Empirical Application Of The Nelson And Siegel Parsimonious Zero Coupon Yield Curve Model

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Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691146802
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-15 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, conducting monetary policy, and valuing capital goods. Unfortunately, most yield curve models tend to be theoretically rigorous but empirically disappointing, or empirically successful but theoretically lacking. In this book, Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch propose two extensions of the classic yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel that are both theoretically rigorous and empirically successful. The first extension is the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model (DNS), while the second takes this dynamic version and makes it arbitrage-free (AFNS). Diebold and Rudebusch show how these two models are just slightly different implementations of a single unified approach to dynamic yield curve modeling and forecasting. They emphasize both descriptive and efficient-markets aspects, they pay special attention to the links between the yield curve and macroeconomic fundamentals, and they show why DNS and AFNS are likely to remain of lasting appeal even as alternative arbitrage-free models are developed. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting contains essential tools with enhanced utility for academics, central banks, governments, and industry.

Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates

Author : Zurab Kotchlamazashvili
Publisher : Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN 13 : 3832538739
Total Pages : 210 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Zurab Kotchlamazashvili

Download or read book Empirical Analysis of the EU Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Zurab Kotchlamazashvili and published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH. This book was released on 2014 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The information about the properties and dynamics of term structure and its modeling hold tremendous interest for financial practitioners and policymakers alike. Accurate forecasting of the term structure of interest rates also plays a very important role for many reasons, particularly for bond portfolio and risk management, hedging derivatives, monetary and debt policy. The present dissertation contains the empirical research for the EU term structure of interest rates. The data analyzed here cover a time series based on the Euro and currencies of other six EU countries. The goal is to examine empirical properties and analyze in-sample and out-of-sample results for corresponding spot rates using 15 competitor GARCH(1,1) models with different distributional assumptions. Alltogether, the work summarizes 1680 x GARCH(1,1) in-sample and over 60000 x GARCH(1,1) out-of-sample estimation results. Moreover, the dissertation consists of 48 figures and 98 tables.

Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling

Author : L. Krippner
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137401826
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (374 download)

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Book Synopsis Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling by : L. Krippner

Download or read book Zero Lower Bound Term Structure Modeling written by L. Krippner and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-01-05 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nominal yields on government debt in several countries have fallen very near their zero lower bound (ZLB), causing a liquidity trap and limiting the capacity to stimulate economic growth. This book provides a comprehensive reference to ZLB structure modeling in an applied setting.

Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada

Author : David Bolder
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780662276029
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada by : David Bolder

Download or read book Yield Curve Modelling at the Bank of Canada written by David Bolder and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates

Author : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451853750
Total Pages : 76 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates by : Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson

Download or read book Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates written by Mr.Lars E. O. Svensson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-09-01 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of forward interest rates as a monetary policy indicator is demonstrated, using Sweden 1992-1994 as an example. The forward rates are interpreted as indicating market expectations of the time-path of future interest rates, future inflation rates, and future currency depreciation rates. They separate market expectations for the short-, medium-, and long-term more easily than the standard yield curve. Forward rates are estimated with an extended and more flexible version of Nelson and Siegel’s functional form.

Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475591659
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Macrofinance Model of the Czech Economy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper developes a VAR macrofinance model of the Czech economy. It shows that yield misalignments from the yields implied by the macrofinance model partially determine subsequent yield changes over three to nine months. These yield misalignments tend to persist for a number of months. This persistence of the misalignments was explained by (a) the fact that the macro-economy influences asset markets only at lower frequencies, (b) the liquidity effect particularly during the times of capital inflows to Czech Republic, and (c) the fact that not all misalignments were greater than their historical one standard deviation.

Experiments in Quantitative Finance

Author : Joel Gibbons
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351521012
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Experiments in Quantitative Finance by : Joel Gibbons

Download or read book Experiments in Quantitative Finance written by Joel Gibbons and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a novel approach to characterizing markets in quantitative terms. The examples cut across the world of interest rates, price of gold, stock market and corporate worlds that the stock market rests on, and the pricing of options on financial instruments. The emphasis is on methods of inquiry, methods that can just as easily be applied to other markets and other economic phenomena as well. The goal is to make the methods available to the widest possible audience of quantitative analysts and to the trading desks and investment plans they feed.Quantitative research and modeling in finance and economics have a long history going back to Frank Ramsey, mathematician, logician, and economist, who pioneered the application of dynamic models in economics in the 1920s, and to his theory of the Ramsey Tax, which is a rule for apportioning tax rates in a way that raises the maximum tax revenues while impacting the decisions of taxpayers as little as possible. The opposite would be a tax so inefficient that it causes people to avoid doing whatever it is that subjects them to the tax.These experiments yield valuable insight into economic affairs, but they are only a stepping-stone for others—a starting point for discovery. Foremost among them is locating usable statistical findings to the investment world. Gibbons' intention is not to provide investment advice, it is to provide education. These data are subject to changing results, but that should not diminish their educational value. This is a proactive fusion of business economics and sound social science methods.

Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis

Author : Olga Valenzuela
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030260364
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis by : Olga Valenzuela

Download or read book Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis written by Olga Valenzuela and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-18 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents selected peer-reviewed contributions from the International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, ITISE 2018, held in Granada, Spain, on September 19-21, 2018. The first three parts of the book focus on the theory of time series analysis and forecasting, and discuss statistical methods, modern computational intelligence methodologies, econometric models, financial forecasting, and risk analysis. In turn, the last three parts are dedicated to applied topics and include papers on time series analysis in the earth sciences, energy time series forecasting, and time series analysis and prediction in other real-world problems. The book offers readers valuable insights into the different aspects of time series analysis and forecasting, allowing them to benefit both from its sophisticated and powerful theory, and from its practical applications, which address real-world problems in a range of disciplines. The ITISE conference series provides a valuable forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the field of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.

A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling

Author : Ken Nyholm
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108982301
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling by : Ken Nyholm

Download or read book A Practitioner's Guide to Discrete-Time Yield Curve Modelling written by Ken Nyholm and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-07 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Element is intended for students and practitioners as a gentle and intuitive introduction to the field of discrete-time yield curve modelling. I strive to be as comprehensive as possible, while still adhering to the overall premise of putting a strong focus on practical applications. In addition to a thorough description of the Nelson-Siegel family of model, the Element contains a section on the intuitive relationship between P and Q measures, one on how the structure of a Nelson-Siegel model can be retained in the arbitrage-free framework, and a dedicated section that provides a detailed explanation for the Joslin, Singleton, and Zhu (2011) model.

Term-Structure Models

Author : Damir Filipovic
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540680152
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis Term-Structure Models by : Damir Filipovic

Download or read book Term-Structure Models written by Damir Filipovic and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-07-28 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing interest rates constitute one of the major risk sources for banks, insurance companies, and other financial institutions. Modeling the term-structure movements of interest rates is a challenging task. This volume gives an introduction to the mathematics of term-structure models in continuous time. It includes practical aspects for fixed-income markets such as day-count conventions, duration of coupon-paying bonds and yield curve construction; arbitrage theory; short-rate models; the Heath-Jarrow-Morton methodology; consistent term-structure parametrizations; affine diffusion processes and option pricing with Fourier transform; LIBOR market models; and credit risk. The focus is on a mathematically straightforward but rigorous development of the theory. Students, researchers and practitioners will find this volume very useful. Each chapter ends with a set of exercises, that provides source for homework and exam questions. Readers are expected to be familiar with elementary Itô calculus, basic probability theory, and real and complex analysis.

The Affine Arbitrage-free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models

Author : Jens H. E. Christensen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Affine Arbitrage-free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models by : Jens H. E. Christensen

Download or read book The Affine Arbitrage-free Class of Nelson-Siegel Term Structure Models written by Jens H. E. Christensen and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We derive the class of arbitrage-free affine dynamic term structure models that approximate the widely-used Nelson-Siegel yield-curve specification. Our theoretical analysis relates this new class of models to the canonical representation of the three-factor arbitrage-free affine model. Our empirical analysis shows that imposing the Nelson-Siegel structure on this canonical representation greatly improves its empirical tractability; furthermore, we find that improvements in predictive performance are achieved from the imposition of absence of arbitrage.

Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences

Author : Ivan Jeliazkov
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118771125
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences by : Ivan Jeliazkov

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences written by Ivan Jeliazkov and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-11-04 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents new models, methods, and techniques and considers important real-world applications in political science, sociology, economics, marketing, and finance Emphasizing interdisciplinary coverage, Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences builds upon the recent growth in Bayesian methodology and examines an array of topics in model formulation, estimation, and applications. The book presents recent and trending developments in a diverse, yet closely integrated, set of research topics within the social sciences and facilitates the transmission of new ideas and methodology across disciplines while maintaining manageability, coherence, and a clear focus. Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences features innovative methodology and novel applications in addition to new theoretical developments and modeling approaches, including the formulation and analysis of models with partial observability, sample selection, and incomplete data. Additional areas of inquiry include a Bayesian derivation of empirical likelihood and method of moment estimators, and the analysis of treatment effect models with endogeneity. The book emphasizes practical implementation, reviews and extends estimation algorithms, and examines innovative applications in a multitude of fields. Time series techniques and algorithms are discussed for stochastic volatility, dynamic factor, and time-varying parameter models. Additional features include: Real-world applications and case studies that highlight asset pricing under fat-tailed distributions, price indifference modeling and market segmentation, analysis of dynamic networks, ethnic minorities and civil war, school choice effects, and business cycles and macroeconomic performance State-of-the-art computational tools and Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with related materials available via the book’s supplemental website Interdisciplinary coverage from well-known international scholars and practitioners Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences is an ideal reference for researchers in economics, political science, sociology, and business as well as an excellent resource for academic, government, and regulation agencies. The book is also useful for graduate-level courses in applied econometrics, statistics, mathematical modeling and simulation, numerical methods, computational analysis, and the social sciences.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627405
Total Pages : 667 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

The Global Welfare Impact of China

Author : Mr.Julian Di Giovanni
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475502311
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Global Welfare Impact of China by : Mr.Julian Di Giovanni

Download or read book The Global Welfare Impact of China written by Mr.Julian Di Giovanni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the global welfare impact of China's trade integration and technological change in a quantitative Ricardian-Heckscher-Ohlin model implemented on 75 countries. We simulate two alternative productivity growth scenarios: a "balanced" one in which China's productivity grows at the same rate in each sector, and an "unbalanced" one in which China's comparative disadvantage sectors catch up disproportionately faster to the world productivity frontier. Contrary to a well-known conjecture (Samuelson, 2004), the large majority of countries in the sample, including the developed ones, experience an order of magnitude larger welfare gains when China's productivity growth is biased towards its comparative disadvantage sectors. We demonstrate both analytically and quantitatively that this finding is driven by the inherently multilateral nature of world trade. As a separate but related exercise we quantify the worldwide welfare gains from China's trade integration.

Pricing and Hedging Interest and Credit Risk Sensitive Instruments

Author : Frank Skinner
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080473954
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing and Hedging Interest and Credit Risk Sensitive Instruments by : Frank Skinner

Download or read book Pricing and Hedging Interest and Credit Risk Sensitive Instruments written by Frank Skinner and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2004-10-29 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is tightly focused on the pricing and hedging of fixed income securities and their derivatives. It is targeted at those who are interested in trading these instruments in an investment bank, but is also useful for those responsible for monitoring compliance of the traders such as regulators, back office staff, middle and senior lever managers. To broaden its appeal, this book lowers the barriers to learning by keeping math to a minimum and by illustrating concepts through detailed numerical examples using Excel workbooks/spreadsheets on a CD with the book. On the accompanying CD with the book, three interest rate models are illustrated: Ho and Lee, constant volatility and Black Derman and Toy, along with two evolutionary models, Vasicek and CIR and two credit risk models, Jarrow and Turnbull and Duffie and Singleton. These are implemented via spreadsheets on the CD.* Starts at an introductory level and then develops advanced topics * Provides plenty of numerical examples rather than mathematical equations to aid full understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of all interest rate derivative models* Can be used for self-study - a complete book on the topic, which includes examples with answers

Fixed Income Modelling

Author : Claus Munk
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199575088
Total Pages : 573 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

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Book Synopsis Fixed Income Modelling by : Claus Munk

Download or read book Fixed Income Modelling written by Claus Munk and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-06-30 with total page 573 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A large number of securities related to various interest rates are traded in financial markets. Traders and analysts in the financial industry apply models based on economics, mathematics and probability theory to compute reasonable prices and risk measures for these securities. This book offers a unified presentation of such models and securities.

Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance

Author : Manfred Gilli
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128150653
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance by : Manfred Gilli

Download or read book Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance written by Manfred Gilli and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2019-08-16 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computationally-intensive tools play an increasingly important role in financial decisions. Many financial problems-ranging from asset allocation to risk management and from option pricing to model calibration-can be efficiently handled using modern computational techniques. Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance presents such computational techniques, with an emphasis on simulation and optimization, particularly so-called heuristics. This book treats quantitative analysis as an essentially computational discipline in which applications are put into software form and tested empirically. This revised edition includes two new chapters, a self-contained tutorial on implementing and using heuristics, and an explanation of software used for testing portfolio-selection models. Postgraduate students, researchers in programs on quantitative and computational finance, and practitioners in banks and other financial companies can benefit from this second edition of Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance.