Deterrence In The Age Of Thinking Machines

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Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines

Author : Yuna Huh Wong
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781977404060
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines by : Yuna Huh Wong

Download or read book Deterrence in the Age of Thinking Machines written by Yuna Huh Wong and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The greater use of artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous systems by the militaries of the world has the potential to affect deterrence strategies and escalation dynamics in crises and conflicts. Up until now, deterrence has involved humans trying to dissuade other humans from taking particular courses of action. What happens when the thinking and decision processes involved are no longer purely human? How might dynamics change when decisions and actions can be taken at machine speeds? How might AI and autonomy affect the ways that countries have developed to signal one another about the potential use of force? What are potential areas for miscalculation and unintended consequences, and unwanted escalation in particular? This exploratory report provides an initial examination of how AI and autonomous systems could affect deterrence and escalation in conventional crises and conflicts. Findings suggest that the machine decisionmaking can result in inadvertent escalation or altered deterrence dynamics, due to the speed of machine decisionmaking, the ways in which it differs from human understanding, the willingness of many countries to use autonomous systems, our relative inexperience with them, and continued developments of these capabilities. Current planning and development efforts have not kept pace with how to handle the potentially destabilizing or escalatory issues associated with these new technologies, and it is essential that planners and decisionmakers begin to think about these issues before fielded systems are engaged in conflict.

AI and the Bomb

Author : James Johnson
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0192673920
Total Pages : 291 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (926 download)

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Book Synopsis AI and the Bomb by : James Johnson

Download or read book AI and the Bomb written by James Johnson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2023-01-24 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Will AI make accidental nuclear war more likely? If so, how might these risks be reduced? AI and the Bomb provides a coherent, innovative, and multidisciplinary examination of the potential effects of AI technology on nuclear strategy and escalation risk. It addresses a gap in the international relations and strategic studies literature, and its findings have significant theoretical and policy ramifications for using AI technology in the nuclear enterprise. The book advances an innovative theoretical framework to consider AI technology and atomic risk, drawing on insights from political psychology, neuroscience, computer science, and strategic studies. In this multidisciplinary work, James Johnson unpacks the seminal cognitive-psychological features of the Cold War-era scholarship, and offers a novel explanation of why these matter for AI applications and strategic thinking. The study offers crucial insights for policymakers and contributes to the literature that examines the impact of military force and technological change.

NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020

Author : Frans Osinga
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9462654190
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (626 download)

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Book Synopsis NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 by : Frans Osinga

Download or read book NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020 written by Frans Osinga and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-03 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access volume surveys the state of the field to examine whether a fifth wave of deterrence theory is emerging. Bringing together insights from world-leading experts from three continents, the volume identifies the most pressing strategic challenges, frames theoretical concepts, and describes new strategies. The use and utility of deterrence in today’s strategic environment is a topic of paramount concern to scholars, strategists and policymakers. Ours is a period of considerable strategic turbulence, which in recent years has featured a renewed emphasis on nuclear weapons used in defence postures across different theatres; a dramatic growth in the scale of military cyber capabilities and the frequency with which these are used; and rapid technological progress including the proliferation of long-range strike and unmanned systems. These military-strategic developments occur in a polarized international system, where cooperation between leading powers on arms control regimes is breaking down, states widely make use of hybrid conflict strategies, and the number of internationalized intrastate proxy conflicts has quintupled over the past two decades. Contemporary conflict actors exploit a wider gamut of coercive instruments, which they apply across a wider range of domains. The prevalence of multi-domain coercion across but also beyond traditional dimensions of armed conflict raises an important question: what does effective deterrence look like in the 21st century? Answering that question requires a re-appraisal of key theoretical concepts and dominant strategies of Western and non-Western actors in order to assess how they hold up in today’s world. Air Commodore Professor Dr. Frans Osinga is the Chair of the War Studies Department of the Netherlands Defence Academy and the Special Chair in War Studies at the University Leiden. Dr. Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies and a Research Fellow at the Faculty of Military Sciences of the Netherlands Defence Academy in Breda.

Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

Author : Paul Scharre
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393866874
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (938 download)

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Book Synopsis Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence by : Paul Scharre

Download or read book Four Battlegrounds: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence written by Paul Scharre and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2023-02-28 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An NPR 2023 "Books We Love" Pick One of the Next Big Idea Club's Must-Read Books "An invaluable primer to arguably the most important driver of change for our future." —P. W. Singer, author of Burn-In An award-winning defense expert tells the story of today’s great power rivalry—the struggle to control artificial intelligence. A new industrial revolution has begun. Like mechanization or electricity before it, artificial intelligence will touch every aspect of our lives—and cause profound disruptions in the balance of global power, especially among the AI superpowers: China, the United States, and Europe. Autonomous weapons expert Paul Scharre takes readers inside the fierce competition to develop and implement this game-changing technology and dominate the future. Four Battlegrounds argues that four key elements define this struggle: data, computing power, talent, and institutions. Data is a vital resource like coal or oil, but it must be collected and refined. Advanced computer chips are the essence of computing power—control over chip supply chains grants leverage over rivals. Talent is about people: which country attracts the best researchers and most advanced technology companies? The fourth “battlefield” is maybe the most critical: the ultimate global leader in AI will have institutions that effectively incorporate AI into their economy, society, and especially their military. Scharre’s account surges with futuristic technology. He explores the ways AI systems are already discovering new strategies via millions of war-game simulations, developing combat tactics better than any human, tracking billions of people using biometrics, and subtly controlling information with secret algorithms. He visits China’s “National Team” of leading AI companies to show the chilling synergy between China’s government, private sector, and surveillance state. He interviews Pentagon leadership and tours U.S. Defense Department offices in Silicon Valley, revealing deep tensions between the military and tech giants who control data, chips, and talent. Yet he concludes that those tensions, inherent to our democratic system, create resilience and resistance to autocracy in the face of overwhelmingly powerful technology. Engaging and direct, Four Battlegrounds offers a vivid picture of how AI is transforming warfare, global security, and the future of human freedom—and what it will take for democracies to remain at the forefront of the world order.

Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare

Author : James Johnson
Publisher : Manchester University Press
ISBN 13 : 1526145073
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare by : James Johnson

Download or read book Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare written by James Johnson and published by Manchester University Press. This book was released on 2021-09-14 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume offers an innovative and counter-intuitive study of how and why artificial intelligence-infused weapon systems will affect the strategic stability between nuclear-armed states. Johnson demystifies the hype surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) in the context of nuclear weapons and, more broadly, future warfare. The book highlights the potential, multifaceted intersections of this and other disruptive technology – robotics and autonomy, cyber, drone swarming, big data analytics, and quantum communications – with nuclear stability. Anticipating and preparing for the consequences of the AI-empowered weapon systems are fast becoming a critical task for national security and statecraft. Johnson considers the impact of these trends on deterrence, military escalation, and strategic stability between nuclear-armed states – especially China and the United States. The book draws on a wealth of political and cognitive science, strategic studies, and technical analysis to shed light on the coalescence of developments in AI and other disruptive emerging technologies. Artificial intelligence and the future of warfare sketches a clear picture of the potential impact of AI on the digitized battlefield and broadens our understanding of critical questions for international affairs. AI will profoundly change how wars are fought, and how decision-makers think about nuclear deterrence, escalation management, and strategic stability – but not for the reasons you might think.

Rethinking Cyber Warfare

Author : R. David Edelman
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197509681
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (975 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Cyber Warfare by : R. David Edelman

Download or read book Rethinking Cyber Warfare written by R. David Edelman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2024 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rethinking Cyber Warfare provides a fresh understanding of the role that digital disruption plays in contemporary international security and proposes a new approach to more effectively restrain and manage cyberattacks.

Changing Patterns of Warfare between India and Pakistan

Author : Rizwana Abbasi
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000882292
Total Pages : 185 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Changing Patterns of Warfare between India and Pakistan by : Rizwana Abbasi

Download or read book Changing Patterns of Warfare between India and Pakistan written by Rizwana Abbasi and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-05-12 with total page 185 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changing Patterns of Warfare between India and Pakistan analyzes how advanced nuclear technologies and the advent of disruptive technologies have affected the evolving conflict between India and Pakistan. Advanced nuclear technologies such as nuclear submarines, aircraft carriers, ballistic missile defence systems (BMDs), multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles (MIRVs), anti-satellite weapons (ASAT); and disruptive technologies such as hypersonic weapons, artificial intelligence (AI), lethal autonomous weapons (LAWs), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) / drones and space-based and cyber technologies have all complicated crisis dynamics and the domain of warfare in the region. Further, the employment of India’s compellence strategy is an indication of a change in its stance that demonstrates smart/surgical strikes are now more likely. The phenomenon of surgical strikes raises the question of how disruptive technologies will be used to gain direct/indirect military control and hence challenge the existing status quo and deterrence stability. Against this backdrop, the authors predict how this conflict may develop in the future and evaluate the ways to stabilize deterrence and regulate the militarization of artificial intelligence and disruptive technologies between India and Pakistan. This book will be of interest to all those researching and working in the fields of security studies, strategic studies, nuclear policy, deterrence thinking and proliferation/non-proliferation aspects of the nuclear weapons programme within South Asia and beyond. It will also be relevant for the academic community, policy-makers, diplomats, members of international non-governmental organizations (INGOs), professional research institutes and organizations working on India–Pakistan relations.

Complex Deterrence

Author : T. V. Paul
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226650049
Total Pages : 359 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (266 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Deterrence by : T. V. Paul

Download or read book Complex Deterrence written by T. V. Paul and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2009-09-15 with total page 359 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the costs of a preemptive foreign policy in Iraq have become clear, strategies such as containment and deterrence have been gaining currency among policy makers. This comprehensive book offers an agenda for the contemporary practice of deterrence—especially as it applies to nuclear weapons—in an increasingly heterogeneous global and political setting. Moving beyond the precepts of traditional deterrence theory, this groundbreaking volume offers insights for the use of deterrence in the modern world, where policy makers may encounter irrational actors, failed states, religious zeal, ambiguous power relationships, and other situations where the traditional rules of statecraft do not apply. A distinguished group of contributors here examines issues such as deterrence among the Great Powers; the problems of regional and nonstate actors; and actors armed with chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons. Complex Deterrence will be a valuable resource for anyone facing the considerable challenge of fostering security and peace in the twenty-first century.

The New Fire

Author : Ben Buchanan
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262046547
Total Pages : 341 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Fire by : Ben Buchanan

Download or read book The New Fire written by Ben Buchanan and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-03-08 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: AI is revolutionizing the world. Here’s how democracies can come out on top. Artificial intelligence is revolutionizing the modern world. It is ubiquitous—in our homes and offices, in the present and most certainly in the future. Today, we encounter AI as our distant ancestors once encountered fire. If we manage AI well, it will become a force for good, lighting the way to many transformative inventions. If we deploy it thoughtlessly, it will advance beyond our control. If we wield it for destruction, it will fan the flames of a new kind of war, one that holds democracy in the balance. As AI policy experts Ben Buchanan and Andrew Imbrie show in The New Fire, few choices are more urgent—or more fascinating—than how we harness this technology and for what purpose. The new fire has three sparks: data, algorithms, and computing power. These components fuel viral disinformation campaigns, new hacking tools, and military weapons that once seemed like science fiction. To autocrats, AI offers the prospect of centralized control at home and asymmetric advantages in combat. It is easy to assume that democracies, bound by ethical constraints and disjointed in their approach, will be unable to keep up. But such a dystopia is hardly preordained. Combining an incisive understanding of technology with shrewd geopolitical analysis, Buchanan and Imbrie show how AI can work for democracy. With the right approach, technology need not favor tyranny.

Artificial Intelligence, Ethics and the Future of Warfare

Author : Kaushik Roy
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1040016553
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence, Ethics and the Future of Warfare by : Kaushik Roy

Download or read book Artificial Intelligence, Ethics and the Future of Warfare written by Kaushik Roy and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-05-23 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume examines how the adoption of AI technologies is likely to impact strategic and operational planning, and the possible future tactical scenarios for conventional, unconventional, cyber, space and nuclear force structures. In addition to developments in the USA, Britain, Russia and China, the volume also explores how different Asian and European countries are actively integrating AI into their military readiness. It studies the effect of AI and related technologies in training regimens and command structures. The book also covers the ethical and legal aspects of AI augmented warfare. The volume will be of great interest to scholars, students and researchers of military and strategic studies, defence studies, artificial intelligence and ethics.

Drones and US Grand Strategy in the Contemporary World

Author : Francis N. Okpaleke
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031477308
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Drones and US Grand Strategy in the Contemporary World by : Francis N. Okpaleke

Download or read book Drones and US Grand Strategy in the Contemporary World written by Francis N. Okpaleke and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-12-23 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book makes a compelling case that lethal drone deployment as a counterterrorism tool and instrument of statecraft in targeted states engenders far-reaching consequences for US grand strategy. By examining how successive US administrations since 9/11 have deployed drones in pursuant of different typologies of US grand strategic objectives, the book probes the putative political and strategic goals drones supposedly advance, and the impact of its continued proliferation for US for international security. The book provides a powerful base of evidence for policy makers and researchers by pointing to the perils of deployment of drone technology beyond their immediate or short-term objectives. It also explores how non-state actors and authoritarian regimes such as armed groups are harnessing armed drone technologies for their own political and military ends, as well as the underlying implications for US grand strategy and international security at large.

I, Warbot

Author : Kenneth Payne
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197644104
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (976 download)

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Book Synopsis I, Warbot by : Kenneth Payne

Download or read book I, Warbot written by Kenneth Payne and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-12-01 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial Intelligence is going to war. Intelligent weapon systems are here today, and many more are on the way tomorrow. Already, they're reshaping conflict--from the chaos of battle, with pilotless drones, robot tanks and unmanned submersibles, to the headquarters far from the action, where generals and politicians use technology to weigh up what to do. AI changes how we fight, and even how likely it is that we will. In battle, warbots will be faster, more agile and more deadly than today's crewed weapons. New tactics and concepts will emerge, with spoofing and swarming to fool and overwhelm enemies. Strategies are changing too. When will an intelligent machine escalate, and how can it be deterred? Can robots predict the future? And what happens to the 'art of war' as machines themselves become creative? Autonomous warfare makes many people uneasy. An international campaign against 'killer robots' hopes to ban AI from conflict. But the genie is out--AI weapons are too useful for states to outlaw. Still, crafting sensible rules for warbots is possible. This fascinating book shows how it might be done.

The Oxford Handbook of AI Governance

Author : Justin B. Bullock
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197579329
Total Pages : 1097 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (975 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of AI Governance by : Justin B. Bullock

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of AI Governance written by Justin B. Bullock and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2024-04-02 with total page 1097 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Book abstract: The Oxford Handbook of AI Governance examines how artificial intelligence (AI) interacts with and influences governance systems. It also examines how governance systems influence and interact with AI. The handbook spans forty-nine chapters across nine major sections. These sections are (1) Introduction and Overview, (2) Value Foundations of AI Governance, (3) Developing an AI Governance Regulatory Ecosystem, (4) Frameworks and Approaches for AI Governance, (5) Assessment and Implementation of AI Governance, (6) AI Governance from the Ground Up, (7) Economic Dimensions of AI Governance, (8) Domestic Policy Applications of AI, and (9) International Politics and AI"--

Reconsidering American Civil-Military Relations

Author : Lionel Beehner
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0197535518
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (975 download)

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Book Synopsis Reconsidering American Civil-Military Relations by : Lionel Beehner

Download or read book Reconsidering American Civil-Military Relations written by Lionel Beehner and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020-11-02 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores contemporary civil-military relations in the United States. Much of the canonical literature on civil-military relations was either written during or references the Cold War, while other major research focuses on the post-Cold War era, or the first decade of the twenty-first century. A great deal has changed since then. This book considers the implications for civil-military relations of many of these changes. Specifically, it focuses on factors such as breakdowns in democratic and civil-military norms and conventions; intensifying partisanship and deepening political divisions in American society; as well as new technology and the evolving character of armed conflict. Chapters are organized around the principal actors in civil-military relations, and the book includes sections on the military, civilian leadership, and the public. It explores the roles and obligations of each. The book also examines how changes in contemporary armed conflict influence civil-military relations. Chapters in this section examine the cyber domain, grey zone operations, asymmetric warfare and emerging technology. The book thus brings the study of civil-military relations into the contemporary era, in which new geopolitical realities and the changing character of armed conflict combine with domestic political tensions to test, if not potentially redefine, those relations.

The Military Legacy of Alexander the Great

Author : Michael P. Ferguson
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000994163
Total Pages : 325 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis The Military Legacy of Alexander the Great by : Michael P. Ferguson

Download or read book The Military Legacy of Alexander the Great written by Michael P. Ferguson and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-11-28 with total page 325 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Placing Alexander the Great’s leadership, command skills, and grand strategy within the context of twenty-first century military challenges, and thus showing continuities in leadership and warfare since his time, this volume demonstrates how and why Alexander is relevant to the modern world by emphasizing the need for human leadership in our digital era. Not only does this volume explore Alexander’s rich military history, but also it provides a robust exploration of the twenty-first century security environment. Theorists and policy-makers will gain insight into how Alexander’s story informs our thinking about peace, war, and strategy, while practitioners and educators will encounter ways to improve their approaches to leader development and building curricula. Ferguson and Worthington set forth these lessons in a thematic framework that organises Alexander’s reign into distinct parts, together with chapters discussing the lessons and warnings he brings to the modern world. Twenty-fifth National Security Advisor to the President of the United States, Lt. Gen. H. R. McMaster, provides a thoughtful conclusion to this fascinating volume. Alexander’s timeless campaigns remain as germane to this age as any other and demonstrate the critical importance of dynamic leadership and historical studies in an era increasingly dominated by the culture of technology. The Military Legacy of Alexander the Great is expertly written for students and scholars in a variety of disciplines, including Classics, Ancient History, Modern History, Peace Studies, and Military Studies. It is also of great interest to senior defence leaders, military academies, leadership- and management-focused academic programmes, intelligence organizations, and senior service colleges. The volume is also suitable for the general reader interested in warfare, military history, and history more broadly.

The Palgrave Handbook of Malicious Use of AI and Psychological Security

Author : Evgeny Pashentsev
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303122552X
Total Pages : 711 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)

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Book Synopsis The Palgrave Handbook of Malicious Use of AI and Psychological Security by : Evgeny Pashentsev

Download or read book The Palgrave Handbook of Malicious Use of AI and Psychological Security written by Evgeny Pashentsev and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-06-09 with total page 711 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handbook focuses on new threats to psychological security that are posed by the malicious use of AI and how it can be used to counteract such threats. Studies on the malicious use of AI through deepfakes, agenda setting, sentiment analysis and affective computing and so forth, provide a visual representation of the various forms and methods of malicious influence on the human psyche, and through this on the political, economic, cultural processes, the activities of state and non-state institutions. Separate chapters examine the malicious use of AI in geopolitical confrontation, political campaigns, strategic deception, damage to corporate reputation, and activities of extremist and terrorist organizations. This is a unique volume that brings together a multidisciplinary range of established scholars and upcoming new researchers from 11 countries. This handbook is an invaluable resource for students, researchers, and professionals interested in this new and developing field of social practice and knowledge.

Thinking about Deterrence

Author : Air Univeristy Press
Publisher : Military Bookshop
ISBN 13 : 9781782667100
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (671 download)

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Book Synopsis Thinking about Deterrence by : Air Univeristy Press

Download or read book Thinking about Deterrence written by Air Univeristy Press and published by Military Bookshop. This book was released on 2014-09-01 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With many scholars and analysts questioning the relevance of deterrence as a valid strategic concept, this volume moves beyond Cold War nuclear deterrence to show the many ways in which deterrence is applicable to contemporary security. It examines the possibility of applying deterrence theory and practice to space, to cyberspace, and against non-state actors. It also examines the role of nuclear deterrence in the twenty-first century and reaches surprising conclusions.