Current Real Business Cycle Theories And Aggregate Labor Market Fluctuations

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The Labor Market and Business Cycle Theories

Author : Piero Ferri
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis The Labor Market and Business Cycle Theories by : Piero Ferri

Download or read book The Labor Market and Business Cycle Theories written by Piero Ferri and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1989 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is primarily a critical survey of small-case, theoretical macro models that attempts to analyze the cyclical behavior of modern economies. The authors emphasize the role of the labor market, which is treated very differently in such models. They show how the development of business cycle models owes almost as much to the development of analytic methods as to the economic events that make analysis necessary; this leads to the examination of the changing nature of the mathematical tools that have been used by business cycle theorists. They give examples of how these newer tools can deal with nonlinear models that are capable of generating a richer variety of dynamic outcomes than was possible with linear models. The treatment of these topics does not require a strong background in mathematics and the authors' goal is to call attention to the new methods and provide examples of the results that are possible with them rather than to teach those methods in detail. In addition to the survey material, they describe a regime switching model of their own that is capable of generating cyclical behavior. This model is greatly influenced by its labor market component, in which a nonlinearity is introduced through the device of switching between linear behavioral equations. The model is analyzed analytically and with simulation experiments.

Modern Business Cycle Theory

Author : Robert J. Barro
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Business Cycle Theory by : Robert J. Barro

Download or read book Modern Business Cycle Theory written by Robert J. Barro and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The new classical approach to macroeconomics, which assumes that people gather and use economic information efficiently, has been the most important theoretical advance since the Keynesian revolution of the 1930s. This book surveys the major contributions of the "second generation" of proponents of the new classical approach, emphasizing real business cycle theories and applying them to a variety of phenomena. The chapters include expositions of growth theory, real models of business fluctuations, the informational role of prices, consumption, fiscal policy, rules versus discretion in monetary policy, time consistency and policy, and monetary models. Although the chapters are aimed at advanced undergraduate- and graduate-level students, they will also be of interest to researchers who are looking for a compact and original exposition of the new classical macroeconomics.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513536990
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra

Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451875657
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations by : Mr.Pau Rabanal

Download or read book Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations written by Mr.Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.

The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence

Author : M.T. Belongia
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401129568
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence by : M.T. Belongia

Download or read book The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence written by M.T. Belongia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These proceedings, from a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on October 17-18, 1991, attempted to layout what we currently know about aggregate economic fluctuations. Identifying what we know inevitably reveals what we do not know about such fluctuations as well. From the vantage point of where the conference's participants view our current understanding to be, these proceedings can be seen as suggesting an agenda for further research. The conference was divided into five sections. It began with the formu lation of an empirical definition of the "business cycle" and a recitation of the stylized facts that must be explained by any theory that purports to capture the business cycle's essence. After outlining the historical develop ment and key features of the current "theories" of business cycles, the conference evaluated these theories on the basis of their ability to explain the facts. Included in this evaluation was a discussion of whether (and how) the competing theories could be distinguished empirically. The conference then examined the implications for policy of what is known and not known about business cycles. A panel discussion closed the conference, high lighting important unresolved theoretical and empirical issues that should be taken up in future business cycle research. What Is a Business Cycle? Before gaining a genuine understanding of business cycles, economists must agree and be clear about what they mean when they refer to the cycle.

Business Cycle Theory

Author : Finn E. Kydland
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycle Theory by : Finn E. Kydland

Download or read book Business Cycle Theory written by Finn E. Kydland and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of key articles on modern business cycle theory. Fundamental to business cycle theory is the estimation of the role played by different impulses or shocks for aggregate fluctuations, and identifying the mechanisms by which these impulses propagate over time to create the cycles we observe. Business Cycles Theory is divided into three parts. Part I deals with issues of measurement and methodology and describes empirical business cycle regularities. Parts II and III centre around the study of real and nominal shocks and impulses.

Emerging Market Business Cycles

Author : Ms.Emine Boz
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 147551249X
Total Pages : 51 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Emerging Market Business Cycles by : Ms.Emine Boz

Download or read book Emerging Market Business Cycles written by Ms.Emine Boz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-10-09 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging economies are characterized by higher consumption and real wage variability relative to output and a strongly countercyclical current account. A real business cycle model of a small open economy that embeds a Mortensen-Pissarides type of search-matching frictions and countercyclical interest rate shocks can jointly account for these regularities. In the face of countercyclical interest rate shocks, search-matching frictions increase future employment uncertainty, improving workers’ incentive to save and generating a greater response of consumption and the current account. Higher consumption response in turn feeds into larger fluctuations in the workers’ bargaining power while the interest rates shocks lead to variations in the firms’ willingness to hire; both of which contribute to a highly variable real wage.

Wages, Regime Switching, and Cycles

Author : Piero Ferri
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Wages, Regime Switching, and Cycles by : Piero Ferri

Download or read book Wages, Regime Switching, and Cycles written by Piero Ferri and published by Springer. This book was released on 1992 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

What Prevents a Real Business Cycle Model from Matching the U.S. Data? Decomposing the Labor Wedge

Author : Dmitry Plotnikov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484318587
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis What Prevents a Real Business Cycle Model from Matching the U.S. Data? Decomposing the Labor Wedge by : Dmitry Plotnikov

Download or read book What Prevents a Real Business Cycle Model from Matching the U.S. Data? Decomposing the Labor Wedge written by Dmitry Plotnikov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-08 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I carry out a business cycle accounting exercise (Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan, 2007) on the U.S. data measured in wage units (Farmer (2010)) for the entire postwar period. In contrast to a conventional approach, this approach preserves common medium-term business cycle fluctuations in GDP, its components and the unemployment rate. Additionally, it facilitates decomposition of the labor wedge into the labor supply and the labor demand wedges. Using this business cycle accounting methodology, I find that in the transformed data, most movements in GDP are accounted for by the labor supply wedge. Therefore, I reverse a key finding of the real business cycle literature which asserts that 70% or more of economic fluctuations can be explained by TFP shocks. In other words, the real business cycle model fits the data badly because the assumption that households are on their labor supply equation is flawed. This failure is masked by data that has been filtered with a conventional approach that removes fluctuations at medium frequencies. My findings are consistent with the literature on incomplete labor markets.

Real Business Cycles

Author : James Hartley
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134694784
Total Pages : 690 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (346 download)

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Book Synopsis Real Business Cycles by : James Hartley

Download or read book Real Business Cycles written by James Hartley and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-07-04 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real Business Cycle theory combines the remains of monetarism with the new classical macroeconomics, and has become one of the dominant approaches within contemporary macroeconomics today. This volume presents: * the authoritative anthology in RBC. The work contains the major articles introducing and extending the theory as well as critical literature * an extensive introduction which contains an expository summary and critical evaluation of RBC theory * comprehensive coverage and balance between seminal papers and extensions; proponents and critics; and theory and empirics. Macroeconomics is a compulsory element in most economics courses, and this book will be an essential guide to one of its major theories.

Business Cycles

Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)

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Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Victor Zarnowitz

Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.

Frontiers of Business Cycle Research

Author : Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691218056
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Frontiers of Business Cycle Research by : Thomas F. Cooley

Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-09-01 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Among the most revolutionary and productive areas of economic research over the last two decades, modern business cycle theory is finally made accessible to students and professionals in this rigorous, unified, introductory volume. This theory starts with the view that growth and fluctuations are not distinct phenomena to be studied separately--and that business cycles result from shocks (such as the availability of new technologies), which regularly affect most economies. The unifying theme of this book is the use of the neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting recent advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods--with emphasis on the construction of equilibrium paths for simple artificial economies--leading experts orient readers in the quantitative study of aggregate fluctuations and apply its concepts to key issues in macroeconomics and business cycle theory. This volume covers such issues as the aggregate labor market, the role of the household sector, the role of money, the behavior of asset markets, non-Walrasian economies, monopolistically competitive economies, international business cycles, and the design of economic policies. The contributors are David Backus, V. V. Chari, Lawrence Christiano, Thomas F. Cooley, Jean-Pierre Danthine, John Donaldson, Jeremy Greenwood, Gary D. Hansen, Patrick Kehoe, Finn Kydland, Edward C. Prescott, Richard Rogerson, Julio Rotemberg, Geert Rouwenhorst, José-Víctor Ríos-Rull, Michael Woodford, and Randall Wright.

Labor Markets and Business Cycles

Author : Robert Shimer
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400835232
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Labor Markets and Business Cycles by : Robert Shimer

Download or read book Labor Markets and Business Cycles written by Robert Shimer and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2010-04-12 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Labor Markets and Business Cycles integrates search and matching theory with the neoclassical growth model to better understand labor market outcomes. Robert Shimer shows analytically and quantitatively that rigid wages are important for explaining the volatile behavior of the unemployment rate in business cycles. The book focuses on the labor wedge that arises when the marginal rate of substitution between consumption and leisure does not equal the marginal product of labor. According to competitive models of the labor market, the labor wedge should be constant and equal to the labor income tax rate. But in U.S. data, the wedge is strongly countercyclical, making it seem as if recessions are periods when workers are dissuaded from working and firms are dissuaded from hiring because of an increase in the labor income tax rate. When job searches are time consuming and wages are flexible, search frictions--the cost of a job search--act like labor adjustment costs, further exacerbating inconsistencies between the competitive model and data. The book shows that wage rigidities can reconcile the search model with the data, providing a quantitatively more accurate depiction of labor markets, consumption, and investment dynamics. Developing detailed search and matching models, Labor Markets and Business Cycles will be the main reference for those interested in the intersection of labor market dynamics and business cycle research.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004

Author : National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262572293
Total Pages : 508 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (722 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004 by : National Bureau of Economic Research

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2004 written by National Bureau of Economic Research and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 508 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Papers by leading researchers consider such questions as the effect of government debt on interest rates; technology shocks, demand shocks, and output volatility; and procyclical macroeconomic policies in developing countries.

The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money

Author : John Maynard Keynes
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319703447
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money by : John Maynard Keynes

Download or read book The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money written by John Maynard Keynes and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-07-20 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book was originally published by Macmillan in 1936. It was voted the top Academic Book that Shaped Modern Britain by Academic Book Week (UK) in 2017, and in 2011 was placed on Time Magazine's top 100 non-fiction books written in English since 1923. Reissued with a fresh Introduction by the Nobel-prize winner Paul Krugman and a new Afterword by Keynes’ biographer Robert Skidelsky, this important work is made available to a new generation. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money transformed economics and changed the face of modern macroeconomics. Keynes’ argument is based on the idea that the level of employment is not determined by the price of labour, but by the spending of money. It gave way to an entirely new approach where employment, inflation and the market economy are concerned. Highly provocative at its time of publication, this book and Keynes’ theories continue to remain the subject of much support and praise, criticism and debate. Economists at any stage in their career will enjoy revisiting this treatise and observing the relevance of Keynes’ work in today’s contemporary climate.

Current Real Business Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor Market Fluctuations

Author : Lawrence J. Christiano
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Current Real Business Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor Market Fluctuations by : Lawrence J. Christiano

Download or read book Current Real Business Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor Market Fluctuations written by Lawrence J. Christiano and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations

Author : Matthew D. Shapiro
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations by : Matthew D. Shapiro

Download or read book Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations written by Matthew D. Shapiro and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What shocks account for the business cycle frequency and long run movements of output and prices? This paper addresses this question using the identifying assumption that only supply shocks, such as shocks to technology, oil prices, and labor supply affect output in the long run. Real and monetary aggregate demand shocks can affect output, but only in the short run. This assumption sufficiently restricts the reduced form of key macroeconomic variables to allow estimation of the shocks and their effect on output and price at all frequencies. Aggregate demand shocks account for about twenty to thirty percent of output fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Technological shocks account for about one-quarter of cyclical fluctuations, and about one-third of output's variance at low frequencies. Shocks to oil prices are important in explaining episodes in the 1970's and 1980's. Shocks that permanently affect labor input account for the balance of fluctuations in output, namely, about half of its variance at all frequencies.