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Cross Sectional Examination Of The Corporate Bond Market Performance The Rise Of The Momentum And Contrarian Unidentified Factor Mimicking Corporate Bond Portfolios
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Book Synopsis Cross-sectional Examination of the Corporate Bond Market Performance - The Rise of the Momentum and Contrarian Unidentified Factor Mimicking Corporate Bond Portfolios! by : Himanshu Verma
Download or read book Cross-sectional Examination of the Corporate Bond Market Performance - The Rise of the Momentum and Contrarian Unidentified Factor Mimicking Corporate Bond Portfolios! written by Himanshu Verma and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine momentum and reversal anomalies in corporate bond returns at the firm-level employing a novel dataset, SoKat Credit, comprising bonds of 323 of the largest and liquid companies over the period from 2002 to 2020. Our study documents significant short-term reversal in the cross-sectional of corporate bond returns concentrated at the one week interval with annualized returns on the zero investment long-short portfolio of 9.9%. We also document company-level momentum spillover effect into corporate bond returns when sorting on past equity returns, that is, our “bond-stock” strategy, which delivers annualized return of 5.0% is statistically significant and robust baring the usual suspects of caveats.
Book Synopsis News and the Cross-Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns by : Abhay Abhyankar
Download or read book News and the Cross-Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns written by Abhay Abhyankar and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the cross-section of expected corporate bond returns using an inter-temporal CAPM (ICAPM) with three factors: innovations in future excess bond returns, future real interest rates and future expected inflation. Our test assets are a broad range of corporate bond market index portfolios. We find that two factors - innovations about future inflation and innovations about future real interest rates - explain the cross-section of expected corporate bond returns in our sample. Our model provides an alternative to the ad hoc risk factor models used, for example, in evaluating the performance of bond mutual funds.
Book Synopsis Common Risk Factors in the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns by : Jennie Bai
Download or read book Common Risk Factors in the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns written by Jennie Bai and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 75 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the cross-sectional determinants of corporate bond returns and find that downside risk is the strongest predictor of future bond returns. We also introduce common risk factors based on the prevalent risk characteristics of corporate bonds -- downside risk, credit risk, and liquidity risk -- and find that these novel bond factors have economically and statistically significant risk premia that cannot be explained by long-established stock and bond market factors. We show that the newly proposed risk factors outperform all other models considered in the literature in explaining the returns of the industry- and size/maturity-sorted portfolios of corporate bonds.
Book Synopsis What Slice of the Pie? The Corporate Bond Market Boom in Emerging Economies by : Ms.Diana Ayala Pena
Download or read book What Slice of the Pie? The Corporate Bond Market Boom in Emerging Economies written by Ms.Diana Ayala Pena and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-07 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies the determinants of shifts in debt composition among EM non-financial corporates. We show that institutions and macro fundamentals create an enabling environment for bond market development. During the recent boom episode, however, global cyclical factors accounted for most of the variation of bond shares in total corporate debt. The sensitivity to global factors appears to vary with relative bond market size—which we interpret to be associated with liquidity and easy entry and exit—rather than local fundamentals. Foreign bank linkages help explain why bond markets increasingly substituted for banks in channeling liquidity to EMs. Our results highlight the risk of capital flow reversal in EMs that benefited from the upturn in the global financial cycle mostly due to their liquid markets rather than strong fundamentals.
Book Synopsis Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns by : Söhnke M. Bartram
Download or read book Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns written by Söhnke M. Bartram and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the role played by "bond book-to-market" ratios in U.S. corporate bond pricing. Controlling for numerous risk factors tied to default and priced asset risk, including yield-to-maturity, we find that the ratio of a corporate bond's book value to its market price strongly predicts the bond's future return. The quintile of bonds with the highest book-to-market ratios outperforms the quintile with the lowest ratios by more than 3% per year, other things equal. Additional evidence on signal delay, scope of signal efficacy, and factor risk rejects the thesis that the corporate bond market is perfectly informationally efficient, although significant positive alpha spreads are erased by transaction costs.
Book Synopsis Is There a Risk-Return Tradeoff in the Corporate Bond Market? Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Evidence by : Jennie Bai
Download or read book Is There a Risk-Return Tradeoff in the Corporate Bond Market? Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Evidence written by Jennie Bai and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide time-series and cross-sectional evidence on the significance of a risk-return tradeoff in the corporate bond market. We find a significantly positive intertemporal relation between expected return and risk in the bond market and the time-series predictability is driven by aggregate systematic risk instead of aggregate idiosyncratic risk. We also propose a new measure of systematic risk for corporate bonds and find a positive link between systematic risk and the cross-section of future bond returns. We provide an explanation for the significance of systematic (idiosyncratic) risk based on different investor preferences and informational frictions in the bond (equity) market.
Book Synopsis Corporate Bond Premia by : Yoshio Nozawa
Download or read book Corporate Bond Premia written by Yoshio Nozawa and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I decompose corporate bond spread into return predictability and credit loss predictability. Using corporate bond returns in the US, I show empirically that 82 percent of the variation of bond spread of the corporate bond market portfolio is associated with return predictability. I explain the variation of bond premium in equilibrium based on factor risk exposures. To this end, I construct level and slope factors in corporate bond returns. I show that these two factors can explain 93 percent of the variation in average excess returns on corporate bonds. To show this result, I describe expected excess returns and risks as functions of characteristics of corporate bonds such as bond spreads and use a parametric characteristic-based asset pricing test. This approach allows one to test the model's ability to explain the variation in average excess returns associated with multiple characteristics. The two factor model does well for all characteristics except equity momentum.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Residual Equity Momentum Spillover in Global Corporate Bond Markets by : Demir Bektic
Download or read book Residual Equity Momentum Spillover in Global Corporate Bond Markets written by Demir Bektic and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 1 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I present an improved equity momentum measure for corporate bonds and study the Euro denominated global investment grade corporate bond market between 2000 and 2016. I document economically meaningful and statistically significant corporate bond return predictability. In contrast to the widely used total equity return, momentum as measured by the residual (idiosyncratic) equity return appears to further enhance risk-adjusted performance of corporate bond investors. Additional support for this conjecture is obtained from tests for various asset pricing factors and transaction costs, as exposure to these risk factors cannot explain this abnormal pattern in returns.
Book Synopsis The CDS-Bond Basis Arbitrage and the Cross Section of Corporate Bond Returns by : Gi H. Kim
Download or read book The CDS-Bond Basis Arbitrage and the Cross Section of Corporate Bond Returns written by Gi H. Kim and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a comprehensive empirical analysis on the implication of CDS-Bond basis arbitrage for the pricing of corporate bonds. Basis arbitrageurs introduce new risks such as funding liquidity and counterparty risk into the corporate bond market, which was dominated by passive investors before the existence of CDS. We show that a basis factor, constructed as the return differential between LOW and HIGH quintile basis portfolios, is a superior empirical proxy that captures the new risks. In the cross section of investment grade bond returns, the basis factor carries an annual risk premium of about 3% in normal periods.
Book Synopsis Common Factors in Corporate Bond Returns by : Ronen Israel
Download or read book Common Factors in Corporate Bond Returns written by Ronen Israel and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find that four well-known characteristics (carry, defensive, momentum and value) explain a significant portion of the cross-sectional variation in corporate bond excess returns. These characteristics have positive risk-adjusted expected returns and are not subsumed by traditional market premia or respective equity anomalies. The returns are economically significant, not explained by macroeconomic exposures, and there is some evidence that mispricing plays a role, especially for momentum.
Book Synopsis Corporate Bond Risk and Real Activity by : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
Download or read book Corporate Bond Risk and Real Activity written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2001-10-01 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds that the yield spread of investment-grade bonds relative to Treasuries, a proxy of default risk, predicts marginal changes in industrial production in the United States up to 12 months in the future, even upon controlling for a commonly used predictor such as the commercial paper spread. The paper also finds that systematic risk factors associated with the yield spread of investment-grade bonds to a variety of risk-free benchmarks - Treasuries, agency bonds, and AAA-rated bonds - have significant predictive content for future growth rate of industrial production at 3 to 18 months forecasting horizon, both in- and out-of-sample. Finally, a regime-switching estimation shows that the systematic risk component is also able to capture "industrial production business cycle" well.
Book Synopsis Factor Investing in Corporate Bond Markets by : Peter Szini
Download or read book Factor Investing in Corporate Bond Markets written by Peter Szini and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis empirically investigates the prevalence of size, value, low risk and momentum factors in the U.S. corporate bond market and the return characteristics of single- and multi-factor portfolio allocations versus the market capitalization weighted market portfolio. Monthly constituent data from the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Bond and Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield indices is used, spanning the period from October 1988 to January 2017. The findings provide evidence for an economically meaningful and statistically significant risk-adjusted performance of all investigated factors. Allocating to corporate bond factors can significantly enhance returns, contribute to diversification and improve portfolio characteristics, such as spreads, quality, yield and duration.
Book Synopsis Factor Investing in the Corporate Bond Market by : Patrick Houweling
Download or read book Factor Investing in the Corporate Bond Market written by Patrick Houweling and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We offer empirical evidence that size, low-risk, value, and momentum factor portfolios generate economically meaningful and statistically significant alphas in the corporate bond market. Because the correlations between the single-factor portfolios are low, a combined multi-factor portfolio benefits from diversification among the factors: It has a lower tracking error and a higher information ratio than the individual factors. Our results are robust to transaction costs, alternative factor definitions, alternative portfolio construction settings, and constructing factor portfolios on a subsample of liquid bonds. Finally, allocating to corporate bond factors provides added value beyond allocating to equity factors in a multi-asset context.
Book Synopsis Two Essays on the Corporate Bond Market by : George Theocharides
Download or read book Two Essays on the Corporate Bond Market written by George Theocharides and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation consists of twopapers. The first paper examines the propagation of firm-specific shocks as well as market-wide shocks between 1995-2003 using Treasury and corporate bond market data. It then tests the implications of previously proposed models of contagion. I find little support for the industry and counterparty structure hypothesis, suggesting that fundamentals do not generate contagion. Consistent with the information transmission, rebalancing, and liquidity-shock hypotheses, I find evidence of flight to quality during the event periods. However, in contrast to the prediction of the liquidity-shock channel, the corporate bond market, on average, seems to be more liquid during event periods (evidenced by higher trading volume, trading frequency, and mean bond age). Furthermore, there are no significant changes in the trading of assets with the low transaction costs, which is contrary to the rebalancing theory. These findings are more in favor of the correlated information channel as a means of inducing contagion. The second paper examines the effect of liquidity on corporate bond prices using the newly formed TRACE data set. In the spirit of Acharya and Pedersen's (2005) liquidity-adjusted capital asset pricing model (LCAPM), I examine the impact of multiple sources of risk on corporate bond prices. The results do not lend strong support for the existence of liquidity risk in the corporate bond market or for the LCAPM, especially when liquidity is captured using the trading frequency, trading volume, and turnover. Contrary to the predictions of the LCAPM, more illiquid portfolios do not have higher values for the three liquidity betas; betas that capture the commonality in liquidity with the market, the sensitivity in returns with the market-wide liquidity, and the liquidity sensitivity with the market returns. Furthermore, after running cross-sectional regressions I do not find strong evidence either for the validity of the model or that liquidity risk does matter for the corporate bond prices.
Book Synopsis The Cross-Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns by : William R. Gebhardt
Download or read book The Cross-Section of Expected Corporate Bond Returns written by William R. Gebhardt and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper finds that default betas are significantly related to the cross-section of average bond returns even after controlling for characteristics such as duration, ratings, and yield-to-maturity. Among characteristics, only yield-to-maturity is significantly related to average bond returns after controlling for default and term betas. The default and term factors are able to price the returns of beta-sorted portfolios better than they do the returns of yield-sorted portfolios. The magnitude of the ex ante Sharpe ratio generated by yield-sorted portfolios suggests non-risk based explanations. Overall, given the elusive nature of systematic risk in empirical asset pricing, the central finding of our paper is that systematic risk matters for corporate bonds.
Book Synopsis Is Corporate Bond Market Performance Driven by Stock Market Performance? by : Hayette Gatfaoui
Download or read book Is Corporate Bond Market Performance Driven by Stock Market Performance? written by Hayette Gatfaoui and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock markets and bond markets are known to interact. Specifically, the common stock market trend (i.e., business cycle also termed market / systematic risk) impacts common corporate bond market trend (i.e., credit cycle). First, we disentangle the common latent component from total stock returns (i.e., systematic / unobserved common stock market component). Second, we extract the common latent component from total bond returns (i.e., common unobserved systematic corporate bond component). Then, we estimate the dynamic relation between systematic total stock returns and systematic total bond returns over time (i.e., co- and anti-monotonicity risk). We characterize therefore the time-varying correlation risk (i.e., correlation risk structure) between stock performance and corporate bond performance. Results are instructive in a risk management prospect with regard to equity- and corporate bond-based portfolios.
