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Did The Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation In The Czech Republic
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Book Synopsis Did the Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? by : Francesca G Caselli
Download or read book Did the Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? written by Francesca G Caselli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-20 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To fight deflationary pressures at the zero lower bound, in November 2013, the Czech National Bank (CNB) introduced a one-sided floor on the exchange rate, as an additional monetary policy instrument. This paper investigates the impact of the FX floor on inflation in the Czech Republic, by comparing actual inflation with counterfactuals in the absence of the exchange rate floor. Three different empirical strategies are implemented: an event study, difference-in-difference regressions and a synthetic control method. The empirical results provide evidence that the exchange rate floor was effective in fighting deflationary pressures and prevented inflation from going into negative territory. The magnitude of the effect ranges between 0.5 to 1.5 percentage points. The results are robust to different econometric specifications.
Book Synopsis Did the Excahnge Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? by : Francesca Caselli
Download or read book Did the Excahnge Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? written by Francesca Caselli and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To fight deflationary pressures at the zero lower bound, in November 2013, the Czech National Bank (CNB) introduced a one-sided floor on the exchange rate, as an additional monetary policy instrument. This paper investigates the impact of the FX floor on inflation in the Czech Republic, by comparing actual inflation with counterfactuals in the absence of the exchange rate floor. Three different empirical strategies are implemented: an event study, difference-indifference regressions and a synthetic control method. The empirical results provide evidence that the exchange rate floor was effective in fighting deflationary pressures and prevented inflation from going into negative territory. The magnitude of the effect ranges between 0.5 to 1.5 percentage points. The results are robust to different econometric specifications.
Book Synopsis Did the Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? by : Francesca G Caselli
Download or read book Did the Exchange Rate Floor Prevent Deflation in the Czech Republic? written by Francesca G Caselli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-20 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To fight deflationary pressures at the zero lower bound, in November 2013, the Czech National Bank (CNB) introduced a one-sided floor on the exchange rate, as an additional monetary policy instrument. This paper investigates the impact of the FX floor on inflation in the Czech Republic, by comparing actual inflation with counterfactuals in the absence of the exchange rate floor. Three different empirical strategies are implemented: an event study, difference-in-difference regressions and a synthetic control method. The empirical results provide evidence that the exchange rate floor was effective in fighting deflationary pressures and prevented inflation from going into negative territory. The magnitude of the effect ranges between 0.5 to 1.5 percentage points. The results are robust to different econometric specifications.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484305264 Total Pages :17 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Czech Republic by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Czech Republic written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-06-26 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper analyzes the Czech Republic’s monetary policy after removal of the exchange rate floor. The koruna-euro exchange rate floor, which had been in place for more than three years, was eliminated in the beginning of the second quarter of 2017. Exit poses a number of challenging policy questions, including on the optimal monetary policy in its aftermath. The simulations indicate that a monetary policy response that is ex-post too loose is likely to be less costly than a monetary policy response that is ex-post too tight. This suggests that a gradual approach to interest rate increases is advisable.
Book Synopsis Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Czechia by : Daniel Stavárek
Download or read book Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Czechia written by Daniel Stavárek and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2024-04-08 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Separated into four distinct parts, Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Czechia explores economic growth in Czechia from the perspectives of the dynamics of the economy, setting up of the economic policies, functioning of the markets and institutions, and the contribution of specific industry sectors to economic growth.
Book Synopsis SHOCKS AND CAPITAL FLOWS by : GASTON. SAHAY GELOS (RATNA.)
Download or read book SHOCKS AND CAPITAL FLOWS written by GASTON. SAHAY GELOS (RATNA.) and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023 with total page 2040 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense? by : Mr.David J Hofman
Download or read book Intervention Under Inflation Targeting--When Could It Make Sense? written by Mr.David J Hofman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-01-17 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the motives inflation-targeting central banks in emerging markets may have for intervening in foreign exchange markets and evaluate the case for such interventions based on the existing literature. Our findings suggest that the rationale for interventions depends on initial conditions and country-specific circumstances. The case is strongest in the presence of large currency mismatches or underdeveloped markets. While interventions can have benefits in the short-term, sustained over time they could entrench unfavorable initial conditions, though more work is needed to establish this empirically. A first effort to measure the cost of interventions to the credibility of policy frameworks suggests that the negative impact may be smaller than often assumed—at least for the set of more sophisticated inflation-targeting emerging-market central banks considered here.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484327233 Total Pages :15 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, Fall 2017 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, Fall 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-09 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fall 2017 IMF Research Bulletin includes a Q&A article covering "Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland" by Christian Bogmans. The first research summary, by Manmohan Singh and Haobing Wang is "Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies: Some Policy Implications." The second research summary is "Leaning Against the Windy Bank Lending" by Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa. A listing of new IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes is featured, as well as new titles from IMF Publications. Information on IMF Economic Review is also included.
Book Synopsis On the Benefits of Repaying by : Francesca G Caselli
Download or read book On the Benefits of Repaying written by Francesca G Caselli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-09-10 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies whether countries benefit from servicing their debts during times of widespread sovereign defaults. Colombia is typically regarded as the only large Latin American country that did not default in the 1980s. Using archival research and formal econometric estimates of Colombia's probability of default, we show that in the early 1980s Colombia's fundamentals were not significantly different from those of the Latin American countries that defaulted on their debts. We also document that the different path chosen by Colombia was due to the authorities' belief that maintaining a good reputation in the international capital market would have substantial long-term payoffs. We show that the case of Colombia is more complex than what it is commonly assumed. Although Colombia had to re-profile its debts, high-level political support from the US allowed Colombia do to so outside the standard framework of an IMF program. Our counterfactual analysis shows that in the short to medium run, Colombia benefitted from avoiding an explicit default. Specifically, we find that GDP growth in the 1980s was higher than that of a counterfactual in which Colombia behaved like its neighboring countries. We also test whether Colombia's behavior in the 1980s led to long-term reputational benefits. Using an event study based on a large sudden stop, we find no evidence for such long-lasting reputational gains.
Book Synopsis OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2014 Issue 2 by : OECD
Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2014 Issue 2 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2014-11-25 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.
Book Synopsis Frontiers of Monetary Policymaking by : Ali Alichi
Download or read book Frontiers of Monetary Policymaking written by Ali Alichi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-01 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper first describes how the Czech National Bank (CNB) moved gradually from a fixed exchange rate regime to the frontiers of Inflation-Forecast Targeting. It then focuses on the CNB’s recent experience in adding the exchange rate as a complementary monetary policy tool to stimulate the economy and combat the risks of deflation when the policy interest rate is at the zero lower bound. It assesses the theoretical basis of such a policy, the communications approach used by the CNB when announcing the new framework, and the effects thus far on inflation and output.
Book Synopsis OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2015 Issue 2 by : OECD
Download or read book OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2015 Issue 2 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2015-12-02 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This OECD Economic Outlook analyses the current economic situation and examines the economic policies required to foster a sustained recovery in member countries. The present issue covers the outlook to end 2017 for both OECD countries and selected non OECD economies.
Book Synopsis Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide by : Ruchir Agarwal
Download or read book Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide written by Ruchir Agarwal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-29 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available tools a central bank can enable deep negative rates whenever needed—thus maintaining the power of monetary policy in the future to end recessions within a short time. This paper demonstrates that a subset of these tools can have a big effect in enabling deep negative rates with administratively small actions on the part of the central bank. To that end, we (i) survey approaches to enable deep negative rates discussed in the literature and present new approaches; (ii) establish how a subset of these approaches allows enabling negative rates while remaining at a minimum distance from the current paper currency policy and minimizing the political costs; (iii) discuss why standard transmission mechanisms from interest rates to aggregate demand are likely to remain unchanged in deep negative rate territory; and (iv) present communication tools that central banks can use both now and in the event to facilitate broader political acceptance of negative interest rate policy at the onset of the next serious recession.
Book Synopsis An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank by : Rania A. Al-Mashat
Download or read book An Index for Transparency for Inflation-Targeting Central Banks: Application to the Czech National Bank written by Rania A. Al-Mashat and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-01 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new central bank transparency index for inflation-targeting central banks (CBT-IT index). It applies the CBT-IT index to the Czech National Bank (CNB), one of the most transparent inflation-targeting central banks. The CNB has invested heavily in developing a Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) to implement a full-fledged inflation-forecast-targeting (IFT) regime. The components of CBT-IT index include measures of transparency about monetary policy objectives, the FPAS designed to support IFT, and the monetary policymaking process. For the CNB, all three components have shown substantial improvements over time but a few gaps remain. The CNB is currently working on eliminating some of these gaps.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :9928445397 Total Pages :344 pages Book Rating :4.9/5 (284 download)
Book Synopsis Negative Euro Area Interest Rates and Spillovers on Western Balkan Central Bank Policies and Instruments by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Negative Euro Area Interest Rates and Spillovers on Western Balkan Central Bank Policies and Instruments written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-05-04 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Proceedings of a conference co-hosted by the Bank of Albania and the International Monetary Fund in May 2017.
Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rates by : Luís Brandão Marques
Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484366808 Total Pages :105 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-15 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the 64th issue of the AREAER. It provides a description of the foreign exchange arrangements, exchange and trade systems, and capital controls of all IMF member countries. It also provides information on the operation of foreign exchange markets and controls on international trade. It describes controls on capital transactions and measures implemented in the financial sector, including prudential measures. In addition, it reports on exchange measures imposed by member countries for security reasons. A single table provides a snapshot of the exchange and trade systems of all IMF member countries. The Overview describes in detail how the general trend toward foreign exchange liberalization continued during 2012, alongside a strengthening of the financial sector regulatory framework. The AREAER is available in several formats. The Overview in print and online, and the detailed information for each of the 191 member countries and territories is included on a CD that accompanies the printed Overview and in an online database, AREAER Online. In addition to the information on the exchange and trade system of IMF member countries in 2012, AREAER Online contains historical data published in previous issues of the AREAER. It is searchable by year, country, and category of measure and allows cross country comparisons for time series.
