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Chaos And Forecasting
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Book Synopsis Deep Learning in Multi-step Prediction of Chaotic Dynamics by : Matteo Sangiorgio
Download or read book Deep Learning in Multi-step Prediction of Chaotic Dynamics written by Matteo Sangiorgio and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-02-14 with total page 111 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book represents the first attempt to systematically deal with the use of deep neural networks to forecast chaotic time series. Differently from most of the current literature, it implements a multi-step approach, i.e., the forecast of an entire interval of future values. This is relevant for many applications, such as model predictive control, that requires predicting the values for the whole receding horizon. Going progressively from deterministic models with different degrees of complexity and chaoticity to noisy systems and then to real-world cases, the book compares the performances of various neural network architectures (feed-forward and recurrent). It also introduces an innovative and powerful approach for training recurrent structures specific for sequence-to-sequence tasks. The book also presents one of the first attempts in the context of environmental time series forecasting of applying transfer-learning techniques such as domain adaptation.
Book Synopsis Chaos and Forecasting by : Howell Tong
Download or read book Chaos and Forecasting written by Howell Tong and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1995-04-26 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now generally recognised that very simple dynamical systems can produce apparently random behaviour. In the last couple of years, attention has turned to focus on the flip side of this coin: random-looking time series (or random-looking patterns in space) may indeed be the result of very complicated processes or “real noise”, but they may equally well be produced by some very simple mechanism (a low-dimensional attractor). In either case, a long-term prediction will be possible only in probabilistic terms. However, in the very short term, random systems will still be unpredictable but low-dimensional chaotic ones may be predictable (appearances to the contrary). The Royal Society held a two-day discussion meeting on topics covering diverse fields, including biology, economics, geophysics, meteorology, statistics, epidemiology, earthquake science and many others. Each topic was covered by a leading expert in the field. The meeting dealt with different basic approaches to the problem of chaos and forecasting, and covered applications to nonlinear forecasting of both artificially-generated time series and real data from context in the above-mentioned diverse fields. This book marks a rather special and rare occasion on which prominent scientists from different areas converge on the same theme. It forms an informative introduction to the science of chaos, with special reference to real data. Contents:Orthogonal Projection, Embedding Dimension and Sample Size in Chaotic Time Series from a Statistical Perspective (B Cheng & H Tong)A Theory of Correlation Dimension for Stationary Time Series (C D Cutler)On Prediction and Chaos in Stochastic Systems (Q W Yao & H Tong)Locally Optimized Prediction of Nonlinear Systems: Stochastic and Deterministic (L A Smith)A Poisson Distribution for the BDS Test Statistic for Independence in a Time Series (R C L Wolff)Chaos and Nonlinear Forecastability in Economics and Finance (B LeBaron)Paradigm Change in Prediction (A S Weigend)and other papers Readership: Mathematicians, economists, statisticians and nonlinear scientists. keywords: “… useful and recommended for forecast researchers striving for a more realistic methodology that goes substantially beyond conventional statistical theory.” M A Kaboudan
Book Synopsis Evolution, Learning and Cognition by : Yee Chun Lee
Download or read book Evolution, Learning and Cognition written by Yee Chun Lee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1988 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This review volume represents the first attempt to provide a comprehensive overview of this exciting and rapidly evolving development. The book comprises specially commissioned articles by leading researchers in the areas of neural networks and connectionist systems, classifier systems, adaptive network systems, genetic algorithm, cellular automata, artificial immune systems, evolutionary genetics, cognitive science, optical computing, combinatorial optimization, and cybernetics.
Book Synopsis Chaos and Forecasting by : B. Grenfell
Download or read book Chaos and Forecasting written by B. Grenfell and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Royal Society (Great Britain). Discussion Meeting Publisher :World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated ISBN 13 :9789810221263 Total Pages :345 pages Book Rating :4.2/5 (212 download)
Book Synopsis Chaos and Forecasting by : Royal Society (Great Britain). Discussion Meeting
Download or read book Chaos and Forecasting written by Royal Society (Great Britain). Discussion Meeting and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 1995 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Art of Modeling Dynamic Systems by : Foster Morrison
Download or read book The Art of Modeling Dynamic Systems written by Foster Morrison and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-03-07 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text illustrates the roles of statistical methods, coordinate transformations, and mathematical analysis in mapping complex, unpredictable dynamical systems. It describes the benefits and limitations of the available modeling tools, showing engineers and scientists how any system can be rendered simpler and more predictable. Written by a well-known authority in the field, this volume employs practical examples and analogies to make models more meaningful. The more universal methods appear in considerable detail, and advanced dynamic principles feature easy-to-understand examples. The text draws careful distinctions between mathematical abstractions and observable realities. Additional topics include the role of pure mathematics, the limitations of numerical methods, forecasting in the presence of chaos and randomness, and dynamics without calculus. Specialized techniques and case histories are coordinated with a carefully selected and annotated bibliography. The original edition was a Library of Science Main Selection in May, 1991. This new Dover edition features corrections by the author and a new Preface.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics by : Alistair I. Mees
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics and Statistics written by Alistair I. Mees and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes the state of the art in nonlinear dynamical reconstruction theory. The chapters are based upon a workshop held at the Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge University, UK, in late 1998. The book's chapters present theory and methods topics by leading researchers in applied and theoretical nonlinear dynamics, statistics, probability, and systems theory. Features and topics: * disentangling uncertainty and error: the predictability of nonlinear systems * achieving good nonlinear models * delay reconstructions: dynamics vs. statistics * introduction to Monte Carlo Methods for Bayesian Data Analysis * latest results in extracting dynamical behavior via Markov Models * data compression, dynamics and stationarity Professionals, researchers, and advanced graduates in nonlinear dynamics, probability, optimization, and systems theory will find the book a useful resource and guide to current developments in the subject.
Book Synopsis The Essence Of Chaos by : Flavio Lorenzelli
Download or read book The Essence Of Chaos written by Flavio Lorenzelli and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2003-09-02 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of chaotic systems has become a major scientific pursuit in recent years, shedding light on the apparently random behaviour observed in fields as diverse as climatology and mechanics. InThe Essence of Chaos Edward Lorenz, one of the founding fathers of Chaos and the originator of its seminal concept of the Butterfly Effect, presents his own landscape of our current understanding of the field. Lorenz presents everyday examples of chaotic behaviour, such as the toss of a coin, the pinball's path, the fall of a leaf, and explains in elementary mathematical strms how their essentially chaotic nature can be understood. His principal example involved the construction of a model of a board sliding down a ski slope. Through this model Lorenz illustrates chaotic phenomena and the related concepts of bifurcation and strange attractors. He also provides the context in which chaos can be related to the similarly emergent fields of nonlinearity, complexity and fractals. As an early pioneer of chaos, Lorenz also provides his own story of the human endeavour in developing this new field. He describes his initial encounters with chaos through his study of climate and introduces many of the personalities who contributed early breakthroughs. His seminal paper, "Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wing in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas?" is published for the first time.
Book Synopsis Chaos: A Very Short Introduction by : Leonard Smith
Download or read book Chaos: A Very Short Introduction written by Leonard Smith and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2007-02-22 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Chaos exists in systems all around us. Even the simplest system of cause and effect can be subject to chaos, denying us accurate predictions of its behaviour, and sometimes giving rise to astonishing structures of large-scale order. Our growing understanding of Chaos Theory is having fascinating applications in the real world - from technology to global warming, politics, human behaviour, and even gambling on the stock market. Leonard Smith shows that we all have an intuitive understanding of chaotic systems. He uses accessible maths and physics (replacing complex equations with simple examples like pendulums, railway lines, and tossing coins) to explain the theory, and points to numerous examples in philosophy and literature (Edgar Allen Poe, Chang-Tzu, Arthur Conan Doyle) that illuminate the problems. The beauty of fractal patterns and their relation to chaos, as well as the history of chaos, and its uses in the real world and implications for the philosophy of science are all discussed in this Very Short Introduction. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability by : William A. Brock
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability written by William A. Brock and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1991 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brock, Hsieh, and LeBaron show how the principles of chaos theory can be applied to such areas of economics and finance as the changing structure of stock returns and nonlinearity in foreign exchange.
Download or read book Chaos and Forecasting written by H. Tong and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Soft Computing and Human-Centered Machines by : Z.-Q. Liu
Download or read book Soft Computing and Human-Centered Machines written by Z.-Q. Liu and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computer Science Workbench is a monograph series which will provide you with an in-depth working knowledge of current developments in computer technology. Every volume in this series will deal with a topic of importance in computer science and elaborate on how you yourself can build systems related to the main theme. You will be able to develop a variety of systems, including computer software tools, computer graphics, computer animation, database management systems, and computer-aided design and manufacturing systems. Computer Science Work bench represents an important new contribution in the field of practical computer technology. Tosiyasu L. Kunii Preface With the advent of digital computers some five decades ago and the wide spread use of computer networks recently, we have gained enormous power in gathering information and manufacturing. Yet, this increase in comput ing power has not given us freedom in a real sense, we are increasingly enslaved by the very machine we built for gaining freedom and efficiency. Making machines to serve mankind is an essential issue we are facing. Building human-centered systems is an imperative task for scientists and engineers in the new millennium. The topic of human-centered servant modules covers a vast area. In our projects we have focused our efforts on developing theories and techn!ques based on fuzzy theories. Chapters 2 to 12 in this book collectively deal with the theoretical, methodological, and applicational aspects of human centered systems. Each chapter presents the most recent research results by the authors on a particular topic.
Book Synopsis Profiting from Chaos by : Tonis Vaga
Download or read book Profiting from Chaos written by Tonis Vaga and published by Tonis Vaga. This book was released on 1994 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finally, a book that not only explains the relationship between investing and chaos theory--the cutting-edge dicipline that Business Week says will "revitalize the money-management industry"--but also shows readers how to use the theory to master the financial markets. Illustrated.
Book Synopsis Chaos in Hydrology by : Bellie Sivakumar
Download or read book Chaos in Hydrology written by Bellie Sivakumar and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-16 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This authoritative book presents a comprehensive account of the essential roles of nonlinear dynamic and chaos theories in understanding, modeling, and forecasting hydrologic systems. This is done through a systematic presentation of: (1) information on the salient characteristics of hydrologic systems and on the existing theories for their modeling; (2) the fundamentals of nonlinear dynamic and chaos theories, methods for chaos identification and prediction, and associated issues; (3) a review of the applications of chaos theory in hydrology; and (4) the scope and potential directions for the future. This book bridges the divide between the deterministic and the stochastic schools in hydrology, and is well suited as a textbook for hydrology courses.
Book Synopsis Special Topics in Information Technology by : Luigi Piroddi
Download or read book Special Topics in Information Technology written by Luigi Piroddi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-01-01 with total page 151 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book presents thirteen outstanding doctoral dissertations in Information Technology from the Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy. Information Technology has always been highly interdisciplinary, as many aspects have to be considered in IT systems. The doctoral studies program in IT at Politecnico di Milano emphasizes this interdisciplinary nature, which is becoming more and more important in recent technological advances, in collaborative projects, and in the education of young researchers. Accordingly, the focus of advanced research is on pursuing a rigorous approach to specific research topics starting from a broad background in various areas of Information Technology, especially Computer Science and Engineering, Electronics, Systems and Control, and Telecommunications. Each year, more than 50 PhDs graduate from the program. This book gathers the outcomes of the thirteen best theses defended in 2020-21 and selected for the IT PhD Award. Each of the authors provides a chapter summarizing his/her findings, including an introduction, description of methods, main achievements and future work on the topic. Hence, the book provides a cutting-edge overview of the latest research trends in Information Technology at Politecnico di Milano, presented in an easy-to-read format that will also appeal to non-specialists.
Book Synopsis Chaos Theory in Politics by : Santo Banerjee
Download or read book Chaos Theory in Politics written by Santo Banerjee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-02 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The present work investigates global politics and political implications of social science and management with the aid of the latest complexity and chaos theories. Until now, deterministic chaos and nonlinear analysis have not been a focal point in this area of research. This book remedies this deficiency by utilizing these methods in the analysis of the subject matter. The authors provide the reader a detailed analysis on politics and its associated applications with the help of chaos theory, in a single edited volume.
Book Synopsis Numerical Methods for the Solution of Ill-Posed Problems by : A.N. Tikhonov
Download or read book Numerical Methods for the Solution of Ill-Posed Problems written by A.N. Tikhonov and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many problems in science, technology and engineering are posed in the form of operator equations of the first kind, with the operator and RHS approximately known. But such problems often turn out to be ill-posed, having no solution, or a non-unique solution, and/or an unstable solution. Non-existence and non-uniqueness can usually be overcome by settling for `generalised' solutions, leading to the need to develop regularising algorithms. The theory of ill-posed problems has advanced greatly since A. N. Tikhonov laid its foundations, the Russian original of this book (1990) rapidly becoming a classical monograph on the topic. The present edition has been completely updated to consider linear ill-posed problems with or without a priori constraints (non-negativity, monotonicity, convexity, etc.). Besides the theoretical material, the book also contains a FORTRAN program library. Audience: Postgraduate students of physics, mathematics, chemistry, economics, engineering. Engineers and scientists interested in data processing and the theory of ill-posed problems.
