Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures by : Scott Ferson

Download or read book Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures written by Scott Ferson and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report summarizes a variety of the most useful and commonly applied methods for obtaining Dempster-Shafer structures, and their mathematical kin probability boxes, from empirical information or theoretical knowledge. The report includes a review of the aggregation methods for handling agreement and conflict when multiple such objects are obtained from different sources.

Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory by : Kari Sentz

Download or read book Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory written by Kari Sentz and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dempster-Shafer theory offers an alternative to traditional probabilistic theory for the mathematical representation of uncertainty. The significant innovation of this framework is that it allows for the allocation of a probability mass to sets or intervals. Dempster-Shafer theory does not require an assumption regarding the probability of the individual constituents of the set or interval. This is a potentially valuable tool for the evaluation of risk and reliability in engineering applications when it is not possible to obtain a precise measurement from experiments, or when knowledge is obtained from expert elicitation. An important aspect of this theory is the combination of evidence obtained from multiple sources and the modeling of conflict between them. This report surveys a number of possible combination rules for Dempster-Shafer structures and provides examples of the implementation of these rules for discrete and interval-valued data.

The Geometry of Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030631532
Total Pages : 850 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis The Geometry of Uncertainty by : Fabio Cuzzolin

Download or read book The Geometry of Uncertainty written by Fabio Cuzzolin and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-12-17 with total page 850 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The principal aim of this book is to introduce to the widest possible audience an original view of belief calculus and uncertainty theory. In this geometric approach to uncertainty, uncertainty measures can be seen as points of a suitably complex geometric space, and manipulated in that space, for example, combined or conditioned. In the chapters in Part I, Theories of Uncertainty, the author offers an extensive recapitulation of the state of the art in the mathematics of uncertainty. This part of the book contains the most comprehensive summary to date of the whole of belief theory, with Chap. 4 outlining for the first time, and in a logical order, all the steps of the reasoning chain associated with modelling uncertainty using belief functions, in an attempt to provide a self-contained manual for the working scientist. In addition, the book proposes in Chap. 5 what is possibly the most detailed compendium available of all theories of uncertainty. Part II, The Geometry of Uncertainty, is the core of this book, as it introduces the author’s own geometric approach to uncertainty theory, starting with the geometry of belief functions: Chap. 7 studies the geometry of the space of belief functions, or belief space, both in terms of a simplex and in terms of its recursive bundle structure; Chap. 8 extends the analysis to Dempster’s rule of combination, introducing the notion of a conditional subspace and outlining a simple geometric construction for Dempster’s sum; Chap. 9 delves into the combinatorial properties of plausibility and commonality functions, as equivalent representations of the evidence carried by a belief function; then Chap. 10 starts extending the applicability of the geometric approach to other uncertainty measures, focusing in particular on possibility measures (consonant belief functions) and the related notion of a consistent belief function. The chapters in Part III, Geometric Interplays, are concerned with the interplay of uncertainty measures of different kinds, and the geometry of their relationship, with a particular focus on the approximation problem. Part IV, Geometric Reasoning, examines the application of the geometric approach to the various elements of the reasoning chain illustrated in Chap. 4, in particular conditioning and decision making. Part V concludes the book by outlining a future, complete statistical theory of random sets, future extensions of the geometric approach, and identifying high-impact applications to climate change, machine learning and artificial intelligence. The book is suitable for researchers in artificial intelligence, statistics, and applied science engaged with theories of uncertainty. The book is supported with the most comprehensive bibliography on belief and uncertainty theory.

Safety, Reliability, Risk and Life-Cycle Performance of Structures and Infrastructures

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1315884887
Total Pages : 1112 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (158 download)

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Book Synopsis Safety, Reliability, Risk and Life-Cycle Performance of Structures and Infrastructures by : George Deodatis

Download or read book Safety, Reliability, Risk and Life-Cycle Performance of Structures and Infrastructures written by George Deodatis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2014-02-10 with total page 1112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Safety, Reliability, Risk and Life-Cycle Performance of Structures and Infrastructures contains the plenary lectures and papers presented at the 11th International Conference on STRUCTURAL SAFETY AND RELIABILITY (ICOSSAR2013, New York, NY, USA, 16-20 June 2013), and covers major aspects of safety, reliability, risk and life-cycle performance of str

Optimization Under Uncertainty with Applications to Aerospace Engineering

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030601668
Total Pages : 573 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimization Under Uncertainty with Applications to Aerospace Engineering by : Massimiliano Vasile

Download or read book Optimization Under Uncertainty with Applications to Aerospace Engineering written by Massimiliano Vasile and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-02-15 with total page 573 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In an expanding world with limited resources, optimization and uncertainty quantification have become a necessity when handling complex systems and processes. This book provides the foundational material necessary for those who wish to embark on advanced research at the limits of computability, collecting together lecture material from leading experts across the topics of optimization, uncertainty quantification and aerospace engineering. The aerospace sector in particular has stringent performance requirements on highly complex systems, for which solutions are expected to be optimal and reliable at the same time. The text covers a wide range of techniques and methods, from polynomial chaos expansions for uncertainty quantification to Bayesian and Imprecise Probability theories, and from Markov chains to surrogate models based on Gaussian processes. The book will serve as a valuable tool for practitioners, researchers and PhD students.

Advanced Fuzzy Logic Approaches in Engineering Science

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Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1522557105
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (225 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Fuzzy Logic Approaches in Engineering Science by : Ram, Mangey

Download or read book Advanced Fuzzy Logic Approaches in Engineering Science written by Ram, Mangey and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2018-09-14 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fuzzy logic techniques have had extraordinary growth in various engineering systems. The developments in engineering sciences have caused apprehension in modern years due to high-tech industrial processes with ever-increasing levels of complexity. Advanced Fuzzy Logic Approaches in Engineering Science provides innovative insights into a comprehensive range of soft fuzzy logic techniques applied in various fields of engineering problems like fuzzy sets theory, adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system, and hybrid fuzzy logic genetic algorithms belief networks in industrial and engineering settings. The content within this publication represents the work of particle swarms, fuzzy computing, and rough sets. It is a vital reference source for engineers, research scientists, academicians, and graduate-level students seeking coverage on topics centered on the applications of fuzzy logic in high-tech industrial processes.

Hydro-Environmental Analysis

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1138000868
Total Pages : 5742 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Hydro-Environmental Analysis by : James L. Martin

Download or read book Hydro-Environmental Analysis written by James L. Martin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-12-04 with total page 5742 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing on fundamental principles, Hydro-Environmental Analysis: Freshwater Environments presents in-depth information about freshwater environments and how they are influenced by regulation. It provides a holistic approach, exploring the factors that impact water quality and quantity, and the regulations, policy and management methods that are necessary to maintain this vital resource. It offers a historical viewpoint as well as an overview and foundation of the physical, chemical, and biological characteristics affecting the management of freshwater environments. The book concentrates on broad and general concepts, providing an interdisciplinary foundation. The author covers the methods of measurement and classification; chemical, physical, and biological characteristics; indicators of ecological health; and management and restoration. He also considers common indicators of environmental health; characteristics and operations of regulatory control structures; applicable laws and regulations; and restoration methods. The text delves into rivers and streams in the first half and lakes and reservoirs in the second half. Each section centers on the characteristics of those systems and methods of classification, and then moves on to discuss the physical, chemical, and biological characteristics of each. In the section on lakes and reservoirs, it examines the characteristics and operations of regulatory structures, and presents the methods commonly used to assess the environmental health or integrity of these water bodies. It also introduces considerations for restoration, and presents two unique aquatic environments: wetlands and reservoir tailwaters. Written from an engineering perspective, the book is an ideal introduction to the aquatic and limnological sciences for students of environmental science, as well as students of environmental engineering. It also serves as a reference for engineers and scientists involved in the management, regulation, or restoration of freshwater environments.

Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319405969
Total Pages : 738 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems by : Joao Paulo Carvalho

Download or read book Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems written by Joao Paulo Carvalho and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-10 with total page 738 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This two volume set (CCIS 610 and 611) constitute the proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, IPMU 2016, held in Eindhoven, The Netherlands, in June 2016. The 127 revised full papers presented together with four invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on fuzzy measures and integrals; uncertainty quantification with imprecise probability; textual data processing; belief functions theory and its applications; graphical models; fuzzy implications functions; applications in medicine and bioinformatics; real-world applications; soft computing for image processing; clustering; fuzzy logic, formal concept analysis and rough sets; graded and many-valued modal logics; imperfect databases; multiple criteria decision methods; argumentation and belief revision; databases and information systems; conceptual aspects of data aggregation and complex data fusion; fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic; decision support; comparison measures; machine learning; social data processing; temporal data processing; aggregation.

Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3642326773
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing by : Andrew Dienstfrey

Download or read book Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing written by Andrew Dienstfrey and published by Springer. This book was released on 2012-08-11 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed post-proceedings of the 10th IFIP WG 2.5 Working Conference on Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing, WoCoUQ 2011, held in Boulder, CO, USA, in August 2011. The 24 revised papers were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. They are organized in the following topical sections: UQ need: risk, policy, and decision making, UQ theory, UQ tools, UQ practice, and hot topics. The papers are followed by the records of the discussions between the participants and the speaker.

Soft Methods for Data Science

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319429728
Total Pages : 535 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Soft Methods for Data Science by : Maria Brigida Ferraro

Download or read book Soft Methods for Data Science written by Maria Brigida Ferraro and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-08-30 with total page 535 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings volume is a collection of peer reviewed papers presented at the 8th International Conference on Soft Methods in Probability and Statistics (SMPS 2016) held in Rome (Italy). The book is dedicated to Data science which aims at developing automated methods to analyze massive amounts of data and to extract knowledge from them. It shows how Data science employs various programming techniques and methods of data wrangling, data visualization, machine learning, probability and statistics. The soft methods proposed in this volume represent a collection of tools in these fields that can also be useful for data science.

Product Research

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9048128609
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Product Research by : N. R. Srinivasa Raghavan

Download or read book Product Research written by N. R. Srinivasa Raghavan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-03-11 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 7. 1. 1 Background Uncertainty can be considered as the lack of adequate information to make a decision. It is important to quantify uncertainties in mathematical models used for design and optimization of nondeterministic engineering systems. In general, - certainty can be broadly classi?ed into three types (Bae et al. 2004; Ha-Rok 2004; Klir and Wierman 1998; Oberkampf and Helton 2002; Sentz 2002). The ?rst one is aleatory uncertainty (also referred to as stochastic uncertainty or inherent - certainty) – it results from the fact that a system can behave in random ways. For example, the failure of an engine can be modeled as an aleatory uncertaintybecause the failure can occur at a random time. One cannot predict exactly when the engine will fail even if a large quantity of failure data is gathered (available). The second one is epistemic uncertainty (also known as subjective uncertainty or reducible - certainty) – it is the uncertainty of the outcome of some random event due to lack of knowledge or information in any phase or activity of the modeling process. By gaining information about the system or environmental factors, one can reduce the epistemic uncertainty. For example, a lack of experimental data to characterize new materials and processes leads to epistemic uncertainty.

Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Structures and Infrastructure

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 100041809X
Total Pages : 597 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Structures and Infrastructure by : Ehsan Noroozinejad Farsangi

Download or read book Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Structures and Infrastructure written by Ehsan Noroozinejad Farsangi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-09-27 with total page 597 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Increasing demand on improving the resiliency of modern structures and infrastructure requires ever more critical and complex designs. Therefore, the need for accurate and efficient approaches to assess uncertainties in loads, geometry, material properties, manufacturing processes, and operational environments has increased significantly. Reliability-based techniques help develop more accurate initial guidance for robust design and help to identify the sources of significant uncertainty in structural systems. Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Structures and Infrastructure presents an overview of the methods of classical reliability analysis and design most associated with structural reliability. It also introduces more modern methods and advancements, and emphasizes the most useful methods and techniques used in reliability and risk studies, while elaborating their practical applications and limitations rather than detailed derivations. Features: Provides a practical and comprehensive overview of reliability and risk analysis and design techniques. Introduces resilient and smart structures/infrastructure that will lead to more reliable and sustainable societies. Considers loss elimination, risk management and life-cycle asset management as related to infrastructure projects. Introduces probability theory, statistical methods, and reliability analysis methods. Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Structures and Infrastructure is suitable for researchers and practicing engineers, as well as upper-level students taking related courses in structural reliability analysis and design.

Foundational and Practical Aspects of Resource Analysis

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319465597
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Foundational and Practical Aspects of Resource Analysis by : Marko van Eekelen

Download or read book Foundational and Practical Aspects of Resource Analysis written by Marko van Eekelen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-24 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the proceedings of the 4th International Workshop on Foundational and Practical Aspects of Resource Analysis, FOPARA 2015, held in London, UK, in April 2015. The 6 papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 7 submissions.

Uncertainty in Engineering

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030836401
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Engineering by : Louis J. M. Aslett

Download or read book Uncertainty in Engineering written by Louis J. M. Aslett and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book provides an introduction to uncertainty quantification in engineering. Starting with preliminaries on Bayesian statistics and Monte Carlo methods, followed by material on imprecise probabilities, it then focuses on reliability theory and simulation methods for complex systems. The final two chapters discuss various aspects of aerospace engineering, considering stochastic model updating from an imprecise Bayesian perspective, and uncertainty quantification for aerospace flight modelling. Written by experts in the subject, and based on lectures given at the Second Training School of the European Research and Training Network UTOPIAE (Uncertainty Treatment and Optimization in Aerospace Engineering), which took place at Durham University (United Kingdom) from 2 to 6 July 2018, the book offers an essential resource for students as well as scientists and practitioners.

Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540752552
Total Pages : 926 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty by : Khaled Mellouli

Download or read book Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty written by Khaled Mellouli and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-21 with total page 926 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 9th European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty, ECSQARU 2007, held in Hammammet, Tunisia, Oktober 31 - November 2, 2007. The 78 revised full papers presented together with 3 invited papers were carefully reviewed and selected from over hundret submissions for inclusion in the book. The papers are organized in topical sections on Bayesian networks, graphical models, learning causal networks, planning, causality and independence, preference modelling and decision, argumentation systems, inconsistency handling, belief revision and merging, belief functions, fuzzy models, many-valued logical systems, uncertainty logics, probabilistic reasoning, reasoning models under uncertainty, uncertainty measures, probabilistic classifiers, classification and clustering, and industrial applications.

Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642221513
Total Pages : 775 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty by : Weiru Liu

Download or read book Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty written by Weiru Liu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-06-24 with total page 775 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Symbolic and Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning with Uncertainty, ECSQARU 2011, held in Belfast, UK, in June/July 2011. The 60 revised full papers presented together with 3 invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from 108 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on argumentation; Bayesian networks and causal networks; belief functions; belief revision and inconsistency handling; classification and clustering; default reasoning and logics for reasoning under uncertainty; foundations of reasoning and decision making under uncertainty; fuzzy sets and fuzzy logic; implementation and applications of uncertain systems; possibility theory and possibilistic logic; and uncertainty in databases.

Flexible and Generalized Uncertainty Optimization

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030611809
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (36 download)

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Book Synopsis Flexible and Generalized Uncertainty Optimization by : Weldon A. Lodwick

Download or read book Flexible and Generalized Uncertainty Optimization written by Weldon A. Lodwick and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-01-12 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents the theory and methods of flexible and generalized uncertainty optimization. Particularly, it describes the theory of generalized uncertainty in the context of optimization modeling. The book starts with an overview of flexible and generalized uncertainty optimization. It covers uncertainties that are both associated with lack of information and are more general than stochastic theory, where well-defined distributions are assumed. Starting from families of distributions that are enclosed by upper and lower functions, the book presents construction methods for obtaining flexible and generalized uncertainty input data that can be used in a flexible and generalized uncertainty optimization model. It then describes the development of the associated optimization model in detail. Written for graduate students and professionals in the broad field of optimization and operations research, this second edition has been revised and extended to include more worked examples and a section on interval multi-objective mini-max regret theory along with its solution method.