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Bootstrap Prediction Intervals For Time Series
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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman
Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Book Synopsis Time-Series Forecasting by : Chris Chatfield
Download or read book Time-Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-10-25 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space
Book Synopsis Time Series: Theory and Methods by : Peter J. Brockwell
Download or read book Time Series: Theory and Methods written by Peter J. Brockwell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-13 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition contains a large number of additions and corrections scattered throughout the text, including the incorporation of a new chapter on state-space models. The companion diskette for the IBM PC has expanded into the software package ITSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC, which includes a manual and can be ordered from Springer-Verlag. * We are indebted to many readers who have used the book and programs and made suggestions for improvements. Unfortunately there is not enough space to acknowledge all who have contributed in this way; however, special mention must be made of our prize-winning fault-finders, Sid Resnick and F. Pukelsheim. Special mention should also be made of Anthony Brockwell, whose advice and support on computing matters was invaluable in the preparation of the new diskettes. We have been fortunate to work on the new edition in the excellent environments provided by the University of Melbourne and Colorado State University. We thank Duane Boes particularly for his support and encouragement throughout, and the Australian Research Council and National Science Foundation for their support of research related to the new material. We are also indebted to Springer-Verlag for their constant support and assistance in preparing the second edition. Fort Collins, Colorado P. J. BROCKWELL November, 1990 R. A. DAVIS * /TSM: An Interactive Time Series Modelling Package for the PC by P. J. Brockwell and R. A. Davis. ISBN: 0-387-97482-2; 1991.
Book Synopsis Resampling Methods for Dependent Data by : S. N. Lahiri
Download or read book Resampling Methods for Dependent Data written by S. N. Lahiri and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By giving a detailed account of bootstrap methods and their properties for dependent data, this book provides illustrative numerical examples throughout. The book fills a gap in the literature covering research on re-sampling methods for dependent data that has witnessed vigorous growth over the last two decades but remains scattered in various statistics and econometrics journals. It can be used as a graduate level text and also as a research monograph for statisticians and econometricians.
Book Synopsis Time Series by : Dimitris N. Politis
Download or read book Time Series written by Dimitris N. Politis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-09 with total page 463 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time Series: A First Course with Bootstrap Starter provides an introductory course on time series analysis that satisfies the triptych of (i) mathematical completeness, (ii) computational illustration and implementation, and (iii) conciseness and accessibility to upper-level undergraduate and M.S. students. Basic theoretical results are presented in a mathematically convincing way, and the methods of data analysis are developed through examples and exercises parsed in R. A student with a basic course in mathematical statistics will learn both how to analyze time series and how to interpret the results. The book provides the foundation of time series methods, including linear filters and a geometric approach to prediction. The important paradigm of ARMA models is studied in-depth, as well as frequency domain methods. Entropy and other information theoretic notions are introduced, with applications to time series modeling. The second half of the book focuses on statistical inference, the fitting of time series models, as well as computational facets of forecasting. Many time series of interest are nonlinear in which case classical inference methods can fail, but bootstrap methods may come to the rescue. Distinctive features of the book are the emphasis on geometric notions and the frequency domain, the discussion of entropy maximization, and a thorough treatment of recent computer-intensive methods for time series such as subsampling and the bootstrap. There are more than 600 exercises, half of which involve R coding and/or data analysis. Supplements include a website with 12 key data sets and all R code for the book's examples, as well as the solutions to exercises.
Book Synopsis Climate Time Series Analysis by : Manfred Mudelsee
Download or read book Climate Time Series Analysis written by Manfred Mudelsee and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-08-26 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate is a paradigm of a complex system. Analysing climate data is an exciting challenge, which is increased by non-normal distributional shape, serial dependence, uneven spacing and timescale uncertainties. This book presents bootstrap resampling as a computing-intensive method able to meet the challenge. It shows the bootstrap to perform reliably in the most important statistical estimation techniques: regression, spectral analysis, extreme values and correlation. This book is written for climatologists and applied statisticians. It explains step by step the bootstrap algorithms (including novel adaptions) and methods for confidence interval construction. It tests the accuracy of the algorithms by means of Monte Carlo experiments. It analyses a large array of climate time series, giving a detailed account on the data and the associated climatological questions. This makes the book self-contained for graduate students and researchers.
Book Synopsis Bootstrap Methods by : Michael R. Chernick
Download or read book Bootstrap Methods written by Michael R. Chernick and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-23 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A practical and accessible introduction to the bootstrap method——newly revised and updated Over the past decade, the application of bootstrap methods to new areas of study has expanded, resulting in theoretical and applied advances across various fields. Bootstrap Methods, Second Edition is a highly approachable guide to the multidisciplinary, real-world uses of bootstrapping and is ideal for readers who have a professional interest in its methods, but are without an advanced background in mathematics. Updated to reflect current techniques and the most up-to-date work on the topic, the Second Edition features: The addition of a second, extended bibliography devoted solely to publications from 1999–2007, which is a valuable collection of references on the latest research in the field A discussion of the new areas of applicability for bootstrap methods, including use in the pharmaceutical industry for estimating individual and population bioequivalence in clinical trials A revised chapter on when and why bootstrap fails and remedies for overcoming these drawbacks Added coverage on regression, censored data applications, P-value adjustment, ratio estimators, and missing data New examples and illustrations as well as extensive historical notes at the end of each chapter With a strong focus on application, detailed explanations of methodology, and complete coverage of modern developments in the field, Bootstrap Methods, Second Edition is an indispensable reference for applied statisticians, engineers, scientists, clinicians, and other practitioners who regularly use statistical methods in research. It is also suitable as a supplementary text for courses in statistics and resampling methods at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Book Synopsis Statistical Methods for Machine Learning by : Jason Brownlee
Download or read book Statistical Methods for Machine Learning written by Jason Brownlee and published by Machine Learning Mastery. This book was released on 2018-05-30 with total page 291 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistics is a pillar of machine learning. You cannot develop a deep understanding and application of machine learning without it. Cut through the equations, Greek letters, and confusion, and discover the topics in statistics that you need to know. Using clear explanations, standard Python libraries, and step-by-step tutorial lessons, you will discover the importance of statistical methods to machine learning, summary stats, hypothesis testing, nonparametric stats, resampling methods, and much more.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Bootstrap Methods with Applications to R by : Michael R. Chernick
Download or read book An Introduction to Bootstrap Methods with Applications to R written by Michael R. Chernick and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-08-21 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive introduction to bootstrap methods in the R programming environment Bootstrap methods provide a powerful approach to statistical data analysis, as they have more general applications than standard parametric methods. An Introduction to Bootstrap Methods with Applications to R explores the practicality of this approach and successfully utilizes R to illustrate applications for the bootstrap and other resampling methods. This book provides a modern introduction to bootstrap methods for readers who do not have an extensive background in advanced mathematics. Emphasis throughout is on the use of bootstrap methods as an exploratory tool, including its value in variable selection and other modeling environments. The authors begin with a description of bootstrap methods and its relationship to other resampling methods, along with an overview of the wide variety of applications of the approach. Subsequent chapters offer coverage of improved confidence set estimation, estimation of error rates in discriminant analysis, and applications to a wide variety of hypothesis testing and estimation problems, including pharmaceutical, genomics, and economics. To inform readers on the limitations of the method, the book also exhibits counterexamples to the consistency of bootstrap methods. An introduction to R programming provides the needed preparation to work with the numerous exercises and applications presented throughout the book. A related website houses the book's R subroutines, and an extensive listing of references provides resources for further study. Discussing the topic at a remarkably practical and accessible level, An Introduction to Bootstrap Methods with Applications to R is an excellent book for introductory courses on bootstrap and resampling methods at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It also serves as an insightful reference for practitioners working with data in engineering, medicine, and the social sciences who would like to acquire a basic understanding of bootstrap methods.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to the Bootstrap by : Bradley Efron
Download or read book An Introduction to the Bootstrap written by Bradley Efron and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1994-05-15 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistics is a subject of many uses and surprisingly few effective practitioners. The traditional road to statistical knowledge is blocked, for most, by a formidable wall of mathematics. The approach in An Introduction to the Bootstrap avoids that wall. It arms scientists and engineers, as well as statisticians, with the computational techniques they need to analyze and understand complicated data sets.
Book Synopsis Modern Statistics with R by : Måns Thulin
Download or read book Modern Statistics with R written by Måns Thulin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-08-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decades have transformed the world of statistical data analysis, with new methods, new types of data, and new computational tools. Modern Statistics with R introduces you to key parts of this modern statistical toolkit. It teaches you: Data wrangling - importing, formatting, reshaping, merging, and filtering data in R. Exploratory data analysis - using visualisations and multivariate techniques to explore datasets. Statistical inference - modern methods for testing hypotheses and computing confidence intervals. Predictive modelling - regression models and machine learning methods for prediction, classification, and forecasting. Simulation - using simulation techniques for sample size computations and evaluations of statistical methods. Ethics in statistics - ethical issues and good statistical practice. R programming - writing code that is fast, readable, and (hopefully!) free from bugs. No prior programming experience is necessary. Clear explanations and examples are provided to accommodate readers at all levels of familiarity with statistical principles and coding practices. A basic understanding of probability theory can enhance comprehension of certain concepts discussed within this book. In addition to plenty of examples, the book includes more than 200 exercises, with fully worked solutions available at: www.modernstatisticswithr.com.
Book Synopsis Singular Spectrum Analysis by : Hossein Hassani
Download or read book Singular Spectrum Analysis written by Hossein Hassani and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-25 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a broad introduction to computational aspects of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) which is a non-parametric technique and requires no prior assumptions such as stationarity, normality or linearity of the series. This book is unique as it not only details the theoretical aspects underlying SSA, but also provides a comprehensive guide enabling the user to apply the theory in practice using the R software. Further, it provides the user with step- by- step coding and guidance for the practical application of the SSA technique to analyze their time series databases using R. The first two chapters present basic notions of univariate and multivariate SSA and their implementations in R environment. The next chapters discuss the applications of SSA to change point detection, missing-data imputation, smoothing and filtering. This book is appropriate for researchers, upper level students (masters level and beyond) and practitioners wishing to revive their knowledge of times series analysis or to quickly learn about the main mechanisms of SSA.
Author :Jelke G. Bethlehem Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9783790813265 Total Pages :556 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (132 download)
Download or read book COMPSTAT written by Jelke G. Bethlehem and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2000-08-04 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains the keynote, invited and full contributed papers presented at COMPSTAT 2000, held in Utrecht. The papers range over all aspects of the link between statistical theory and applied statistics, with special attention for developments in the area of official statistics. The papers have been thoroughly refereed.
Download or read book COMPSTAT 2008 written by Paula Brito and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-11 with total page 557 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 18th Symposium Held in Porto, Portugal, 2008
Book Synopsis Foundations of Neuro-Fuzzy Systems by : Detlef Nauck
Download or read book Foundations of Neuro-Fuzzy Systems written by Detlef Nauck and published by . This book was released on 1997-09-19 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foundations of Neuro-Fuzzy Systems reflects the current trend in intelligent systems research towards the integration of neural networks and fuzzy technology. The authors demonstrate how a combination of both techniques enhances the performance of control, decision-making and data analysis systems. Smarter and more applicable structures result from marrying the learning capability of the neural network with the transparency and interpretability of the rule-based fuzzy system. Foundations of Neuro-Fuzzy Systems highlights the advantages of integration making it a valuable resource for graduate students and researchers in control engineering, computer science and applied mathematics. The authors' informed analysis of practical neuro-fuzzy applications will be an asset to industrial practitioners using fuzzy technology and neural networks for control systems, data analysis and optimization tasks.
Book Synopsis Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics by : Siem Jan Koopman
Download or read book Unobserved Components and Time Series Econometrics written by Siem Jan Koopman and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-11-19 with total page 389 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents original and up-to-date studies in unobserved components (UC) time series models from both theoretical and methodological perspectives. It also presents empirical studies where the UC time series methodology is adopted. Drawing on the intellectual influence of Andrew Harvey, the work covers three main topics: the theory and methodology for unobserved components time series models; applications of unobserved components time series models; and time series econometrics and estimation and testing. These types of time series models have seen wide application in economics, statistics, finance, climate change, engineering, biostatistics, and sports statistics. The volume effectively provides a key review into relevant research directions for UC time series econometrics and will be of interest to econometricians, time series statisticians, and practitioners (government, central banks, business) in time series analysis and forecasting, as well to researchers and graduate students in statistics, econometrics, and engineering.
Book Synopsis Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2006 by : Emilio Corchado
Download or read book Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning - IDEAL 2006 written by Emilio Corchado and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-09-26 with total page 1473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning, IDEAL 2006. The 170 revised full papers presented were carefully selected from 557 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on learning and information processing, data mining, retrieval and management, bioinformatics and bio-inspired models, agents and hybrid systems, financial engineering, as well as a special session on nature-inspired date technologies.