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Economic Impacts Of Covid 19 Pandemic In Ethiopia A Review Of Phone Survey Evidence
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Book Synopsis Economic impacts of COVID-19 pandemic in Ethiopia: A review of phone survey evidence by : Hirvonen, Kalle
Download or read book Economic impacts of COVID-19 pandemic in Ethiopia: A review of phone survey evidence written by Hirvonen, Kalle and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-08-24 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As in most low and middle-income countries, the paucity of timely economic data in Ethiopia makes it difficult to understand the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. To mitigate this, several organizations have launched phone surveys to gather more information about the crisis. This research report reviews the available phone survey evidence as of mid-August 2020 and identifies knowledge gaps. First, the available evidence suggest that the pandemic has not led to unusually large increases in food prices. However, a case study in the vegetable sector suggests that price dynamics are highly context and crop specific, calling for more comprehensive price monitoring to identify food value chains and areas where food price increases may have been unusually rapid. Second, employment losses have concentrated on informal sector workers while redundancies in the formal sector have been less significant. Third, there is considerable uncertainty about the income, poverty, and food security implications of this crisis. While most households report income losses, the qualitative and subjective nature of these questions meanthat the magnitudes of these losses are unknown. In Addis Ababa, less subjective food security measures indicate only small negative changes in household food and nutrition security. Finally, due to limited access to mobile phones in rural areas, we have imperfect and incomplete information on how this crisis is affecting rural households.
Book Synopsis Assessing the short-term impacts of COVID-19 on Ethiopia’s economy: External and domestic shocks and pace of recovery by : Aragie, Emerta
Download or read book Assessing the short-term impacts of COVID-19 on Ethiopia’s economy: External and domestic shocks and pace of recovery written by Aragie, Emerta and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-12-09 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we analyze the economic impacts of response measures adopted in Ethiopia to curtail the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. We carry out simulations using an economywide multiplier model based on a 2017 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for the country that properly depicts interactions between economic agents. The pandemic’s impact on the global economy combined with disruptions it causes in Ethiopia represents a large, unprecedented shock to the country’s economy. In such situations, a SAM-based multiplier model provides an ideal tool for measuring the short-term direct and indirect impacts of a shock on an economic system since there is limited room for proper adjustment of economic decisions. We model the seven-week partial lockdown policy implemented in Ethiopia from mid-March to early May 2020. We also consider two possible economic recovery scenarios that may emerge as the COVID-19 control policies are relaxed during the latter part of 2020 in order to generate insights on the potential continuing impact of the virus at the end of 2020. Although the country took early swift measures, our assessment of the partial lockdown measures suggests that they were not as strict as those observed in other Africa countries. Accordingly, our estimates of the economic costs of COVID-19 on Ethiopia are significantly lower than those reported for other countries on the continent. We estimate that during the lockdown period Ethiopia’s GDP suffered a 14 percent loss (43.5 billion Birr or 1.9 billion USD) compared to a no-COVID case over the same period. Nearly two-thirds of the losses were in the services sector. Although no direct restrictions were imposed on the agriculture sector, which serves as the primary means of livelihood for most Ethiopians, the sector faced a 4.7 percent loss in output due to its linkages with the rest of the economy. Poor export performance due to a slowdown in global trade and restrictions on the transport sector also partly explain the decline in agricultural output. The broader agri-food system also was affected considerably because of its linkages with the rest of the economy. In terms of the welfare of Ethiopians, we estimate that the economic impacts during the lockdown caused 10.1 million additional people to fall below the poverty line. These findings have implications for better understanding the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 and for policy design during the recovery period to return Ethiopia’s economy to a normal growth trajectory and to protect the livelihoods of the most vulnerable in the process.
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia, Report No. 8 by : Christina Wieser
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia, Report No. 8 written by Christina Wieser and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic and social effects on households have created an urgent need for timely data to help monitor and mitigate the social and economic impacts of the crisis and protect the welfare of the least well-off Ethiopians. To track how the pandemic is affecting Ethiopia's economy and its population and to inform interventions and policy responses, the World Bank is conducting a high-frequency phone survey of households (HFPS-HH). The HFPS-HH tracks households with access to a phone, with selected respondents, typically household heads, completing phone-based interviews every month.
Book Synopsis COVID-19 and food security in Ethiopia: Do social protection programs protect? by : Abay, Kibrom A.
Download or read book COVID-19 and food security in Ethiopia: Do social protection programs protect? written by Abay, Kibrom A. and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-11-11 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We assess the impact of Ethiopia’s flagship social protection program, the Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) on the adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on food and nutrition security of households, mothers, and children. We use both pre-pandemic in-person household survey data and a post-pandemic phone survey. Two thirds of our respondents reported that their incomes had fallen after the pandemic began and almost half reported that their ability to satisfy their food needs had worsened. Employing a household fixed effects difference-in-difference approach, we find that the household food insecurity increased by 11.7 percentage points and the size of the food gap by 0.47 months in the aftermath of the onset of the pandemic. Participation in the PSNP offsets virtually all of this adverse change; the likelihood of becoming food insecure increased by only 2.4 percentage points for PSNP households and the duration of the food gap increased by only 0.13 months. The protective role of PSNP is greater for poorer households and those living in remote areas. Results are robust to definitions of PSNP participation, different estimators and how we account for the non-randomness of mobile phone ownership. PSNP households were less likely to reduce expenditures on health and education by 7.7 percentage points and were less likely to reduce expenditures on agricultural inputs by 13 percentage points. By contrast, mothers’ and children’s diets changed little, despite some changes in the composition of diets with consumption of animal source foods declining significantly.
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 2 by : Girum Abebe
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 2 written by Girum Abebe and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and its negative economic effects create an urgent need for timely data and evidence to help monitor and mitigate the social and economic impacts of the crisis and protect the welfare of the least well-off in Ethiopia's society. To monitor the impacts of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic on Ethiopia's economy and people and inform interventions and policy responses, the World Bank Ethiopia team, in collaboration with the government, designed and implemented two high-frequency phone surveys, one with firms and one with households.
Book Synopsis The short-term impact of COVID-19 on Ethiopia’s economy through external sector channels: An economywide multiplier model analysis by : Aragie, Emerta
Download or read book The short-term impact of COVID-19 on Ethiopia’s economy through external sector channels: An economywide multiplier model analysis written by Aragie, Emerta and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-12-09 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to considerably affect the Ethiopian economy directly and indirectly due to global shocks and to the different restrictive preventative measures the country is taking. We analyze these economic effects using multisector economywide income multiplier models built on the two latest Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs) developed for Ethiopia. Three external sector channels are the focus of the analysis: commodity exports, strategic imports, and remittances. Results indicate that in the absence of any policy responses, the Ethiopian economy is expected to experience a loss of approximately 4.3 to 5.5 percent of its annual GDP due to exports, strategic imports, and remittances that are one-third lower relative to the no-COVID situation over a period of six-months. This translates into estimated reductions in labor income of between 4.2 and 5.2 percent. The SAM multiplier model estimates also imply that these negative shocks lead to household income losses that amount to between 3.9 and 6.4 percent. In particular, the urban poor will be the most affected as they lose real incomes in the range of 6.6 to 8.5 percent. These income losses are estimated to result in a 3.5 percentage point rise in the national poverty headcount.
Book Synopsis Short-term evidence on wellbeing of rural Ethiopian households during the COVID-19 pandemic by : Alderman, Harold
Download or read book Short-term evidence on wellbeing of rural Ethiopian households during the COVID-19 pandemic written by Alderman, Harold and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-08-21 with total page 10 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Ethiopia, as in much of sub-Saharan Africa, the first known case of coronavirus arrived in mid-March (on March 13, 2020), weeks after the pandemic had spread rapidly in parts of Europe and the United States. The government swiftly imposed restrictions to slow the spread of the virus, closing schools (on March 16, 2020), limiting travel and encouraging people to remain at home. Such restrictions were needed to keep the pandemic from overwhelming a healthcare system with limited capacity to respond to an infectious disease outbreak. Only limited information is available about the effect of these restrictions on economic activity, food security and livelihoods in Ethiopia. A survey of residents of Addis Ababa conducted in May 2020 found that more than half of households reported lower-than-expected incomes and more than one third were extremely stressed about the situation. These results further showed that poorer households were more severely affected, although the food security situation in Addis, while declining, was not yet dire.
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia by : Alemayehu A. Ambel
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia written by Alemayehu A. Ambel and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic and social effects on households have created an urgent need for timely data to help monitor and mitigate the social and economic impacts of the crisis and protect the welfare of the least well-off in Ethiopian society. To monitor how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting Ethiopia's economy and people and to inform interventions and policy responses, the World Bank designed and conducted its High-Frequency Phone Survey of Households (HFPS-HH).
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 6 by : Girum Abebe
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 6 written by Girum Abebe and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and its negative economic effects create a need for timely data and evidence to help monitor and mitigate the social and economic impacts of the crisis. To monitor the impacts of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and related containment measures on formal firms in Ethiopia and inform the policy response, the World Bank, in collaboration with the government, is implementing a high-frequency phone survey of firms (HFPS-F). The HFPS-F interviews a sample of firms in Addis Ababa every three weeks for a total of eight survey rounds, and an additional sample of firms in four other cities in Ethiopia (Adama, Bahir Dar, Hawassa, and Mekelle) for a total of seven rounds. This high-frequency follow-up allows for a better understanding of the effects of and responses to the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on firm operations, hiring and firing, and expectations of future operations and labor demand in order to better tailor and implement interventions and policy responses and monitor their effects.
Book Synopsis Evidence on trends in wellbeing of rural Ethiopian households during the COVID-19 pandemic by : Alderman, Harold
Download or read book Evidence on trends in wellbeing of rural Ethiopian households during the COVID-19 pandemic written by Alderman, Harold and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2021-12-29 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic continues to be a significant threat to public health throughout most of the world as the coronavirus continues to spread, mostly unchecked by limited availability of vaccines, and largescale surges in cases are fed by new variants of the virus. In Ethiopia, surges in COVID-19 cases after months of apparently low levels of infection have periodically required renewed restrictions locally to control the spread of the virus. Thus, it is necessary to review available date to understand the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on households in Ethiopia, and particularly on the poorest households, who are more vulnerable to protracted effects of the virus and associated restrictions on activity as a result of their limited resources. We present results of two rounds of a phone survey, conducted in June and August 2020, respectively, of around 1,200 rural households. All households in the sample are beneficiaries of the fourth phase of Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP4) and also participate in the USAID-funded Strengthening PSNP4 Institutions and Resilience (SPIR) project, implemented by World Vision, CARE and ORDA in North Wollo and Wag Himra zones in Amhara, and primarily in East and West Hararghe zones in Oromia. The targeted phone survey respondents were adult males from sample households in IFPRI’s experimental impact evaluation of SPIR who provided a phone number during the 2019 midline survey. This is a subsample of the broader SPIR evaluation sample as 33% of households provided a phone number and thus were eligible for inclusion in the phone survey. Available evidence suggests that households who provided a phone number are characterized by higher socioeconomic status vis-à-vis other SPIR households in the study sample who did not provide a phone number. However, as all households in the phone survey are SPIR beneficiaries, they are still relatively poor in the broader context of rural Ethiopia. We report evidence from the two survey rounds on coronavirus awareness and protective measures taken; changes in livelihoods, including crop production and livestock raising; access to and utilization of markets; changes in food consumption and food security; experience with desert locusts and fall armyworms; and exposure to public programming.
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia, Report No. 7 by : Alemayehu A. Ambel
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Households in Ethiopia, Report No. 7 written by Alemayehu A. Ambel and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic and social effects on households have created an urgent need for timely data to help monitor and relieve the impacts and protect the welfare of the least-well-off Ethiopians. To monitor how the pandemic is affecting Ethiopia's economy and people and to inform interventions and policy responses, the World Bank is conducting a tailored High-Frequency Phone Survey of Households (HFPS-HH). The HFPS-HH builds on the national longitudinal Ethiopia Socioeconomic Survey (ESS) that the Central Statistical Agency (CSA) and the World Bank carried out in 2019. The HFPS-HH drew a subsample of the ESS sample that was representative of households with access to a working phone. The same households are being tracked over 12 months, with selected respondents, typically the household head, completing phone-based interviews every three to four weeks. Such prompt follow-up allows for better understanding of the household effects of and responses to the pandemic in near real time to support immediate evidence-based responses. This survey brief summarizes the results of the first six rounds of the HFPS-HH, covering the period from April to September 2020. The brief is based on a sample of both urban and rural households in all regions of Ethiopia. The 15-20-minute questionnaire covers such topics as knowledge of COVID mitigation measures and behavior changes, access to basic staple food items and medicines, educational activities during school closures, access to health care services, employment dynamics, household income and livelihoods, income loss and coping strategies, food security, and assistance received.
Book Synopsis Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria by : Amare, Mulubrhan
Download or read book Impacts of COVID-19 on food security: Panel data evidence from Nigeria written by Amare, Mulubrhan and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2020-08-11 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper combines pre-pandemic face-to-face survey data with follow up phone surveys collected in April-May 2020 to quantify the overall and differential impacts of COVID-19 on household food security, labor market participation and local food prices in Nigeria. We exploit spatial variation in exposure to COVID-19 related infections and lockdown measures along with temporal differences in our outcomes of interest using a difference-in-difference approach. We find that those households exposed to higher COVID-19 cases or mobility lockdowns experience a significant increase in measures of food insecurity. Examining possible transmission channels for this effect, we find that COVID-19 significantly reduces labor market participation and increases food prices. We find that impacts differ by economic activities and households. For instance, lockdown measures increased households' experience of food insecurity by 12 percentage points and reduced the probability of participation in non-farm business activities by 13 percentage points. These lockdown measures have smaller impacts on wage-related activities and farming activities. In terms of food security, households relying on non-farm businesses, poorer households, those with school-aged children, and those living in remote and conflicted-affected zones have experienced relatively larger deteriorations in food insecurity. These findings can help inform immediate and medium-term policy responses, including social protection policies aiming at ameliorating the impacts of the pandemic, as well as guide targeting strategies of governments and international donor agencies by identifying the most impacted sub-populations.
Book Synopsis Does the COVID-19 Pandemic Affect Women-Owned Firms Differently? by : Girum Abebe
Download or read book Does the COVID-19 Pandemic Affect Women-Owned Firms Differently? written by Girum Abebe and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and its negative economic effects create an urgent need for timely data and evidence to help monitor and mitigate the social and economic impacts of the crisis and protect the welfare of the least well-off in Ethiopia's society. To monitor the impacts of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic on Ethiopia's economy and people and inform interventions and policy responses, the World Bank Ethiopia team, in collaboration with the government, designed and implemented two high-frequency phone surveys, one with firms and one with households.
Book Synopsis COVID-19 and global food security: Two years later by : McDermott, John
Download or read book COVID-19 and global food security: Two years later written by McDermott, John and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2022-03-07 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the health, economic, and social disruptions caused by this global crisis continue to evolve. The impacts of the pandemic are likely to endure for years to come, with poor, marginalized, and vulnerable groups the most affected. In COVID-19 & Global Food Security: Two Years Later, the editors bring together contributions from new IFPRI research, blogs, and the CGIAR COVID-19 Hub to examine the pandemic’s effects on poverty, food security, nutrition, and health around the world. This volume presents key lessons learned on food security and food system resilience in 2020 and 2021 and assesses the effectiveness of policy responses to the crisis. Looking forward, the authors consider how the pandemic experience can inform both recovery and longer-term efforts to build more resilient food systems.
Book Synopsis Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 9 by : Girum Abebe
Download or read book Monitoring COVID-19 Impacts on Firms in Ethiopia, Report No. 9 written by Girum Abebe and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For the current study, six rounds of the HFPS-F survey are used, mainly focusing on the business closure module from round six. The six rounds are roughly three weeks apart and were implemented between April 15 and September 8, 2020 in Addis Ababa. The sampling strategy is explained in detail in a companion technical note. Six survey briefs highlighting the impact of the pandemic on firms' operations and labor dynamics are already produced along with two special topic briefs focusing on the gendered difference of the pandemic and how firms were affected by the State of Emergency. The current brief examines firm closure in relation to firms direct or indirect exposure to the social and economic impacts of the pandemic. The good news is that most of the firms that are closed have stopped production or services temporarily with less than 2 percent of firm closures reported to be permanent in R6 (roughly August). The following analysis thus focuses on temporary closures and mostly rely on data from 436 firms, of which 108 were temporarily closed and 328 were open at the time of the R6 survey.
Book Synopsis The Impact Of Covid-19 On Statistical Characteristics of Coffee Market. Evidence From Ethiopian Coffee by : Tewodros Ayalew
Download or read book The Impact Of Covid-19 On Statistical Characteristics of Coffee Market. Evidence From Ethiopian Coffee written by Tewodros Ayalew and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2020-12-10 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research Paper (postgraduate) from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 96 %, World Wide Education (WORLDQUANT UNIVERSITY), course: FINANCIAL ENGINEERING CAPSTONE PROJECT, language: English, abstract: Following the recent world crisis as a result of COVID-19 pandemic, the world has suffered tremendous losses in almost all market sectors that form the global economy. In this light, the researchers have decided to carry out a market research in one of the sectors of the global economy which is the commodity market. That market has a booming characteristic specifically the Ethiopian coffee export market. Therefore, it will be the project point of focus. The capstone project focuses on analysing 30 years of data and the current year before and after the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as during the period it has existed. The research used a couple of modern day tools to gather and analyse the data which has been collected from the Ethiopian Coffee Authorities. Tools such as Python and Excel have been used to develop a model for prediction and to test the hypothesis such as the ARIMA, Simple Linear Regression as well as the Paired T-test. Correlation and Covariance analyses have been carried out to test the relationship between the Ethiopian coffee market and the global economy participants such as the US and China to evaluate the degree of relationship and to find out whether the COVID-19 Pandemic has any effects on the coffee market in Ethiopia. The research result shows that the Ethiopian coffee export market will double its revenue for the coming 10 years. The project find out COVID-19 has a significant negative relationship with the coffee market but as compared with other countries disasters, the coffee export market in Ethiopia has been slightly impacted, there was still significant growth in the market during this period due to governmental policies put in place to protect the market from crashing or suffering from very heavy losses over time. It can be considered as a role model for other world countries in combating the pandemic to protect the market.
Book Synopsis Assessing response fatigue in phone surveys: Experimental evidence on dietary diversity in Ethiopia by : Abay, Kibrom A.
Download or read book Assessing response fatigue in phone surveys: Experimental evidence on dietary diversity in Ethiopia written by Abay, Kibrom A. and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic has spurred interest in the use of remote data collection techniques, including phone surveys, in developing country contexts. This interest has sparked new methodological work focusing on the advantages and disadvantages of different forms of remote data collection, the use of incentives to increase response rates and how to address sample representativeness. By contrast, attention given to associated response fatigue and its implications remains limited. To assess this, we designed and implemented an experiment that randomized the placement of a survey module on women’s dietary diversity in the survey instrument. We also examine potential differential vulnerabilities to fatigue across food groups and respondents. We find that delaying the timing of mothers’ food consumption module by 15 minutes leads to 8-17 percent decrease in the dietary diversity score and a 28 percent decrease in the number of mothers who consumed a minimum of four dietary groups. This is driven by underreporting of infrequently consumed foods; the experimentally induced delay in the timing of mothers’ food consumption module led to a 40 and 11 percent decrease in the reporting of consumption of animal source foods, and fruits and vegetables, respectively. Our results are robust to changes in model specification and pass falsification tests. Responses by older and less educated mothers and those from larger households are more vulnerable to measurement error due to fatigue.
