Empirical Research on the German Capital Market

Download Empirical Research on the German Capital Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642586643
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Empirical Research on the German Capital Market by : Wolfgang Bühler

Download or read book Empirical Research on the German Capital Market written by Wolfgang Bühler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of fifteen original articles results from a cooperative intensive program of research on the German capital market. The program objectives included the development of expertise in modern empirical methods in financial economics and the derivation of results that might be specific to the German capital market. The four parts of the book are dedicated to: - problems of market structure and organization - information and capital market - risk and return - futures and options Altogether, the book gives an overview of empirical research on capital markets in Germany and helps to understand their nature. It also shows the application of modern techniques in financial research.

Testing the CAPM on the German Stock Market

Download Testing the CAPM on the German Stock Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3638677435
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (386 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Testing the CAPM on the German Stock Market by : Daniel Loskamp

Download or read book Testing the CAPM on the German Stock Market written by Daniel Loskamp and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2007-12 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2005 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, course: Asset Management Seminar, 34 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Although the model is widely accepted and practically used as explained above, it is nevertheless far from being perfect as outlined in its record of empirical studies.9 Generally criticized is on the one hand that the underlying assumptions of the model are very theoretical and thus not able to illustrate reality and on the other one that there are problems in implementing well-founded tests of the model relating to the choice of the right market portfolio.10 But, the success of the CAPM will remain as long as there is no other model which offers as " ...] powerful and intuitively pleasing predictions about how to measure risk and the relation between risk and return."11 The objective of this study is to empirically test the CAPM on the German stock market. Since most of the empirical studies that have been made in the past focus on the U.S. stock market, this paper will try to find out if the results of these U.S. empirical studies can also be shown on the German stock market. Therefore, the goal of this paper is to analyze the relationship between risk and return on the German stock market to find out whether the CAPM holds.

Empirical Findings on the Tax CAPM for the German Capital Market

Download Empirical Findings on the Tax CAPM for the German Capital Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Empirical Findings on the Tax CAPM for the German Capital Market by : Dirk Schmitt

Download or read book Empirical Findings on the Tax CAPM for the German Capital Market written by Dirk Schmitt and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study deals with theoretical and empirical aspects of the Tax CAPM. Following the theoretical derivation of the Tax CAPM with respect to the German tax system, an empirical investigation was conducted to test the explanatory power of this new capital market model. Using a sample of 29 DAX companies, an average absolute difference of 8.01 percentage points between the estimated Tax CAPM yields and the actual (net) yields could be determined. Additionally, a regression analysis with the Tax CAPM yield as the independent variable was established on the basis of 116 yield observations. This ex post-evaluation shows that the Tax CAPM yields explain the yields actually realised with a highly significant correlation. The null hypothesis that the slope of the regression line equals one as well as the null hypothesis that the intercept adopts the value of zero could not be rejected. On the basis of our results it can be certified that the Tax CAPM describes the process of yield generation of the German blue chips between 2001 and 2004 sufficiently well if it is equipped with the appropriate values for the required model parameters.

Capital Market Days as an Investor Relations Instrument

Download Capital Market Days as an Investor Relations Instrument PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (112 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Capital Market Days as an Investor Relations Instrument by : Karla Linden

Download or read book Capital Market Days as an Investor Relations Instrument written by Karla Linden and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation examines Capital Market Days as an Investor Relations instrument. Capital Market Days have been increasingly demanded and valued by analysts and institutional investors, especially since the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II) came into force in 2018. At the same time, academic research on Capital Market Days is at a very early stage. Only one empirical study exists so far, focusing on the US market. This dissertation significantly contributes to previous academic research by examining Capital Market Days in another geographical area as well as by uncovering so far unexamined aspects of Capital Market Days. The empirical analyses are based on a dataset of 382 Capital Market Days hosted by DAX, MDAX, SDAX, and TecDAX listed corporations from 2000 to 2017. The descriptive statistics reveal that Capital Market Days are increasingly used by German corporations with the majority of the 160 companies in the sample having already made use of this disclosure instrument. The results of the logistic regression show that the likelihood of hosting a Capital Market Day increases for companies with a higher demand for information, higher complexity, greater need for reputation improvement, more extensive hosting history, and fewer other face-to-face interaction events. According to the results of the event study, the cumulative average abnormal return equals 1.06 percent in the 31-day event window. This return behavior is primarily driven by high levels of awareness in the pre-event period. From the event date on, the returns stabilize and remain on the high pre-event level, suggesting that Capital Market Days are informative disclosure events. The results of the multiple regression demonstrate that the share price reaction is particularly pronounced for companies with a lower visibility, more intangible assets, a higher leverage ratio, a financial loss in the previous year, and experience in hosting int.

Value Stocks beat Growth Stocks: An empirical Analysis for the German Stock Market

Download Value Stocks beat Growth Stocks: An empirical Analysis for the German Stock Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
ISBN 13 : 3954895692
Total Pages : 71 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (548 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Value Stocks beat Growth Stocks: An empirical Analysis for the German Stock Market by : Christian Schießl

Download or read book Value Stocks beat Growth Stocks: An empirical Analysis for the German Stock Market written by Christian Schießl and published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag). This book was released on 2014-02-01 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on a 'free of survivorship-bias' sample of German stocks listed at the Frankfurt stock exchange, the study investigates the ability of hedge portfolio formation structures, built of three value premium proxies (P/B, P/E, and DY), the size factor, and the technical momentum factor, to generate excess returns in the period 1992 to 2011. First, the author characterizes and defines the significant terms that are in connection with value and growth investing. He continues with the discussion of asset pricing with the CAPM, the Fama and French three-factor model, and the Carhart extension, and then describes the expected stock returns that are of capital importance. Moreover, the author deals with related studies for the German stock market. He gives a detailed description of the empirical analysis before he draws his conclusions. The author's purpose is to answer the following core questions: Is there a value premium in the German market between 1992 and 2011? Is there a reversed size premium like recent empirical findings suggest? Do high momentum stocks perform better than low momentum stocks? Is there a significant seasonal pattern in hedge portfolio returns? The combination of which factors best explains expected stock returns?

Leaving the Public Capital Market

Download Leaving the Public Capital Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (793 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Leaving the Public Capital Market by : Marco Hirsiger

Download or read book Leaving the Public Capital Market written by Marco Hirsiger and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present study investigates going private transactions taking place in the German market between 2000 and early 2011. The primary objective is to analyse the effects of a going private announcement on shareholder wealth and its main drivers as well as the determination of the key characteristics of going private candidates. The results from this analysis are then used to make high level estimates on Public-to-Private (PTP) activity expected in the future. Key findings include the calculated Abnormal Average Return (AAR) of 10.93%, Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAR) of 15.89% as well as the validation that, to some extent, it is possible to predict potential going private candidates based solely on publicly available in-formation and, furthermore, that there is no intra-industry effect observable on the German market.

Corporate Governance and Expected Stock Returns

Download Corporate Governance and Expected Stock Returns PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Springer-Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3322815609
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (228 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Corporate Governance and Expected Stock Returns by : Andreas Schillhofer

Download or read book Corporate Governance and Expected Stock Returns written by Andreas Schillhofer and published by Springer-Verlag. This book was released on 2013-03-08 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on his Corporate Governance Rating (CGR) for German firms, Andreas Schillhofer documents a positive relationship between the CGR and firm value. In addition, there is strong evidence that expected returns are negatively correlated with the CGR if dividend yields and price-earnings ratios are used as proxies for the cost of capital.

Asset Pricing Factor Models in the German Stock Market

Download Asset Pricing Factor Models in the German Stock Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3346420094
Total Pages : 109 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (464 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Asset Pricing Factor Models in the German Stock Market by : Julian Fischer

Download or read book Asset Pricing Factor Models in the German Stock Market written by Julian Fischer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2021-06-14 with total page 109 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2021 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Hannover (Institut für Finanzwirtschaft und Rohstoffmärkte), language: English, abstract: In this paper, we examine how various modern multifactor models, such as the Carhart factor model, five-factor model and its complement six-factor model by Fama and French, the q-factor model by Hou, Wue and Zhang, and the mispricing factor model by Stambaugh and Yuan perform in the German stock market. It is discernible that, depending on the application model, like factor spanning tests, different sortings, return anomalies, sector- and equity fund investigation, they often provide quite similar explanatory power, while in individual cases sometimes one and sometimes the other model performs better. The underlying factors contribute differently to the explanatory power depending on the time period. Thus, in case of doubt, the six-factor model is preferable, as it is the most versatile model. Since the establishment of the capital asset pricing model as a cornerstone of modern capital market theory in the 1960s, new investigations and studies have been built on this model on an ongoing basis. This continuously leads to extensions and modifications of the asset pricing models since then. These models can be used in various ways, for example to explain the pricing of risky financial assets under restrictive assumptions or to gain important insights into the relationship between expected return and risk of securities. These can be used in various ways, for example to explain the pricing of risky financial assets under restrictive assumptions or to gain important insights into the relationship between expected return and risk of securities. In this paper, we aim to answer the overarching research question of how modern asset pricing models perform for the German stock market. For this purpose, we first discuss the characteristics of the German stock market, followed by the milestones of the development of factor models, their empirical evidence and their factors, as well as internationally known return anomalies. In the subsequent part, five modern asset pricing models are tested in different scenarios of the German stock market, including factor spanning tests, different sortings, anomalies, sectors and in equity funds. For this purpose, various analytical methods are used and performed with the software “Stata”. Finally, the comprehensive results are summarized and concluded.

An Empirical Analysis of the German Stock Market

Download An Empirical Analysis of the German Stock Market PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783898840286
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (42 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis An Empirical Analysis of the German Stock Market by : Horst B. Kutsch

Download or read book An Empirical Analysis of the German Stock Market written by Horst B. Kutsch and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Intertemporal Asset Pricing

Download Intertemporal Asset Pricing PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Physica
ISBN 13 : 9783642586736
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (867 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Intertemporal Asset Pricing by : Bernd Meyer

Download or read book Intertemporal Asset Pricing written by Bernd Meyer and published by Physica. This book was released on 2011-12-21 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the mid-eighties Mehra and Prescott showed that the risk premium earned by American stocks cannot reasonably be explained by conventional capital market models. Using time additive utility, the observed risk pre mium can only be explained by unrealistically high risk aversion parameters. This phenomenon is well known as the equity premium puzzle. Shortly aft erwards it was also observed that the risk-free rate is too low relative to the observed risk premium. This essay is the first one to analyze these puzzles in the German capital market. It starts with a thorough discussion of the available theoretical mod els and then goes on to perform various empirical studies on the German capital market. After discussing natural properties of the pricing kernel by which future cash flows are translated into securities prices, various multi period equilibrium models are investigated for their implied pricing kernels. The starting point is a representative investor who optimizes his invest ment and consumption policy over time. One important implication of time additive utility is the identity of relative risk aversion and the inverse in tertemporal elasticity of substitution. Since this identity is at odds with reality, the essay goes on to discuss recursive preferences which violate the expected utility principle but allow to separate relative risk aversion and intertemporal elasticity of substitution.

The German Financial System

Download The German Financial System PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191531030
Total Pages : 550 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The German Financial System by : Jan P. Krahnen

Download or read book The German Financial System written by Jan P. Krahnen and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2004-03-25 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is both a reference book on Germany's financial system and a contribution to the economic debate about its status at the beginning of the twenty-first century. In giving a comprehensive account of the many facets of the system, it covers corporate governance, relationship lending, stock market development, investor protection, the venture capital industry, and the accounting system, and reports on monetary transmission and the credit channel, regulation and banking competition, the insurance and investment industry, and mergers and acquisitions. Special chapters at the beginning and at the end of the book adopt the financial system perspective, analysing the mutual fit of different features of the financial system; and each of the fifteen chapters addresses particular myths that surround it. The book is invaluable for those who want to understand the German economy and its financial system, promising not only a compilation of facts and statistics on Germany's financial markets and institutions, but also an analysis of its current structure and the determinants of its future development.

What Drives Portfolio Investments of German Banks in Emerging Capital Markets?

Download What Drives Portfolio Investments of German Banks in Emerging Capital Markets? PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783865586179
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (861 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis What Drives Portfolio Investments of German Banks in Emerging Capital Markets? by : Christian Wildmann

Download or read book What Drives Portfolio Investments of German Banks in Emerging Capital Markets? written by Christian Wildmann and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Venture Capital in Germany and the U.S.: Differences and the Influence of Culture

Download Venture Capital in Germany and the U.S.: Differences and the Influence of Culture PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : diplom.de
ISBN 13 : 3836637553
Total Pages : 113 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (366 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Venture Capital in Germany and the U.S.: Differences and the Influence of Culture by : Lars Abraham

Download or read book Venture Capital in Germany and the U.S.: Differences and the Influence of Culture written by Lars Abraham and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2009-10-30 with total page 113 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: In today s modern economy a country s or region s competitiveness lies in its capability to innovate. Whilst earlier old and established companies were reliable producers of innovation as well as jobs, that is changing. The big corporations are outsourcing and downsizing, and the new technologies are emerging from companies that did not exist 20 years ago . This quotation taken from the Handbook of Research on Venture Capital points out the increasing relevance of the Schumpeterian growth regime of today s advanced economies which means that growth and wealth is unlikely to be maximized if most new business developments are carried out by old long-existing corporations. While in Europe only few global champions have been created in the past 50 years the United States economy seems to be capable of continuously creating great, leading-edge companies. Why is Europe lagging behind in enabling new ventures to become global champions? Why are successful high growth companies like Amazon, AMD, AOL, Apple, Cisco Systems, eBay, Genentech, Intel, Microsoft, Oracle, Sun Microsystems, Yahoo and recently Google all US based corporations and not of European or Japanese origin? One reason is seen in the outstanding capability of the US economy to put innovative business ideas from individuals, universities and other research institutions into practice and thus create with the help of a well developed venture capital industry new global champions. A strong and sophisticated VC industry is widely recognised for providing a major contribution to turn innovation into (internationally) successful high-growth corporations and therewith foster economic growth. Taking Germany as the largest economy in Europe this thesis will try to work out the main differences of the VC market in Germany - which is still considered as lagging behind - and its correspondent in the United States. While most of the previous comparative studies focus on single aspects of the VC market and the VC investment process this work will try to provide a brief but comprehensive empirical analysis of the entire venture capital investment process (from fundraising to exiting investments). As business in general and the venture capital industry in particular is considered to be increasingly influenced by socio-economic and cultural factors this thesis draws special attention to differences related to the influence of culture on both VC markets. Hence it will be [...]

Empirical Analysis of Mutual Funds investing in German Equity (1995-2015)

Download Empirical Analysis of Mutual Funds investing in German Equity (1995-2015) PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668325227
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (683 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Empirical Analysis of Mutual Funds investing in German Equity (1995-2015) by : Carsten Fritz

Download or read book Empirical Analysis of Mutual Funds investing in German Equity (1995-2015) written by Carsten Fritz and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2016-10-21 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: 1,3, University of Regensburg (Centre of Finance), language: English, abstract: Financial markets are as complex as ever due to an accelerating development in the last decades. Especially evaluations of mutual fund performance have been a subject of interest since the introduction of financial services. In this thesis, a study on the performance of mutual funds investing in German equity from July 1995 to June 2015 is conducted. The aim is to find out if fund managers have sufficient skill to generate risk adjusted return in order to cover the cost imposed on the investors. Another purpose is to provide investors with relevant results. Inter alia, Jensen one-factor, Fama and French three-factor and the Carhart four-factor model are used as different benchmark models for performance. Paired bootstrap simulations suggest that, net of cost, a small fraction of fund managers do have sufficient skill to cover cost. For the bottom ranked funds, there is statistical evidence that their poor performance is caused by bad management, rather than by bad luck. The results for gross returns show that there is an unneglectable fraction of fund managers with good performance not due to luck. Compared to net returns, there is stronger evidence of skill, negative as well as positive. Form an investor’s point of view it seems rather beneficial to invest in passively managed vehicles. High costs eat into the return, and they are the main reason why the majority of actively managed funds end up with sub-par performance.

Evaluation of the Momentum Strategy on the German Stock Exchange

Download Evaluation of the Momentum Strategy on the German Stock Exchange PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9783656469162
Total Pages : 98 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (691 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Evaluation of the Momentum Strategy on the German Stock Exchange by : Eugen Stumpf

Download or read book Evaluation of the Momentum Strategy on the German Stock Exchange written by Eugen Stumpf and published by . This book was released on 2013-08 with total page 98 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master's Thesis from the year 2013 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1.3, University of Applied Sciences Essen, language: English, abstract: This work covers the momentum effect on financial markets and a trading strategy based on this effect. The research focuses on the German Stock Exchange data from the last decade. The data are divided into two sections in order to build two different types of virtual portfolios. One section contains the data of the DAX index, and the second section is filled with securities from the MDAX. Two hypotheses are to be verified. First, is momentum still available in a time of mass internet availability, like during the past decade? And second, is momentum stronger in MDAX due to smaller firm sizes and corresponding lower market efficiency?

Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009

Download Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009 PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668445508
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (684 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009 by : David Bosch

Download or read book Size and Book-to-Market Effects in the German Stock Market, 2005-2009 written by David Bosch and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2017-05-12 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diploma Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 2,0, Humboldt-University of Berlin (Institut für Bank- und Börsenwesen), language: English, abstract: One important goal of this study is to find out, whether the most recent data also shows the same tendency as earlier studies of the German market: A very low relation between beta and average stock returns A higher relationship between size and average stock returns An even higher relation between B/M ratio and average stock returns. In many studies the methodology used to test for the relationship between beta, size, B/M ratio, and stock returns are cross-sectional regressions and two-sorted portfolios. In this study, more weight is put on the ability to predict stock returns by testing these characteristics alone. Usually researchers are interested in the statistical relationship between the characteristics and stock returns. In contrast to this approach, which is especially reasonable for long-term series, this study will focus on the problems with the data and methodology of “anomaly” studies, and will discuss the different economic reasons respective to beta, size, and B/M effects in stock returns. Most of the published studies use long-term series of longer than 30 years, where the stock market returns are quite stable and only small shocks are included. This thesis is organized as follows: In section 2, findings and economic interpretations in the literature about beta, size and B/M, are discussed. The first findings, especially about size and B/M, are briefly reconsidered and recent developments are presented and further discussed. Section 3 describes the data used for the empirical study and discusses the specialties of the data preparation used, when testing for size and B/M effects. The methodologies and results are then presented in section 4. Concluding remarks are found in section 5.

The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns

Download The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : Deutscher Universitätsverlag
ISBN 13 : 9783824471027
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!


Book Synopsis The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns by : Judith Klähn

Download or read book The Predictabilty of German Stock Returns written by Judith Klähn and published by Deutscher Universitätsverlag. This book was released on 2000-06-28 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ten years ago, most textbooks on financial management advocated the thesis that stock returns are essentially unpredictable. This theory is called the Random Walk Approach to the development of asset prices. The approach said that the stock market is subject to random changes, which are, by definition, unpredictable. Apparent predictabilities, if ever discovered, were either dismissed as statistical artifacts or as data that cannot be exploited after transaction costs. In the meantime, the world of financial economics has turned upside down. We now realize clearly that returns are indeed predictable to a large extent. Recent studies have confirmed that U.S. stock returns are highly predictable. In this new research context, Judith Klahn posed the question whether German stock returns follow the same pattern. The predictability of German stock returns is the topic of her thesis. She is in a position to identify the relevant variables in the German context. Her basic result is that the driving forces of the German stock market and the U.S. stock market differ in most aspects. According to the Handelsblatt, Judith Klahn's statement is: "Deutscher Aktienmarkt ist kaum mit der Wall Street vergleichbar" (No. 120, June 25, 1999, p. 47).