Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642456413
Total Pages : 153 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 153 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Structural exchange rate modeling has proven extremely difficult during the recent post-1973 float. The disappointment climaxed with the papers of Meese and Rogoff (1983a, 1983b), who showed that a "naive" random walk model distinctly dominated received theoretical models in terms of predictive performance for the major dollar spot rates. One purpose of this monograph is to seek the reasons for this failure by exploring the temporal behavior of seven major dollar exchange rates using nonstructural time-series methods. The Meese-Rogoff finding does not mean that exchange rates evolve as random walks; rather it simply means that the random walk is a better stochastic approximation than any of their other candidate models. In this monograph, we use optimal model specification techniques, including formal unit root tests which allow for trend, and find that all of the exchange rates studied do in fact evolve as random walks or random walks with drift (to a very close approximation). This result is consistent with efficient asset markets, and provides an explanation for the Meese-Rogoff results. Far more subtle forces are at work, however, which lead to interesting econometric problems and have implications for the measurement of exchange rate volatility and moment structure. It is shown that all exchange rates display substantial conditional heteroskedasticity. A particularly reasonable parameterization of this conditional heteroskedasticity, which captures the observed clustering of prediction error variances, is developed in Chapter 2.

Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates by : Richard M. Levich

Download or read book Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates written by Richard M. Levich and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theoretical and empirical research completed over the last decade has dramatically increased our understanding of exchange rate behavior. The major insight to come from this decade of research is that foreign exchange is a financial asset. In an asset pricing framework, current exchange rates reflect the expected values of future exogenous variables. The purpose of this paper is to survay the empirical evidence on exchange rate behavior, market efficiency and related topics. Section 2 presents a stylized history of exchange rate behavior during 1970's. Alternative measures of volatility and transaction costs are reviewed. Tests of specific exchange rate determination models are presented in Section 3. Empirical studies have been fairly successful in constructing models to explain cross-sectional exchange rate differences and to explain time series exchange rate developments over the medium-run and long-run. Following the asset market framework , recent studies have demonstrated that unanticipated exchange rate changes are significantly correlated with "news" concerning fundamental macroeconomic variables. Evidence on foreign exchange market efficiency is summurized in Section 4. Efficiency studies remain difficult to formulate (because of small samples and unobserved variables) and difficult to interpret ( because of the joint hypothesis problem). Several recent studies claim that speculative profit opportunities are present, but it is unclear whether these are related to risk premiums or actual market inefficiencies.

Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (226 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates by : Richard M. Levich

Download or read book Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates written by Richard M. Levich and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589067282
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance by : Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides

Download or read book Exchange Rate Analysis in Support of IMF Surveillance written by Mr.Charalambos G. Tsangarides and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-09-08 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate analysis lies at the center of the IMF's surveillance mandate and policy advice, as well as in the design of IMF-supported programs, and IMF staff are called upon to analyze a wide variety of exchange rate issues in various member countries, both small and large, from the least economically developed to the most advanced, and from those whose currencies circulate only locally to those whose currencies are of global importance. Each year, IMF staff produce dozens of studies on exchange rate issues, some published by the IMF, others in various professional journals or books. This book aims to give a flavor of the topics the IMF staff typically examine under the broad rubric of exchange rate analysis, encompassing several topics: determination and impact of the real exchange rate, assessing competitiveness and the equilibrium real exchange rate in specific countries or country groups, and considerations in the choice of exchange rate regime.

The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814468509
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates by : Imad A Moosa

Download or read book The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates written by Imad A Moosa and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009-07-15 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate economics is an important field of investigation for academics, professionals and policy-makers. This book provides a comprehensive survey of the theory of and empirical evidence on the determination and effects of exchange rates. The exposition utilizes both diagrammatic and mathematical representations of the underlying models. The book is a comprehensive reference for those engaged in this field of research.

The Foreign Exchange Market

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Publisher : Palgrave Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 9780333630839
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis The Foreign Exchange Market by : C. Goodhart

Download or read book The Foreign Exchange Market written by C. Goodhart and published by Palgrave Macmillan. This book was released on 2000-08-10 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a number of research studies, all of which examine the behaviour of foreign exchange rates. The main focus of the collection is on empirical characterisation of high-frequency exchange rate data. The pioneering studies demonstrate and explain, amongst other things, the regular patterns in intra-day foreign exchange rate activity, the effects of macroeconomic news of rates and analyse the profitability of technical trading rules in these markets. The collection will be of use to students, academics and practitioners who are interested in exchange rate dynamics.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451860528
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation by : Mr.Andres Arias Leiva

Download or read book Monetary and Exchange Rate Dynamics During Disinflation written by Mr.Andres Arias Leiva and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-02-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the observed behavior of monetary aggregates and exchange rates, we classify inflation-stabilization episodes into two categories: de facto exchange rate-based stabilizations (ERBS) and non-ERBS. Unlike the standard de jure ERBS studied in the literature, de facto ERBS encompass cases in which the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market but does not preannounce the use of an exchange rate anchor. The number of the de facto ERBS is twice as large as that of de jure ERBS. Output dynamics during disinflation do not differ significantly between these two groups. We conclude that empirical studies on the effects of exchange rate anchors must seek to disentangle the effects of their announcement from those related to their role in the remonetization process.

Exchange Rates and Prices

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 135175131X
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (517 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rates and Prices by : William R. Smith

Download or read book Exchange Rates and Prices written by William R. Smith and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-04-21 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1996. This study looks at the impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the pricing practices of foreign industries that import into the United States market. It presents several studies of the pass-through behaviour of over 100 disaggregated commodity groups with bi-lateral exchange rates. The book presents analysis of specific competitors and their individual pricing responses to exchange rate changes, adding significantly to pricing theory as well as being useful for marketers in predicting business responses.

A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000943380
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets by : Robert J. Hodrick

Download or read book Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets written by Robert J. Hodrick and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2023-08-18 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a critical review of the empirical literature that studies the efficiency of the forward and futures markets for foreign exchange. It provides a useful foundation for research in developing quantitative measures of risk and expected return in international finance.

The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135043493
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments by : Jacob Frenkel

Download or read book The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments written by Jacob Frenkel and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-18 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects together the basic documents of an approach to the theory and policy of the balance of payments developed in the 1970s. The approach marked a return to the historical traditions of international monetary theory after some thirty years of departure from them – a departure occasioned by the international collapse of the 1930s, the Keynesian Revolution and a long period of war and post-war reconstruction in which the international monetary system was fragmented by exchange controls, currency inconvertibility and controls over international trade and capital movements.

Exchange Rate Theory and Practice

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226050998
Total Pages : 542 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Theory and Practice by : John F. Bilson

Download or read book Exchange Rate Theory and Practice written by John F. Bilson and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume grew out of a National Bureau of Economic Research conference on exchange rates held in Bellagio, Italy, in 1982. In it, the world's most respected international monetary economists discuss three significant new views on the economics of exchange rates - Rudiger Dornbusch's overshooting model, Jacob Frenkel's and Michael Mussa's asset market variants, and Pentti Kouri's current account/portfolio approach. Their papers test these views with evidence from empirical studies and analyze a number of exchange rate policies in use today, including those of the European Monetary System.

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451964390
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Mr.Mark P. Taylor

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Mr.Mark P. Taylor and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1991-06-01 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We survey the literature on the two main views of exchange rate determination that have evolved since the early 1970s: the monetary approach to the exchange rate (in flex-price, sticky-price and real interest differential formulations) and the portfolio balance approach. We then go on to discuss the extant empirical evidence on these models and conclude by discussing how the future research strategy in the area of exchange rate determination is likely to develop. We also discuss the literature on foreign exchange market efficiency, on exchange rates and ‘news’ and on international parity conditions.

Empirical Studies on Exchange Rate Puzzles and Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789058921130
Total Pages : 169 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (211 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies on Exchange Rate Puzzles and Volatility by : Ben Tims

Download or read book Empirical Studies on Exchange Rate Puzzles and Volatility written by Ben Tims and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Empirical Studies of Real Exchange Rates

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (48 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies of Real Exchange Rates by : Chung-Han Kim

Download or read book Empirical Studies of Real Exchange Rates written by Chung-Han Kim and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Studies on the Behavior of Interest Rates and Exchange Rates

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (753 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Studies on the Behavior of Interest Rates and Exchange Rates by : Peter C. Schotman

Download or read book Empirical Studies on the Behavior of Interest Rates and Exchange Rates written by Peter C. Schotman and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: