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Do Long Term Interest Rates Overreact To Short Term Interest Rates
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Book Synopsis A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-term Interest Rates by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book A Simple Account of the Behavior of Long-term Interest Rates written by John Y. Campbell and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent empirical research on the term structure of interest rates has shown that the long-term interest rate is well described by adistributed lag on short-term interest rates, but does not conform to the expectations theory of the term structure. It has been suggested that the long rate "overreacts" to the short rate. This paper presents aunified taxonomy of risk premia, or deviations from the expectations theory. This enables the hypothesis of overreaction to be formally stated. It is shown that, if anything, the long rate has underreacted to the short rate. However, the independent movement of the long rate is primarily responsible for the failure of the expectations theory.
Book Synopsis Long-term and Short-term Interest Rates by : Frank Walter Paish
Download or read book Long-term and Short-term Interest Rates written by Frank Walter Paish and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Three lectures in which the author puts forward a modification of keneysian theory of interest rates.
Book Synopsis Changes in the Relationship Between the Long-Term Interest Rate and its Determinants by : Mr.William Lee
Download or read book Changes in the Relationship Between the Long-Term Interest Rate and its Determinants written by Mr.William Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-10-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the relative importance of alternative explanations for the rise in long-term interest rates in the United States from October 1993 to April 1994. Standard econometric models of the term structure are shown to have a structural break in the early 1980s. An important reason for this change in the traditional term structure relationship appears to be an increase in the responsiveness of long-term rates to changes in the stance of monetary policy. Augmented term structure models that explicitly incorporate the role of monetary policy in determining the level of long-term rates are then constructed. These models track variations in the long-term rate better than traditional term structure models, but still leave a significant fraction of the recent increase in long-term rates unexplained.
Book Synopsis Long-Terma and Short-Term Interest Rates in the United Kingdom by : Frank Walter Paish
Download or read book Long-Terma and Short-Term Interest Rates in the United Kingdom written by Frank Walter Paish and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Lower Bound Beliefs and Long-Term Interest Rates by : Christian Grisse
Download or read book Lower Bound Beliefs and Long-Term Interest Rates written by Christian Grisse and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-03-22 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the transmission of changes in the believed location of the lower bound to longterm interest rates since the introduction of negative interest rate policies. The expectations hypothesis of the term structure combined with a lower bound on policy rates suggests that normal policy transmission is reduced when policy rates approach this lower bound. We show that if market participants revise downward the believed location of the lower bound, this may in itself reduce long-term yields. Moreover, normal policy transmission to long-term rates increases. A cross-country event study suggests that such effects have been empirically relevant during the recent negative interest rate episode.
Book Synopsis The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates by : Reuben A. Kessel
Download or read book The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates written by Reuben A. Kessel and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment by : Mr.Ralph Chami
Download or read book Riding the Yield Curve: Risk Taking Behavior in a Low Interest Rate Environment written by Mr.Ralph Chami and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-03-13 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investors seek to hedge against interest rate risk by taking long or short positions on bonds of different maturities. We study changes in risk taking behavior in a low interest rate environment by estimating a market stochastic discount factor that is non-linear and therefore consistent with the empirical properties of cashflow valuations identified in the literature. We provide evidence that non-linearities arise from hedging strategies of investors exposed to interest rate risk. Capital losses are amplified when interest rates increase and risk averse investors have taken positions on instruments with longer maturity, expecting instead interest rates to revert back to their historical average.
Book Synopsis The term structure of interests rates by : Diana Ruthenberg
Download or read book The term structure of interests rates written by Diana Ruthenberg and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2006-04-14 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay from the year 2004 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1.8, University of Plymouth (Business School), 2 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: Firstly, this report will depict briefly what a bond is in general and how to evaluate its advantages and inconveniences for potential investors. Then it aims at to explain when and why the yield on long-term bonds often exceeds the yield on short-term bonds. The explanation will mainly be based on the three primary theories: the expectations hypothesis, the liquidity premium / preferred habitat theories and the market segmentation theory.
Book Synopsis Long and Short-term Interest Rates; an Econometric Study by : J. L. Ford
Download or read book Long and Short-term Interest Rates; an Econometric Study written by J. L. Ford and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Term Structure of Interest Rates by : David Meiselman
Download or read book The Term Structure of Interest Rates written by David Meiselman and published by . This book was released on 1962 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates by : N. Gregory Mankiw
Download or read book The Changing Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates written by N. Gregory Mankiw and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure using data at the short end of the maturity spectrum. We find that prior to the founding ofthe Federal Reserve System in 1915, the spread between long rates and short rates has substantial predictive power for the path of interest rates; after 1915, however, the spread contains much less predictive power. We then show that the short rate is approximately a random walk after the founding of the Fed but not before. This latter fact, coupled with even slight variation inthe term premium, can explain the observed change in 1915 in the performance of the expectations theory. We suggest that the random walk character of the short rate may be attributable to the Federal Reserve's commitment to stabilizing interest rates.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Interest-rate Risk by : Brian Coyle
Download or read book Introduction to Interest-rate Risk written by Brian Coyle and published by Global Professional Publishi. This book was released on 2001 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: � Worked examples illustrating key points � Explanation of complex or obscure terms � Full glossary of terms The titles in this series, all previously published by BPP Training, are now available in entirely updated and reformatted editions. Each offers an international perspective on a particular aspect of risk management. Topics include interest-rate exposures, fixed or floating-rate interest, term of funding and the yield curve, forward rates and the yield curve and basis risk, gap exposure, and price risk.
Book Synopsis Interest Rate Markets by : Siddhartha Jha
Download or read book Interest Rate Markets written by Siddhartha Jha and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-28 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to build a framework for forecasting interest rate market movements With trillions of dollars worth of trades conducted every year in everything from U.S. Treasury bonds to mortgage-backed securities, the U.S. interest rate market is one of the largest fixed income markets in the world. Interest Rate Markets: A Practical Approach to Fixed Income details the typical quantitative tools used to analyze rates markets; the range of fixed income products on the cash side; interest rate movements; and, the derivatives side of the business. Emphasizes the importance of hedging and quantitatively managing risks inherent in interest rate trades Details the common trades which can be used by investors to take views on interest rates in an efficient manner, the methods used to accurately set up these trades, as well as common pitfalls and risks?providing examples from previous market stress events such as 2008 Includes exclusive access to the Interest Rate Markets Web site which includes commonly used calculations and trade construction methods Interest Rate Markets helps readers to understand the structural nature of the rates markets and to develop a framework for thinking about these markets intuitively, rather than focusing on mathematical models
Book Synopsis Modeling Long-term Government Bond Yields by : Paul Sundell
Download or read book Modeling Long-term Government Bond Yields written by Paul Sundell and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Official Demand for U.S. Debt by : Iryna Kaminska
Download or read book Official Demand for U.S. Debt written by Iryna Kaminska and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-18 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By constructing and estimating a structural arbitrage-free model of demand pressures on US real rates, we find that recent purchases of US government debt securities by the Fed and foreign officials have significantly affected the level and the dynamics of US real rates. In particular, by 2008, foreign purchases of US Treasuries are estimated to have had cumulatively reduced long term real yields by around 80 basis points. The subsequent total impact of Fed purchases in 2008-2012 has been even larger: the quantitative easing (QE) has depressed real 10-year yields by around 140 basis points. Our findings also reveal that the Fed policy interventions and foreign official purchases affect longer term real bonds mostly through a reduction in the bond premium.
Book Synopsis Long Term Interest Rates by : Daryl Watkins
Download or read book Long Term Interest Rates written by Daryl Watkins and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 93 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The long-term interest rate is a central variable in the macroeconomy. It matters to borrowers looking to start a business or purchase a home; to lenders weighing the risks and rewards of extending credit; to savers preparing for college or retirement; and to policymakers gauging the state of the economy and financing government expenditure. The global financial crisis and the aggressive policy response pushed long-term interest rates in the United States and in many advanced economies to historically low levels. But today's low-rate environment is not just a cyclical story. Interest rates had been falling worldwide for nearly twenty years before the crisis. Despite the magnitude and persistence of the secular downtrend, the explanation for the decline is one of the most vexing questions faced by macroeconomists today. The future path of interest rates is even less clear. This book surveys the recent thinking on the many drivers of long-term interest rates in recent decades and going forward. In addition, this book provides a speech by Federal Reserve Board Governor Bernanke at the Sandridge Lecture which discusses the global saving glut and the U.S. current deficit.
Book Synopsis The Seasonal Variation of Interest Rates by : Stanley Diller
Download or read book The Seasonal Variation of Interest Rates written by Stanley Diller and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
