Uncertainty in Engineering

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030836401
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Engineering by : Louis J. M. Aslett

Download or read book Uncertainty in Engineering written by Louis J. M. Aslett and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book provides an introduction to uncertainty quantification in engineering. Starting with preliminaries on Bayesian statistics and Monte Carlo methods, followed by material on imprecise probabilities, it then focuses on reliability theory and simulation methods for complex systems. The final two chapters discuss various aspects of aerospace engineering, considering stochastic model updating from an imprecise Bayesian perspective, and uncertainty quantification for aerospace flight modelling. Written by experts in the subject, and based on lectures given at the Second Training School of the European Research and Training Network UTOPIAE (Uncertainty Treatment and Optimization in Aerospace Engineering), which took place at Durham University (United Kingdom) from 2 to 6 July 2018, the book offers an essential resource for students as well as scientists and practitioners.

An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030828085
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation by : Nick Heard

Download or read book An Introduction to Bayesian Inference, Methods and Computation written by Nick Heard and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-10-17 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These lecture notes provide a rapid, accessible introduction to Bayesian statistical methods. The course covers the fundamental philosophy and principles of Bayesian inference, including the reasoning behind the prior/likelihood model construction synonymous with Bayesian methods, through to advanced topics such as nonparametrics, Gaussian processes and latent factor models. These advanced modelling techniques can easily be applied using computer code samples written in Python and Stan which are integrated into the main text. Importantly, the reader will learn methods for assessing model fit, and to choose between rival modelling approaches.

Bayesian Statistical Inference

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 9780803923287
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (232 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Statistical Inference by : Gudmund R. Iversen

Download or read book Bayesian Statistical Inference written by Gudmund R. Iversen and published by SAGE. This book was released on 1984-11 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statisticians now generally acknowledge the theorectical importance of Bayesian inference, if not its practical validity. According to Gudmund R. Iversen, one reason for the lag in applications is that empirical researchers have lacked a grounding in the methodology. His volume provides this introduction and serves as a companion to #4, Tests of Significance.

Statistical Inference

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420093444
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference by : Murray Aitkin

Download or read book Statistical Inference written by Murray Aitkin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-06-02 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Filling a gap in current Bayesian theory, Statistical Inference: An Integrated Bayesian/Likelihood Approach presents a unified Bayesian treatment of parameter inference and model comparisons that can be used with simple diffuse prior specifications. This novel approach provides new solutions to difficult model comparison problems and offers direct

Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439840954
Total Pages : 677 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition by : Andrew Gelman

Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Bayesian Statistics for Experimental Scientists

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262044587
Total Pages : 473 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Statistics for Experimental Scientists by : Richard A. Chechile

Download or read book Bayesian Statistics for Experimental Scientists written by Richard A. Chechile and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2020-09-08 with total page 473 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the Bayesian approach to statistical inference that demonstrates its superiority to orthodox frequentist statistical analysis. This book offers an introduction to the Bayesian approach to statistical inference, with a focus on nonparametric and distribution-free methods. It covers not only well-developed methods for doing Bayesian statistics but also novel tools that enable Bayesian statistical analyses for cases that previously did not have a full Bayesian solution. The book's premise is that there are fundamental problems with orthodox frequentist statistical analyses that distort the scientific process. Side-by-side comparisons of Bayesian and frequentist methods illustrate the mismatch between the needs of experimental scientists in making inferences from data and the properties of the standard tools of classical statistics. The book first covers elementary probability theory, the binomial model, the multinomial model, and methods for comparing different experimental conditions or groups. It then turns its focus to distribution-free statistics that are based on having ranked data, examining data from experimental studies and rank-based correlative methods. Each chapter includes exercises that help readers achieve a more complete understanding of the material. The book devotes considerable attention not only to the linkage of statistics to practices in experimental science but also to the theoretical foundations of statistics. Frequentist statistical practices often violate their own theoretical premises. The beauty of Bayesian statistics, readers will learn, is that it is an internally coherent system of scientific inference that can be proved from probability theory.

Likelihood and Bayesian Inference

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3662607921
Total Pages : 409 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (626 download)

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Book Synopsis Likelihood and Bayesian Inference by : Leonhard Held

Download or read book Likelihood and Bayesian Inference written by Leonhard Held and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-03-31 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This richly illustrated textbook covers modern statistical methods with applications in medicine, epidemiology and biology. Firstly, it discusses the importance of statistical models in applied quantitative research and the central role of the likelihood function, describing likelihood-based inference from a frequentist viewpoint, and exploring the properties of the maximum likelihood estimate, the score function, the likelihood ratio and the Wald statistic. In the second part of the book, likelihood is combined with prior information to perform Bayesian inference. Topics include Bayesian updating, conjugate and reference priors, Bayesian point and interval estimates, Bayesian asymptotics and empirical Bayes methods. It includes a separate chapter on modern numerical techniques for Bayesian inference, and also addresses advanced topics, such as model choice and prediction from frequentist and Bayesian perspectives. This revised edition of the book “Applied Statistical Inference” has been expanded to include new material on Markov models for time series analysis. It also features a comprehensive appendix covering the prerequisites in probability theory, matrix algebra, mathematical calculus, and numerical analysis, and each chapter is complemented by exercises. The text is primarily intended for graduate statistics and biostatistics students with an interest in applications.

Bayesian Statistics for Beginners

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0198841299
Total Pages : 430 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Statistics for Beginners by : Therese M. Donovan

Download or read book Bayesian Statistics for Beginners written by Therese M. Donovan and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2019 with total page 430 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an entry-level book on Bayesian statistics written in a casual, and conversational tone. The authors walk a reader through many sample problems step-by-step to provide those with little background in math or statistics with the vocabulary, notation, and understanding of the calculations used in many Bayesian problems.

Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis

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Author :
Publisher : Addison Wesley Longman
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 618 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (97 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis by : George E. P. Box

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis written by George E. P. Box and published by Addison Wesley Longman. This book was released on 1973 with total page 618 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nature of Bayesian inference; Standard normal theory inference problems; Bayesian assessment of assumptions; Bayesian assessment of assumptions; Random effect models; Analysis of cross classification designs; Inference about means with information from more than one source: one-way classification and block designs; Some aspects of multivariate analysis; Estimation of common regression coefficients; Transformation of data.

Introduction to Bayesian Statistics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118593227
Total Pages : 805 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Bayesian Statistics by : William M. Bolstad

Download or read book Introduction to Bayesian Statistics written by William M. Bolstad and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-09-02 with total page 805 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "...this edition is useful and effective in teaching Bayesian inference at both elementary and intermediate levels. It is a well-written book on elementary Bayesian inference, and the material is easily accessible. It is both concise and timely, and provides a good collection of overviews and reviews of important tools used in Bayesian statistical methods." There is a strong upsurge in the use of Bayesian methods in applied statistical analysis, yet most introductory statistics texts only present frequentist methods. Bayesian statistics has many important advantages that students should learn about if they are going into fields where statistics will be used. In this third Edition, four newly-added chapters address topics that reflect the rapid advances in the field of Bayesian statistics. The authors continue to provide a Bayesian treatment of introductory statistical topics, such as scientific data gathering, discrete random variables, robust Bayesian methods, and Bayesian approaches to inference for discrete random variables, binomial proportions, Poisson, and normal means, and simple linear regression. In addition, more advanced topics in the field are presented in four new chapters: Bayesian inference for a normal with unknown mean and variance; Bayesian inference for a Multivariate Normal mean vector; Bayesian inference for the Multiple Linear Regression Model; and Computational Bayesian Statistics including Markov Chain Monte Carlo. The inclusion of these topics will facilitate readers' ability to advance from a minimal understanding of Statistics to the ability to tackle topics in more applied, advanced level books. Minitab macros and R functions are available on the book's related website to assist with chapter exercises. Introduction to Bayesian Statistics, Third Edition also features: Topics including the Joint Likelihood function and inference using independent Jeffreys priors and join conjugate prior The cutting-edge topic of computational Bayesian Statistics in a new chapter, with a unique focus on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods Exercises throughout the book that have been updated to reflect new applications and the latest software applications Detailed appendices that guide readers through the use of R and Minitab software for Bayesian analysis and Monte Carlo simulations, with all related macros available on the book's website Introduction to Bayesian Statistics, Third Edition is a textbook for upper-undergraduate or first-year graduate level courses on introductory statistics course with a Bayesian emphasis. It can also be used as a reference work for statisticians who require a working knowledge of Bayesian statistics.

A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387924078
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods by : Peter D. Hoff

Download or read book A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods written by Peter D. Hoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A self-contained introduction to probability, exchangeability and Bayes’ rule provides a theoretical understanding of the applied material. Numerous examples with R-code that can be run "as-is" allow the reader to perform the data analyses themselves. The development of Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in the context of data analysis examples provides motivation for these computational methods.

A Student’s Guide to Bayesian Statistics

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Publisher : SAGE
ISBN 13 : 1526418266
Total Pages : 744 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (264 download)

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Book Synopsis A Student’s Guide to Bayesian Statistics by : Ben Lambert

Download or read book A Student’s Guide to Bayesian Statistics written by Ben Lambert and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2018-04-20 with total page 744 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Supported by a wealth of learning features, exercises, and visual elements as well as online video tutorials and interactive simulations, this book is the first student-focused introduction to Bayesian statistics. Without sacrificing technical integrity for the sake of simplicity, the author draws upon accessible, student-friendly language to provide approachable instruction perfectly aimed at statistics and Bayesian newcomers. Through a logical structure that introduces and builds upon key concepts in a gradual way and slowly acclimatizes students to using R and Stan software, the book covers: An introduction to probability and Bayesian inference Understanding Bayes′ rule Nuts and bolts of Bayesian analytic methods Computational Bayes and real-world Bayesian analysis Regression analysis and hierarchical methods This unique guide will help students develop the statistical confidence and skills to put the Bayesian formula into practice, from the basic concepts of statistical inference to complex applications of analyses.

Practical Bayesian Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108127673
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Bayesian Inference by : Coryn A. L. Bailer-Jones

Download or read book Practical Bayesian Inference written by Coryn A. L. Bailer-Jones and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-04-27 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Science is fundamentally about learning from data, and doing so in the presence of uncertainty. This volume is an introduction to the major concepts of probability and statistics, and the computational tools for analysing and interpreting data. It describes the Bayesian approach, and explains how this can be used to fit and compare models in a range of problems. Topics covered include regression, parameter estimation, model assessment, and Monte Carlo methods, as well as widely used classical methods such as regularization and hypothesis testing. The emphasis throughout is on the principles, the unifying probabilistic approach, and showing how the methods can be implemented in practice. R code (with explanations) is included and is available online, so readers can reproduce the plots and results for themselves. Aimed primarily at undergraduate and graduate students, these techniques can be applied to a wide range of data analysis problems beyond the scope of this work.

Applied Bayesian and Classical Inference

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461252563
Total Pages : 341 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (612 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Bayesian and Classical Inference by : F. Mosteller

Download or read book Applied Bayesian and Classical Inference written by F. Mosteller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The new version has two additions. First, at the suggestion of Stephen Stigler I we have replaced the Table of Contents by what he calls an Analytic Table of Contents. Following the title of each section or subsection is a description of the content of the section. This material helps the reader in several ways, for example: by giving a synopsis of the book, by explaining where the various data tables are and what they deal with, by telling what theory is described where. We did several distinct full studies for the Federalist papers as well as many minor side studies. Some or all may offer information both to the applied and the theoretical reader. We therefore try to give in this Contents more than the few cryptic words in a section heading to ~peed readers in finding what they want. Seconq, we have prepared an extra chapter dealing with authorship work published from. about 1969 to 1983. Although a chapter cannot compre hensively Gover a field where many books now appear, it can mention most ofthe book-length works and the main thread of authorship' studies published in English. We founq biblical authorship studies so extensive and com plicated that we thought it worthwhile to indicate some papers that would bring out the controversies that are taking place. We hope we have given the flavor of developments over the 15 years mentioned. We have also corrected a few typographical errors.

Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521878268
Total Pages : 671 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian Inference by : Subhashis Ghosal

Download or read book Fundamentals of Nonparametric Bayesian Inference written by Subhashis Ghosal and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-06-26 with total page 671 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian nonparametrics comes of age with this landmark text synthesizing theory, methodology and computation.

Bayesian Methods for Statistical Analysis

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Publisher : ANU Press
ISBN 13 : 1921934263
Total Pages : 698 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (219 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Methods for Statistical Analysis by : Borek Puza

Download or read book Bayesian Methods for Statistical Analysis written by Borek Puza and published by ANU Press. This book was released on 2015-10-01 with total page 698 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Methods for Statistical Analysis is a book on statistical methods for analysing a wide variety of data. The book consists of 12 chapters, starting with basic concepts and covering numerous topics, including Bayesian estimation, decision theory, prediction, hypothesis testing, hierarchical models, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, finite population inference, biased sampling and nonignorable nonresponse. The book contains many exercises, all with worked solutions, including complete computer code. It is suitable for self-study or a semester-long course, with three hours of lectures and one tutorial per week for 13 weeks.

Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1315303574
Total Pages : 373 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes by : Lyle D. Broemeling

Download or read book Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes written by Lyle D. Broemeling and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-12-12 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book designed to introduce Bayesian inference procedures for stochastic processes. There are clear advantages to the Bayesian approach (including the optimal use of prior information). Initially, the book begins with a brief review of Bayesian inference and uses many examples relevant to the analysis of stochastic processes, including the four major types, namely those with discrete time and discrete state space and continuous time and continuous state space. The elements necessary to understanding stochastic processes are then introduced, followed by chapters devoted to the Bayesian analysis of such processes. It is important that a chapter devoted to the fundamental concepts in stochastic processes is included. Bayesian inference (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for discrete time Markov chains, for Markov jump processes, for normal processes (e.g. Brownian motion and the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process), for traditional time series, and, lastly, for point and spatial processes are described in detail. Heavy emphasis is placed on many examples taken from biology and other scientific disciplines. In order analyses of stochastic processes, it will use R and WinBUGS. Features: Uses the Bayesian approach to make statistical Inferences about stochastic processes The R package is used to simulate realizations from different types of processes Based on realizations from stochastic processes, the WinBUGS package will provide the Bayesian analysis (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for the unknown parameters of stochastic processes To illustrate the Bayesian inference, many examples taken from biology, economics, and astronomy will reinforce the basic concepts of the subject A practical approach is implemented by considering realistic examples of interest to the scientific community WinBUGS and R code are provided in the text, allowing the reader to easily verify the results of the inferential procedures found in the many examples of the book Readers with a good background in two areas, probability theory and statistical inference, should be able to master the essential ideas of this book.