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Asymmetric Volatility In Equity Markets Around The World
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Book Synopsis Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets Around the World by : Jone Horpestad
Download or read book Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets Around the World written by Jone Horpestad and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The observation that price declines usually lead to volatility increases is known as the asymmetric volatility effect and has become a stylized fact about the financial markets. We study asymmetric volatility effect in 19 equity indices from North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia and Australia, utilizing not only daily data and four GARCH class models, but also realized volatility calculated from high-frequency data within HAR class models. We first confirm the stylized fact that stock market indices around the world exhibit the asymmetric volatility effect. This effect is stronger for US and European market indices. Second, we find that the asymmetric volatility effect is strong enough to significantly improve out-of-sample forecasts of an accurate HAR volatility model. Third, we show that forecast improvements of the asymmetric volatility models are largest during periods of higher market volatility, when accurate volatility forecasts matter the most.
Book Synopsis On Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets by : Guojun Wu
Download or read book On Asymmetric Volatility in Equity Markets written by Guojun Wu and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book Asymmetric Volatility and Risk in Equity Markets written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical application uses the market portfolio and portfolios with different leverage constructed from Nikkei 225 stocks, extending the empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and the portfolio levels, its source differs across portfolios. We find that it is important to include leverage ratios in the volatility dynamics but that their economic effects are mostly dwarfed by the volatility feedback mechanism. Volatility feedback is enhanced by a phenomenon that we term covariance asymmetry: conditional covariances with the market increase only significantly following negative market news. We do not find significant asymmetries in conditional betas.
Book Synopsis Explaining Asymmetric Volatility around the World by : Tõnn Talpsepp
Download or read book Explaining Asymmetric Volatility around the World written by Tõnn Talpsepp and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the APARCH model and two outlier detection methods, we compute reliable time series of volatility asymmetry for 49 countries with relatively few observations. Results show a steady increase in the asymmetry over the years for most countries. We find that economic development and market capitalization/GDP are the most important factors that increase volatility asymmetry. We also find that higher participation of private investors and coverage by financial analysts increases the asymmetry, suggesting investor sentiment as a driving force. Leverage and feasibility of short-selling increase volatility in falling market conditions, although only to a smaller extent.
Book Synopsis Asymmetric Volatility, Risk and Return Tradeoff in Asian Pacific Stock Markets by : Usman Bashir
Download or read book Asymmetric Volatility, Risk and Return Tradeoff in Asian Pacific Stock Markets written by Usman Bashir and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Integration and the Asymmetric Transmission of Volatility by : Bruce Allen Hearn
Download or read book Integration and the Asymmetric Transmission of Volatility written by Bruce Allen Hearn and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Considerable attention has been given to market integration and volatility transmission between national stock markets, although this has previously been confined to OECD countries or emerging markets in Latin America and Asia-Pacific. Using a new and comprehensive dataset, this paper finds evidence of volatility transmission between ten rival markets in SSA, noting that this volatility is intrinsically asymmetric. Extensive spillovers are found across these markets, some uni-directional and others bilateral. However, continued illiquidity, incomplete institutions and low levels of domestic participation indicate that an integrated financial community remains premature, and considerable regulatory reform and harmonisation will be necessary before this can be achieved.
Book Synopsis Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices by : Sofiane Aboura
Download or read book Extreme Asymmetric Volatility, Leverage, Feedback and Asset Prices written by Sofiane Aboura and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asymmetric volatility in equity markets has been widely documented in finance, where two competing explanations, as considered in Bekaert and Wu (2000), are the financial leverage and the volatility feedback hypothesis. We explicitly test for the role of both hypotheses in explaining extreme daily U.S. equity market movements during the period January 1990 to September 2008. To this aim, we examine asymmetric volatility based on a novel model of market returns, implied market volatility and volatility of volatility. We then test for extreme asymmetry and the distinct predictions of both hypotheses. Our results document significant extreme asymmetric volatility. This effect is contemporaneous, consistent with both hypotheses, and it is important for large market declines. We further derive aggregate asset pricing implications under extreme volatility feedback. Given our results, asymmetric volatility, which includes the effect of volatility feedback at extreme levels, is shown to play an important role in explaining substantial equity market declines.
Book Synopsis Chinese and World Equity Markets by : Kuan-Pin Lin
Download or read book Chinese and World Equity Markets written by Kuan-Pin Lin and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After more than fifteen years of Chinese equity markets, we study how variance, covariance, and correlations have developed in these markets relative to world markets, based on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model of Engle (2002). Chinese markets offer A-shares to domestic investors and otherwise identical B-shares to foreign investors. We find that the volatility of A-shares has declined over the past decade. We find no asymmetric volatility relative to world markets in China. Contrary to the global trend of increasing cross-country correlations, we find stationary correlations for China. A-share indices have never been correlated with world markets, and B-share indices exhibit a low degree of correlation with Western markets (0-5%) and a slightly higher degree of correlation with other Asian markets (10-20%). We interpret these findings using Gordon's growth model.
Book Synopsis Pacific-basin Capital Markets Research by : S. Ghon Rhee
Download or read book Pacific-basin Capital Markets Research written by S. Ghon Rhee and published by North Holland. This book was released on 1990 with total page 724 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hardbound. This volume of papers from the second Conference held in June 4-6, 1990, Bangkok, Thailand, consists of keynote addresses, competitive research award papers, invited and selected papers.
Book Synopsis Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets by : Pardeep Singh
Download or read book Volatility Spillover Across Major Equity Markets written by Pardeep Singh and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility spillover among major equity markets has long fascinated academicians and researchers alike. This paper presents an elaborate survey and analysis of the literature on the subject. Review of extant studies on various basis such as markets studied, methodology employed, among others has important implications for various stakeholders. We report that there has been wide variation in results because different studies have examined different markets using wide range of financial econometric methodologies. Some have considered only volatility or both volatility and spillover. Still others have incorporated the impact of global financial crisis on volatility spillover. Future researchers should examine if there is any volatility spillovers between various sectors of an economy, between different financial markets of the same economy, amongst same sectors of different markets, probe whether size effect is relevant, identify the transmission channels of volatility spillover, enumerate reasons behind volatility spillover, examine asymmetric volatility responses among stock markets and can use more advanced econometric techniques.
Book Synopsis Asymmetry in Volatility by : Piotr Wdowinski
Download or read book Asymmetry in Volatility written by Piotr Wdowinski and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Extreme Asymmetric Volatility by : Sofiane Aboura
Download or read book Extreme Asymmetric Volatility written by Sofiane Aboura and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asymmetric volatility in equity markets has been widely documented in finance (Bekaert and Wu (2000)). We study asymmetric volatility for daily Samp;P 500 index returns and VIX index changes, thereby examining the relation between extreme changes in risk-neutral volatility expectations, i.e. market stress, and aggregate asset prices. To this aim, we model market returns, implied VIX market volatility and volatility of volatility, showing that the latter is asymmetric in that past positive volatility shocks drive positive shocks to volatility of volatility. Our main result documents the existence of a significant extreme asymmetric volatility effect as we find contemporaneous volatility-return tail dependence for crashes but not for booms. We then outline aggregate market price implications of extreme asymmetric volatility, indicating that under volatility feedback a one-in-a-hundred trading day innovation to average VIX implied volatility, for example, relates to an expected market drop of more than 4 percent.
Book Synopsis The Determinants of Asymmetric Volatility by : Guojun Wu
Download or read book The Determinants of Asymmetric Volatility written by Guojun Wu and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: contemporaneous return and conditional return volatility are negatively correlated. In this paper we develop an asymmetric volatility model where dividend growth and dividend volatility are the two state variables of the economy. The model allows both the leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect, the two popular explanations of the asymmetry. The model is estimated by the simulated method of moments. We find that both the leverage effect and the volatility feedback are important determinants of asymmetric volatility, and volatility feedback is significant both statistically and economically.
Book Synopsis Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2015-02-03 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Connections among different assets, asset classes, portfolios, and the stocks of individual institutions are critical in examining financial markets. Interest in financial markets implies interest in underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. In Financial and Macroeconomic Connectedness, Frank Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz propose a simple framework for defining, measuring, and monitoring connectedness, which is central to finance and macroeconomics. These measures of connectedness are theoretically rigorous yet empirically relevant. The approach to connectedness proposed by the authors is intimately related to the familiar econometric notion of variance decomposition. The full set of variance decompositions from vector auto-regressions produces the core of the 'connectedness table.' The connectedness table makes clear how one can begin with the most disaggregated pair-wise directional connectedness measures and aggregate them in various ways to obtain total connectedness measures. The authors also show that variance decompositions define weighted, directed networks, so that these proposed connectedness measures are intimately related to key measures of connectedness used in the network literature. After describing their methods in the first part of the book, the authors proceed to characterize daily return and volatility connectedness across major asset (stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodity) markets as well as the financial institutions within the U.S. and across countries since late 1990s. These specific measures of volatility connectedness show that stock markets played a critical role in spreading the volatility shocks from the U.S. to other countries. Furthermore, while the return connectedness across stock markets increased gradually over time the volatility connectedness measures were subject to significant jumps during major crisis events. This book examines not only financial connectedness, but also real fundamental connectedness. In particular, the authors show that global business cycle connectedness is economically significant and time-varying, that the U.S. has disproportionately high connectedness to others, and that pairwise country connectedness is inversely related to bilateral trade surpluses.
Book Synopsis The Smart Money Method by : Stephen Clapham
Download or read book The Smart Money Method written by Stephen Clapham and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2020-11-24 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In The Smart Money Method, the stock-picking techniques used by top industry professionals are laid bare for investors. This is the inside track on how top hedge funds pick stocks and build portfolios to make outsize returns. Stephen Clapham is a retired hedge fund partner who now trains stock analysts at some of the world’s largest and most successful institutional investors. He explains step-by-step his research process for picking stocks and testing their market-beating potential. His methodology provides the tools and techniques to research new stock ideas, as well as maintain and eventually sell an investment. From testing your thesis and making investment decisions, to managing your portfolio and deciding when to buy and sell, The Smart Money Method covers everything you need to know to avoid common pitfalls and invest with confidence. Unique insight is presented in several specific areas, including how to: • Find stock ideas • Assess the quality of any business • Judge management’s ability • Identify shady accounting and avoid dying companies • Value any business to find bargain shares • Navigate the consequences of COVID-19 And throughout, there are real-life investing examples and war stories from a 25-year career in stock markets. The message is clear – you can beat the market. To do so, you need to learn and apply the insider secrets contained within this book.
Book Synopsis Volatility and Time Series Econometrics by : Mark Watson
Download or read book Volatility and Time Series Econometrics written by Mark Watson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics
Book Synopsis International Capital Flows by : Martin Feldstein
Download or read book International Capital Flows written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 500 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent changes in technology, along with the opening up of many regions previously closed to investment, have led to explosive growth in the international movement of capital. Flows from foreign direct investment and debt and equity financing can bring countries substantial gains by augmenting local savings and by improving technology and incentives. Investing companies acquire market access, lower cost inputs, and opportunities for profitable introductions of production methods in the countries where they invest. But, as was underscored recently by the economic and financial crises in several Asian countries, capital flows can also bring risks. Although there is no simple explanation of the currency crisis in Asia, it is clear that fixed exchange rates and chronic deficits increased the likelihood of a breakdown. Similarly, during the 1970s, the United States and other industrial countries loaned OPEC surpluses to borrowers in Latin America. But when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to control soaring inflation, the result was a widespread debt moratorium in Latin America as many countries throughout the region struggled to pay the high interest on their foreign loans. International Capital Flows contains recent work by eminent scholars and practitioners on the experience of capital flows to Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe. These papers discuss the role of banks, equity markets, and foreign direct investment in international capital flows, and the risks that investors and others face with these transactions. By focusing on capital flows' productivity and determinants, and the policy issues they raise, this collection is a valuable resource for economists, policymakers, and financial market participants.
