Bayesian Inference For Stochastic Processes

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Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes

Author : Lyle D. Broemeling
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1315303574
Total Pages : 373 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes by : Lyle D. Broemeling

Download or read book Bayesian Inference for Stochastic Processes written by Lyle D. Broemeling and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-12-12 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book designed to introduce Bayesian inference procedures for stochastic processes. There are clear advantages to the Bayesian approach (including the optimal use of prior information). Initially, the book begins with a brief review of Bayesian inference and uses many examples relevant to the analysis of stochastic processes, including the four major types, namely those with discrete time and discrete state space and continuous time and continuous state space. The elements necessary to understanding stochastic processes are then introduced, followed by chapters devoted to the Bayesian analysis of such processes. It is important that a chapter devoted to the fundamental concepts in stochastic processes is included. Bayesian inference (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for discrete time Markov chains, for Markov jump processes, for normal processes (e.g. Brownian motion and the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process), for traditional time series, and, lastly, for point and spatial processes are described in detail. Heavy emphasis is placed on many examples taken from biology and other scientific disciplines. In order analyses of stochastic processes, it will use R and WinBUGS. Features: Uses the Bayesian approach to make statistical Inferences about stochastic processes The R package is used to simulate realizations from different types of processes Based on realizations from stochastic processes, the WinBUGS package will provide the Bayesian analysis (estimation, testing hypotheses, and prediction) for the unknown parameters of stochastic processes To illustrate the Bayesian inference, many examples taken from biology, economics, and astronomy will reinforce the basic concepts of the subject A practical approach is implemented by considering realistic examples of interest to the scientific community WinBUGS and R code are provided in the text, allowing the reader to easily verify the results of the inferential procedures found in the many examples of the book Readers with a good background in two areas, probability theory and statistical inference, should be able to master the essential ideas of this book.

Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models

Author : David Insua
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118304039
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (183 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models by : David Insua

Download or read book Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models written by David Insua and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-04-02 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian analysis of complex models based on stochastic processes has in recent years become a growing area. This book provides a unified treatment of Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, covering the main classes of stochastic processing including modeling, computational, inference, forecasting, decision making and important applied models. Key features: Explores Bayesian analysis of models based on stochastic processes, providing a unified treatment. Provides a thorough introduction for research students. Computational tools to deal with complex problems are illustrated along with real life case studies Looks at inference, prediction and decision making. Researchers, graduate and advanced undergraduate students interested in stochastic processes in fields such as statistics, operations research (OR), engineering, finance, economics, computer science and Bayesian analysis will benefit from reading this book. With numerous applications included, practitioners of OR, stochastic modelling and applied statistics will also find this book useful.

Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Processes with YUIMA

Author : Stefano M. Iacus
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319555693
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Processes with YUIMA by : Stefano M. Iacus

Download or read book Simulation and Inference for Stochastic Processes with YUIMA written by Stefano M. Iacus and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-01 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The YUIMA package is the first comprehensive R framework based on S4 classes and methods which allows for the simulation of stochastic differential equations driven by Wiener process, Lévy processes or fractional Brownian motion, as well as CARMA, COGARCH, and Point processes. The package performs various central statistical analyses such as quasi maximum likelihood estimation, adaptive Bayes estimation, structural change point analysis, hypotheses testing, asynchronous covariance estimation, lead-lag estimation, LASSO model selection, and so on. YUIMA also supports stochastic numerical analysis by fast computation of the expected value of functionals of stochastic processes through automatic asymptotic expansion by means of the Malliavin calculus. All models can be multidimensional, multiparametric or non parametric.The book explains briefly the underlying theory for simulation and inference of several classes of stochastic processes and then presents both simulation experiments and applications to real data. Although these processes have been originally proposed in physics and more recently in finance, they are becoming popular also in biology due to the fact the time course experimental data are now available. The YUIMA package, available on CRAN, can be freely downloaded and this companion book will make the user able to start his or her analysis from the first page.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Author : Dani Gamerman
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780412818202
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Chain Monte Carlo by : Dani Gamerman

Download or read book Markov Chain Monte Carlo written by Dani Gamerman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bridging the gap between research and application, Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference provides a concise, and integrated account of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for performing Bayesian inference. This volume, which was developed from a short course taught by the author at a meeting of Brazilian statisticians and probabilists, retains the didactic character of the original course text. The self-contained text units make MCMC accessible to scientists in other disciplines as well as statisticians. It describes each component of the theory in detail and outlines related software, which is of particular benefit to applied scientists.

Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes

Author : Peter Olofsson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470889748
Total Pages : 573 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes by : Peter Olofsson

Download or read book Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes written by Peter Olofsson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-05-22 with total page 573 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for the First Edition ". . . an excellent textbook . . . well organized and neatly written." —Mathematical Reviews ". . . amazingly interesting . . ." —Technometrics Thoroughly updated to showcase the interrelationships between probability, statistics, and stochastic processes, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition prepares readers to collect, analyze, and characterize data in their chosen fields. Beginning with three chapters that develop probability theory and introduce the axioms of probability, random variables, and joint distributions, the book goes on to present limit theorems and simulation. The authors combine a rigorous, calculus-based development of theory with an intuitive approach that appeals to readers' sense of reason and logic. Including more than 400 examples that help illustrate concepts and theory, the Second Edition features new material on statistical inference and a wealth of newly added topics, including: Consistency of point estimators Large sample theory Bootstrap simulation Multiple hypothesis testing Fisher's exact test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test Martingales, renewal processes, and Brownian motion One-way analysis of variance and the general linear model Extensively class-tested to ensure an accessible presentation, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition is an excellent book for courses on probability and statistics at the upper-undergraduate level. The book is also an ideal resource for scientists and engineers in the fields of statistics, mathematics, industrial management, and engineering.

Statistical Inference for Ergodic Diffusion Processes

Author : Yury A. Kutoyants
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 144713866X
Total Pages : 493 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference for Ergodic Diffusion Processes by : Yury A. Kutoyants

Download or read book Statistical Inference for Ergodic Diffusion Processes written by Yury A. Kutoyants and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first book in inference for stochastic processes from a statistical, rather than a probabilistic, perspective. It provides a systematic exposition of theoretical results from over ten years of mathematical literature and presents, for the first time in book form, many new techniques and approaches.

Bayesian Data Analysis

Author : Andrew Gelman
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439898200
Total Pages : 663 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Data Analysis by : Andrew Gelman

Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the 2016 De Groot Prize from the International Society for Bayesian AnalysisNow in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied

Inference for Diffusion Processes

Author : Christiane Fuchs
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642259693
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference for Diffusion Processes by : Christiane Fuchs

Download or read book Inference for Diffusion Processes written by Christiane Fuchs and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-01-18 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Diffusion processes are a promising instrument for realistically modelling the time-continuous evolution of phenomena not only in the natural sciences but also in finance and economics. Their mathematical theory, however, is challenging, and hence diffusion modelling is often carried out incorrectly, and the according statistical inference is considered almost exclusively by theoreticians. This book explains both topics in an illustrative way which also addresses practitioners. It provides a complete overview of the current state of research and presents important, novel insights. The theory is demonstrated using real data applications.

Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis

Author : George E. P. Box
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111803144X
Total Pages : 610 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis by : George E. P. Box

Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Statistical Analysis written by George E. P. Box and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-01-25 with total page 610 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Its main objective is to examine the application and relevance of Bayes' theorem to problems that arise in scientific investigation in which inferences must be made regarding parameter values about which little is known a priori. Begins with a discussion of some important general aspects of the Bayesian approach such as the choice of prior distribution, particularly noninformative prior distribution, the problem of nuisance parameters and the role of sufficient statistics, followed by many standard problems concerned with the comparison of location and scale parameters. The main thrust is an investigation of questions with appropriate analysis of mathematical results which are illustrated with numerical examples, providing evidence of the value of the Bayesian approach.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Author : Dani Gamerman
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781584885870
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (858 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Chain Monte Carlo by : Dani Gamerman

Download or read book Markov Chain Monte Carlo written by Dani Gamerman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-05-10 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While there have been few theoretical contributions on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the past decade, current understanding and application of MCMC to the solution of inference problems has increased by leaps and bounds. Incorporating changes in theory and highlighting new applications, Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference, Second Edition presents a concise, accessible, and comprehensive introduction to the methods of this valuable simulation technique. The second edition includes access to an internet site that provides the code, written in R and WinBUGS, used in many of the previously existing and new examples and exercises. More importantly, the self-explanatory nature of the codes will enable modification of the inputs to the codes and variation on many directions will be available for further exploration. Major changes from the previous edition: · More examples with discussion of computational details in chapters on Gibbs sampling and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms · Recent developments in MCMC, including reversible jump, slice sampling, bridge sampling, path sampling, multiple-try, and delayed rejection · Discussion of computation using both R and WinBUGS · Additional exercises and selected solutions within the text, with all data sets and software available for download from the Web · Sections on spatial models and model adequacy The self-contained text units make MCMC accessible to scientists in other disciplines as well as statisticians. The book will appeal to everyone working with MCMC techniques, especially research and graduate statisticians and biostatisticians, and scientists handling data and formulating models. The book has been substantially reinforced as a first reading of material on MCMC and, consequently, as a textbook for modern Bayesian computation and Bayesian inference courses.

Stochastic Processes

Author : Pierre Del Moral
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498701841
Total Pages : 866 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Processes by : Pierre Del Moral

Download or read book Stochastic Processes written by Pierre Del Moral and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-02-24 with total page 866 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlike traditional books presenting stochastic processes in an academic way, this book includes concrete applications that students will find interesting such as gambling, finance, physics, signal processing, statistics, fractals, and biology. Written with an important illustrated guide in the beginning, it contains many illustrations, photos and pictures, along with several website links. Computational tools such as simulation and Monte Carlo methods are included as well as complete toolboxes for both traditional and new computational techniques.

Stochastic Modelling for Systems Biology

Author : Darren J. Wilkinson
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781584885405
Total Pages : 296 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (854 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modelling for Systems Biology by : Darren J. Wilkinson

Download or read book Stochastic Modelling for Systems Biology written by Darren J. Wilkinson and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-04-18 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although stochastic kinetic models are increasingly accepted as the best way to represent and simulate genetic and biochemical networks, most researchers in the field have limited knowledge of stochastic process theory. The stochastic processes formalism provides a beautiful, elegant, and coherent foundation for chemical kinetics and there is a wealth of associated theory every bit as powerful and elegant as that for conventional continuous deterministic models. The time is right for an introductory text written from this perspective. Stochastic Modelling for Systems Biology presents an accessible introduction to stochastic modelling using examples that are familiar to systems biology researchers. Focusing on computer simulation, the author examines the use of stochastic processes for modelling biological systems. He provides a comprehensive understanding of stochastic kinetic modelling of biological networks in the systems biology context. The text covers the latest simulation techniques and research material, such as parameter inference, and includes many examples and figures as well as software code in R for various applications. While emphasizing the necessary probabilistic and stochastic methods, the author takes a practical approach, rooting his theoretical development in discussions of the intended application. Written with self-study in mind, the book includes technical chapters that deal with the difficult problems of inference for stochastic kinetic models from experimental data. Providing enough background information to make the subject accessible to the non-specialist, the book integrates a fairly diverse literature into a single convenient and notationally consistent source.

Statistical Inferences for Stochasic Processes

Author : Ishwar V. Basawa
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inferences for Stochasic Processes by : Ishwar V. Basawa

Download or read book Statistical Inferences for Stochasic Processes written by Ishwar V. Basawa and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 1980-01-28 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introductory examples of stochastic models; Special models; General theory; Further approaches.

A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods

Author : Peter D. Hoff
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387924078
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods by : Peter D. Hoff

Download or read book A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods written by Peter D. Hoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A self-contained introduction to probability, exchangeability and Bayes’ rule provides a theoretical understanding of the applied material. Numerous examples with R-code that can be run "as-is" allow the reader to perform the data analyses themselves. The development of Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in the context of data analysis examples provides motivation for these computational methods.

An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis

Author : Jayanta K. Ghosh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387354336
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis by : Jayanta K. Ghosh

Download or read book An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis written by Jayanta K. Ghosh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-03 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a graduate-level textbook on Bayesian analysis blending modern Bayesian theory, methods, and applications. Starting from basic statistics, undergraduate calculus and linear algebra, ideas of both subjective and objective Bayesian analysis are developed to a level where real-life data can be analyzed using the current techniques of statistical computing. Advances in both low-dimensional and high-dimensional problems are covered, as well as important topics such as empirical Bayes and hierarchical Bayes methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Many topics are at the cutting edge of statistical research. Solutions to common inference problems appear throughout the text along with discussion of what prior to choose. There is a discussion of elicitation of a subjective prior as well as the motivation, applicability, and limitations of objective priors. By way of important applications the book presents microarrays, nonparametric regression via wavelets as well as DMA mixtures of normals, and spatial analysis with illustrations using simulated and real data. Theoretical topics at the cutting edge include high-dimensional model selection and Intrinsic Bayes Factors, which the authors have successfully applied to geological mapping. The style is informal but clear. Asymptotics is used to supplement simulation or understand some aspects of the posterior.

Probability and Bayesian Statistics

Author : R. Viertl
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461318858
Total Pages : 505 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (613 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Bayesian Statistics by : R. Viertl

Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Statistics written by R. Viertl and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains selected and refereed contributions to the "Inter national Symposium on Probability and Bayesian Statistics" which was orga nized to celebrate the 80th birthday of Professor Bruno de Finetti at his birthplace Innsbruck in Austria. Since Professor de Finetti died in 1985 the symposium was dedicated to the memory of Bruno de Finetti and took place at Igls near Innsbruck from 23 to 26 September 1986. Some of the pa pers are published especially by the relationship to Bruno de Finetti's scientific work. The evolution of stochastics shows growing importance of probability as coherent assessment of numerical values as degrees of believe in certain events. This is the basis for Bayesian inference in the sense of modern statistics. The contributions in this volume cover a broad spectrum ranging from foundations of probability across psychological aspects of formulating sub jective probability statements, abstract measure theoretical considerations, contributions to theoretical statistics and stochastic processes, to real applications in economics, reliability and hydrology. Also the question is raised if it is necessary to develop new techniques to model and analyze fuzzy observations in samples. The articles are arranged in alphabetical order according to the family name of the first author of each paper to avoid a hierarchical ordering of importance of the different topics. Readers interested in special topics can use the index at the end of the book as guide.

Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R

Author : Robert P. Dobrow
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118740653
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R by : Robert P. Dobrow

Download or read book Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R written by Robert P. Dobrow and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-07 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to stochastic processes through the use of R Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R is an accessible and well-balanced presentation of the theory of stochastic processes, with an emphasis on real-world applications of probability theory in the natural and social sciences. The use of simulation, by means of the popular statistical software R, makes theoretical results come alive with practical, hands-on demonstrations. Written by a highly-qualified expert in the field, the author presents numerous examples from a wide array of disciplines, which are used to illustrate concepts and highlight computational and theoretical results. Developing readers’ problem-solving skills and mathematical maturity, Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R features: More than 200 examples and 600 end-of-chapter exercises A tutorial for getting started with R, and appendices that contain review material in probability and matrix algebra Discussions of many timely and stimulating topics including Markov chain Monte Carlo, random walk on graphs, card shuffling, Black–Scholes options pricing, applications in biology and genetics, cryptography, martingales, and stochastic calculus Introductions to mathematics as needed in order to suit readers at many mathematical levels A companion web site that includes relevant data files as well as all R code and scripts used throughout the book Introduction to Stochastic Processes with R is an ideal textbook for an introductory course in stochastic processes. The book is aimed at undergraduate and beginning graduate-level students in the science, technology, engineering, and mathematics disciplines. The book is also an excellent reference for applied mathematicians and statisticians who are interested in a review of the topic.