Econometrics Alchemy Or Science

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Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?

Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191522112
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? by : David F. Hendry

Download or read book Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? written by David F. Hendry and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-10-26 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?" analyses the effectiveness and validity of applying econometric methods to economic time series. The methodological dispute is long-standing, and no claim can be made for a single valid method, but recent results on the theory and practice of model selection bid fair to resolve many of the contentious issues. The book presents criticisms and evaluations of competing approaches, based on theoretical economic and econometric analyses, empirical applications, and Monte Carlo simulations, which interact to determine best practice. It explains the evolution of an approach to econometric modelling founded in careful statistical analyses of the available data, using economic theory to guide the general model specification. From a strong foundation in the theory of reduction, via a range of applied and simulation studies, it demonstrates that general-to-specific procedures have excellent properties. The book is divided into four Parts: Routes and Route Maps; Empirical Modelling Strategies; Formalization; and Retrospect and Prospect. A short preamble to each chapter sketches the salient themes, links to earlier and later developments, and the lessons learnt or missed at the time. A sequence of detailed empirical studies of consumers' expenditure and money demand illustrate most facets of the approach. Material new to this revised edition describes recent major advances in computer-automated model selection, embodied in the powerful new software program PcGets, which establish the operational success of the modelling strategy.

Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science?

Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (475 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science? by : David F. Hendry

Download or read book Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science? written by David F. Hendry and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science?

Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
ISBN 13 : 0198293542
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (982 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science? by : David F. Hendry

Download or read book Econometrics: Alchemy Or Science? written by David F. Hendry and published by Oxford University Press on Demand. This book was released on 2000-10-26 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Econometrics: Alchemy or Science?" analyses the effectiveness and validity of applying econometric methods to economic time series. The methodological dispute is long-standing, and no claim can be made for a single valid method, but recent results on the theory and practice of model selection bid fair to resolve many of the contentious issues.The book presents criticisms and evaluations of competing approaches, based on theoretical economic and econometric analyses, empirical applications, and Monte Carlo simulations, which interact to determine best practice. It explains the evolution of an approach to econometric modelling founded in careful statistical analyses of the available data, using economic theory to guide the general model specification. From a strong foundation in the theory of reduction, via a range of applied andsimulation studies, it demonstrates that general-to-specific procedures have excellent properties.The book is divided into four Parts: Routes and Route Maps; Empirical Modelling Strategies; Formalization; and Retrospect and Prospect. A short preamble to each chapter sketches the salient themes, links to earlier and later developments, and the lessons learnt or missed at the time. A sequence of detailed empirical studies of consumers' expenditure and money demand illustrate most facets of the approach. Material new to this revised edition describes recent major advances in computer-automatedmodel selection, embodied in the powerful new software program PcGets, which establish the operational success of the modelling strategy.

Econometrics as a Con Art

Author : Imad A. Moosa
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1785369954
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (853 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics as a Con Art by : Imad A. Moosa

Download or read book Econometrics as a Con Art written by Imad A. Moosa and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Imad Moosa challenges convention with this comprehensive and compelling critique of econometrics, condemning the common practices of misapplied statistical methods in both economics and finance.

Advances in Econometrics: Volume 2

Author : Truman F. Bewley
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521467254
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (672 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Econometrics: Volume 2 by : Truman F. Bewley

Download or read book Advances in Econometrics: Volume 2 written by Truman F. Bewley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1994-11-25 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With its focus on econometrics, this second volume contains key papers delivered at the Fifth World Congress in 1985.

The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics

Author : Jennifer Castle
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191553255
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics by : Jennifer Castle

Download or read book The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics written by Jennifer Castle and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-04-30 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: David F. Hendry is a seminal figure in modern econometrics. He has pioneered the LSE approach to econometrics, and his influence is wide ranging. This book is a collection of papers dedicated to him and his work. Many internationally renowned econometricians who have collaborated with Hendry or have been influenced by his research have contributed to this volume, which provides a reflection on the recent advances in econometrics and considers the future progress for the methodology of econometrics. Central themes of the book include dynamic modelling and the properties of time series data, model selection and model evaluation, forecasting, policy analysis, exogeneity and causality, and encompassing. The book strikes a balance between econometric theory and empirical work, and demonstrates the influence that Hendry's research has had on the direction of modern econometrics. Contributors include: Karim Abadir, Anindya Banerjee, Gunnar Bårdsen, Andreas Beyer, Mike Clements, James Davidson, Juan Dolado, Jurgen Doornik, Robert Engle, Neil Ericsson, Jesus Gonzalo, Clive Granger, David Hendry, Kevin Hoover, Søren Johansen, Katarina Juselius, Steven Kamin, Pauline Kennedy, Maozu Lu, Massimiliano Marcellino, Laura Mayoral, Grayham Mizon, Bent Nielsen, Ragnor Nymoen, Jim Stock, Pravin Trivedi, Paolo Paruolo, Mark Watson, Hal White, and David Zimmer.

Probability, Econometrics and Truth

Author : Hugo A. Keuzenkamp
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139431048
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability, Econometrics and Truth by : Hugo A. Keuzenkamp

Download or read book Probability, Econometrics and Truth written by Hugo A. Keuzenkamp and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-11-02 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When John Maynard Keynes likened Jan Tinbergen's early work in econometrics to black magic and alchemy, he was expressing a widely held view of a new discipline. However, even after half a century of practical work and theorizing by some of the most accomplished social scientists, Keynes' comments are still repeated today. This book assesses the foundations and development of econometrics and sets out a basis for the reconstruction of the foundations of econometric inference by examining the various interpretations of probability theory which underlie econometrics. Keuzenkamp claims that the probabilistic foundations of econometrics are weak, and although econometric inferences may yield interesting knowledge, claims to be able to falsify or verify economic theories are unwarranted. Methodological falsificationism in econometrics is an illusion. Instead, it is argued, econometrics should locate itself in the tradition of positivism.

Econometrics and the Philosophy of Economics

Author : Bernt P. Stigum
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400873231
Total Pages : 792 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics and the Philosophy of Economics by : Bernt P. Stigum

Download or read book Econometrics and the Philosophy of Economics written by Bernt P. Stigum and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-29 with total page 792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As most econometricians will readily agree, the data used in applied econometrics seldom provide accurate measurements for the pertinent theory's variables. Here, Bernt Stigum offers the first systematic and theoretically sound way of accounting for such inaccuracies. He and a distinguished group of contributors bridge econometrics and the philosophy of economics--two topics that seem worlds apart. They ask: How is a science of economics possible? The answer is elusive. Economic theory seems to be about abstract ideas or, it might be said, about toys in a toy community. How can a researcher with such tools learn anything about the social reality in which he or she lives? This book shows that an econometrician with the proper understanding of economic theory and the right kind of questions can gain knowledge about characteristic features of the social world. It addresses varied topics in both classical and Bayesian econometrics, offering ample evidence that its answer to the fundamental question is sound. The first book to comprehensively explore economic theory and econometrics simultaneously, Econometrics and the Philosophy of Economics represents an authoritative account of contemporary economic methodology. About a third of the chapters are authored or coauthored by Heather Anderson, Erik Biørn, Christophe Bontemps, Jeffrey A. Dubin, Harald E. Goldstein, Clive W.J. Granger, David F. Hendry, Herman Ruge-Jervell, Dale W. Jorgenson, Hans-Martin Krolzig, Nils Lid Hjort, Daniel L. McFadden, Grayham E. Mizon, Tore Schweder, Geir Storvik, and Herman K. van Dijk.

The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics

Author : Jennifer Castle
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199237190
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics by : Jennifer Castle

Download or read book The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics written by Jennifer Castle and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-30 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Building upon, and celebrating the work of David Hendry, this volume consists of a number of specially commissioned pieces from some of the leading econometricians in the world. It reflects on the recent advances in econometrics and considers the future progress for the methodology of econometrics.

Econometrics in a Formal Science of Economics

Author : Bernt P. Stigum
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262028581
Total Pages : 389 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometrics in a Formal Science of Economics by : Bernt P. Stigum

Download or read book Econometrics in a Formal Science of Economics written by Bernt P. Stigum and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An examination of the role of theory in applied econometrics.

Dynamic Econometrics

Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780198283164
Total Pages : 918 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (831 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Econometrics by : David F. Hendry

Download or read book Dynamic Econometrics written by David F. Hendry and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 918 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The main problem in econometric modelling of time series is discovering sustainable and interpretable relationships between observed economic variables. The primary aim of this book is to develop an operational econometric approach which allows constructive modelling. Professor Hendry deals with methodological issues (model discovery, data mining, and progressive research strategies); with major tools for modelling (recursive methods, encompassing, super exogeneity, invariance tests); and with practical problems (collinearity, heteroscedasticity, and measurement errors). He also includes an extensive study of US money demand. The book is self-contained, with the technical background covered in appendices. It is thus suitable for first year graduate students, and includes solved examples and exercises to facilitate its use in teaching. About the Series Advanced Texts in Econometrics is a distinguished and rapidly expanding series in which leading econometricians assess recent developments in such areas as stochastic probability, panel and time series data analysis, modeling, and cointegration. In both hardback and affordable paperback, each volume explains the nature and applicability of a topic in greater depth than possible in introductory textbooks or single journal articles. Each definitive work is formatted to be as accessible and convenient for those who are not familiar with the detailed primary literature.

The Art and Science of Econometrics

Author : Ping Zong
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000580245
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis The Art and Science of Econometrics by : Ping Zong

Download or read book The Art and Science of Econometrics written by Ping Zong and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2022-05-02 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today econometrics has been widely applied in the empirical study of economics. As an empirical science, econometrics uses rigorous mathematical and statistical methods for economic problems. Understanding the methodologies of both econometrics and statistics is a crucial departure for econometrics. The primary focus of this book is to provide an understanding of statistical properties behind econometric methods. Following the introduction in Chapter 1, Chapter 2 provides the methodological review of both econometrics and statistics in different periods since the 1930s. Chapters 3 and 4 explain the underlying theoretical methodologies for estimated equations in the simple regression and multiple regression models and discuss the debates about p-values in particular. This part of the book offers the reader a richer understanding of the methods of statistics behind the methodology of econometrics. Chapters 5–9 of the book are focused on the discussion of regression models using time series data, traditional causal econometric models, and the latest statistical techniques. By concentrating on dynamic structural linear models like state-space models and the Bayesian approach, the book alludes to the fact that this methodological study is not only a science but also an art. This work serves as a handy reference book for anyone interested in econometrics, particularly in relevance to students and academic and business researchers in all quantitative analysis fields.

Social Ontology and Modern Economics

Author : Stephen Pratten
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317703901
Total Pages : 605 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (177 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Ontology and Modern Economics by : Stephen Pratten

Download or read book Social Ontology and Modern Economics written by Stephen Pratten and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-09-25 with total page 605 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists increasingly recognise that engagement with social ontology – the study of the basic subject matter and constitution of social reality - can facilitate more relevant analysis. This growing recognition amongst economists of the importance of social ontology is due very considerably to the work of members of the Cambridge Social Ontology Group. This volume brings together important papers by members of this group, some previously unpublished, in a collection that reveals the breadth and vitality of this Cambridge project. It provides a brilliant introduction to the central themes explored, perspectives sustained, insights achieved and how the project is moving forward. An initial set of papers examine how ontology is understood and justified within this Cambridge project and consider how it compares with prominent historical and contemporary alternatives. The majority of the included papers involve social ontological analysis being put to work directly in underlabouring for specific types of development in economics. The papers are grouped according to their contribution to clarifying and developing (i) various competing traditions and projects of modern economics, (ii) history of thought contributions, (iii) methodological concerns, (iv) ethics and (v) conceptions of particular aspects of social reality, including money, gender, technology and institutions. Background to and a brief history of the Cambridge group is provided in the Introduction. Social Ontology and Modern Economics will be of interest not only to economists but also philosophers of social science, social theorists and those eager to explore the nature of gender, social institutions and technology.

Rational Econometric Man

Author : Edward J. Nell
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1849809623
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (498 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Econometric Man by : Edward J. Nell

Download or read book Rational Econometric Man written by Edward J. Nell and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: •If you are interested in understanding the underlying philosophical reasons why structural econometrics seems dead, read this book. Not only do the authors provide a comprehensive, stimulating, and provocative account of the debate and literature, the

The Formation of Econometrics

Author : Qin Duo
Publisher : Clarendon Press
ISBN 13 : 0191521353
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis The Formation of Econometrics by : Qin Duo

Download or read book The Formation of Econometrics written by Qin Duo and published by Clarendon Press. This book was released on 1993-09-16 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Duo Qin has provided a scholarly study of a crucial period in the history of econometrics. She traces the formation of econometric theory during the period 1930-1960, and focuses on the formalization of mathematical and scientific processes to analyse economic problems. This book deals with the advances made in the practice of econometrics as a discipline, in terms of the basic issues is econometric modelling: the probability of foundations, estimations, identification, testing, and model construction and specification. Duo Qin argues that, while the probability revolution in econometrics in the early 1940s laid the basis for the systematization of econometric theory, it was actually an incomplete revolution, and its incompleteness underlay various problems and failures that occurred in applying the newly eastablished theory to modelling practice. Model construction and hypothesis testing remained problematic because the basic problem of induction in econometrics was not properly formalized and solved. The book thus links early econometric history with many issues of interest to contemporary developments in econometrics.

Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables

Author : M. Clements
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230596142
Total Pages : 173 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables by : M. Clements

Download or read book Evaluating Econometric Forecasts of Economic and Financial Variables written by M. Clements and published by Springer. This book was released on 2005-01-21 with total page 173 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial econometrics is one of the greatest on-going success stories of recent decades, as it has become one of the most active areas of research in econometrics. In this book, Michael Clements presents a clear and logical explanation of the key concepts and ideas of forecasts of economic and financial variables. He shows that forecasts of the single most likely outcome of an economic and financial variable are of limited value. Forecasts that provide more information on the expected likely ranges of outcomes are more relevant. This book provides a comprehensive treatment of the evaluation of different types of forecasts and draws out the parallels between the different approaches. It describes the methods of evaluating these more complex forecasts which provide a fuller description of the range of possible future outcomes.

Economics and the Philosophy of Science

Author : Deborah A. Redman
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195082745
Total Pages : 267 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics and the Philosophy of Science by : Deborah A. Redman

Download or read book Economics and the Philosophy of Science written by Deborah A. Redman and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1993 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists and other social scientists in this century have often supported economic arguments by referring to positions taken by philosophers of science. This important new book looks at the reliability of this practice and--in the process--provides economists, social scientists, and historians with the necessary background to discuss methodological matters with authority. Redman presents an accurate, critical, yet neutral survey of the modern philosophy of science from the Vienna Circle to the present, focusing particularly on logical positivism, sociological explanations of science (Polanyi, Fleck, Kuhn), the Popper family, and the history of science. She then deals with economic methodology in the twentieth century, looking at a wide range of methodological positions, especially those supported by positions from the philosophy of science.