Debt Markets And Analysis

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Debt Markets and Analysis

Author : R. Stafford Johnson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118235436
Total Pages : 720 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Markets and Analysis by : R. Stafford Johnson

Download or read book Debt Markets and Analysis written by R. Stafford Johnson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-03-18 with total page 720 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible guide to the essential elements of debt markets and their analysis Debt Markets and Analysis provides professionals and finance students alike with an exposition on debt that will take them from the basic concepts, strategies, and fundamentals to a more detailed understanding of advanced approaches and models. Strong visual attributes include consistent elements that function as additional learning aids, such as: Key Points, Definitions, Step-by-Step, Do It Yourself, and Bloomberg functionality Offers a solid foundation in understanding the complexities and subtleties involved in the evaluation, selection, and management of debt Provides insights on taking the ideas covered and applying them to real-world investment decisions Engaging and informative, Debt Markets and Analysis provides practical guidance to excelling at this difficult endeavor.

Debt Markets and Analysis, + Website

Author : R. Stafford Johnson
Publisher : Bloomberg Press
ISBN 13 : 9781118000007
Total Pages : 720 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Markets and Analysis, + Website by : R. Stafford Johnson

Download or read book Debt Markets and Analysis, + Website written by R. Stafford Johnson and published by Bloomberg Press. This book was released on 2013-03-25 with total page 720 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible guide to the essential elements of debt markets and their analysis Debt Markets and Analysis provides professionals and finance students alike with an exposition on debt that will take them from the basic concepts, strategies, and fundamentals to a more detailed understanding of advanced approaches and models. Strong visual attributes include consistent elements that function as additional learning aids, such as: Key Points, Definitions, Step-by-Step, Do It Yourself, and Bloomberg functionality Offers a solid foundation in understanding the complexities and subtleties involved in the evaluation, selection, and management of debt Provides insights on taking the ideas covered and applying them to real-world investment decisions Engaging and informative, Debt Markets and Analysis provides practical guidance to excelling at this difficult endeavor.

Distressed Debt Analysis

Author : Stephen G. Moyer
Publisher : J. Ross Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1932159185
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Distressed Debt Analysis by : Stephen G. Moyer

Download or read book Distressed Debt Analysis written by Stephen G. Moyer and published by J. Ross Publishing. This book was released on 2004-11-15 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing theoretical and practical insight, this book presents a conceptual, but not overly technical, outline of the financial and bankruptcy law context in which restructurings take place. The author uses numerous real- world examples to demonstrate concepts and critical issues. Readers will understand the chess-like, multi- move strategies necessary to achieve financially advantageous results.

Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, tenth edition

Author : Frank J. Fabozzi
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262367424
Total Pages : 937 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, tenth edition by : Frank J. Fabozzi

Download or read book Bond Markets, Analysis, and Strategies, tenth edition written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2021-12-07 with total page 937 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The updated edition of a widely used textbook that covers fundamental features of bonds, analytical techniques, and portfolio strategy. This new edition of a widely used textbook covers types of bonds and their key features, analytical techniques for valuing bonds and quantifying their exposure to changes in interest rates, and portfolio strategies for achieving a client’s objectives. It includes real-world examples and practical applications of principles as provided by third-party commercial vendors. This tenth edition has been substantially updated, with two new chapters covering the theory and history of interest rates and the issues associated with bond trading. Although all chapters have been updated, particularly those covering structured products, the chapters on international bonds and managing a corporate bond portfolio have been completely revised. The book covers the basic analytical framework necessary to understand the pricing of bonds and their investment characteristics; sectors of the debt market, including Treasury securities, corporate bonds, municipal bonds, and structured products (residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities); collective investment vehicles; methodologies for valuing bonds and derivatives; corporate bond credit risk; portfolio management, including the fundamental and quantitative approaches; and instruments that can be used to control portfolio risk.

Debt Markets and Investments

Author : H. Kent Baker
Publisher : Financial Markets and Investme
ISBN 13 : 019087743X
Total Pages : 833 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Debt Markets and Investments by : H. Kent Baker

Download or read book Debt Markets and Investments written by H. Kent Baker and published by Financial Markets and Investme. This book was released on 2019-09-05 with total page 833 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Debt Markets and Investments provides an overview of the dynamic world of markets, products, valuation, and analysis of fixed income and related securities. Experts in the field, practitioners and academics, offer both diverse and in-depth insights into basic concepts and their application to increasingly intricate and real-world situations. This volume spans the entire spectrum from theoretical to practical, while attempting to offer a useful balance of detailed and user-friendly coverage. The volume begins with the basics of debt markets and investments, including basic bond terminology and market sectors. Among the topics covered are the relationship between fixed income and other asset classes as well as the differences in fundamental risk. Particular emphasis is given to interest rate risk as well as credit risks as well as those associated with inflation, liquidity, reinvestment, and ESG. Authors then turn to market sectors, including government debt, municipal bonds, the markets for corporate bonds, and developments in securitized debt markets along with derivatives and private debt markets. The third section focuses on models of yield curves, interest rates, and swaps, including opportunities for arbitrage. The next two sections focus on bond and securitized products, from sovereign debt and mutual funds focused on bonds to how securitization has increased liquidity through such innovations as mortgaged-and asset- backed securities, as well as collateralized debt-, bond-, and loan obligations. Authors next discuss various methods of valuation of bonds and securities, including the use of options and derivatives. The volume concludes with discussions of how debt can play a role in financial strategies and portfolio creation. Readers interested in a broad survey will benefit as will those looking for more in-depth presentations of specific areas within this field of study. In summary, the book provides a fresh look at this intriguing and dynamic but often complex subject.

A Pragmatist's Guide to Leveraged Finance

Author : Robert S. Kricheff
Publisher : FT Press
ISBN 13 : 0132855240
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (328 download)

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Book Synopsis A Pragmatist's Guide to Leveraged Finance by : Robert S. Kricheff

Download or read book A Pragmatist's Guide to Leveraged Finance written by Robert S. Kricheff and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2012-02-27 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The high-yield leveraged bond and loan market (“junk bonds”) is now valued at $3+ trillion in North America, €1 trillion in Europe, and another $1 trillion in emerging markets. What’s more, based on the maturity schedules of current debt, it’s poised for massive growth. To successfully issue, evaluate, and invest in high-yield debt, however, financial professionals need credit and bond analysis skills specific to these instruments. Now, for the first time, there’s a complete, practical, and expert tutorial and workbook covering all facets of modern leveraged finance analysis. In A Pragmatist’s Guide to Leveraged Finance, Credit Suisse managing director Bob Kricheff explains why conventional analysis techniques are inadequate for leveraged instruments, clearly defines the unique challenges sellers and buyers face, walks step-by-step through deriving essential data for pricing and decision-making, and demonstrates how to apply it. Using practical examples, sample documents, Excel worksheets, and graphs, Kricheff covers all this, and much more: yields, spreads, and total return; ratio analysis of liquidity and asset value; business trend analysis; modeling and scenarios; potential interest rate impacts; evaluating and potentially escaping leveraged finance covenants; how to assess equity (and why it matters); investing on news and events; early stage credit; and creating accurate credit snapshots. This book is an indispensable resource for all investment and underwriting professionals, money managers, consultants, accountants, advisors, and lawyers working in leveraged finance. In fact, it teaches credit analysis skills that will be valuable in analyzing a wide variety of higher-risk investments, including growth stocks.

Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

Author : John J. Murphy
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 110165919X
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by : John J. Murphy

Download or read book Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets written by John J. Murphy and published by Penguin. This book was released on 1999-01-01 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John J. Murphy has now updated his landmark bestseller Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, to include all of the financial markets. This outstanding reference has already taught thousands of traders the concepts of technical analysis and their application in the futures and stock markets. Covering the latest developments in computer technology, technical tools, and indicators, the second edition features new material on candlestick charting, intermarket relationships, stocks and stock rotation, plus state-of-the-art examples and figures. From how to read charts to understanding indicators and the crucial role technical analysis plays in investing, readers gain a thorough and accessible overview of the field of technical analysis, with a special emphasis on futures markets. Revised and expanded for the demands of today's financial world, this book is essential reading for anyone interested in tracking and analyzing market behavior.

Bond and Money Markets

Author : Moorad Choudhry
Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0080574939
Total Pages : 1152 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Bond and Money Markets by : Moorad Choudhry

Download or read book Bond and Money Markets written by Moorad Choudhry and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2003-07-04 with total page 1152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Bond and Money Markets is an invaluable reference to all aspects of fixed income markets and instruments. It is highly regarded as an introduction and an advanced text for professionals and graduate students. Features comprehensive coverage of: * Government and Corporate bonds, Eurobonds, callable bonds, convertibles * Asset-backed bonds including mortgages and CDOs * Derivative instruments including futures, swaps, options, structured products * Interest-rate risk, duration analysis, convexity, and the convexity bias * The money markets, repo markets, basis trading, and asset/liability management * Term structure models, estimating and interpreting the yield curve * Portfolio management and strategies,total return framework, constructing bond indices * A stand alone reference book on interest rate swaps, the money markets, financial market mathematics, interest-rate futures and technical analysis * Includes introductory coverage of very specialised topics (for which one previously required several texts) such as VaR, Asset & liability management and credit derivatives * Combines accessible style with advanced level topics

Derivatives Markets and Analysis

Author : R. Stafford Johnson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118240723
Total Pages : 1001 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives Markets and Analysis by : R. Stafford Johnson

Download or read book Derivatives Markets and Analysis written by R. Stafford Johnson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-08-21 with total page 1001 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical, informative guide to derivatives in the real world Derivatives is an exposition on investments, guiding you from the basic concepts, strategies, and fundamentals to a more detailed understanding of the advanced strategies and models. As part of Bloomberg Financial's three part series on securities, Derivatives focuses on derivative securities and the functionality of the Bloomberg system with regards to derivatives. You'll develop a tighter grasp of the more subtle complexities involved in the evaluation, selection, and management of derivatives, and gain the practical skillset necessary to apply your knowledge to real-world investment situations using the tools and techniques that dominate the industry. Instructions for using the widespread Bloomberg system are interwoven throughout, allowing you to directly apply the techniques and processes discussed using your own data. You'll learn the many analytical functions used to evaluate derivatives, and how these functions are applied within the context of each investment topic covered. All Bloomberg information appears in specified boxes embedded throughout the text, making it easy for you to find it quickly when you need or, or easily skip it in favor of the theory-based text. Managing securities in today's dynamic and innovative investment environment requires a strong understanding of how the increasing variety of securities, markets, strategies, and methodologies are used. This book gives you a more thorough understanding, and a practical skillset that investment managers need. Understand derivatives strategies and models from basic to advanced Apply Bloomberg information and analytical functions Learn how investment decisions are made in the real world Grasp the complexities of securities evaluation, selection, and management The financial and academic developments of the past twenty years have highlighted the challenge in acquiring a comprehensive understanding of investments and financial markets. Derivatives provides the detailed explanations you've been seeking, and the hands-on training the real world demands.

Emerging Markets Debt:An Analysis of the Secondary Market

Author : Ross Buckley
Publisher : Kluwer Law International B.V.
ISBN 13 : 9041197168
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (411 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Markets Debt:An Analysis of the Secondary Market by : Ross Buckley

Download or read book Emerging Markets Debt:An Analysis of the Secondary Market written by Ross Buckley and published by Kluwer Law International B.V.. This book was released on 1999-06-22 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The emerging markets have attained prominence of late as the recent troubles in the principal emerging markets in Asia, Russia and Latin America have threatened global stability. This book is the first detailed study of emerging markets debt and offers a unique insight into one of the world's more significant, and less understood, financial markets. It offers a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of the market in emerging markets debt from 1983 to date. In the aftermath of the debt crisis of the 1980s the banking community discovered the first disposal technique for the sovereign debt of less developed countries andndash; a secondary market in that debt. This market played a major role in the history and amelioration of the debt crisis, the Mexican problems in the mid-1990s, and the recent Asian economic crisis. The market focus of this study is on the indebtedness of Latin American nations, which has formed the backbone of secondary market activity, and the recent developments in Asia. The regulatory focus is on U.S. banks and banking regulation. This book is essential reading for anyone involved with emerging markets debt: bankers, traders, investors, corporate and sovereign issuers, finance lawyers and banking regulators.

Equity Markets and Portfolio Analysis

Author : R. Stafford Johnson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118202686
Total Pages : 720 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Equity Markets and Portfolio Analysis by : R. Stafford Johnson

Download or read book Equity Markets and Portfolio Analysis written by R. Stafford Johnson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-06-30 with total page 720 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understand today's investment challenges and the role of the Bloomberg system In recent years, changes have swept through the investment industry like wildfire. Academia has followed along and provided new lenses for viewing this transformation, as well as new strategies for gaining a true understanding and knowledge of investment and financial markets. Now, Equity Markets and Portfolio Analysis has been created to further inform investment professionals and finance students on the basic concepts and strategies of investments, and to provide more detailed discussions on advanced strategies and models. The concepts covered in this book will help readers gain a better understanding of the markets and uses for an increasing number of securities, strategies, and methodologies. Equity Markets and Portfolio Analysis is the only core investment book that covers the functionality of Bloomberg terminals, increasingly critical tools both in the classroom and on the trading floor. As Bloomberg terminals now play a key role in the research, teaching, and managing of student investment funds, understanding the system's information and analytical functions has become more important than ever. In-depth coverage of fundamentals through more detailed concepts for students and professionals who want to better understand the evaluation, selection, and management of securities One-of-a-kind training and instructional course, introduction to Bloomberg investment subjects, and reference for CFA preparation Bloomberg material provided in an appendix accompanying each chapter, a useful option for professors Ideal for finance practitioners, investment bankers, and academics This unique resource will give readers both the foundational knowledge and the analytical tools necessary for investment success, both in the classroom and in the real world.

Accounting and Debt Markets

Author : Mark Clatworthy
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000344606
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Accounting and Debt Markets by : Mark Clatworthy

Download or read book Accounting and Debt Markets written by Mark Clatworthy and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2021-05-13 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accounting and Debt Markets: Four Pieces on the Role of Accounting Information in Debt Markets provides novel and up-to-date evidence on the role of accounting information in debt markets Companies and organisations worldwide rely heavily on debt markets for short, medium and long-term financing, and debt markets and financial intermediaries have significant effects on the real economy. Accounting information has various functions in debt markets, including inter alia, informing pricing decisions and credit ratings, determining the allocation of creditor control rights and establishing bank capital adequacy requirements. The chapters in this book provide illustrative discussion, analysis and evidence on the importance of accounting information in credit markets. The first of the four pieces reflects on how a conservative financial reporting system helps firms obtain debt funds and with better conditions, and why this is the case. The second examines the effects of accounting disclosure on credit ratings of private companies and shows that accounting information is useful for credit rating agencies. The two final pieces reflect on how banks should account for credit losses, and on how regulators are tackling this issue. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Accounting and Business Research.

Data Analytics for Corporate Debt Markets

Author : Robert Kricheff
Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 0133553655
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (335 download)

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Book Synopsis Data Analytics for Corporate Debt Markets by : Robert Kricheff

Download or read book Data Analytics for Corporate Debt Markets written by Robert Kricheff and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2014 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written for portfolio managers, traders, analysts, marketers, investment bankers, and other financial practitioners, this book introduces the key data analytics tools, methods, and applications currently used in the corporate debt market. Robert Kricheff shows how data analytics can improve and accelerate the process of proper investment selection, and guides market participants in focusing their credit work. Kricheff demonstrates how to use analytics to position yourself for the future; to assess how your current portfolio or trading desk is presently positioned relative to the marketplace; and to pinpoint which part of your holdings impacted past performance. He outlines how analytics can be used to compare markets, develop investment themes, and select debt issues that fit (or do not fit) those themes. He also demonstrates how investors seek to analyze short term supply and demand, and covers some special parts of the market that utilize analytics. Coverage includes: Why corporate debt analysis is different, and how data analytics can help The essential terminology and tools of data mining and analytics The markets and the players Indexes and index construction Analytics from macro market data to credit selection Analyzing market technicals Special Vehicles: Liquid Bond Indexes, Credit Default Swaps and Indexes, and ETFs Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) Tools for portfolio analysis The future of data analytics in corporate debt markets

How the Bond Market Works

Author : Robert Zipf
Publisher : Prentice Hall Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis How the Bond Market Works by : Robert Zipf

Download or read book How the Bond Market Works written by Robert Zipf and published by Prentice Hall Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How the Bond Market Works provides all the insight and guidance you need to benefit from this popular investment vehicle. First published in 1988, this popular guide has gone into 10 sell-out printings.

Capital Market Instruments

Author : M. Choudhry
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230279384
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Market Instruments by : M. Choudhry

Download or read book Capital Market Instruments written by M. Choudhry and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-11-27 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revised and updated guide to some of the most important issues in the capital markets today, with an emphasis on fixed-income instruments. Fundamental concepts in equity market analysis, foreign exchange and money markets are also covered to provide a comprehensive overview. Analysis and valuation techniques are given for practical application.

The Coming Bond Market Collapse

Author : Michael G. Pento
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118457153
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (184 download)

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Book Synopsis The Coming Bond Market Collapse by : Michael G. Pento

Download or read book The Coming Bond Market Collapse written by Michael G. Pento and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The coming financial apocalypse and what government andindividuals can do to insulate themselves against the worstshocks In this controversial book a noted adherent of Austrian Schoolof Economics theories advances the thesis that the United States isfast approaching the end stage of the biggest asset bubble inhistory. He describes how the bursting of the bubble will cause amassive interest rate shock that will send the US consumer economyand the US government—pumped up by massive Treasurydebt—into bankruptcy, an event that will send shockwavesthroughout the global economy. Michael Pento examines how policiesfollowed by both the Federal Reserve and private industry havecontributed to the impending interest rate disaster and highlightsthe similarities between the US and European debt crisis. But thebook isn't all doom and gloom. Pento also provides well-reasonedsolutions that, government, industry and individuals can take toinsulate themselves against the coming crisis. Paints an alarmingly vivid picture of the massive interest rateshock which soon will send consumers and the government intobankruptcy Backed by a wealth of historical and economic data, Pentoexplains how the bubble was created and what the U.S. can do tomitigate the impending crisis Provides investors with sound strategies for protectingthemselves and their assets against the coming financialapocalypse Explains why retirees, in particular, will be at risk as realestate prices decline, pensions weaken, and the bond bubblebursts

HIGH YIELD BONDS

Author : Mark Shenkman
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 9780071376969
Total Pages : 614 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (769 download)

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Book Synopsis HIGH YIELD BONDS by : Mark Shenkman

Download or read book HIGH YIELD BONDS written by Mark Shenkman and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1999 with total page 614 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: HIGH-YIELD BONDS provides state-of-the-art research, strategies, and toolsÑalongside the expert analysis of respected authorities including Edward Altman of New York UniversityÕs Salomon Center, Lea Carty of MoodyÕs Investor Service, Sam DeRosa-Farag of Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, Martin Fridson of Merrill Lynch & Company, Stuart Gilson of Harvard University, Robert Kricheff of CS First Boston, and Frank Reilly of the University of Notre DameÑto help you truly understand todayÕs high-yield market. For added value and ease of reference, this high-level one-volume encyclopedia is divided into seven sections detailing virtually every aspect of high-yield bond investment. They include: Market structureÑThe role of investment banks in security innovation and market development, evolution of analytical methodologies, and recent leveraged loan market developments; Security risk analysisÑHistorical bond default rates, real interest rate and default rate relationships, and new simulation methodologies for modeling credit quality; Security valuationÑImpact of seniority and security on bond pricing and return, important trading factors, and a Monte Carlo simulation methodology for valuing bonds and options in the context of correlated interest rate and credit risk; Market valuation modelsÑEconometric studies which detail the importance of monetary influences, risk-free interest rates, default rates, mutual fund flows, and seasonal fluctuations; Portfolio managementÑHistorical perspective and comparison to alternative investments, analysis of indices available to investors, and specific portfolio selection and risk management strategies of professional fund managers; Distressed security investingÑHistorical risk and return information, plus an academic overview of the market and decision criteria for uncovering and investing in securities with higher-than-average risk-adjusted returns; Corporate finance considerationsÑEmerging firmsÕ strategic choice between external debt and equity financing, as well as the choice of issuing public versus private (Rule-144a) securities. HIGH-YIELD BONDS provides extensive coverage of bond valuation and the construction and management of high-yield portfolios. Advanced Monte Carlo simulation models for the valuation of bonds and options on bonds as well as risk assessments on portfolios of bonds under conditions of correlated interest rate and credit risk are demonstrated. In todayÕs explosive environment of multiple new issues and high risk versus return relationships, it is paramount that you get advice from analysts and experts who have been influential in shaping and defining the market. HIGH-YIELD BONDS will provide you with a valuable reference to this fascinating and constantly changing class of securities, helping you assemble a stable, diversified portfolio of fixed income investments that provides the greatest returns and the lowest risks.