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Dynamical Modeling Of The Onset Of War
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Book Synopsis Dynamical Modeling of the Onset of War by : Alvin M. Saperstein
Download or read book Dynamical Modeling of the Onset of War written by Alvin M. Saperstein and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1999 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Physical science and technology (engineering) are fundamentally linked by the possibility of predictions: science tests itself and grows by making and checking predictions; technology relies on predictions and thus furthers the growth of the associated science. The political science of international relations is similarly associated with the ?technology? of policy making by governments and elites: the growth of the science is dependent upon its applicability for useful policy making. This book explores the applicability of predictability ? based upon dynamical modeling, and the related concepts of chaos and complexity ? to the understanding of international relations, with the hope that this will lead to insights into policy making and hence the growth of the science of international relations.
Book Synopsis Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data by : Andrew Zammit-Mangion
Download or read book Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data written by Andrew Zammit-Mangion and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-09-30 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.
Book Synopsis Dynamical Modeling And Analysis Of Epidemics by : Zhien Ma
Download or read book Dynamical Modeling And Analysis Of Epidemics written by Zhien Ma and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009-05-22 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely book covers the basic concepts of the dynamics of epidemic disease, presenting various kinds of models as well as typical research methods and results. It introduces the latest results in the current literature, especially those obtained by highly rated Chinese scholars. A lot of attention is paid to the qualitative analysis of models, the sheer variety of models, and the frontiers of mathematical epidemiology. The process and key steps in epidemiological modeling and prediction are highlighted, using transmission models of HIV/AIDS, SARS, and tuberculosis as application examples.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Difference Equations by : H. Sedaghat
Download or read book Nonlinear Difference Equations written by H. Sedaghat and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is generally acknowledged that deterministic formulations of dy namical phenomena in the social sciences need to be treated differently from similar formulations in the natural sciences. Social science phe nomena typically defy precise measurements or data collection that are comparable in accuracy and detail to those in the natural sciences. Con sequently, a deterministic model is rarely expected to yield a precise description of the actual phenomenon being modelled. Nevertheless, as may be inferred from a study of the models discussed in this book, the qualitative analysis of deterministic models has an important role to play in understanding the fundamental mechanisms behind social sci ence phenomena. The reach of such analysis extends far beyond tech nical clarifications of classical theories that were generally expressed in imprecise literary prose. The inherent lack of precise knowledge in the social sciences is a fun damental trait that must be distinguished from "uncertainty. " For in stance, in mathematically modelling the stock market, uncertainty is a prime and indispensable component of a model. Indeed, in the stock market, the rules are specifically designed to make prediction impossible or at least very difficult. On the other hand, understanding concepts such as the "business cycle" involves economic and social mechanisms that are very different from the rules of the stock market. Here, far from seeking unpredictability, the intention of the modeller is a scientific one, i. e.
Book Synopsis Why Context Matters in Educational Leadership by : Colin Evers
Download or read book Why Context Matters in Educational Leadership written by Colin Evers and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2022-02-20 with total page 198 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why Context Matters in Educational Leadership: A New Theoretical Understanding is unique in the field of educational leadership studies. This book offers a systematic account of educational leadership from the perspective that context matters. It argues that studies of leadership in education can only progress if the importance of context is understood and presents context as a set of constraints under which leadership is exercised. A theoretical book that offers at last three major challenges to dominant positions in the field in a systematic way, it provides a new, coherent, and more realistic way to think about leadership in context.The chapters offer concrete steps for complex problem-solving in schools and will help schools tailor solutions to local constraints and circumstances. Written by leading scholars Colin W. Evers and Gabriele Lakomski, this book will be essential reading for students and researchers working in the fields of education, educational administration and leadership.
Book Synopsis Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data by : Andrew Zammit-Mangion
Download or read book Modeling Conflict Dynamics with Spatio-temporal Data written by Andrew Zammit-Mangion and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitioners in the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students.
Book Synopsis Transnational Dynamics of Civil War by : Jeffrey T. Checkel
Download or read book Transnational Dynamics of Civil War written by Jeffrey T. Checkel and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Civil wars are the dominant form of violence in the contemporary international system, yet they are anything but local affairs. This book explores the border-crossing features of such wars by bringing together insights from international relations theory, sociology, and transnational politics with a rich comparative-quantitative literature. It highlights the causal mechanisms - framing, resource mobilization, socialization, among others - that link the international and transnational to the local, emphasizing the methods required to measure them. Contributors examine specific mechanisms leading to particular outcomes in civil conflicts ranging from Chechnya, to Afghanistan, to Sudan, to Turkey. Transnational Dynamics of Civil War thus provides a significant contribution to debates motivating the broader move to mechanism-based forms of explanation, and will engage students and researchers of international relations, comparative politics, and conflict processes.
Book Synopsis System Dynamics Modelling by : R.G. Coyle
Download or read book System Dynamics Modelling written by R.G. Coyle and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1996-05-01 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With NATO's bombing campaign against Serbia now over, what strategic, long-range plans will the alliance employ to restore stability to the region? As the global economy continually changes in response to worldwide events, what investment strategies will firms implement to cope with changing markets? And how can major pharmaceutical companies solve the problem of having newly-developed products abandoned before they can even be launched on the market? This book is designed and written to give the applied statistician an insight into all these areas of investigation.
Download or read book Book Review Index written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 1520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Vols. 8-10 of the 1965-1984 master cumulation constitute a title index.
Book Synopsis Historical Dynamics by : Peter Turchin
Download or read book Historical Dynamics written by Peter Turchin and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many historical processes are dynamic. Populations grow and decline. Empires expand and collapse. Religions spread and wither. Natural scientists have made great strides in understanding dynamical processes in the physical and biological worlds using a synthetic approach that combines mathematical modeling with statistical analyses. Taking up the problem of territorial dynamics--why some polities at certain times expand and at other times contract--this book shows that a similar research program can advance our understanding of dynamical processes in history. Peter Turchin develops hypotheses from a wide range of social, political, economic, and demographic factors: geopolitics, factors affecting collective solidarity, dynamics of ethnic assimilation/religious conversion, and the interaction between population dynamics and sociopolitical stability. He then translates these into a spectrum of mathematical models, investigates the dynamics predicted by the models, and contrasts model predictions with empirical patterns. Turchin's highly instructive empirical tests demonstrate that certain models predict empirical patterns with a very high degree of accuracy. For instance, one model accounts for the recurrent waves of state breakdown in medieval and early modern Europe. And historical data confirm that ethno-nationalist solidarity produces an aggressively expansive state under certain conditions (such as in locations where imperial frontiers coincide with religious divides). The strength of Turchin's results suggests that the synthetic approach he advocates can significantly improve our understanding of historical dynamics.
Book Synopsis Modeling and Simulation of Aerospace Vehicle Dynamics by : Peter H. Zipfel
Download or read book Modeling and Simulation of Aerospace Vehicle Dynamics written by Peter H. Zipfel and published by AIAA. This book was released on 2000 with total page 586 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook for an advanced undergraduate course in which Zipfel (aerospace engineering, U. of Florida) introduces the fundamentals of an approach to, or step in, design that has become a field in and of itself. The first part assumes an introductory course in dynamics, and the second some specialized knowledge in subsystem technologies. Practicing engineers in the aerospace industry, he suggests, should be able to cover the material without a tutor. Rather than include a disk, he has made supplementary material available on the Internet. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Book Synopsis Military Applications of Modeling by : Francis P. Hoeber
Download or read book Military Applications of Modeling written by Francis P. Hoeber and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-05-30 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 1981, offers a critical review of the techniques of mathematical modelling and their appropriate application to military operations research – the analysis of data (historical data, exercise and test results, and intelligence) in preparation for war. The virtues of sophistication via simplicity, and the beauty of the artful finesse, emerge as the signature of successful modelling.
Book Synopsis The Three Circles of War by : Heather Gregg
Download or read book The Three Circles of War written by Heather Gregg and published by Potomac Books, Inc.. This book was released on 2010-07 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive military textbook for our times, our wars
Book Synopsis Models of Science Dynamics by : Andrea Scharnhorst
Download or read book Models of Science Dynamics written by Andrea Scharnhorst and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-24 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Models of Science Dynamics aims to capture the structure and evolution of science, the emerging arena in which scholars, science and the communication of science become themselves the basic objects of research. In order to capture the essence of phenomena as diverse as the structure of co-authorship networks or the evolution of citation diffusion patterns, such models can be represented by conceptual models based on historical and ethnographic observations, mathematical descriptions of measurable phenomena, or computational algorithms. Despite its evident importance, the mathematical modeling of science still lacks a unifying framework and a comprehensive study of the topic. This volume fills this gap, reviewing and describing major threads in the mathematical modeling of science dynamics for a wider academic and professional audience. The model classes presented cover stochastic and statistical models, system-dynamics approaches, agent-based simulations, population-dynamics models, and complex-network models. The book comprises an introduction and a foundational chapter that defines and operationalizes terminology used in the study of science, as well as a review chapter that discusses the history of mathematical approaches to modeling science from an algorithmic-historiography perspective. It concludes with a survey of remaining challenges for future science models and their relevance for science and science policy.
Book Synopsis Algorithms and Dynamical Models for Communities and Reputation in Social Networks by : Vincent Traag
Download or read book Algorithms and Dynamical Models for Communities and Reputation in Social Networks written by Vincent Traag and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-28 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A persistent problem when finding communities in large complex networks is the so-called resolution limit. This thesis addresses this issue meticulously, and introduces the important notion of resolution-limit-free. Remarkably, only few methods possess this desirable property, and this thesis puts forward one such method. Moreover, it discusses how to assess whether communities can occur by chance or not. One aspect that is often ignored in this field is treated here: links can also be negative, as in war or conflict. Besides how to incorporate this in community detection, it also examines the dynamics of such negative links, inspired by a sociological theory known as social balance. This has intriguing connections to the evolution of cooperation, suggesting that for cooperation to emerge, groups often split in two opposing factions. In addition to these theoretical contributions, the thesis also contains an empirical analysis of the effect of trading communities on international conflict, and how communities form in a citation network with positive and negative links.
Book Synopsis Inter-Societal Dynamics by : Jonathan H. Turner
Download or read book Inter-Societal Dynamics written by Jonathan H. Turner and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-02 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book by Jonathan Turner and Anthony Roberts proposes a new theoretical approach for explaining the dynamics of inter-societal systems. The authors argue that inter-societal systems have existed since the beginning of human societies and the dynamics of these systems are a fundamental property of the social universe. However, while world-systems analysis has emphasized this latter point, the authors argue the reluctance to theorize complex abstract models and systems of explanatory propositions on the dynamics driving inter-societal systems hinders scientific explanation of inter-societal dynamics. In this context, the authors critically look at contemporary theorizing and review key theories that have been developed to explain geo-economic, geo-political, and geo-cultural dynamics, from the classic period through present-day world-systems analysis and cliometrics. The book summarizes these theories clearly, emphasizing their strengths and weakness, finally developing a theoretical synthesis through new models and propositions on the dynamics of premodern and modern inter-societal systems. Professor Turner’s decades of experience writing theory books for undergraduates have ensured that this book presents abstract ideas clearly and with examples so that students can understand the arguments. This book is a must-read for all social theory researchers, academics, serious undergraduate students, graduate students, and interested laypersons.
Book Synopsis High Frequency Trading and Limit Order Book Dynamics by : Ingmar Nolte
Download or read book High Frequency Trading and Limit Order Book Dynamics written by Ingmar Nolte and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2016-04-14 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together the latest research in the areas of market microstructure and high-frequency finance along with new econometric methods to address critical practical issues in these areas of research. Thirteen chapters, each of which makes a valuable and significant contribution to the existing literature have been brought together, spanning a wide range of topics including information asymmetry and the information content in limit order books, high-frequency return distribution models, multivariate volatility forecasting, analysis of individual trading behaviour, the analysis of liquidity, price discovery across markets, market microstructure models and the information content of order flow. These issues are central both to the rapidly expanding practice of high frequency trading in financial markets and to the further development of the academic literature in this area. The volume will therefore be of immediate interest to practitioners and academics. This book was originally published as a special issue of European Journal of Finance.
