif and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-22 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology. The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil consumption substantially in the coming decades. Our analysis suggests that oil as the main fuel for transportation could have a much shorter life span left than commonly assumed. In the fast adoption scenario, oil prices could converge to the level of coal prices, about $15 per barrel in 2015 prices by the early 2040s. In this possible future, oil could become the new coal.

Euro Area Policies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 103 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Euro Area Policies by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Download or read book Euro Area Policies written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-07-19 with total page 103 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The euro area economy has shown resilience in the aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the largest terms of trade loss in several decades, reflecting strong policy efforts to secure gas supplies and cushion disposable incomes. Nonetheless, activity has weakened, with the economy slipping into a mild technical recession in early 2023, and inflation is far above target. While headline inflation has started to decline with the easing of supply bottlenecks and energy prices, core inflation is proving more persistent. Euro area banks are well capitalized and liquid overall, but the rapid tightening of monetary policy after a prolonged period of accommodation can expose pockets of weakness in the financial system, including in the nonbank sector.

Canada

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Canada by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Download or read book Canada written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-07-27 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Growth is slowing and headline inflation falling rapidly, but, as in other countries, core inflation has been stickier and short-term expectations elevated in the context of still-tight labor markets. The financial system appears broadly resilient despite global banking stresses and ongoing mortgage resets at higher interest rates. With the world moving from one crisis to the next, risks to a highly open economy like Canada are substantial and compound domestic vulnerabilities related to inflation expectations, the housing market, and household leverage. The outlook thus remains uncertain, and shocks could push the economy into a mild recession.

Challenges of European External Energy Governance with Emerging Powers

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317168844
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (171 download)

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Book Synopsis Challenges of European External Energy Governance with Emerging Powers by : Michèle Knodt

Download or read book Challenges of European External Energy Governance with Emerging Powers written by Michèle Knodt and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-03-03 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a multipolar world with growing demand for energy, not least by Emerging Powers such as Brazil, India, China or South Africa (BICS), questions of EU external energy governance would at first hand appear to be a high-priority. Yet, reality tells a different story: the EU’s geographical focus remains on adjacent countries in the European neighbourhood and on issues related to energy security. Despite being Strategic Partners and engaging in energy dialogues, it seems that the EU is lacking strategic vision and is not perceived as a major actor in energy cooperation with the BICS. Thus, political momentum for energy cooperation and joint governance of scarce resources is vanishing. Resulting from three years of international, interdisciplinary research cooperation among academics and practitioners in Europe and the BICS countries within a project funded by the Volkswagen Foundation, this volume addresses one of the greatest global challenges. Specific focus lies on the bilateral energy dialogues and Strategic Partnerships between the EU and Emerging Powers regarding bilateral, inter- and transnational energy cooperation. Furthermore, the analysis provides policy recommendations in order to tap the full potential of energy cooperation between the EU and Brazil, India, China and South Africa.

Republic of Kosovo

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 97 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Republic of Kosovo by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.

Download or read book Republic of Kosovo written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-06-04 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent developments, outlook, and risks. Kosovo’s economy has continued to perform well, despite a challenging external environment. Real GDP growth moderated to 31⁄4 percent in 2023 amid subdued external demand. Inflation has decelerated sharply, reaching 2 percent y/y in the first quarter of 2024. Growth is projected to accelerate to 33⁄4 percent in 2024, driven by domestic demand. Key risks to the outlook include commodity price spikes due to geopolitical tensions, weaker activity in advanced European economies, and an escalation of tensions in northern Kosovo.

Connectivity Wars

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781910118559
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Connectivity Wars by : Mark Leonard

Download or read book Connectivity Wars written by Mark Leonard and published by . This book was released on 2017-09 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: