Co Movement Of Major Commodity Price Returns

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Co-movement of major commodity price returns: A time-series assessment

Author : de Nicola, Francesca
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Co-movement of major commodity price returns: A time-series assessment by : de Nicola, Francesca

Download or read book Co-movement of major commodity price returns: A time-series assessment written by de Nicola, Francesca and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2014-06-13 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the degree of co-movement among the nominal price returns of 11 major energy, agricultural, and food commodities using monthly data between 1970 and 2013. The authors study the extent and the time evolution of unconditional and conditional correlations using a uniform-spacings testing approach, a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation model and a rolling regression procedure.

Co-Movement of Major Commodity Price Returns

Author : Francesca de Nicola
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Co-Movement of Major Commodity Price Returns by : Francesca de Nicola

Download or read book Co-Movement of Major Commodity Price Returns written by Francesca de Nicola and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the degree of co-movement among the nominal price returns of 11 major energy, agricultural and food commodities based on monthly data between 1970 and 2013. A uniform-spacings testing approach, a multivariate dynamic conditional correlation model and a rolling regression procedure are used to study the extent and the time-evolution of unconditional and conditional correlations. The results indicate that (i) the price returns of energy and agricultural commodities are highly correlated; (ii) the overall level of co-movement among commodities increased in recent years, especially between energy and agricultural commodities and in particular in the cases of maize and soybean oil, which are important inputs in the production of biofuels; and (iii) particularly after 2007, stock market volatility is positively associated with the co-movement of price returns across markets.

Commodities

Author : M. A. H. Dempster
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498712339
Total Pages : 703 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodities by : M. A. H. Dempster

Download or read book Commodities written by M. A. H. Dempster and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-11-05 with total page 703 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since a major source of income for many countries comes from exporting commodities, price discovery and information transmission between commodity futures markets are key issues for continued economic development. This book covers the fundamental theory of and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets as well as the interaction between commodity prices, the real economy, and other financial markets. After an extensive theoretical and practical introduction, the book is divided into four parts: Oil Products – considers the structural changes in the demand and supply for hedging services that are increasingly determining the price of oil Other Commodities – examines markets related to agricultural commodities, including natural gas, wine, soybeans, corn, gold, silver, copper, and other metals Commodity Prices and Financial Markets – investigates the contemporary aspects of the financialization of commodities, including stocks, bonds, futures, currency markets, index products, and exchange traded funds Electricity Markets – supplies an overview of the current and future modelling of electricity markets With contributions from well-known academics and practitioners, this volume includes coverage of the fundamental theory of futures/forwards and derivatives pricing for major commodity markets. The contributions to Sections I and II of this volume, which treat storable or agricultural commodities, take speculation into account through a consideration of markets over time being either in backwardation or contango. Up-to-date considerations of both trading and investment are included in Sections I, II, and III. The book also reviews the effects of urbanization and the expanding middle-class population on commodities.

The Comovement in Commodity Prices

Author : Mr.Ron Alquist
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484378148
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Comovement in Commodity Prices by : Mr.Ron Alquist

Download or read book The Comovement in Commodity Prices written by Mr.Ron Alquist and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-05 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a simple macroeconomic model with a continuum of primary commodities used in the production of the final good, such that the real prices of commodities have a factor structure. One factor captures the combined contribution of all aggregate shocks which have no direct effects on commodity markets other than through general equilibrium effects on output, while other factors represent direct commodity shocks. Thus, the factor structure provides a decomposition of underlying structural shocks. The theory also provides guidance on how empirical factors can be rotated to identify the structural factors. We apply factor analysis and the identification conditions implied by the model to a cross-section of real non-energy commodity prices. The theoretical restrictions implied by the model are consistent with the data and thus yield a structural interpretation of the common factors in commodity prices. The analysis suggests that commodity-related shocks have generally played a limited role in global business cycle fluctuations.

The Influence of Commodity Speculation on Commodity Price Development

Author : Nicolas Schreiber
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3668261016
Total Pages : 63 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (682 download)

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Book Synopsis The Influence of Commodity Speculation on Commodity Price Development by : Nicolas Schreiber

Download or read book The Influence of Commodity Speculation on Commodity Price Development written by Nicolas Schreiber and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2016-07-15 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bachelorarbeit aus dem Jahr 2014 im Fachbereich BWL - Bank, Börse, Versicherung, Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: Commodity prices have been rising significantly since the early 2000s with price growth reaching its fastest pace between 2006 and 2008. While nearly all commodities were hit by the aforementioned price spikes, price spikes where particularly pronounced for mineral commodities. For the most part of recent research two different approaches are applied to measure the impact of speculation on price development. The first one examines if there is any change in commodity price development due to the aforementioned increased financialization of commodity markets, whereas the second one compares the behavior of commodity prices with and without an existing futures market. This thesis combines both approaches and tests the hypotheses that either the first-time introduction of derivatives or the introductions of regulatory governmental acts that facilitate speculative index investment in commodities have significant effects on commodity price development by the example of copper traded on US-based exchanges. For this purpose, relevant copper price characteristics will be analyzed before and after possibly speculation-conducive events (i.e. the introduction of copper futures trading and two selected acts) for the period from 1971 to 2010. Furthermore, following Tang and Xiong (2012), this thesis examines if the introduction of governmental acts of the aforementioned type induces an increased market integration of non-energy commodity markets. This is of particular interest as market integration can at times induce increased volatility spillovers between the respective markets (Tang & Xiong, 2012). The first part of this work gives a short overview of the technical background necessary to understand the relationship between commodity prices and speculation. The second part provides a general review of related literature and research on the relationship between commodity prices and speculation. The third part focuses on the methodology of the empirical analysis. The fourth part of this work presents the results and is followed by the conclusion in part five.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Author : Craig Pirrong
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139501976
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong

Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

A Study On Volatility And Co-Movement Of Selected Sectoral Indices Of National Stock Exchange Of India

Author : Dr GangineniDhanaiah
Publisher : Archers & Elevators Publishing House
ISBN 13 : 9386501899
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (865 download)

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Book Synopsis A Study On Volatility And Co-Movement Of Selected Sectoral Indices Of National Stock Exchange Of India by : Dr GangineniDhanaiah

Download or read book A Study On Volatility And Co-Movement Of Selected Sectoral Indices Of National Stock Exchange Of India written by Dr GangineniDhanaiah and published by Archers & Elevators Publishing House. This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy

Author : Matthias Kalkuhl
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319282018
Total Pages : 626 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy by : Matthias Kalkuhl

Download or read book Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.

The Internationalization of Equity Markets

Author : Jeffrey A. Frankel
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226260216
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis The Internationalization of Equity Markets by : Jeffrey A. Frankel

Download or read book The Internationalization of Equity Markets written by Jeffrey A. Frankel and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume addresses three important recent trends in the internationalization of United States equity markets: extensive market integration through foreign investment and links among stock prices around the world; increasing securitization as countries such as Japan come to rely more than ever before on markets in equities and bonds at the expense of banks; and the opening of national financial systems of newly industrializing countries to international financial flows and institutions, as governments remove capital controls and other barriers. Eight essays examine such issues as the current extent of international market integration, gains to U.S. investors through international diversification, home-country bias in investing, the role of time and location around the world in stock trading, and the behavior of country funds. Other, long-standing questions about equity markets are also addressed, including market efficiency and the accuracy of models of expected returns, with a particular focus on variances, covariances, and the price of risk according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model.

The Handbook of Energy Policy

Author : Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811967784
Total Pages : 970 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of Energy Policy by : Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary

Download or read book The Handbook of Energy Policy written by Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-29 with total page 970 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Energy Policy is a unique and novel reference for addressing the policy implications of energy demand and supply from their economic, political, social, planning, and environmental aspects. The Handbook of Energy Policy provides several studies from the global, regional, national, or local perspectives that are of wider policy significance. Studies provided in this book are of interest to the international organizations, governments, public and private sector entities, local communities, universities, research institutions, and other non-governmental organizations. Topics covered in the Handbook of Energy Policy are including energy security, energy poverty, energy finance, energy pricing, energy and environment, energy and sustainability, energy and growth, energy efficiency, energy trade, technological innovation and energy, energy transition, energy nexus studies, economics, and policy of fossil fuels, economics, and policy of renewable and green energies. The policy recommendations provided in all chapters are supported by a rigorous empirical or theoretical analysis.

Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World

Author : Yishay Yafeh
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455218952
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World by : Yishay Yafeh

Download or read book Additions to Market Indices and the Comovement of Stock Returns Around the World written by Yishay Yafeh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using newly-constructed data covering the last decade, we document that, in most of forty markets, when added to the main index, firms’ returns experience an increase in comovement with the rest of the index, reflected in higher beta and greater explanatory power of the market return. Stock turnover and analyst coverage also typically increase upon inclusion. Using various tests, we find the demand-based view of comovement (the category/habitat theories of Barberis, Shleifer and Wurgler, 2005) to provide a good explanation for many of our findings. Some results, though, suggest that information-related factors are also important in explaining the increased comovement.

World Economic Outlook, April 2012

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475507038
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2012 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-04-17 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The April 2012 issue of the World Economic Outlook assesses the prospects for the global economy, which has gradually strengthened after a major setback during 2011. The threat of a sharp global slowdown eased with improved activity in the United States and better policies in the euro area. Weak recovery will likely resume in the major advanced economies, and activity will remain relatively solid in most emerging and developing economies. However, recent improvements are very fragile. Policymakers must calibrate policies to support growth in the near term and must implement fundamental changes to achieve healthy growth in the medium term. Chapter 3 examines how policies directed at real estate markets can accelerate the improvement of household balance sheets and thus support otherwise anemic consumption. Chapter 4 examines how swings in commodity prices affect commodity-exporting economies, many of which have experienced a decade of good growth. With commodity prices unlikely to continue growing at the recent elevated pace, however, these economies may have to adapt their fiscal and other policies to lower potential output growth in the future.

Dynamic Factor Models

Author : Jörg Breitung
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Factor Models by : Jörg Breitung

Download or read book Dynamic Factor Models written by Jörg Breitung and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Factor models can cope with many variables without running into scarce degrees of freedom.

Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops

Author : Gardebroek, Cornelis
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops by : Gardebroek, Cornelis

Download or read book Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops written by Gardebroek, Cornelis and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of volatility between the corn, wheat, and soybean markets in the United States. Volatility interactions across markets, if they exist, may lower the effectiveness of diversification strategies to mitigate price risks and should be taken into account when analyzing the pricing behavior of different agricultural commodities. We follow a Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) approach to evaluate the level of interdependence and volatility transmission across these major crops on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis.

Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics

Author : Seungho Jung
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1557759677
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics by : Seungho Jung

Download or read book Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics written by Seungho Jung and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-22 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.

Contemporary Issues in Business, Economics and Finance

Author : Simon Grima
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1839096047
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Contemporary Issues in Business, Economics and Finance by : Simon Grima

Download or read book Contemporary Issues in Business, Economics and Finance written by Simon Grima and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-02 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contemporary Studies in Economic and Financial Analysis (CSEF 104) dedicates 16 chapters in articles and studies on Contemporary Issues of Business Economics and Finance. Authors contributed from the International Applied Social Science Congress, held in Turkey.

Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation

Author : Samya Beidas-Strom
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498333486
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation by : Samya Beidas-Strom

Download or read book Oil Price Volatility and the Role of Speculation written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.