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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Country Forecast written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Country Report written by and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Country Report written by and published by . This book was released on 1900 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Sylwia Nowak
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475555539
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book Forecast Errors and Uncertainty Shocks written by Sylwia Nowak and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-11-17 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest that an increase in uncertainty-driven overoptimism has dampening effects on next-year real GDP growth rates. This implies that incorporating the common structure governing forecast errors across countries can help improve subsequent forecasts.
Author : Jack A. Goldstone
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Using Quantitative and Qualitative Models to Forecast Instability written by Jack A. Goldstone and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Zidong An
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513510657
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions? written by Zidong An and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-05 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession by a wide margin until the year is almost over. Forecasts during non-recession years are revised slowly; in recession years, the pace of revision picks up but not sufficiently to avoid large forecast errors. Our second finding is that forecasts of the private sector and the official sector are virtually identical; thus, both are equally good at missing recessions. Strong booms are also missed, providing suggestive evidence for Nordhaus’ (1987) view that behavioral factors—the reluctance to absorb either good or bad news—play a role in the evolution of forecasts.
Author : George Friedman
Publisher : Random House Digital, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 0307475921
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (74 download)
Download or read book The next 100 years written by George Friedman and published by Random House Digital, Inc.. This book was released on 2009 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: George Friedman, founder of Stratfor and leading expert in geopolitical forecasting, shares his thoughts on current trends and near-future events that will impact every country on Earth.
Author : Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475576447
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multipliers written by Mr.Olivier J. Blanchard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-03 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the relation between growth forecast errors and planned fiscal consolidation during the crisis. We find that, in advanced economies, stronger planned fiscal consolidation has been associated with lower growth than expected, with the relation being particularly strong, both statistically and economically, early in the crisis. A natural interpretation is that fiscal multipliers were substantially higher than implicitly assumed by forecasters. The weaker relation in more recent years may reflect in part learning by forecasters and in part smaller multipliers than in the early years of the crisis.
Author : Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573667
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons written by Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-07 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the performance of the IMF WEO growth forecast revisions across different horizons and country groups. We find that: (i) growth revisions in horizons closer to the actual are generally larger, more volatile, and more negative; (ii) on average, growth revisions are in the right direction, becoming progressively more responsive to the forecast error gap as horizons get closer to the actual year; (iii) growth revisions in systemic economies are relevant for growth revisions in all country groups; (iv) WEO and Consensus Forecast growth revisions are highly correlated; (v) fall-to-spring WEO revisions are more correlated with Consensus Forecasts revisions compared to spring-to-fall revisions; and (vi) across vintages, revisions for a given time horizon are not autocorrelated; within vintages, revisions tend to be positively correlated, suggesting perception of persistent short-term shocks.
Author : Mary Hutzler
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0788175742
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (881 download)
Download or read book International Energy Outlook 98 written by Mary Hutzler and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Marleen Meier
Publisher : Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN 13 : 1800560745
Total Pages : 793 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (5 download)
Download or read book Mastering Tableau 2021 written by Marleen Meier and published by Packt Publishing Ltd. This book was released on 2021-05-31 with total page 793 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Build, design, and improve advanced business intelligence solutions using Tableau's latest features, including Tableau Prep Builder, Tableau Hyper, and Tableau Server Key FeaturesMaster new features in Tableau 2021 to solve real-world analytics challengesPerform geo-spatial, time series, and self-service analytics using real-life examplesBuild and publish dashboards and explore storytelling using Python and R integration supportBook Description Tableau is one of the leading business intelligence (BI) tools that can help you solve data analysis challenges. With this book, you will master Tableau's features and offerings in various paradigms of the BI domain. Updated with fresh topics including Quick Level of Detail expressions, the newest Tableau Server features, Einstein Discovery, and more, this book covers essential Tableau concepts and advanced functionalities. Leveraging Tableau Hyper files and using Prep Builder, you'll be able to perform data preparation and handling easily. You'll gear up to perform complex joins, spatial joins, unions, and data blending tasks using practical examples. Next, you'll learn how to execute data densification and further explore expert-level examples to help you with calculations, mapping, and visual design using Tableau extensions. You'll also learn about improving dashboard performance, connecting to Tableau Server and understanding data visualization with examples. Finally, you'll cover advanced use cases such as self-service analysis, time series analysis, and geo-spatial analysis, and connect Tableau to Python and R to implement programming functionalities within it. By the end of this Tableau book, you'll have mastered the advanced offerings of Tableau 2021 and be able to tackle common and advanced challenges in the BI domain. What you will learnGet up to speed with various Tableau componentsMaster data preparation techniques using Tableau Prep BuilderDiscover how to use Tableau to create a PowerPoint-like presentationUnderstand different Tableau visualization techniques and dashboard designsInteract with the Tableau server to understand its architecture and functionalitiesStudy advanced visualizations and dashboard creation techniquesBrush up on powerful self-service analytics, time series analytics, and geo-spatial analyticsWho this book is for This book is designed for business analysts, business intelligence professionals and data analysts who want to master Tableau to solve a range of data science and business intelligence problems. The book is ideal if you have a good understanding of Tableau and want to take your skills to the next level.
Author : Jacopo Cimadomo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484362063
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book How do Experts Forecast Sovereign Spreads? written by Jacopo Cimadomo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-05-20 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses how forecasting experts form their expectations about future government bond spreads. Using monthly survey forecasts for France, Italy and the United Kingdom between January 1993 and October 2014, we test whether respondents consider the expected evolution of the fiscal balance—and other economic fundamentals—to be significant drivers of the expected bond yield differential over a benchmark German 10-year bond. Our main result is that a projected improvement of the fiscal outlook significantly reduces expected sovereign spreads. This suggests that credible fiscal plans affect market experts’ expectations and reduce the pressure on sovereign bond markets. In addition, we show that expected fundamentals generally play a more important role in explaining forecasted spreads compared to realized spreads.
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Author : United States. Weather Bureau
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 476 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (22 download)
Download or read book Report [with Annual Summary] for ... written by United States. Weather Bureau and published by . This book was released on 1902 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1010 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book The Surveyor and Municipal and County Engineer written by and published by . This book was released on 1911 with total page 1010 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Country Profile written by and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : United States. President
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 660 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)
Download or read book A Compilation of the Messages and Papers of the Presidents: Encyclopedic index M-Z, Biographic index written by United States. President and published by . This book was released on 1917 with total page 660 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: V. 1. George Washington, John Adams, Thomas Jefferson -- v. 2. Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, James Monroe, John Quincy Adams -- v. 3. John Quincy Adams, Andrew Jackson -- v. 4. Andrew Jackson, Martin Van Buren -- v. 5. Martin Van Buren, William Henry Harrison, John Tyler, James K. Polk -- v. 6. James K. Polk, Zachary Taylor, Millard Fillmore, Franklin Pierce -- v. 7. Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan, Abraham Lincoln -- v. 8. Abraham Lincoln, Andrew Johnson -- v. 9. Andrew Johnson, Ulysses S. Grant -- v. 10. Ulysses S. Grant, Rutherford B. Hayes, James A. Garfield, Chester A. Arthur -- v. 11. Chester A. Arthur, Grover Cleveland -- v. 12. Grover Cleveland, Benjamin Harrison -- v. 13. Benjamin Harrison, Grover Cleveland -- v. 14. Grover Cleveland, William McKinley -- v. 15. William McKinley, Theodore Roosevelt -- v. 16. Theodore Roosevelt -- v. 17. Theodore Roosevelt, William Howard Taft -- v. 18. William Howard Taft, Woodrow Wilson -- v. 19. Encyclopedic index, A-L.-- v. 20. Encyclopedic index, M-Z; Biographic index.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513568329
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)
Download or read book Review of The Debt Sustainability Framework For Market Access Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-03 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A careful review has revealed significant scope to modernize and better align the MAC DSA with its objectives and the IMF’s lending framework. This note proposes replacing the current framework with a new methodology based on risk assessments at three different horizons. Extensive testing has shown that the proposed framework has much better predictive accuracy than the current one. In addition to predicting sovereign stress, the framework can be used to derive statements about debt stabilization under current policies and about debt sustainability.
