Inflation and Disinflation

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226471105
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (711 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Disinflation by : Leonardo Leiderman

Download or read book Inflation and Disinflation written by Leonardo Leiderman and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1993-07-15 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the early 1980s, Israel's inflation rate rose to almost 500% per year—one of the highest inflation rates in the developed world. In 1985, the Israeli government implemented a program that immediately reduced inflation to 15%-20%, where it remained for the rest of the decade. How did the economy deal with these major changes so rapidly and successfully? In these eighteen articles, Leonardo Leiderman discusses why the Israeli plan worked and considers how other countries might benefit from similar policies. Even though standard economic models predict that output will drop and unemployment will rise during disinflation, Israel saw a boom in private consumption and large increases in real wages that lasted for about three years. To understand how the effects of Israeli disinflation policies defied typical expectations, Leiderman investigates how monetary fiscal policy determined Israel's runaway inflation and how the country brought its economy abruptly under control. He finds that rates of inflation and consumption depend on the public's expectations about future fiscal adjustments and that foreign trade shocks do not inevitably lead to a long-term rise in the inflation rate. His illumination of international trade and domestic policies, past and present, will interest academic economists and policymakers alike.

Disinflation in Transition

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757975
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis Disinflation in Transition by : Mr.Carlo Cottarelli

Download or read book Disinflation in Transition written by Mr.Carlo Cottarelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-08-23 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The latest in a series of papers published by the International Monetary Fund on economies in transition examines the experience of disinflation in Central and Eastern Europe, the Baltics, Russia, and other countries of the former Soviet Union between 1993 and 1997. The paper reviews the economic policies underlying the dramatic drop in inflation during those years as well as other variables that facilitated the disinflation and notes that the adjustment of fiscal fundamentals as the driving force behind the disinflation, while nominal anchoring arrangements played a less prominent role. This was contrary to developments in countries, for example, in Latin America, that had experienced high inflation for a long period of time.

Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351739271
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (517 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey by : Faruk Selcuk

Download or read book Inflation and Disinflation in Turkey written by Faruk Selcuk and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-04-27 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title was first published in 2002. Since the 1990s Turkey has experienced a number of disasters, both physical and economic. The result has been a decrease in economic performance compared to other European states. This study addresses the country's ongoing economic struggles.

Disinflation in Spain

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185286X
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Disinflation in Spain by : Mr.Nicolas Sobczak

Download or read book Disinflation in Spain written by Mr.Nicolas Sobczak and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-08-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the causes of the recent disinflation in Spain. A standard Phillips curve model is used to disentangle the contributions of three possible shocks: an adverse demand shock that raises unemployment, a positive supply shock resulting from relative price adjustments or structural improvements in the labor market, and a credibility shock that lowers inflationary expectations. The main element underlying Spain’s recent disinflation appears to be a fall in inflation expectations, thanks to the country’s commitment to participate in Economic and Monetary Union from the start, and policy actions geared to that end.

Disinflation in Transition Economies

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Author :
Publisher : Central European University Press
ISBN 13 : 963386562X
Total Pages : 413 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (338 download)

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Book Synopsis Disinflation in Transition Economies by : Marek Dabrowski

Download or read book Disinflation in Transition Economies written by Marek Dabrowski and published by Central European University Press. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 413 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors of this outstanding scholarly work analyze the dynamics of disinflation in transition economies in Central and Eastern Europe. The volume covers all the key factors of this process: changes in money supply and money demand; exchange rate policy; currency crisis; fiscal policy; legal status of central banks; monetary policy strategy; changes in relative prices and changes in nominal and real wages. The book contains 13 chapters related to various aspects of disinflation and covering different sets of transition countries depending on their relevance to the analyzed topic and data availability.

Reducing Inflation

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226724832
Total Pages : 434 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)

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Book Synopsis Reducing Inflation by : Christina D. Romer

Download or read book Reducing Inflation written by Christina D. Romer and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While there is ample evidence that high inflation is harmful, little is known about how best to reduce inflation or how far it should be reduced. In this volume, sixteen distinguished economists analyze the appropriateness of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy and discuss possible strategies for reducing inflation. Section I discusses the consequences of inflation. These papers analyze inflation's impact on the tax system, labor market flexibility, equilibrium unemployment, and the public's sense of well-being. Section II considers the obstacles facing central bankers in achieving low inflation. These papers study the precision of estimates of equilibrium unemployment, the sources of the high inflation of the 1970s, and the use of non-traditional indicators in policy formation. The papers in section III consider how institutions can be designed to promote successful monetary policy, and the importance of institutions to the performance of policy in the United States, Germany, and other countries. This timely volume should be read by anyone who studies or conducts monetary policy.

What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523939
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation? by : Sajjid Chinoy

Download or read book What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation? written by Sajjid Chinoy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-08 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the dramatic decline in India’s inflation over the last two years using an augmented Phillips Curve approach and quantify the role of different factors. Our results suggest that, contrary to popular perception, the direct role of lower oil prices in India’s disinflation was relatively modest given the limited pass-through into domestic prices. Instead, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward looking nature of wage and support price-setting. As a consequence, we find that a moderation of expectations, both backward and forward, and a rationalization of Minimum Support Prices (MSPs), explain the bulk of the disinflation over the last two years.

Disinflation and the Recession-Now-Versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852215
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Disinflation and the Recession-Now-Versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis by : Mr.Alexander W. Hoffmaister

Download or read book Disinflation and the Recession-Now-Versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis written by Mr.Alexander W. Hoffmaister and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-10-01 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both analytical models and casual empiricism suggest that the timing of the recessionary costs associated with inflation stabilization in chronic inflation countries may depend on the nominal anchor which is used. Under money-based stabilization, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program, while under exchange rate-based stabilization the recession occurs later in the program. This paper provides a first attempt to formally test this hypothesis using a vector-autoregression model for Uruguay. The impulse response of output to different stabilization policies is broadly consistent with the “recession-now-versus-recession-later” hypothesis. The evidence also suggests, however, that the effectiveness of a monetary anchor in reducing inflation is hindered by the high degree of dollarization of the Uruguayan economy.

The Monetary Policy of the Federal Reserve

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139470647
Total Pages : 7 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Monetary Policy of the Federal Reserve by : Robert L. Hetzel

Download or read book The Monetary Policy of the Federal Reserve written by Robert L. Hetzel and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-03-17 with total page 7 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Details the evolution of the monetary standard from the start of the Federal Reserve through the end of the Greenspan era. The book places that evolution in the context of the intellectual and political environment of the time. By understanding the fitful process of replacing a gold standard with a paper money standard, the conduct of monetary policy becomes a series of experiments useful for understanding the fundamental issues concerning money and prices. How did the recurrent monetary instability of the 20th century relate to the economic instability and to the associated political and social turbulence? After the detour in policy represented by FOMC chairmen Arthur Burns and G. William Miller, Paul Volcker and Alan Greenspan established the monetary standard originally foreshadowed by William McChesney Martin, who became chairman in 1951. The Monetary Policy of the Federal Reserve explains in a straightforward way the emergence and nature of the modern, inflation-targeting central bank.

Why Do Many Disinflations Fail? the Importance of Luck, Timing, and Political Institutions

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875452
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Why Do Many Disinflations Fail? the Importance of Luck, Timing, and Political Institutions by : Mr.A. Javier Hamann

Download or read book Why Do Many Disinflations Fail? the Importance of Luck, Timing, and Political Institutions written by Mr.A. Javier Hamann and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12-01 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many inflation stabilizations succeed only temporarily. Using a sample of 51 episodes of stabilization from inflation levels above 40 percent, we show that most of the failures are explained by bad luck, unfavorable initial conditions, and inadequate political institutions. The evolution of trading partners' demand and U.S. interest rates captures the effect of bad luck. Past inflation affects the outcome in two different ways: a long history of high inflation makes failure more likely, while a high level of inflation prior to stabilization increases the chances of success. Countries with short-lived political institutions, a weak executive authority, and proportional electoral rules also tend to fail. After controlling for all these factors, we find that exchange-rate-based stabilizations are more likely to succeed. These findings are robust across measures of failure (two dichotomous and one continuous), sample selection criteria, and estimation techniques, including Heckman's correction for the endogeneity of the anchor.

The Great Demographic Reversal

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030426572
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Demographic Reversal by : Charles Goodhart

Download or read book The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-08 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.

Disinflation and the Supply Side

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 4060532525
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis Disinflation and the Supply Side by : Pierre-Richard Agénor

Download or read book Disinflation and the Supply Side written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What role do supply-side factors play in the dynamics of output and absorption in exchange rate-based stabilization programs?

Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451961189
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Inflation, Disinflation, and Growth written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-05-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although few would doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is much less agreement about moderate inflation’s effects. Using panel regressions and a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth. This relationship holds at all but the lowest inflation rates and is robust across various samples and specifications. The method of binary recursive trees identifies inflation as one the most important statistical determinants of growth. Finally, while there are short-run growth costs of disinflation, these are only relevant for the most severe disinflations, or when the initial inflation rate is well within the single-digit range.

Supply-Side Effects of Disinflation Programs

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451954425
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Supply-Side Effects of Disinflation Programs by : Mr.Jorge Roldos

Download or read book Supply-Side Effects of Disinflation Programs written by Mr.Jorge Roldos and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-07-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on the short-run and long-run supply-side effects of disinflation programs in a two-sector economy. Fixing the exchange rate reduces the wedge between the return on foreign assets and that on domestic capital, leading to an increase in the latter. After an initial real exchange rate appreciation and increase in the production of nontradables—due to a consumption boom—the new capital is gradually installed in the tradable sector. During this transitional period, further real appreciation takes place—as the expansion of the tradable sector pulls labor away from the nontradable sector—together with investment-driven deficits in the current account. We conclude that when appreciation and deficits are due to supply-side rigidities, rather than to credibility and/or price stickiness, no further policies (i.e., capital controls, incomes policies) are advisable.

Moderate Inflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557756992
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (569 download)

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Book Synopsis Moderate Inflation by : Mr.Carlo Cottarelli

Download or read book Moderate Inflation written by Mr.Carlo Cottarelli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-07-01 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many countries, including several transition economies, have in the last few years recorded a sharp decline in inflation, but have been unable to bring inflation down to lower single digits or to achieve price stability. In these countries, inflation has stabilized at moderate levels, with further progress becoming seemingly more difficult. What are the problems created by moderate inflation? What is the appropriate speed of disinflation? These and other issues related to disinflation in transition economies are taken up in this book, edited by Carlo Cottarelli and Gyorgy Szapáry.

Essays in Contemporary Economic Problems

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Author :
Publisher : Washington : American Enterprise Institute
ISBN 13 : 9780844713410
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (134 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Contemporary Economic Problems by : William John Fellner

Download or read book Essays in Contemporary Economic Problems written by William John Fellner and published by Washington : American Enterprise Institute. This book was released on 1981-01-01 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Inflation and Disinflation in Iceland

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and Disinflation in Iceland by : Palle Schelde Andersen

Download or read book Inflation and Disinflation in Iceland written by Palle Schelde Andersen and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: