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Cycles Trends And Turning Points
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Book Synopsis Future Trends from Past Cycles by : Brian Millard
Download or read book Future Trends from Past Cycles written by Brian Millard and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2010-09-13 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Like the work of J. M. Hurst, Millard's forbear, Future Trends "shows what is possible when approaching the markets with a measured, logical technique based on firm mathematical and scientific logic".
Book Synopsis Turning Points in Business Cycles by : Leonard P. Ayres
Download or read book Turning Points in Business Cycles written by Leonard P. Ayres and published by . This book was released on 1969 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Predicting Turning Points in the Interest Rate Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) by : James W. Coons
Download or read book Predicting Turning Points in the Interest Rate Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) written by James W. Coons and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-03-24 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1994 and the recipient of the Stonier Library Award, this volume evaluates an alternative approach – the sequential filter- to managing the uncertainty inherent in the future course of the interest rate cycle. The specific hypothesis is that the sequential filter can produce valuable signals of cyclical peaks and troughs in interest rates. The analysis focusses on US interest rates from April 1953 to December 1988.
Book Synopsis Future Trends from Past Cycles by : Brian J. Millard
Download or read book Future Trends from Past Cycles written by Brian J. Millard and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Beating the Business Cycle by : Lakshman Achuthan
Download or read book Beating the Business Cycle written by Lakshman Achuthan and published by Crown Currency. This book was released on 2004-05-18 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can you make wise decisions about your company and your personal future when you have no idea where the economy is headed? The answer is, you can’t. But you can learn how to accurately predict turns in the economy so that you can see the road ahead. And BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE shows you how. In BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE, Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji, the directors of the renowned Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) show how anyone can predict and profit from the inevitable booms and busts of the economy. Why should we believe them? Because while so many economists and financial gurus have failed to predict recessions in the past, ECRI’s forecasts are known for being uncannily accurate. The institute successfully predicted the U.S. recession of 2001 many months before the economists did; the 1990 recession and later recovery; and most recently, the weak U.S. recovery in 2002. ECRI is in constant demand by corporate America and the media. It is the “secret weapon” of companies from Disney to DuPont, the major fund managers, and many central banks. BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE is the first book to reveal how decision makers at all levels–managers, small business owners, and individuals–can see into the economy’s future when making key decisions. Should a large company search out new clients and build new factories or stores, or should it consider cost cutting and layoffs? Is it the right time for you to splurge on that luxury vacation or addition to your house, or would it be more prudent to cut back on big expenditures and save money for a rainy day? Written in an easy-to-understand, accessible style, BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE reveals which of the hundreds of economic indicators to trust and which ones to trash. It will give you the tools and confidence you need to make the right decisions at the right times–even when the rest of the investing and business world would persuade you otherwise. Whether you are a corporate manager or the owner of a small business, whether you have your money invested in stocks or in your home, BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE will give you the edge you need to trump the competition and stay ahead of the crowd.
Book Synopsis Dissecting the Cycle by : D. Harding
Download or read book Dissecting the Cycle written by D. Harding and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Cycles, Trends, and Turning Points by : John V. Crosby
Download or read book Cycles, Trends, and Turning Points written by John V. Crosby and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 2000 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Though this system is graph-driven rather than math-driven, its objective is to quantify the value of different marketing and sales activities in order to predict their effectiveness."--BOOK JACKET.
Book Synopsis Cyclical Analysis of Time Series by : Gerhard Bry
Download or read book Cyclical Analysis of Time Series written by Gerhard Bry and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Study of programmed procedures in economic research and statistical method with regard to computerised analysis of cyclical turning points relative to business cycles. References.
Book Synopsis The Fourth Turning by : William Strauss
Download or read book The Fourth Turning written by William Strauss and published by Crown. This book was released on 1997-12-29 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NATIONAL BESTSELLER • Discover the game-changing theory of the cycles of history and what past generations can teach us about living through times of upheaval—with deep insights into the roles that Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials have to play—now with a new preface by Neil Howe. First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis—the Fourth Turning—when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world—and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict what comes next. Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four twenty-year eras—or “turnings”—that comprise history’s seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Illustrating this cycle through a brilliant analysis of the post–World War II period, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively, for this rendezvous with destiny.
Download or read book Dynamic Factor Models written by and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-08 with total page 688 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores dynamic factor model specification, asymptotic and finite-sample behavior of parameter estimators, identification, frequentist and Bayesian estimation of the corresponding state space models, and applications.
Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-06 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the most sophisticated and up-to-date econometric analysis of business cycles now available. Francis Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch have long been acknowledged as leading experts on business cycles. And here they present a highly integrative collection of their most important essays on the subject, along with a detailed introduction that draws together the book's principal themes and findings. Diebold and Rudebusch use the latest quantitative methods to address five principal questions about the measurement, modeling, and forecasting of business cycles. They ask whether business cycles have become more moderate in the postwar period, concluding that recessions have, in fact, been shorter and shallower. They consider whether economic expansions and contractions tend to die of "old age." Contrary to popular wisdom, they find little evidence that expansions become more fragile the longer they last, although they do find that contractions are increasingly likely to end as they age. The authors discuss the defining characteristics of business cycles, focusing on how economic variables move together and on the timing of the slow alternation between expansions and contractions. They explore the difficulties of distinguishing between long-term trends in the economy and cyclical fluctuations. And they examine how business cycles can be forecast, looking in particular at how to predict turning points in cycles, rather than merely the level of future economic activity. They show here that the index of leading economic indicators is a poor predictor of future economic activity, and consider what we can learn from other indicators, such as financial variables. Throughout, the authors make use of a variety of advanced econometric techniques, including nonparametric analysis, fractional integration, and regime-switching models. Business Cycles is crucial reading for policymakers, bankers, and business executives.
Book Synopsis Predicting Turning Points in the Interest Rate Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) by : James W. Coons
Download or read book Predicting Turning Points in the Interest Rate Cycle (RLE: Business Cycles) written by James W. Coons and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2015-03-24 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1994 and the recipient of the Stonier Library Award, this volume evaluates an alternative approach – the sequential filter- to managing the uncertainty inherent in the future course of the interest rate cycle. The specific hypothesis is that the sequential filter can produce valuable signals of cyclical peaks and troughs in interest rates. The analysis focusses on US interest rates from April 1953 to December 1988.
Book Synopsis UK Business and Financial Cycles Since 1660 by : Nicholas Dimsdale
Download or read book UK Business and Financial Cycles Since 1660 written by Nicholas Dimsdale and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-02 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is the first of two volumes that aim to provide an up-to-date overview of the key data and techniques necessary for analysing the historical behaviour of business and financial cycles in the United Kingdom. Drawing on an extensive secondary literature and the considerable body of historical macroeconomic and financial time series data that exist for the United Kingdom, the two volumes will review the key features of historical recessions and recoveries over the course of three and a half centuries. Volume 1 provides an overview of UK business cycles since 1660. The first part of the book considers old and new theories of the business cycle, looking at the impulses that generate business cycles and the propagation mechanisms that determine their duration and amplitude. The second part of the book uses the latest historical estimates of GDP to look at different ways of measuring and estimating business cycle fluctuations within a simple univariate framework. Finally, the book provides a narrative of UK economic fluctuations since 1660 using a whole range of economic data to shed light on the main drivers of cyclical behaviour. It concludes by highlighting areas for future research especially with regard to the link between business and financial cycles, some of which will be explored in Volume 2.
Book Synopsis Beating the Business Cycle by : Lakshman Achuthan
Download or read book Beating the Business Cycle written by Lakshman Achuthan and published by Broadway Business. This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While so many have failed at predicting recessions and recoveries in the economy in the past, what makes the predictions of the ECRI so different in their uncanny accuracy. Among many other turns in the economy, the institute successfully predicted the U.S. recession of 2001 six months before the economists did; the U.S. recession of 1991 five months in advance, and most recently, the weak U.S. recovery in 2002. In constant demand in the media, the ECRI has been called the secret weapono of companies both large and small, from the major fund managers and the central banks to Alan Greenspan himself. CYCLES OF CERTAINTY is the first book to reveal how managers, small business owners, and individuals can peer into the economy's future in making key decisions. By knowing whether the economy will contract or expand, a large company can better know whether to search out new clients and build new factories if the economy is growing, or consider cost cutting and layoffs in a looming recession. But CYCLES OF CERTAINTY isn't aimed just at Fortune 500 managers. The advice it offers applies just as strongly to small businesses and individuals, as well. Should the owners of a small laundromat open a second shop or sit tight? Is now a good time to consider changing careers, or going back to school? What about that new house you were considering is it the right time to buy, or should you hold off? Written in an easy-to-understand, accessible style, CYCLES OF CERTAINTY shows how anyone can adopt a business-cycleo mind-set, providing readers with the specific advice they need to check the key leading indicators, and apply that to their business, job, or major life decision.
Book Synopsis Turning Points in Business Cycles by : Leonard Porter Ayres
Download or read book Turning Points in Business Cycles written by Leonard Porter Ayres and published by . This book was released on 1940 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa by : Willem H. Boshoff
Download or read book Business Cycles and Structural Change in South Africa written by Willem H. Boshoff and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-04-20 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book investigates the South African business cycle and its links to structural change in the economy. Against the backdrop of the democratic transition in 1994 and the global financial crisis, the authors study how business cycles in South Africa have changed and how cycles are related to key developments in the financial markets, international trade and business sentiment in the country. By focusing on peaks and troughs in economic activity – so-called ‘turning-point cycles’ – the book links up with the common approach of international policymakers to studying fluctuations in economic activity. The authors also introduce new approaches to measuring phases of the business cycle (to understand slow recoveries after the global crisis), provide comprehensive descriptions to complement quantitative analyses, and utilize new data sources that allow the measurement of economic activity over longer periods. As such, the book provides the first integrated overview of business cycles in an emerging market, providing academics and policymakers with a better understanding of the measurement challenges and drivers of the cycle.
Book Synopsis Millard on Channel Analysis by : Brian Millard
Download or read book Millard on Channel Analysis written by Brian Millard and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2009-12 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brian J. Millard uses channel analysis to determine how certain share price cycles, made up of both random movement and predictable cyclical movement, should behave in the near future, giving the investor a powerful prediction tool. A considerable proportion of price movement is random and as such, investors cannot achieve 100% success in predicting price movement. However, cycles are present in share price data, and channel analysis can be used to determine their position. Channel analysis enables investors to: - Rapidly scan a pool of 50-100 shares for new opportunities - Identify the start and end of trends only a few days after the event - Use one of three stop-loss methods as added insurance against extreme random movements The author also discusses how probability analysis allows the investor to attain a better estimation of channel turning points, leading to greater profit potential. 'Millard on Channel Analysis' is an invaluable guide for any investor who wants to make money by looking at share price cycles.
