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Download or read book Claim Models written by Greg Taylor and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-04-15 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of articles addresses the most modern forms of loss reserving methodology: granular models and machine learning models. New methodologies come with questions about their applicability. These questions are discussed in one article, which focuses on the relative merits of granular and machine learning models. Others illustrate applications with real-world data. The examples include neural networks, which, though well known in some disciplines, have previously been limited in the actuarial literature. This volume expands on that literature, with specific attention to their application to loss reserving. For example, one of the articles introduces the application of neural networks of the gated recurrent unit form to the actuarial literature, whereas another uses a penalized neural network. Neural networks are not the only form of machine learning, and two other papers outline applications of gradient boosting and regression trees respectively. Both articles construct loss reserves at the individual claim level so that these models resemble granular models. One of these articles provides a practical application of the model to claim watching, the action of monitoring claim development and anticipating major features. Such watching can be used as an early warning system or for other administrative purposes. Overall, this volume is an extremely useful addition to the libraries of those working at the loss reserving frontier.
Book Synopsis Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts by : Michel Denuit
Download or read book Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts written by Michel Denuit and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-07-27 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There are a wide range of variables for actuaries to consider when calculating a motorist’s insurance premium, such as age, gender and type of vehicle. Further to these factors, motorists’ rates are subject to experience rating systems, including credibility mechanisms and Bonus Malus systems (BMSs). Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts presents a comprehensive treatment of the various experience rating systems and their relationships with risk classification. The authors summarize the most recent developments in the field, presenting ratemaking systems, whilst taking into account exogenous information. The text: Offers the first self-contained, practical approach to a priori and a posteriori ratemaking in motor insurance. Discusses the issues of claim frequency and claim severity, multi-event systems, and the combinations of deductibles and BMSs. Introduces recent developments in actuarial science and exploits the generalised linear model and generalised linear mixed model to achieve risk classification. Presents credibility mechanisms as refinements of commercial BMSs. Provides practical applications with real data sets processed with SAS software. Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts is essential reading for students in actuarial science, as well as practicing and academic actuaries. It is also ideally suited for professionals involved in the insurance industry, applied mathematicians, quantitative economists, financial engineers and statisticians.
Book Synopsis Nonlife Actuarial Models by : Yiu-Kuen Tse
Download or read book Nonlife Actuarial Models written by Yiu-Kuen Tse and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-17 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This class-tested undergraduate textbook covers the entire syllabus for Exam C of the Society of Actuaries (SOA).
Book Synopsis Claim Models: Granular Forms and Machine Learning Forms by : Greg Taylor
Download or read book Claim Models: Granular Forms and Machine Learning Forms written by Greg Taylor and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of articles addresses the most modern forms of loss reserving methodology: granular models and machine learning models. New methodologies come with questions about their applicability. These questions are discussed in one article, which focuses on the relative merits of granular and machine learning models. Others illustrate applications with real-world data. The examples include neural networks, which, though well known in some disciplines, have previously been limited in the actuarial literature. This volume expands on that literature, with specific attention to their application to loss reserving. For example, one of the articles introduces the application of neural networks of the gated recurrent unit form to the actuarial literature, whereas another uses a penalized neural network. Neural networks are not the only form of machine learning, and two other papers outline applications of gradient boosting and regression trees respectively. Both articles construct loss reserves at the individual claim level so that these models resemble granular models. One of these articles provides a practical application of the model to claim watching, the action of monitoring claim development and anticipating major features. Such watching can be used as an early warning system or for other administrative purposes. Overall, this volume is an extremely useful addition to the libraries of those working at the loss reserving frontier.
Book Synopsis Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Rating by : Mark Goldburd
Download or read book Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Rating written by Mark Goldburd and published by . This book was released on 2016-06-08 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Data by : Piet de Jong
Download or read book Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Data written by Piet de Jong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-02-28 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the only book actuaries need to understand generalized linear models (GLMs) for insurance applications. GLMs are used in the insurance industry to support critical decisions. Until now, no text has introduced GLMs in this context or addressed the problems specific to insurance data. Using insurance data sets, this practical, rigorous book treats GLMs, covers all standard exponential family distributions, extends the methodology to correlated data structures, and discusses recent developments which go beyond the GLM. The issues in the book are specific to insurance data, such as model selection in the presence of large data sets and the handling of varying exposure times. Exercises and data-based practicals help readers to consolidate their skills, with solutions and data sets given on the companion website. Although the book is package-independent, SAS code and output examples feature in an appendix and on the website. In addition, R code and output for all the examples are provided on the website.
Book Synopsis Innovations in Classification, Data Science, and Information Systems by : Daniel Baier
Download or read book Innovations in Classification, Data Science, and Information Systems written by Daniel Baier and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2004-11-19 with total page 632 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volume presents innovations in data analysis and classification and gives an overview of the state of the art in these scientific fields and applications. Areas that receive considerable attention in the book are discrimination and clustering, data analysis and statistics, as well as applications in marketing, finance, and medicine. The reader will find material on recent technical and methodological developments and a large number of applications demonstrating the usefulness of the newly developed techniques.
Download or read book Loss Models written by Stuart A. Klugman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-01-25 with total page 758 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An update of one of the most trusted books on constructing and analyzing actuarial models Written by three renowned authorities in the actuarial field, Loss Models, Third Edition upholds the reputation for excellence that has made this book required reading for the Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) qualification examinations. This update serves as a complete presentation of statistical methods for measuring risk and building models to measure loss in real-world events. This book maintains an approach to modeling and forecasting that utilizes tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. Random variables, basic distributional quantities, the recursive method, and techniques for classifying and creating distributions are also discussed. Both parametric and non-parametric estimation methods are thoroughly covered along with advice for choosing an appropriate model. Features of the Third Edition include: Extended discussion of risk management and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk (TVaR) New sections on extreme value distributions and their estimation Inclusion of homogeneous, nonhomogeneous, and mixed Poisson processes Expanded coverage of copula models and their estimation Additional treatment of methods for constructing confidence regions when there is more than one parameter The book continues to distinguish itself by providing over 400 exercises that have appeared on previous SOA and CAS examinations. Intriguing examples from the fields of insurance and business are discussed throughout, and all data sets are available on the book's FTP site, along with programs that assist with conducting loss model analysis. Loss Models, Third Edition is an essential resource for students and aspiring actuaries who are preparing to take the SOA and CAS preliminary examinations. It is also a must-have reference for professional actuaries, graduate students in the actuarial field, and anyone who works with loss and risk models in their everyday work. To explore our additional offerings in actuarial exam preparation visit www.wiley.com/go/actuarialexamprep.
Book Synopsis Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 2, Case Studies in Insurance by : Edward W. Frees
Download or read book Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science: Volume 2, Case Studies in Insurance written by Edward W. Frees and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Predictive modeling uses data to forecast future events. It exploits relationships between explanatory variables and the predicted variables from past occurrences to predict future outcomes. Forecasting financial events is a core skill that actuaries routinely apply in insurance and other risk-management applications. Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science emphasizes life-long learning by developing tools in an insurance context, providing the relevant actuarial applications, and introducing advanced statistical techniques that can be used to gain a competitive advantage in situations with complex data. Volume 2 examines applications of predictive modeling. Where Volume 1 developed the foundations of predictive modeling, Volume 2 explores practical uses for techniques, focusing on property and casualty insurance. Readers are exposed to a variety of techniques in concrete, real-life contexts that demonstrate their value and the overall value of predictive modeling, for seasoned practicing analysts as well as those just starting out.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging by : Erik R. Ranschaert
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging written by Erik R. Ranschaert and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-01-29 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a thorough overview of the ongoing evolution in the application of artificial intelligence (AI) within healthcare and radiology, enabling readers to gain a deeper insight into the technological background of AI and the impacts of new and emerging technologies on medical imaging. After an introduction on game changers in radiology, such as deep learning technology, the technological evolution of AI in computing science and medical image computing is described, with explanation of basic principles and the types and subtypes of AI. Subsequent sections address the use of imaging biomarkers, the development and validation of AI applications, and various aspects and issues relating to the growing role of big data in radiology. Diverse real-life clinical applications of AI are then outlined for different body parts, demonstrating their ability to add value to daily radiology practices. The concluding section focuses on the impact of AI on radiology and the implications for radiologists, for example with respect to training. Written by radiologists and IT professionals, the book will be of high value for radiologists, medical/clinical physicists, IT specialists, and imaging informatics professionals.
Book Synopsis Foundations of Linear and Generalized Linear Models by : Alan Agresti
Download or read book Foundations of Linear and Generalized Linear Models written by Alan Agresti and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-02-23 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A valuable overview of the most important ideas and results in statistical modeling Written by a highly-experienced author, Foundations of Linear and Generalized Linear Models is a clear and comprehensive guide to the key concepts and results of linearstatistical models. The book presents a broad, in-depth overview of the most commonly usedstatistical models by discussing the theory underlying the models, R software applications,and examples with crafted models to elucidate key ideas and promote practical modelbuilding. The book begins by illustrating the fundamentals of linear models, such as how the model-fitting projects the data onto a model vector subspace and how orthogonal decompositions of the data yield information about the effects of explanatory variables. Subsequently, the book covers the most popular generalized linear models, which include binomial and multinomial logistic regression for categorical data, and Poisson and negative binomial loglinear models for count data. Focusing on the theoretical underpinnings of these models, Foundations ofLinear and Generalized Linear Models also features: An introduction to quasi-likelihood methods that require weaker distributional assumptions, such as generalized estimating equation methods An overview of linear mixed models and generalized linear mixed models with random effects for clustered correlated data, Bayesian modeling, and extensions to handle problematic cases such as high dimensional problems Numerous examples that use R software for all text data analyses More than 400 exercises for readers to practice and extend the theory, methods, and data analysis A supplementary website with datasets for the examples and exercises An invaluable textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level students in statistics and biostatistics courses, Foundations of Linear and Generalized Linear Models is also an excellent reference for practicing statisticians and biostatisticians, as well as anyone who is interested in learning about the most important statistical models for analyzing data.
Book Synopsis Self-Assembling Insurance Claim Models Using Regularized Regression and Machine Learning by : Gráinne McGuire
Download or read book Self-Assembling Insurance Claim Models Using Regularized Regression and Machine Learning written by Gráinne McGuire and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lasso is applied in an attempt to automate the loss reserving problem. The regression form contained within the lasso is a GLM, and so that the model has all the versatility of that type of model, but the model selection is automated and the parameter coefficients for selected terms will not be the same. There are two applications presented, one to synthetic data in conventional triangular form, and another to real data.The secret of success in such an endeavor is the selection of the set of candidate basis functions for representation of the data set. Cross-validation is used for model selection. The lasso performs well in modelling, identifying known features in the synthetic data, and tracking them accurately. This is despite complexity in those features that would challenge, and possibly defeat, most loss reserving alternatives. In the case of real data, the lasso also succeeds in tracking features of the data that analysis of the data set over many years has rendered virtually known. A later section of the paper discusses the prediction error associated with a lasso-based loss reserve. It is seen that the procedure can be readily adapted to the estimation of parameter and process error, but can also estimate one component of model error. To the authors knowledge, no other loss reserving model in the literature does so.
Book Synopsis Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science by : Edward W. Frees
Download or read book Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science written by Edward W. Frees and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-28 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is for actuaries and financial analysts developing their expertise in statistics and who wish to become familiar with concrete examples of predictive modeling.
Download or read book Loss Models written by Stuart A. Klugman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-08-29 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An essential resource for constructing and analyzing advanced actuarial models Loss Models: Further Topics presents extended coverage of modeling through the use of tools related to risk theory, loss distributions, and survival models. The book uses these methods to construct and evaluate actuarial models in the fields of insurance and business. Providing an advanced study of actuarial methods, the book features extended discussions of risk modeling and risk measures, including Tail-Value-at-Risk. Loss Models: Further Topics contains additional material to accompany the Fourth Edition of Loss Models: From Data to Decisions, such as: Extreme value distributions Coxian and related distributions Mixed Erlang distributions Computational and analytical methods for aggregate claim models Counting processes Compound distributions with time-dependent claim amounts Copula models Continuous time ruin models Interpolation and smoothing The book is an essential reference for practicing actuaries and actuarial researchers who want to go beyond the material required for actuarial qualification. Loss Models: Further Topics is also an excellent resource for graduate students in the actuarial field.
Book Synopsis Stochastic Loss Reserving Using Generalized Linear Models by : Greg Taylor
Download or read book Stochastic Loss Reserving Using Generalized Linear Models written by Greg Taylor and published by . This book was released on 2016-05-04 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this monograph, authors Greg Taylor and Gráinne McGuire discuss generalized linear models (GLM) for loss reserving, beginning with strong emphasis on the chain ladder. The chain ladder is formulated in a GLM context, as is the statistical distribution of the loss reserve. This structure is then used to test the need for departure from the chain ladder model and to consider natural extensions of the chain ladder model that lend themselves to the GLM framework.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Claims Reserving Methods in Non-life Insurance with Stan by : Guangyuan Gao
Download or read book Bayesian Claims Reserving Methods in Non-life Insurance with Stan written by Guangyuan Gao and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-31 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book first provides a review of various aspects of Bayesian statistics. It then investigates three types of claims reserving models in the Bayesian framework: chain ladder models, basis expansion models involving a tail factor, and multivariate copula models. For the Bayesian inferential methods, this book largely relies on Stan, a specialized software environment which applies Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method and variational Bayes.
Book Synopsis Risk Modelling in General Insurance by : Roger J. Gray
Download or read book Risk Modelling in General Insurance written by Roger J. Gray and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-06-28 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A wide range of topics give students a firm foundation in statistical and actuarial concepts and their applications.
