Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility

Download Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Avoid A Fall Or Fly Again Turning Points Of State Fragility ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility

Author : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573683
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility by : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi

Download or read book Avoid a Fall Or Fly Again: Turning Points of State Fragility written by Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: High persistence of state fragility (a fragility trap) suggests the presence of substantial benefits from avoiding a fall into fragility and considerable hurdles to successful exit from fragility. This paper empirically examines the factors that affect the turning points of entering and exiting from state fragility by employing three different approaches: an event study, the synthetic control method, and a logit model. We find that avoiding economic contraction is critical to prevent a country on the brink of fragility from falling into fragility (e.g., among near fragile countries, the probability of entering fragility would rise by 40 percentage points should real GDP per capita growth decline from +2.5 percent to -2.5 percent). Also, strengthening government effectiveness together with increasing political inclusion and maintaining robust economic activity should help make exit from fragility more successful and sustainable. In the current environment (the COVID-19 crisis and its aftermath), the findings suggest the importance of providing well-directed fiscal stimulus with sufficient financing, (subject to appropriate governance safeguards and well-designed policies), and protecting critical socio-economic spending to keep vulnerable countries away from being caught in a fragility trap.

Handbook of Fragile States

Author : David Carment
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1800883471
Total Pages : 431 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (8 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Handbook of Fragile States by : David Carment

Download or read book Handbook of Fragile States written by David Carment and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2023-08-14 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely Handbook examines the causes, costs and consequences of state fragility, advancing key debates in the field. Demonstrating the multidimensionality of fragility by applying diverse theories and methodologies, it provides new insights on effective policy development and application in the context of fragile states.

Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States

Author : Jocelyn Boussard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States by : Jocelyn Boussard

Download or read book Global Shocks Unfolding: Lessons from Fragile and Conflict-affected States written by Jocelyn Boussard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-10-04 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the consequences of global shocks on a sample of low- and lower-middle-income countries with a particular focus on fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS). FCS are a group of countries that display institutional weakness and/or are negatively affected by active conflict, thereby facing challenges in macroeconomic policy management. Examining different global shocks associated with commodity prices, external demand, and financing conditions, this paper establishes that FCS economies are more vulnerable to these shocks compared to non-FCS peers. The higher sensitivity of FCS economies is mainly driven by procyclical fiscal responses, aggravated by the lack of effective spending controls and timely access to financial sources. External financing serves as a source of stability, partially mitigating the adverse impact of global shocks. This paper contributes to a better understanding of how conditions of fragility, which are on the rise in many parts of the world today, can amplify the effects of negative exogenous shocks. Its results highlight the diverse nature of underlying sources of vulnerabilities, spanning from fiscal and external buffers to institutional quality and economic structure, with lessons applicable to a broader set of countries. Efficient and timely external financial support from external partners, including international financial institutions, should help countries’ counter-cyclical responses to mitigate adverse shocks and achieve macroeconomic stability.

Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS)

Author : International Monetary
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 85 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) by : International Monetary

Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on the Implementation of the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-03-22 with total page 85 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides operational advice and information to help staff implement the IMF Strategy for Fragile and Conflict-Affected States (FCS) approved by the Executive Board on March 9, 2022. Topics covered include (i) the new IMF FCS classification methodology, which is aligned with that of the World Bank; (ii) the preparation of Country Engagement Strategies (CES) that will be rolled out across FCS to ensure that Fund engagement is appropriately tailored to country-specific manifestations of fragility and/or conflict; (iii) advice on tailoring the thematic focus of Article IV consultations and Fund analytics to FCS, as well as on the prioritization, design, and implementation of capacity development (CD) projects in fragile contexts; (iv) guidance on making full use of the flexibilities of the lending toolkit; (v) guidance on engaging in specific FCS situations, including building accountable institutions to exit fragility, cases of rising fragility risks, active conflict, post-conflict, and addressing the impact of external shocks and spillovers; and (v) strengthening partnerships with humanitarian, development, and peace actors, in accordance with the Fund's mandate. Dedicated annexes provide additional information on the CES process, addressing good governance in FCS, program design, and country examples of Fund engagement in FCS.

Mali

Author : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Mali by : International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Download or read book Mali written by International Monetary Fund. African Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-06-14 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mali: Selected Issues

World Social Report 2024

Author : Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Publisher : Stylus Publishing, LLC
ISBN 13 : 9211065194
Total Pages : 257 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (11 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis World Social Report 2024 by : Department of Economic and Social Affairs

Download or read book World Social Report 2024 written by Department of Economic and Social Affairs and published by Stylus Publishing, LLC. This book was released on 2024-10-17 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The nature of crises has been transformed significantly in recent years. Shocks have become more intense, widespread, and interlinked. Extreme weather events happen with increasing frequency and ferocity; economic, financial, social, and health shocks quickly spread around the world; conflict and insecurity are a daily reality for millions. The combined effect of more numerous and more powerful shocks, denser interconnections, and existing shortfalls creates a daunting challenge to social development in countries, already struggling to make significant progress on the Sustainable Development Goals.

Zimbabwe: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe

Author : International Monetary
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Zimbabwe: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe by : International Monetary

Download or read book Zimbabwe: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Zimbabwe written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-04-08 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Zimbabwe experienced severe exogenous shocks (cyclone Idai, protracted drought, and the COVID-19 pandemic) during 2019-20, which along with policy missteps in 2019, led to a deep recession and high inflation. Real GDP contracted cumulatively by 11.7 percent during 2019-20 and inflation reached 837 percent (y/y) by July 2020. Reflecting good rainfall and relaxation of containment measures, real GDP rose by 6.3 percent in 2021. A tighter policy stance since mid-2020 (relative to 2019) has contributed to reducing inflation to 60.7 percent (y/y) at end-2021. However, high double-digit inflation and wide parallel foreign exchange (FX) market premia persist. The economic downturn and high inflation increased the financial system vulnerabilities. Extreme poverty has risen and about a third of the population is at risk of food insecurity. The international community seeks improvements in domestic political conditions and economic policies to initiate reengagement with Zimbabwe. The authorities have started token payments to external creditors in a bid to revive international reengagement.

Global Trends 2040

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Antifragile

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 13 : 0812979680
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (129 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Antifragile by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Antifragile written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House Trade Paperbacks. This book was released on 2014-01-28 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile “Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.”—The Economist “A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.”—Newsweek

States of Fragility 2020

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264985166
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (649 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis States of Fragility 2020 by : OECD

Download or read book States of Fragility 2020 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2020-09-17 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: States of Fragility 2020 sets a policy agenda for fragility at a critical turning point: the final countdown on Agenda 2030 is at hand, and the pandemic has reversed hard-fought gains. This report examines fragility as a story in two parts: the global state of fragility that existed before COVID-19, and the dramatic impact the pandemic is having on that landscape.

Global Trends

Author : National Intelligence Council and Office
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781543054705
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (547 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Global Trends by : National Intelligence Council and Office

Download or read book Global Trends written by National Intelligence Council and Office and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their implications, and offers up three scenarios to help readers imagine how different choices and developments could play out in very different ways over the next several decades. Two annexes lay out more detail. The first lays out five-year forecasts for each region of the world. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train.

Natural Resources and Violent Conflict

Author : Ian Bannon
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 9780821355039
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (55 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Natural Resources and Violent Conflict by : Ian Bannon

Download or read book Natural Resources and Violent Conflict written by Ian Bannon and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2003-01-01 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research carried out by the World Bank on the root causes of conflict and civil war finds that a developing country's economic dependence on natural resources or other primary commodities is strongly associated with the risk level for violent conflict. This book brings together a collection of reports and case studies that explore what the international community in particular can do to reduce this risk.; The text explains the links between natural resources and conflict and examines the impact of resource dependence on economic performance, governance, secessionist movements and revel financing. It then explores avenues for international action - from financial and resource reporting procedures and policy recommendations to commodity tracking systems and enforcement instruments, including sanctions, certification requirements, aid conditionality, legislative and judicial instruments.

Global Trends 2030

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646797721
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (977 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Global Trends 2030 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2030 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2018-02-07 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important report, Global Trends 2030-Alternative Worlds, released in 2012 by the U.S. National Intelligence Council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Among the megatrends, it analyzes: - increased individual empowerment - the diffusion of power among states and the ascent of a networked multi-polar world - a world's population growing to 8.3 billion people, of which sixty percent will live in urbanized areas, and surging cross-border migration - expanding demand for food, water, and energy It furthermore describes potential game changers, including: - a global economy that could thrive or collapse - increased global insecurity due to regional instability in the Middle East and South Asia - new technologies that could solve the problems caused by the megatrends - the possibility, but by no means the certainty, that the U.S. with new partners will reinvent the international system Students of trends, forward-looking entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades will find this essential reading.

Twitter and Tear Gas

Author : Zeynep Tufekci
Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300228171
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Twitter and Tear Gas by : Zeynep Tufekci

Download or read book Twitter and Tear Gas written by Zeynep Tufekci and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2017-05-16 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A firsthand account and incisive analysis of modern protest, revealing internet-fueled social movements’ greatest strengths and frequent challenges To understand a thwarted Turkish coup, an anti–Wall Street encampment, and a packed Tahrir Square, we must first comprehend the power and the weaknesses of using new technologies to mobilize large numbers of people. An incisive observer, writer, and participant in today’s social movements, Zeynep Tufekci explains in this accessible and compelling book the nuanced trajectories of modern protests—how they form, how they operate differently from past protests, and why they have difficulty persisting in their long-term quests for change. Tufekci speaks from direct experience, combining on-the-ground interviews with insightful analysis. She describes how the internet helped the Zapatista uprisings in Mexico, the necessity of remote Twitter users to organize medical supplies during Arab Spring, the refusal to use bullhorns in the Occupy Movement that started in New York, and the empowering effect of tear gas in Istanbul’s Gezi Park. These details from life inside social movements complete a moving investigation of authority, technology, and culture—and offer essential insights into the future of governance.

Pathways for Peace

Author : United Nations;World Bank
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464811865
Total Pages : 415 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Pathways for Peace by : United Nations;World Bank

Download or read book Pathways for Peace written by United Nations;World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2018-04-13 with total page 415 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Violent conflicts today are complex and increasingly protracted, involving more nonstate groups and regional and international actors. It is estimated that by 2030—the horizon set by the international community for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals—more than half of the world’s poor will be living in countries affected by high levels of violence. Information and communication technology, population movements, and climate change are also creating shared risks that must be managed at both national and international levels. Pathways for Peace is a joint United Nations†“World Bank Group study that originates from the conviction that the international community’s attention must urgently be refocused on prevention. A scaled-up system for preventive action would save between US$5 billion and US$70 billion per year, which could be reinvested in reducing poverty and improving the well-being of populations. The study aims to improve the way in which domestic development processes interact with security, diplomacy, mediation, and other efforts to prevent conflicts from becoming violent. It stresses the importance of grievances related to exclusion—from access to power, natural resources, security and justice, for example—that are at the root of many violent conflicts today. Based on a review of cases in which prevention has been successful, the study makes recommendations for countries facing emerging risks of violent conflict as well as for the international community. Development policies and programs must be a core part of preventive efforts; when risks are high or building up, inclusive solutions through dialogue, adapted macroeconomic policies, institutional reform, and redistributive policies are required. Inclusion is key, and preventive action needs to adopt a more people-centered approach that includes mainstreaming citizen engagement. Enhancing the participation of women and youth in decision making is fundamental to sustaining peace, as well as long-term policies to address the aspirations of women and young people.

The Responsibility to Protect

Author : International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty
Publisher : IDRC
ISBN 13 : 9780889369634
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (696 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Responsibility to Protect by : International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty

Download or read book The Responsibility to Protect written by International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty and published by IDRC. This book was released on 2001 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Responsibility to Protect: Research, bibliography, background. Supplementary volume to the Report of the International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty

State Institutions and Tax Capacity: An Empirical Investigation of Causality

Author : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513511548
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis State Institutions and Tax Capacity: An Empirical Investigation of Causality by : Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi

Download or read book State Institutions and Tax Capacity: An Empirical Investigation of Causality written by Olusegun Ayodele Akanbi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-08-16 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Would better state institutions increase tax collection, or would higher tax collection help improve state institutions? In the absence of conclusive guidance from theory, this paper searches for an empirical answer to this question, using a panel dataset covering 110 non-resource-rich countries from 1996 to 2017. Employing a panel vector error correction model, the paper finds that tax capacity and state institutions cause and reinforce each other for a wide range of country groups. The bi-directional causality results suggest that developing tax capacity and building state institutions need to go hand in hand for best results, particularly in developing countries. Based on the impulse response analyses, the paper also finds that the causal effects in advanced economies are generally low in both directions, while in developing countries, both tax capacity and institutions shocks have larger positive impacts on institutions and tax capacity, respectively.