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Can Vars Describe Monetary Policy
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Book Synopsis Can VARs Describe Monetary Policy? by :
Download or read book Can VARs Describe Monetary Policy? written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago presents the full text of the December 28, 1998 working paper entitled "Can VARs Describe Monetary Policy?," written by Charles L. Evans and Kenneth N. Kuttner. The text is available in PDF format. This paper examines vector autoregression (VAR) models and their ability to describe monetary policy. One of the findings of the authors is that the correlation between forecast errors is a misleading measure of how closely the VAR forecast mimics the futures markets.
Book Synopsis Can VARs Describe Monetary Policy? by : Charles Evans
Download or read book Can VARs Describe Monetary Policy? written by Charles Evans and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules by : John B. Taylor
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
Book Synopsis Which are the Effects of Monetary Policy? Identifying Policy Shocks in recursive VARs by : Felix Miebs
Download or read book Which are the Effects of Monetary Policy? Identifying Policy Shocks in recursive VARs written by Felix Miebs and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2007-04-06 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2006 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 1,0, University of Frankfurt (Main), language: English, abstract: 1 Introduction In the mid 70’s people started to doubt the validity of macroeconomic models as they were not able to forecast the worldwide recession due to the oil-price shock. These models needed an a priori seperation into endogenous or exogenous variables. This need for seperation was criticized by Sims (1980), who proposed as solution for this problem a Vector Autoregressive model (VAR). ”A VAR is an n-equation, n-variable linear model in which each variable is in turn explained by its own lagged values, plus current and past values of the remaining n-1 variables.”1 This offers the possibility that these variables influence each other mutually, which makes each of them endogenous.2 Let us put some economic background to these definitions. As we focus on monetary policy, we might be interested in the mutual relation and behaviour of the interest rate (r) and inflation (). For simplicity we just take these two variables with one lag into account. According to our setup we yield the following equation system: (Die Formeln sind nur in der Download-Version verfügbar) The equation system of (1) and (2) is called the primitive system, where (Ert) and (E(pi)t) are uncorrelated white noise disturbances. 2 Building a recursive VAR In this section we will build a recursive VAR step by step. In the first section the primitive system will be transformed into the reduced form VAR. Building on that, we will focus on the identification of the primitive system, which finally will yield us the recursive VAR. Finally we abandon the exogenous assumption about the lag-length which we set for simplicity to one. This will let us end up with the methodology, which will enable us to apply the VAR toolkit to a real world situation.
Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Inflation by : Thomas J. Sargent
Download or read book Rational Expectations and Inflation written by Thomas J. Sargent and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-05-05 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Frameworks in a Global Context by : Lavan Mahadeva
Download or read book Monetary Policy Frameworks in a Global Context written by Lavan Mahadeva and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-11-12 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This broad-ranging collection assesses the links between targets and central bank independence, accountability and the transparency of monetary policy. Renowned experts contribute to this original and comprehensive text which will be of great value to professional economists and students of economics and banking alike. Monetary Policy Frameworks in a Global Context was named Book of the Year, 2000 by Central Banking journal
Book Synopsis What Do the VARs Mean? by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book What Do the VARs Mean? written by John H. Cochrane and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the relative effects of anticipated vs. unanticipated monetary policy? I examine the effect of this identifying assumption on VAR estimates of the output response to money, assuming that anticipated monetary policy can have some effect on output results in much shorter and smaller output response estimatesþestimates closer to the predictions of most monetary models.
Book Synopsis Unraveling the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Sri Lanka by : Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan
Download or read book Unraveling the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Sri Lanka written by Mr.Manuk Ghazanchyan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-22 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we examine the channels through which innovations to policy variables— policy rates or monetary aggregates—affect such macroeconomic variables as output and inflation in Sri Lanka. The effectiveness of monetary policy instruments is judged through the prism of conventional policy channels (money/interest rate, bank lending, exchange rate and asset price channels) in VAR models. The timing and magnitude of these effects are assessed using impulse response functions, and through the pass-through coefficients from policy to money market and lending rates. Our results show that (i) the interest rate channel (money view) has the strongest Granger effect (helps predict) on output with a 0.6 percent decrease in output after the second quarter and a cumulative 0.5 percent decline within a three-year period in response to innovations in the policy rate; (ii) the contribution from the bank lending channel is statistically significant (adding 0.2 percentage point to the baseline effect of policy rates) in affecting both output and prices but with a lag of about five quarters for output and longer for prices; and (iii) the exchange rate and asset price channels are ineffective and do not have Granger effects on either output or prices.
Book Synopsis Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks in Low-Income and Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-23 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of China's Financial System by : Marlene Amstad
Download or read book The Handbook of China's Financial System written by Marlene Amstad and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2020-11-17 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive, in-depth, and authoritative guide to China's financial system The Chinese economy is one of the most important in the world, and its success is driven in large part by its financial system. Though closely scrutinized, this system is poorly understood and vastly different than those in the West. The Handbook of China’s Financial System will serve as a standard reference guide and invaluable resource to the workings of this critical institution. The handbook looks in depth at the central aspects of the system, including banking, bonds, the stock market, asset management, the pension system, and financial technology. Each chapter is written by leading experts in the field, and the contributors represent a unique mix of scholars and policymakers, many with firsthand knowledge of setting and carrying out Chinese financial policy. The first authoritative volume on China’s financial system, this handbook sheds new light on how it developed, how it works, and the prospects and direction of significant reforms to come. Contributors include Franklin Allen, Marlene Amstad, Kaiji Chen, Tuo Deng, Hanming Fang, Jin Feng, Tingting Ge, Kai Guo, Zhiguo He, Yiping Huang, Zhaojun Huang, Ningxin Jiang, Wenxi Jiang, Chang Liu, Jun Ma, Yanliang Mao, Fan Qi, Jun Qian, Chenyu Shan, Guofeng Sun, Xuan Tian, Chu Wang, Cong Wang, Tao Wang, Wei Xiong, Yi Xiong, Tao Zha, Bohui Zhang, Tianyu Zhang, Zhiwei Zhang, Ye Zhao, and Julie Lei Zhu.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Macroeconomics by : Michael Woodford
Download or read book Handbook of Macroeconomics written by Michael Woodford and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1999 with total page 822 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Measuring Monetary Policy with VAR Models by : Fabio C. Bagliano
Download or read book Measuring Monetary Policy with VAR Models written by Fabio C. Bagliano and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Balance Sheets by : Ms.Deniz Igan
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Balance Sheets written by Ms.Deniz Igan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-07-03 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the strength of the balance sheet channel in the U.S. monetary policy transmission mechanism over the past three decades. Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression model on an expanded data set, including sectoral balance sheet variables, we show that the balance sheets of various economic agents act as important links in the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Balance sheets of financial intermediaries, such as commercial banks, asset-backed-security issuers and, to a lesser extent, security brokers and dealers, shrink in response to monetary tightening, while money market fund assets grow. The balance sheet effects are comparable in magnitude to the traditional interest rate channel. However, their economic significance in the run-up to the recent financial crisis was small. Large increases in interest rates would have been needed to avert a rapid rise of house prices and an unsustainable expansion of mortgage credit, suggesting an important role for macroprudential policies.
Book Synopsis International Dimensions of Monetary Policy by : Jordi Galí
Download or read book International Dimensions of Monetary Policy written by Jordi Galí and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-15 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.
Book Synopsis The Use of Financial Spreads As Indicator Variables by : E. P. Davis
Download or read book The Use of Financial Spreads As Indicator Variables written by E. P. Davis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-03-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been growing interest in the use of financial spreads as advance indicators of real activity and inflation. Empirical evidence is marshalled on a range of spreads when these are used in vector autoregressive models of the UK and German economies. It is found that they do have significant information, even after allowing for the effects of other influences upon macro-economic activity.
Book Synopsis Research on China’s Monetary Policy System and Conduction Mechanism by : Wei Liu
Download or read book Research on China’s Monetary Policy System and Conduction Mechanism written by Wei Liu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-03-28 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book chooses four different transmission mechanisms of interest rate, credit, exchange rate, and asset price to study whether China’s monetary policy has an impact on these four transmission mechanisms and then studies whether these four transmission mechanisms have an impact on the macroeconomy, so as to determine the impact of China’s monetary policy on macro-goals.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and the German Unemployment Problem in Macroeconomic Models by : Jan Gottschalk
Download or read book Monetary Policy and the German Unemployment Problem in Macroeconomic Models written by Jan Gottschalk and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-04-29 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Having the high unemployment in Germany in mind, this book discusses how macroeconomic theory has evolved over the past forty years. It shows that in recent years a convergence has taken place, with modern models embodying a Keynesian transmission mechanism, monetarist policy implication, and modeling techniques inspired by new classical economics and real business cycle theory. It also probes in which direction models may be extended from here. Empirically, the book uses different econometric techniques to investigate the relevance and implications of different macroeconomic theories for German data. A key question this book investigates is the role of demand and supply side conditions for the increase in the German unemployment rate. On a policy level, the book relates the implications of the different theories to the ongoing debate on the appropriate roles of demand and supply side policies for curing the German unemployment problem.
