Consumption, Wealth, Stock and Housing Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (756 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption, Wealth, Stock and Housing Returns by : Guglielmo Maria Caporale

Download or read book Consumption, Wealth, Stock and Housing Returns written by Guglielmo Maria Caporale and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Analyzing the Effects of Financial and Housing Wealth on Consumption using Micro Data

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498316476
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Analyzing the Effects of Financial and Housing Wealth on Consumption using Micro Data by : Carlos Caceres

Download or read book Analyzing the Effects of Financial and Housing Wealth on Consumption using Micro Data written by Carlos Caceres and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-24 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the existence of “wealth effects” derived from net equity (in the form of housing, financial assets, and total net worth) on consumption. The study uses longitudinal household-level data?from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) ?covering about 7,000-9,000 households in the U.S., with the estimations carried over the period 1999-2017. Overall, wealth effects are found to be relatively large and significant for housing wealth, but less so for other types of wealth, including stocks. Furthermore, the analysis shows how these estimated marginal propensities to consume (MPC) from wealth are closely linked to household characteristics, including income and demographic factors. Finally, underlying structural changes in household characteristics point to potentially lower aggregate MPCs from wealth going forward.

Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Returns on U.S. Consumption

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Returns on U.S. Consumption by : Beatrice Simo-Kengne

Download or read book Time-Varying Effects of Housing and Stock Returns on U.S. Consumption written by Beatrice Simo-Kengne and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper applies a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive approach to estimate the relative effects of housing and stock returns on the growth rate of US consumption over time. We use annual data from 1890 to 2012 and find that at the one- and two-year horizons and over time, generally the housing return positively affects consumption growth while the stock return negatively affects it. For the three to six-year horizons, the two return shocks generally exert a negative, but small, effect on consumption growth. These opposite responses to changes in housing and stock returns suggest different mechanisms through which wealth affects consumption. Further, the housing return effect generally increases after 1980. The sub-period from 1980 to 2012 includes the 1997/2002 asset price boom/bust where house prices continued to rise moderately as stock prices fell. These findings suggest that the magnitude of the relative return effects differ with both time and horizons and also depends on whether prices increase or decrease.

Essays on Financial and Housing Wealth Effects on Consumption and the Role of Consumption-wealth Ratio on Stock Returns Predictability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial and Housing Wealth Effects on Consumption and the Role of Consumption-wealth Ratio on Stock Returns Predictability by : Iris Meco

Download or read book Essays on Financial and Housing Wealth Effects on Consumption and the Role of Consumption-wealth Ratio on Stock Returns Predictability written by Iris Meco and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Comparing Wealth Effects

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 17 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (248 download)

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Book Synopsis Comparing Wealth Effects by : Karl E. Case

Download or read book Comparing Wealth Effects written by Karl E. Case and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the link between increases in housing wealth, financial wealth, and consumer spending. We rely upon a panel of 14 countries observed annually for various periods during the past 25 years and a panel of U.S. states observed quarterly during the 1980s and 1990s. We impute the aggregate value of owner-occupied housing, the value of financial assets, and measures of aggregate consumption for each of the geographic units over time. We estimate regressions relating consumption to income and wealth measures, finding a statistically significant and rather large effect of housing wealth upon household consumption

The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Prices on Consumption in OECD Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Prices on Consumption in OECD Countries by : Alexander Ludwig

Download or read book The Impact of Changes in Stock Prices and House Prices on Consumption in OECD Countries written by Alexander Ludwig and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper quantifies the different impact of stock and house prices on consumption using data for 16 OECD countries. The analysis finds that the long-run impact of an increase in stock prices and house prices is in general higher in countries with a market-based financial system. The sensitivity of consumption to changes in stock wealth is about twice as large as the sensitivity to changes in housing wealth. Splitting the sample into the 1980s and 1990s shows that both countries with a market-based financial system and countries with a bank-based financial system moved toward a higher degree of responsiveness of consumption to changes in stock prices and house prices.

Can the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Predict Housing Returns? Evidence from OECD Countries

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Can the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Predict Housing Returns? Evidence from OECD Countries by : Guglielmo Maria Caporale

Download or read book Can the Consumption-Wealth Ratio Predict Housing Returns? Evidence from OECD Countries written by Guglielmo Maria Caporale and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a representative consumer model to analyse the relation between the transitory deviations of consumption from its common trend with aggregate wealth and labour income, cay, and the housing risk premium. The evidence based on data for 15 OECD countries shows that, if financial and housing assets are seen as complements, investors will temporarily allow consumption to rise when they expect a rise in future housing returns. By contrast, if housing assets are treated as substitutes for financial assets, consumption will be reduced.

Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Housing Return

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Housing Return by : N. Kundan Kishor

Download or read book Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Housing Return written by N. Kundan Kishor and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we estimate expected return on housing by exploiting information from the variations in the consumption-wealth ratio. We combine a present-value model of consumption with an unobserved component model to express the excess consumption-assets ratio (consumption in excess of labor income) as a linear function of unobserved return on housing assets, financial assets, and consumption growth. We apply a Kalman filter to extract expected housing asset returns from the history of realized returns and excess consumption growth. Our results suggest that filtered housing returns do a significantly better job in predicting realized housing returns than other popular predictors.

Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption by : Yener Coskun

Download or read book Wealth Effects on Household Final Consumption written by Yener Coskun and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study primarily explores the linkage between wealth effects, arising from stock and housing market channels, and household final consumption for 11 advanced countries over the period from 1970 Q1 to 2015 Q4. As a modelling strategy, we employ regression analysis through the common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) estimator, as well as Durbin-Hausman cointegration and Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) causality tests. The study provides various pieces of evidence through whole-panel and country-level analyses. In this respect, we find that consumption is mostly explained by income and housing wealth is positively and significantly correlated with consumption. As counter-intuitive evidence, we detect a negative linkage between consumption and stock wealth. The evidence also suggests a long-run cointegration relationship among consumption, income, interest rates, housing wealth, and stock wealth. Moreover, we find bidirectional causality between consumption and income, stock wealth, housing wealth, and interest rates. Overall, the evidence implies that housing wealth, rather than stock wealth, is the primary source of consumption growth in advanced countries.

The Effect of Housing and Stock Market Wealth on Consumption in Emerging and Developed Countries

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effect of Housing and Stock Market Wealth on Consumption in Emerging and Developed Countries by : Amina Ahec Šonje

Download or read book The Effect of Housing and Stock Market Wealth on Consumption in Emerging and Developed Countries written by Amina Ahec Šonje and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the long- and short-run relationship between private consumption, housing wealth, stock market wealth and income. In order to asses this relationship empirically, we use pooled mean group estimators of dynamic heterogeneous panel data on a sample of 30 developed and emerging economies. The sample countries are segmented into three separate panels: a developed bank-based panel, a developed market-based panel, and an emerging bank-based panel. Empirical estimates support the existence of long- and short-run stock market wealth effects in both groups of developed countries, with the effect being particularly strong in the developed market-based countries. A moderate long-run housing wealth effect is confirmed only for the developed bank-based countries, while a very strong short-run housing wealth effect is present in the developed market-based countries. As far as the emerging countries are concerned, the evidence is somewhat inconclusive, but it does seem to suggest that both wealth effects are effective in the long run, with housing wealth being more dominant.

How Large is the Housing Wealth Effect?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis How Large is the Housing Wealth Effect? by : Chris Carroll

Download or read book How Large is the Housing Wealth Effect? written by Chris Carroll and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a simple new method for estimating the size of 'wealth effects' on aggregate consumption. The method exploits the well-documented sluggishness of consumption growth (often interpreted as 'habits' in the asset pricing literature) to distinguish between short-run and long-run wealth effects. In U.S. data, we estimate that the immediate (next-quarter) marginal propensity to consume from a $1 change in housing wealth is about 2 cents, with a final long-run effect around 9 cents. Consistent with several recent studies, we find a housing wealth effect that is substantially larger than the stock wealth effect. We believe that our approach is preferable to the currently popular cointegration- based estimation methods, because neither theory nor evidence justifies faith in the existence of a stable cointegrating vector.

Housing Wealth Effects

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Housing Wealth Effects by : Eric S. Belsky

Download or read book Housing Wealth Effects written by Eric S. Belsky and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Property of Stocks and Wealth Effects on Consumption

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Property of Stocks and Wealth Effects on Consumption by : Ricardo M. Sousa

Download or read book Property of Stocks and Wealth Effects on Consumption written by Ricardo M. Sousa and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent fluctuations of financial markets, especially, stock markets fluctuations, have revived the interest concerning the dynamics of real economic activity, namely, of private consumption. In this work, the role of stock market as a determinant of private consumption is analyzed, namely, by the consideration of wealth effects. It is also analyzed the potential differences of these effects originated by different categories of property of stocks (direct versus indirect property). Using a sample for the U. S. economy, in the period 1952:Q1 - 2001:Q4, several long-run relationships were estimated, suggesting that wealth effects associated to direct property are about 3.5 times superior to those associated to indirect property. Short-run dynamics is analyzed with the estimation of a single equation, suggesting that consumption contemporaneously answers to changes in income and in wealth and that the adjustment to long-run component is very slow, which constitutes an indicator that consumers gradually change their behaviors, possibly, due to habit formation. There is also evidence supporting the presence of the indirect channel of wealth effect.

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484370066
Total Pages : 69 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth by : Andreas Fagereng

Download or read book Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth written by Andreas Fagereng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-27 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel results. First, during our sample period individuals earn markedly different average returns on their financial assets (a standard deviation of 14%) and on their net worth (a standard deviation of 8%). Second, heterogeneity in returns does not arise merely from differences in the allocation of wealth between safe and risky assets: returns are heterogeneous even within asset classes. Third, returns are positively correlated with wealth: moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the financial wealth distribution increases the return by 3 percentage points - and by 17 percentage points when the same exercise is performed for the return to net worth. Fourth, wealth returns exhibit substantial persistence over time. We argue that while this persistence partly reflects stable differences in risk exposure and assets scale, it also reflects persistent heterogeneity in sophistication and financial information, as well as entrepreneurial talent. Finally, wealth returns are (mildly) correlated across generations. We discuss the implications of these findings for several strands of the wealth inequality debate.

Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia by : Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Download or read book Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia written by Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a model with housing collateral, the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth shifts the conditional disibution of asset prices and consumption growth. A decrease in house prices reduces the collateral value of housing, increases household exposure to idiosyncratic risk, and increases the conditional market price of risk. Using aggregate data for the US, we find that a decrease in the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth predicts higher returns on stocks. Conditional on this ratio, the covariance of returns with aggregate risk factors explains eighty percent of the cross-sectional variation in annual size and book-to-market portfolio returns.

Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (12 download)

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Book Synopsis Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia by : Hanno Lustig

Download or read book Housing Collateral, Consumption Insurance and Risk Premia written by Hanno Lustig and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a model with housing collateral, the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth shifts the conditional distribution of asset prices and consumption growth. A decrease in house prices reduces the collateral value of housing, increases household exposure to idiosyncratic risk, and increases the conditional market price of risk. Using aggregate data for the US, we find that a decrease in the ratio of housing wealth to human wealth predicts higher returns on stocks. Conditional on this ratio, the covariance of returns with aggregate risk factors explains eighty percent of the cross-sectional variation in annual size and book-to-market portfolio returns. A data appendix for this paper is a href="http://www.nber.org/data-appendix/w99 59"available/a href.