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Claim Prediction And Premium Pricing For Telematics Auto Insurance Data Using Poisson Regression With Lasso Regularisation
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Book Synopsis A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications by : Hans Bühlmann
Download or read book A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-13 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.
Download or read book Boosting written by Robert E. Schapire and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2014-01-10 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible introduction and essential reference for an approach to machine learning that creates highly accurate prediction rules by combining many weak and inaccurate ones. Boosting is an approach to machine learning based on the idea of creating a highly accurate predictor by combining many weak and inaccurate “rules of thumb.” A remarkably rich theory has evolved around boosting, with connections to a range of topics, including statistics, game theory, convex optimization, and information geometry. Boosting algorithms have also enjoyed practical success in such fields as biology, vision, and speech processing. At various times in its history, boosting has been perceived as mysterious, controversial, even paradoxical. This book, written by the inventors of the method, brings together, organizes, simplifies, and substantially extends two decades of research on boosting, presenting both theory and applications in a way that is accessible to readers from diverse backgrounds while also providing an authoritative reference for advanced researchers. With its introductory treatment of all material and its inclusion of exercises in every chapter, the book is appropriate for course use as well. The book begins with a general introduction to machine learning algorithms and their analysis; then explores the core theory of boosting, especially its ability to generalize; examines some of the myriad other theoretical viewpoints that help to explain and understand boosting; provides practical extensions of boosting for more complex learning problems; and finally presents a number of advanced theoretical topics. Numerous applications and practical illustrations are offered throughout.
Book Synopsis Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries I by : Michel Denuit
Download or read book Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries I written by Michel Denuit and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-09-03 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book summarizes the state of the art in generalized linear models (GLMs) and their various extensions: GAMs, mixed models and credibility, and some nonlinear variants (GNMs). In order to deal with tail events, analytical tools from Extreme Value Theory are presented. Going beyond mean modeling, it considers volatility modeling (double GLMs) and the general modeling of location, scale and shape parameters (GAMLSS). Actuaries need these advanced analytical tools to turn the massive data sets now at their disposal into opportunities. The exposition alternates between methodological aspects and case studies, providing numerical illustrations using the R statistical software. The technical prerequisites are kept at a reasonable level in order to reach a broad readership. This is the first of three volumes entitled Effective Statistical Learning Methods for Actuaries. Written by actuaries for actuaries, this series offers a comprehensive overview of insurance data analytics with applications to P&C, life and health insurance. Although closely related to the other two volumes, this volume can be read independently.
Book Synopsis Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models by : Esbjörn Ohlsson
Download or read book Non-Life Insurance Pricing with Generalized Linear Models written by Esbjörn Ohlsson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-03-18 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Non-life insurance pricing is the art of setting the price of an insurance policy, taking into consideration varoius properties of the insured object and the policy holder. Introduced by British actuaries generalized linear models (GLMs) have become today a the standard aproach for tariff analysis. The book focuses on methods based on GLMs that have been found useful in actuarial practice and provides a set of tools for a tariff analysis. Basic theory of GLMs in a tariff analysis setting is presented with useful extensions of standarde GLM theory that are not in common use. The book meets the European Core Syllabus for actuarial education and is written for actuarial students as well as practicing actuaries. To support reader real data of some complexity are provided at www.math.su.se/GLMbook.
Book Synopsis Theory of Linear Ill-Posed Problems and its Applications by : Valentin K. Ivanov
Download or read book Theory of Linear Ill-Posed Problems and its Applications written by Valentin K. Ivanov and published by Walter de Gruyter. This book was released on 2013-02-18 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph is a revised and extended version of the Russian edition from 1978. It includes the general theory of linear ill-posed problems concerning e. g. the structure of sets of uniform regularization, the theory of error estimation, and the optimality method. As a distinguishing feature the book considers ill-posed problems not only in Hilbert but also in Banach spaces. It is natural that since the appearance of the first edition considerable progress has been made in the theory of inverse and ill-posed problems as wall as in ist applications. To reflect these accomplishments the authors included additional material e. g. comments to each chapter and a list of monographs with annotations.
Book Synopsis Statistical Models in S by : T.J. Hastie
Download or read book Statistical Models in S written by T.J. Hastie and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-01 with total page 542 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Models in S extends the S language to fit and analyze a variety of statistical models, including analysis of variance, generalized linear models, additive models, local regression, and tree-based models. The contributions of the ten authors-most of whom work in the statistics research department at AT&T Bell Laboratories-represent results of research in both the computational and statistical aspects of modeling data.
Download or read book Sentiment Analysis written by Bing Liu and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-10-15 with total page 451 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sentiment analysis is the computational study of people's opinions, sentiments, emotions, moods, and attitudes. This fascinating problem offers numerous research challenges, but promises insight useful to anyone interested in opinion analysis and social media analysis. This comprehensive introduction to the topic takes a natural-language-processing point of view to help readers understand the underlying structure of the problem and the language constructs commonly used to express opinions, sentiments, and emotions. The book covers core areas of sentiment analysis and also includes related topics such as debate analysis, intention mining, and fake-opinion detection. It will be a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners in natural language processing, computer science, management sciences, and the social sciences. In addition to traditional computational methods, this second edition includes recent deep learning methods to analyze and summarize sentiments and opinions, and also new material on emotion and mood analysis techniques, emotion-enhanced dialogues, and multimodal emotion analysis.
Book Synopsis Data-Driven Computational Neuroscience by : Concha Bielza
Download or read book Data-Driven Computational Neuroscience written by Concha Bielza and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-11-26 with total page 709 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Trains researchers and graduate students in state-of-the-art statistical and machine learning methods to build models with real-world data.
Book Synopsis Statistical Analysis of Finite Mixture Distributions by : D. M. Titterington
Download or read book Statistical Analysis of Finite Mixture Distributions written by D. M. Titterington and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, the authors give a complete account of the applications, mathematical structure and statistical analysis of finite mixture distributions.
Book Synopsis The Theory of Dispersion Models by : Bent Jorgensen
Download or read book The Theory of Dispersion Models written by Bent Jorgensen and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-06-01 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theory of dispersion models straddles both statistics and probability, and involves an encyclopedic collection of tools, such as exponential families, asymptotic theory, stochastic processes, Tauber theory, infinite divisibility, and stable distributions. The Theory of Dispersion Models introduces the reader to these models, which serve as error distributions for generalized linear models, and looks at their applications within this context.
Book Synopsis Ensemble Machine Learning by : Cha Zhang
Download or read book Ensemble Machine Learning written by Cha Zhang and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-17 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is common wisdom that gathering a variety of views and inputs improves the process of decision making, and, indeed, underpins a democratic society. Dubbed “ensemble learning” by researchers in computational intelligence and machine learning, it is known to improve a decision system’s robustness and accuracy. Now, fresh developments are allowing researchers to unleash the power of ensemble learning in an increasing range of real-world applications. Ensemble learning algorithms such as “boosting” and “random forest” facilitate solutions to key computational issues such as face recognition and are now being applied in areas as diverse as object tracking and bioinformatics. Responding to a shortage of literature dedicated to the topic, this volume offers comprehensive coverage of state-of-the-art ensemble learning techniques, including the random forest skeleton tracking algorithm in the Xbox Kinect sensor, which bypasses the need for game controllers. At once a solid theoretical study and a practical guide, the volume is a windfall for researchers and practitioners alike.
Book Synopsis Market-Consistent Actuarial Valuation by : Mario V. Wüthrich
Download or read book Market-Consistent Actuarial Valuation written by Mario V. Wüthrich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-09-02 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is a challenging task to read the balance sheet of an insurance company. This derives from the fact that different positions are often measured by different yardsticks. Assets, for example, are mostly valued at market prices whereas liabilities are often measured by established actuarial methods. However, there is a general agreement that the balance sheet of an insurance company should be measured in a consistent way. Market-Consistent Actuarial Valuation presents powerful methods to measure liabilities and assets in a consistent way. The mathematical framework that leads to market-consistent values for insurance liabilities is explained in detail by the authors. Topics covered are stochastic discounting with deflators, valuation portfolio in life and non-life insurance, probability distortions, asset and liability management, financial risks, insurance technical risks, and solvency.
Book Synopsis Metamodeling for Variable Annuities by : Guojun Gan
Download or read book Metamodeling for Variable Annuities written by Guojun Gan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-07-05 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to the mathematical methods of metamodeling that can be used to speed up the valuation of large portfolios of variable annuities. It is suitable for advanced undergraduate students, graduate students, and practitioners. It is the goal of this book to describe the computational problems and present the metamodeling approaches in a way that can be accessible to advanced undergraduate students and practitioners. To that end, the book will not only describe the theory of these mathematical approaches, but also present the implementations.
Book Synopsis Foundations of Casualty Actuarial Science by :
Download or read book Foundations of Casualty Actuarial Science written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 620 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance by : Mario V. Wüthrich
Download or read book Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance written by Mario V. Wüthrich and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Claims reserving is central to the insurance industry. Insurance liabilities depend on a number of different risk factors which need to be predicted accurately. This prediction of risk factors and outstanding loss liabilities is the core for pricing insurance products, determining the profitability of an insurance company and for considering the financial strength (solvency) of the company. Following several high-profile company insolvencies, regulatory requirements have moved towards a risk-adjusted basis which has lead to the Solvency II developments. The key focus in the new regime is that financial companies need to analyze adverse developments in their portfolios. Reserving actuaries now have to not only estimate reserves for the outstanding loss liabilities but also to quantify possible shortfalls in these reserves that may lead to potential losses. Such an analysis requires stochastic modeling of loss liability cash flows and it can only be done within a stochastic framework. Therefore stochastic loss liability modeling and quantifying prediction uncertainties has become standard under the new legal framework for the financial industry. This book covers all the mathematical theory and practical guidance needed in order to adhere to these stochastic techniques. Starting with the basic mathematical methods, working right through to the latest developments relevant for practical applications; readers will find out how to estimate total claims reserves while at the same time predicting errors and uncertainty are quantified. Accompanying datasets demonstrate all the techniques, which are easily implemented in a spreadsheet. A practical and essential guide, this book is a must-read in the light of the new solvency requirements for the whole insurance industry.
Book Synopsis Financial Modeling, Actuarial Valuation and Solvency in Insurance by : Mario V. Wüthrich
Download or read book Financial Modeling, Actuarial Valuation and Solvency in Insurance written by Mario V. Wüthrich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-04 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk management for financial institutions is one of the key topics the financial industry has to deal with. The present volume is a mathematically rigorous text on solvency modeling. Currently, there are many new developments in this area in the financial and insurance industry (Basel III and Solvency II), but none of these developments provides a fully consistent and comprehensive framework for the analysis of solvency questions. Merz and Wüthrich combine ideas from financial mathematics (no-arbitrage theory, equivalent martingale measure), actuarial sciences (insurance claims modeling, cash flow valuation) and economic theory (risk aversion, probability distortion) to provide a fully consistent framework. Within this framework they then study solvency questions in incomplete markets, analyze hedging risks, and study asset-and-liability management questions, as well as issues like the limited liability options, dividend to shareholder questions, the role of re-insurance, etc. This work embeds the solvency discussion (and long-term liabilities) into a scientific framework and is intended for researchers as well as practitioners in the financial and actuarial industry, especially those in charge of internal risk management systems. Readers should have a good background in probability theory and statistics, and should be familiar with popular distributions, stochastic processes, martingales, etc.
Book Synopsis Market Segmentation by : Michel Wedel
Download or read book Market Segmentation written by Michel Wedel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern marketing techniques in industrialized countries cannot be implemented without segmentation of the potential market. Goods are no longer produced and sold without a significant consideration of customer needs combined with a recognition that these needs are heterogeneous. Since first emerging in the late 1950s, the concept of segmentation has been one of the most researched topics in the marketing literature. Segmentation has become a central topic to both the theory and practice of marketing, particularly in the recent development of finite mixture models to better identify market segments. This second edition of Market Segmentation updates and extends the integrated examination of segmentation theory and methodology begun in the first edition. A chapter on mixture model analysis of paired comparison data has been added, together with a new chapter on the pros and cons of the mixture model. The book starts with a framework for considering the various bases and methods available for conducting segmentation studies. The second section contains a more detailed discussion of the methodology for market segmentation, from traditional clustering algorithms to more recent developments in finite mixtures and latent class models. Three types of finite mixture models are discussed in this second section: simple mixtures, mixtures of regressions and mixtures of unfolding models. The third main section is devoted to special topics in market segmentation such as joint segmentation, segmentation using tailored interviewing and segmentation with structural equation models. The fourth part covers four major approaches to applied market segmentation: geo-demographic, lifestyle, response-based, and conjoint analysis. The final concluding section discusses directions for further research.
