Best Linear Seasonal Adjustment Of Economic Time Series

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Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation

Author : Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319318225
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation by : Estela Bee Dagum

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.

Economic Time Series

Author : William R. Bell
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439846588
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Time Series by : William R. Bell

Download or read book Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-11-14 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time s

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Spectral Analysis and Parametric Methods for Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series

Author : Harry Myer Rosenblatt
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Spectral Analysis and Parametric Methods for Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series by : Harry Myer Rosenblatt

Download or read book Spectral Analysis and Parametric Methods for Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series written by Harry Myer Rosenblatt and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method

Author : Dominique Ladiray
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461301750
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method by : Dominique Ladiray

Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method written by Dominique Ladiray and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most widely used statistical method in seasonal adjustment is implemented in the X-11 Variant of the Census Method II Seasonal Adjustment Program. Developed by the US Bureau of the Census, it resulted in the X-11-ARIMA software and the X-12-ARIMA. While these integrate parametric methods, they remain close to the initial X-11 method, and it is this "core" that Seasonal Adjustment with the X-11 Method focuses on. It will be an important reference for government agencies, and other serious users of economic data.

Analysis of Economic Time Series

Author : Marc Nerlove
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483218880
Total Pages : 495 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Economic Time Series by : Marc Nerlove

Download or read book Analysis of Economic Time Series written by Marc Nerlove and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 495 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Author : Andrew C. Harvey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521405737
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter by : Andrew C. Harvey

Download or read book Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter written by Andrew C. Harvey and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A synthesis of concepts and materials, that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presents a comprehensive review of theoretical and applied concepts in modeling economic and social time series.

Joint Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series

Author : Eric J. Bartelsman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Joint Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series by : Eric J. Bartelsman

Download or read book Joint Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series written by Eric J. Bartelsman and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecasting Economic Time Series

Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 1483273245
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Economic Time Series by : C. W. J. Granger

Download or read book Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-05-10 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.

A Comparison and Assessment of Seasonal Adjustment Methods for Employment and Unemployment Statistics

Author : Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 134 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis A Comparison and Assessment of Seasonal Adjustment Methods for Employment and Unemployment Statistics by : Estela Bee Dagum

Download or read book A Comparison and Assessment of Seasonal Adjustment Methods for Employment and Unemployment Statistics written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Matrix Tricks for Linear Statistical Models

Author : Simo Puntanen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642104738
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (421 download)

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Book Synopsis Matrix Tricks for Linear Statistical Models by : Simo Puntanen

Download or read book Matrix Tricks for Linear Statistical Models written by Simo Puntanen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In teaching linear statistical models to first-year graduate students or to final-year undergraduate students there is no way to proceed smoothly without matrices and related concepts of linear algebra; their use is really essential. Our experience is that making some particular matrix tricks very familiar to students can substantially increase their insight into linear statistical models (and also multivariate statistical analysis). In matrix algebra, there are handy, sometimes even very simple “tricks” which simplify and clarify the treatment of a problem—both for the student and for the professor. Of course, the concept of a trick is not uniquely defined—by a trick we simply mean here a useful important handy result. In this book we collect together our Top Twenty favourite matrix tricks for linear statistical models.

Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling

Author : Kenneth Frank Wallis
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781782541622
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (416 download)

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Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling by : Kenneth Frank Wallis

Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling written by Kenneth Frank Wallis and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 1995-01-01 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.

Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series

Author : Estela Bee Dagum
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387354395
Total Pages : 418 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series by : Estela Bee Dagum

Download or read book Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-23 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series play a crucial role in modern economies at all levels of activity and are used by decision makers to plan for a better future. Before publication time series are subject to statistical adjustments and this is the first statistical book to systematically deal with the methods most often applied for such adjustments. Regression-based models are emphasized because of their clarity, ease of application, and superior results. Each topic is illustrated with real case examples. In order to facilitate understanding of their properties and limitations of the methods discussed a real data example is followed throughout the book.

Demand Analysis

Author : Herman O. A. Wold
Publisher : National Academies
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (589 download)

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Book Synopsis Demand Analysis by : Herman O. A. Wold

Download or read book Demand Analysis written by Herman O. A. Wold and published by National Academies. This book was released on 1953 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Mexico

Author : International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513579657
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Mexico by : International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Download or read book Mexico written by International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-07-08 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses key findings of the Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes—Data Module for Mexico. Despite the progress made and envisaged, there is scope for further improvement. The IMF staff mission identified the need for greater consistency in data recording across agencies and for regular inter-institution reconciliation exercises to resolve data discrepancies. One source of discrepancies is fixed capital formation of state and local governments, which—given the weight that these subnational units have in the aggregate—may well contribute to the significant divergence between measures of investment in the government finance statistics and in the national accounts. Accuracy and reliability of national accounts data are generally adequate and have improved since 2010.

R Cookbook

Author : Paul Teetor
Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 1449307264
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis R Cookbook by : Paul Teetor

Download or read book R Cookbook written by Paul Teetor and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2011-03-03 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With more than 200 practical recipes, this book helps you perform data analysis with R quickly and efficiently. The R language provides everything you need to do statistical work, but its structure can be difficult to master. This collection of concise, task-oriented recipes makes you productive with R immediately, with solutions ranging from basic tasks to input and output, general statistics, graphics, and linear regression. Each recipe addresses a specific problem, with a discussion that explains the solution and offers insight into how it works. If you’re a beginner, R Cookbook will help get you started. If you’re an experienced data programmer, it will jog your memory and expand your horizons. You’ll get the job done faster and learn more about R in the process. Create vectors, handle variables, and perform other basic functions Input and output data Tackle data structures such as matrices, lists, factors, and data frames Work with probability, probability distributions, and random variables Calculate statistics and confidence intervals, and perform statistical tests Create a variety of graphic displays Build statistical models with linear regressions and analysis of variance (ANOVA) Explore advanced statistical techniques, such as finding clusters in your data "Wonderfully readable, R Cookbook serves not only as a solutions manual of sorts, but as a truly enjoyable way to explore the R language—one practical example at a time."—Jeffrey Ryan, software consultant and R package author

Essays on the Great Depression

Author : Ben S. Bernanke
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691259666
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on the Great Depression by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book Essays on the Great Depression written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2024-01-09 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize–winning economist and former chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, a landmark book that provides vital lessons for understanding financial crises and their sometimes-catastrophic economic effects As chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve during the Global Financial Crisis, Ben Bernanke helped avert a greater financial disaster than the Great Depression. And he did so by drawing directly on what he had learned from years of studying the causes of the economic catastrophe of the 1930s—work for which he was later awarded the Nobel Prize. Essays on the Great Depression brings together Bernanke’s influential work on the origins and economic lessons of the Depression, and this new edition also includes his Nobel Prize lecture.