Climate Change And Agriculture In The Sudan Impact Pathways Beyond Changes In Mean Rainfall And Temperature

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Climate change and agriculture in the Sudan: Impact pathways beyond changes in mean rainfall and temperature

Author : Siddig, Khalid
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Climate change and agriculture in the Sudan: Impact pathways beyond changes in mean rainfall and temperature by : Siddig, Khalid

Download or read book Climate change and agriculture in the Sudan: Impact pathways beyond changes in mean rainfall and temperature written by Siddig, Khalid and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2018-09-26 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several environmental changes have occurred in the Sudan in the past; several are ongoing; and others are projected to happen in the future. The Sudan has witnessed increases in temperature, floods, rainfall variability, and concurrent droughts. In a country where agriculture, which is mainly rainfed, is a major contributor to gross domestic product, foreign exchange earnings, and livelihoods, these changes are especially important, requiring measurement and analysis of their impact. This study not only analyzes the economy-wide impacts of climate change, but also consults national policy plans, strategies, and environmental assessments to identify interventions which may mitigate the effects. We feed climate forcing, water demand, and macro-socioeconomic trends into a modelling suite that includes models for global hydrology, river basin management, water stress, and crop growth, all connected to the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT). The outcomes of this part of the modeling suite are annual crop yields and global food prices under various climate change scenarios until 2050. The effects of such changes on production, consumption, macroeconomic indicators, and income distribution are assessed using a single country dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model for the Sudan. Additionally, we introduce yield variability into the CGE model based on stochastic projections of crop yields until 2050. The results of the model simulations reveal that, while the projected mean climate changes bring some good news for the Sudan, extreme negative variability costs the Sudan cumulatively between 2018 and 2050 US$ 109.5 billion in total absorption and US$ 105.5 billion in GDP relative to a historical mean climate scenario without climate change.

Extreme Hydrology and Climate Variability

Author : Assefa Melesse
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128159995
Total Pages : 584 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Extreme Hydrology and Climate Variability by : Assefa Melesse

Download or read book Extreme Hydrology and Climate Variability written by Assefa Melesse and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-07-03 with total page 584 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Extreme Hydrology and Climate Variability: Monitoring, Modelling, Adaptation and Mitigation is a compilation of contributions by experts from around the world who discuss extreme hydrology topics, from monitoring, to modeling and management. With extreme climatic and hydrologic events becoming so frequent, this book is a critical source, adding knowledge to the science of extreme hydrology. Topics covered include hydrometeorology monitoring, climate variability and trends, hydrological variability and trends, landscape dynamics, droughts, flood processes, and extreme events management, adaptation and mitigation. Each of the book's chapters provide background and theoretical foundations followed by approaches used and results of the applied studies. This book will be highly used by water resource managers and extreme event researchers who are interested in understanding the processes and teleconnectivity of large-scale climate dynamics and extreme events, predictability, simulation and intervention measures. - Presents datasets used and methods followed to support the findings included, allowing readers to follow these steps in their own research - Provides variable methodological approaches, thus giving the reader multiple hydrological modeling information to use in their work - Includes a variety of case studies, thus making the context of the book relatable to everyday working situations for those studying extreme hydrology - Discusses extreme event management, including adaption and mitigation

The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture

Author : David Maddison
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture by : David Maddison

Download or read book The Impact of Climate Change on African Agriculture written by David Maddison and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: This paper uses the Ricardian approach to examine how farmers in 11 countries in Africa have adapted to existing climatic conditions. It then estimates the effects of predicted changes in climate while accounting for whatever farmer adaptation might occur. This study differs from earlier ones by using farmers' own perceptions of the value of their land. Previous research, by contrast, has relied on either observed sale prices or net revenues, sometimes aggregated over geographically large tracts of terrain. The study also makes use of high resolution data describing soil quality and runoff. Furthermore, it tackles the challenges involved in modeling the effect of climate on agriculture in a study that includes countries in the northern and southern hemispheres, as well as the tropics. The study confirms that African agriculture is particularly vulnerable to climate change. Even with perfect adaptation, regional climate change by 2050 is predicted to entail production losses of 19.9 percent for Burkina Faso and 30.5 percent for Niger. By contrast, countries such as Ethiopia and South Africa are hardly affected at all, suffering productivity losses of only 1.3 percent and 3 percent, respectively. The study also confirms the importance of water supplies as measured by runoff, which, being affected by both temperature and precipitation, may itself be highly sensitive to climate change.

Climate change and agriculture in eastern and southern Africa: An updated assessment based on the latest global climate models

Author : Thomas, Timothy S.
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 97 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Climate change and agriculture in eastern and southern Africa: An updated assessment based on the latest global climate models by : Thomas, Timothy S.

Download or read book Climate change and agriculture in eastern and southern Africa: An updated assessment based on the latest global climate models written by Thomas, Timothy S. and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2024-02-27 with total page 97 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we present analysis on the recent historical trend in agriculture in the Eastern and Southern Africa (ESA) region, along with analysis of recent historical trends in temperature and precipitation. We also present 5 climate models and describe the possible future climates associated with these. We use these climate models with crop models -- for seven crops -- and bioeconomic models to further assess the impact on agricultural productivity throughout the region and how the agricultural sector will transform through 2050. While we evaluate seven crops in detail, we note the key role that maize plays for the region, and we assess -- considering the regional and global impact of climate change -- how the role of maize will change over time and whether the change will be rapid enough to shift regional agriculture into a more vibrant sector. We find that while the relative importance of maize to farmers in the region will decline, out to 2050 maize will remain the dominant crop. Additional policies and investments will need to be implemented if the goal is to hasten the transition to higher value or more nutritious crops.

The architecture of the Sudanese agricultural sector and its contribution to the economy between 1990 and 2021

Author : Alhelo, Alzaki
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The architecture of the Sudanese agricultural sector and its contribution to the economy between 1990 and 2021 by : Alhelo, Alzaki

Download or read book The architecture of the Sudanese agricultural sector and its contribution to the economy between 1990 and 2021 written by Alhelo, Alzaki and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2023-06-07 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper reviews the performance of the Sudanese agricultural sector over the last three decades (1990 through 2021) and examines the drivers of that performance. Key findings show that the sector’s contribution to gross domestic product was greater during the 1990–1999 period than during the other two decades; agricultural productivity as well was higher in that decade than in the subsequent two decades. The sector has remained a major source of employment and livelihood. During the last decade reviewed (2010–2021), the sector regained its leading position as a generator of foreign currency. Public investment in agriculture and government spending allocated to the sector were lower than in other countries in the region. Political elites have generally lacked commitment to development plans in the sector. Political developments in Sudan have disrupted more recent efforts to revitalize the sector. Climate change, as manifested in rising temperature, declining rainfall, and drought, is a substantial determinant currently affecting the sector. The paper discusses some broad recommendations for improving the performance of the Sudanese agricultural sector.

Climate Change, Water and Food Security

Author : Hugh Turral
Publisher : Fao
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change, Water and Food Security by : Hugh Turral

Download or read book Climate Change, Water and Food Security written by Hugh Turral and published by Fao. This book was released on 2011 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rural poor, who are the most vulnerable, are likely to be disproportionately affected.

Climate Change Impacts on Nigeria

Author : Johnbosco C. Egbueri
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031210077
Total Pages : 581 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change Impacts on Nigeria by : Johnbosco C. Egbueri

Download or read book Climate Change Impacts on Nigeria written by Johnbosco C. Egbueri and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-19 with total page 581 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the impacts of climate change on Nigeria. How climate change impacts the productivity and future development of different sectors in Nigeria was covered in this book. Various themes of the Nigerian economy, environment, and climate change were considered. Worthy of note are the impacts of climate change on the Nigerian air quality, surface and groundwater resources, watershed and natural resources’ development and planning, soil- quality, fertility, salinization, nutrients and cropping patterns. Also, the impact of climate change on land use/land cover, urbanization and strategic planning, crops and sustainable crop yield; land degradation, soil erosion, landslides and landscapes, rainfall trend patterns, drought vulnerability; ecology, vegetation/forest, carbon and biomass management of Nigeria were investigated. Finally, the problems of climate change in semi-arid and arid regions (with special emphasis on Nigeria) and possible solutions for sustainable development under the changing climate were discussed in this book. Advanced technologies, such as remote sensing, GIS, multivariate analytical tools, and machine learning techniques, were utilized in the exploration and analysis of the themes of this book. Thus, this book is a very important product for point of view researchers, scientists, NGOs, and university communities on the Nigerian climate change. This book is a useful interdisciplinary tool, cutting across various disciplines such as earth sciences, hydrology, environmental sciences, soil science, engineering, remote sensing, natural resources management, and public health management, etc.

Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Development Plans and Policies in Sudan

Author : Victor A. Orindi
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Development Plans and Policies in Sudan by : Victor A. Orindi

Download or read book Integrating Adaptation to Climate Change Into Development Plans and Policies in Sudan written by Victor A. Orindi and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Regional Impacts of Climate Change

Author : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521634557
Total Pages : 532 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (345 download)

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Book Synopsis The Regional Impacts of Climate Change by : Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II.

Download or read book The Regional Impacts of Climate Change written by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Working Group II. and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cambridge, UK : Cambridge University Press, 1998.

Historical Variability of Rainfall in the African East Sahel of Sudan

Author : John F. Hermance
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3319005758
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Historical Variability of Rainfall in the African East Sahel of Sudan by : John F. Hermance

Download or read book Historical Variability of Rainfall in the African East Sahel of Sudan written by John F. Hermance and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-09-03 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The northward migration of the African monsoon rains in summer, associated with the seasonal march of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) across the plains south of the Sahara, is the most critical asset for the livelihoods of indigenous peoples and local economies of the Sahel. It is essential that climate science (and its publicly available database) play a key role in characterizing the variabilities of these rainfall patterns in space and time if sustainable life styles are to accommodate the expanding populations of the region. This study turns to the East Sahel of Sudan by analyzing over 100 years of historical rainfall data from three of the few long term standard WMO rain gauge stations in substantially different rainfall settings. From north to south, transecting the Sahel, the stations with their annual rainfall are Khartoum (130 mm); Kassala (280 mm); and Gedaref (600 mm). The conclusions challenge a popular notion that changing climate, drought and desertification in the East Sahel may have already accelerated the deterioration of its water resources. However, any evidence of a persistent and coherent regional trend of diminishing rainfall is obscure. Quite the contrary, the evidence demonstrates that the fluctuations of climate and weather patterns over the ensuing decades of the past century - at all temporal scales from days to years to decades - profoundly overwhelm any suggestion of a large-scale, coherent decrease (or increase) in rainfall. The implication is that, it is not long term change, but the highly localized interseasonal, interannual and multiannual variability of rainfall that poses the greatest and most immediate societal threat from naturally-induced causes; a process constantly destabilizing an agrarian economy struggling to survive in a climate that irregularly vacillates between years of drought and years of flooding. While this report may have some interest for climate scientists, it is primarily directed to a general readership (including students in public policy and anthropology) concerned with the availability of water in the Sahel, particularly the long term sustainability of local small-scale farms and transhumant pastoralism.

Modeling the economywide effects of water and energy interventions in the face of climate change

Author : Aragie, Emerta
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling the economywide effects of water and energy interventions in the face of climate change by : Aragie, Emerta

Download or read book Modeling the economywide effects of water and energy interventions in the face of climate change written by Aragie, Emerta and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2024-01-16 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Ethiopian economy relies predominantly on rainfed agriculture for income generation, export earnings, and rural livelihoods. However, the frequency and intensity of extreme ago-climatic events projected by climate scenarios suggest considerable and growing risks from climate change to the country’s agri-food systems and the overall economy. This study assesses the economic impacts of recurrent climate shocks on the Ethiopian economy to 2040. The results indicate that recurrent climate shocks will lead to a reduction in Ethiopia's cumulative GDP from 2020 to 2040 compared to a “no climate change” baseline. Specifically, extreme weather events could cumulatively cost Ethiopia up to 17 percent (or US$ 534.3 billion) in GDP between 2020 and 2040 compared to a no-climate change baseline. The weight of the economic loss is concentrated in the agricultural production sector, with rural households and poorer households in urban areas being worst affected. Strategic investments in irrigation infrastructure and in hydroelectricity generation are found to be effective in mitigating some of the damage caused by recurrent climate variability.

Climate Change 2014

Author : Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291691432
Total Pages : 151 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (914 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change 2014 by : Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat

Download or read book Climate Change 2014 written by Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Food Security and Safety Volume 2

Author : Olubukola Oluranti Babalola
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031096142
Total Pages : 499 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Security and Safety Volume 2 by : Olubukola Oluranti Babalola

Download or read book Food Security and Safety Volume 2 written by Olubukola Oluranti Babalola and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-16 with total page 499 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sustainable food production is a global challenge with respect to climate change and an ever-increasing world population. Conventional crop production using agrochemicals presents human health and environmental challenges. Rising concerns about environmental sustainability have increased attention toward improved, efficient, and sustainable means of crop production. Various strategies are employed in enhancing crop production to adapt and mitigate climate change and ensure food security. The future of food production relies on improving productivity without compromising long-term productivity and environmental sustainability. Feeding the ever-increasing world population would require concerted efforts by all stakeholders to combat the impact of climate change and numerous ecological challenges facing food production. Hence, innovative technologies and methods are indispensable in mitigating the effects on food security. The book looks at the current challenges and solutions, from an African perspective, regarding food safety and health management, food security and nutrition, climate change and sustainable food production, and forest resources and food security. The target audience is scientists, graduate students, researchers, academicians, and professionals in food production for sustainable development and ecosystem management. This book will also be helpful to policymakers and specialists in framing future feasible agro-ecosystem policies.

Climate Change and Conflict Prevention

Author : J. Andrew Plowman
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781523630097
Total Pages : 172 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Conflict Prevention by : J. Andrew Plowman

Download or read book Climate Change and Conflict Prevention written by J. Andrew Plowman and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-01-22 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In "Climate Change and Conflict Prevention: Lessons from Darfur," J. Andrew Plowman uses the Darfur conflict as a case study to examine how the effects of climate change might lead to future violent conflicts, and assesses the best way to prevent these conflicts. In his research, Plowman reviews the environmental security literature and applies events from Darfur to climate change models. This research suggests that climate change is likely to increase the potential for intrastate and communal conflicts, as populations adjust to changes in the environmental systems that support their livelihoods. Ultimately, Plowman's examination of the Darfur conflict recommends a focus on structural conflict prevention through building adaptability to climate change and through the strengthening of institutions, particularly in fragile states.

Research guide for water-energy-food nexus analysis

Author : Ringler, Claudia
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 13 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Research guide for water-energy-food nexus analysis by : Ringler, Claudia

Download or read book Research guide for water-energy-food nexus analysis written by Ringler, Claudia and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2018-12-03 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The project titled “The Water-Energy-Food Nexus: Global, Basin and Local Case Studies of Resource Use Efficiency under Growing Natural Resource Scarcity“ (2015-2018), which was supported by the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development, Germany, and was undertaken as part of the CGIAR Research Program on Water, Land and Ecosystems. The project set out to develop research methodologies and insights globally as well as for the Eastern Nile Technical Regional Organization (ENTRO) of the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) and Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan to support efforts for enhanced water, energy and food security and environmental sustainability. The toolkit describes both qualitative and quantitative methods that have been used in the research project. It is not meant to be an exhaustive list of information and tools related to the analysis of the water, energy and food (WEF) nexus. The overall focus of the tools has been on economic analysis of the linkages across water, energy and food--to complement other studies and method developments that focus on biophysical linkages across the WEF nexus. The toolkit is aimed, primarily, at researchers interested in the analysis of the water, energy and food nexus. However, the studies summarized here also provide insights for practitioners implementing Nexus projects.

Climate change and hunger: Responding to the challenge

Author : Martin Parry, Alex Evans, Mark W. Rosegrant, Tim Wheeler
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Climate change and hunger: Responding to the challenge by : Martin Parry, Alex Evans, Mark W. Rosegrant, Tim Wheeler

Download or read book Climate change and hunger: Responding to the challenge written by Martin Parry, Alex Evans, Mark W. Rosegrant, Tim Wheeler and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Shock Waves

Author : Stephane Hallegatte
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464806748
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Shock Waves by : Stephane Hallegatte

Download or read book Shock Waves written by Stephane Hallegatte and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2015-11-23 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ending poverty and stabilizing climate change will be two unprecedented global achievements and two major steps toward sustainable development. But the two objectives cannot be considered in isolation: they need to be jointly tackled through an integrated strategy. This report brings together those two objectives and explores how they can more easily be achieved if considered together. It examines the potential impact of climate change and climate policies on poverty reduction. It also provides guidance on how to create a “win-win†? situation so that climate change policies contribute to poverty reduction and poverty-reduction policies contribute to climate change mitigation and resilience building. The key finding of the report is that climate change represents a significant obstacle to the sustained eradication of poverty, but future impacts on poverty are determined by policy choices: rapid, inclusive, and climate-informed development can prevent most short-term impacts whereas immediate pro-poor, emissions-reduction policies can drastically limit long-term ones.