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Assessing The Impact And Phasing Of Multi Year Fiscal Adjustment
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Book Synopsis Assessing the Impact and Phasing of Multi-year Fiscal Adjustment by : Ran Bi
Download or read book Assessing the Impact and Phasing of Multi-year Fiscal Adjustment written by Ran Bi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a general framework to assess the output and debt dynamics of an economy undertaking multi-year fiscal adjustment. The framework allows country-specific assumptions about the magnitude and persistence of fiscal multipliers, hysteresis effects, and endogenous financing costs. In addition to informing macro projections, the framework can also shed light on the appropriate phasing of fiscal consolidation—in particular, on whether it should be front- or back-loaded. The framework is applied to stylized advanced and emerging economy examples. It suggests that for a highly-indebted economy undertaking large multi-year fiscal consolidation, high multipliers do not always argue against frontloaded adjustment. The case for more gradual or back-loaded adjustment is strongest when hysteresis effects are in play, but it needs to be balanced against implications for debt sustainability. Application to actual country examples tends to cast doubt on claims that very large multipliers have been operating post-crisis. It seems that the GDP forecast errors for Greece may have been due more to over-optimism on potential growth estimates than to underestimating fiscal multipliers.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475557078 Total Pages :82 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis Barbados by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Barbados written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-12 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Barbados’ economy is estimated to have contracted by 0.7 percent in 2013, with weakness across both the traded and non-traded sectors. The 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that long stay tourist arrivals, which are highly dependent on the U.K. and North American markets, were down by 5.2 percent in 2013. Inflation dropped sharply to 1.9 percent by end-November, although unemployment rose to 11.7 percent. Foreign reserves declined during 2013 to close out the year at US$578 million. The financial system appears to be well capitalized, but credit quality and profitability have suffered with the prolonged downturn.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484378431 Total Pages :14 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, December 2013 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, December 2013 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the December 2013 IMF Research Bulletin, the Research Summaries look at “Reforming Dual Labor Markets in Advanced Economies” (Giovanni Ganelli) and “Rating Through-The-Cycle: What Does the Concept Imply for Rating Stability Accuracy” (John Kiff, Michael Kisser, and Liliana Schumacher). The Q&A discusses Seven Questions on Financial Crises (Stijn Claessens, M. Ayhan Kose, Luc Laeven, and Fabián Valencia). This issue also includes a listing of recent IMF Working Papers and IMF Staff Discussion Notes, as well as Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. The top-viewed articles from recent of issues of “IMF Economic Review” are featured.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Download or read book Fiscal Rules—Anchoring Expectations for Sustainable Public Finances written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-11 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sharp increase in fiscal deficits and public debt in most advanced and several developing economies has raised concerns about the sustainability of public finances and highlighted the need for a significant adjustment over the medium term. This paper assesses the usefulness of fiscal rules in supporting fiscal consolidation, discusses the design and implementation of rules based on a new data base spanning the whole Fund membership, and explores the fiscal framework that could be adopted as countries emerge from the crisis.
Book Synopsis Office for Budget Responsibiity: Forecast Evaluation Report by : Office for Budget Responsibility
Download or read book Office for Budget Responsibiity: Forecast Evaluation Report written by Office for Budget Responsibility and published by The Stationery Office. This book was released on 2013-10-09 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The backdrop to this report is: a real economy that, until very recently, has been weaker than expected; a labour market that has been stronger than expected in terms of employment, but weaker in terms of earnings growth; and a fall in public sector borrowing as a share of national income of around a third from its peak in 2009-10, with the deficit falling significantly in 2010-11 and 2011-12 but by much less in 2012-13. The report explains the OBR's June 2010 and March 2012 forecast errors, and the weakness of the real economy. GDP remains 3.3 per cent below its pre-recession peak, the disappointing performance over the last three years reflecting the weakness of domestic and external demand. Private sector employment growth has far exceeded forecasts. The March 2013 forecast for public sector borrowing predicted a figure of £119.8 billion in 2013-14, a reduction of £1 billion over the previous year; but the new forecast is for an increase of £4.2 billion increase over 2012-13.
Book Synopsis Playing by the Rules by : Luc Eyraud
Download or read book Playing by the Rules written by Luc Eyraud and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-03-24 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper contributes to the discussions on fiscal governance in Europe. It takes stock of recent reforms, identifies areas for further progress, and discusses a menu of policy options for the medium-term. The issues covered include: (i) the growing complexity of the European framework and ways to simplify it; (ii) the difficulties to measure and implement structural stance indicators; (iii) the challenge of reconciling fiscal sustainability and growth; (iv) the need to enhance coordination in the area of monitoring; and (v) the obstacles to compliance and proposals to strengthen enforcement.
Book Synopsis Women, Work, and the Economy by : Ms.Katrin Elborgh-Woytek
Download or read book Women, Work, and the Economy written by Ms.Katrin Elborgh-Woytek and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-12-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The proposed SDN discusses the specific macro-critical aspects of women’s participation in the labor market and the constraints that prevent women from developing their full economic potential. Building on earlier Fund analysis, work undertaken by other organizations and academic research, the SDN presents possible policies to overcome these obstacles in different types of countries.
Book Synopsis India’s Recent Macroeconomic Performance by : Muneesh Kapur
Download or read book India’s Recent Macroeconomic Performance written by Muneesh Kapur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The macroeconomic policy response in India after the North Atlantic financial crisis (NAFC) was rapid. The overshooting of the stimulus and its gradual withdrawal sowed seeds for inflationary and BoP pressures and growth slowdown, then exacerbated by domestic policy bottlenecks and volatility in international financial markets during mid-2013. Appropriate domestic oil prices and fiscal consolidation will contribute to the recovery of private sector investment. Fiscal consolidation would also facilitate a reduction in inflation, which would moderate gold imports and favorably impact real exchange rate and current account deficit.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth by : Mr.James Daniel
Download or read book Fiscal Adjustment for Stability and Growth written by Mr.James Daniel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The pamphlet (which updates the 1995 Guidelines for Fiscal Adjustment) presents the IMF’s approach to fiscal adjustment, and focuses on the role that sound government finances play in promoting macroeconomic stability and growth. Structured around five practical questions—when to adjust, how to assess the fiscal position, what makes for successful adjustment, how to carry out adjustment, and which institutions can help—it covers topics such as tax policies, debt sustainability, fiscal responsibility laws, and transparency.
Book Synopsis Greek Capitalism in Crisis by : Stavros Mavroudeas
Download or read book Greek Capitalism in Crisis written by Stavros Mavroudeas and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-07-25 with total page 263 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the depth of the Greek crisis, the exorbitant burdens placed upon the working people and the massive popular resistance movement to capitalist policies, there is a definite lack of consistently Marxist analyses of the Greek problem. International debates regarding the Greek crisis have been dominated by orthodox (Neoclassical and neo-Keynesian) approaches. The heterodox side of these debates has been occupied by Radical Political Economy approaches (usually radical post-Keynesian or Marxo-Keynesian perspectives). Moreover, they are dominated by the ‘financialisation’ thesis which is quite alien to Marxism, neglects the sphere of production and professes that the global crisis is simply a financial crisis that has nothing to do with ‘real’ accumulation and the profit rate. This book argues that by emphasising the sphere of production and profitability, classical Marxist analysis better explains the Greek crisis than its orthodox and heterodox competitors. The contributors present critiques of the prevalent approaches and offer studies of the Greek crisis that use the methodology and the analytical and empirical tools of classical Marxist Political Economy. In particular, it is shown that the Greek crisis was caused by falling profitability and the ensuing overaccumulation crisis. The ‘broad unequal exchange’ existing between the euro-center and the euro-periphery contributed to Greek capital’s falling profitability. This book enriches the debate about the Greek economic crisis by demonstrating the insights that can be drawn by considering the Marxist alternative to the dominant mainstream and heterodox approaches.
Download or read book Global Poverty written by and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2022-11-21 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a critical understanding of the causes of global poverty by international scholars from multiple disciplines. It is theoretical and empirical, dealing with both economic and non-economic aspects of poverty creation, to offer intellectual insights and political prescriptions.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498343333 Total Pages :112 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book The Fund’s Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt - Annexes written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-23 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL
Book Synopsis Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management by : Mr.Jack Diamond
Download or read book Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management written by Mr.Jack Diamond and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-07-01 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economics training in public finances has focused more on tax than public expenditure issues, and within expenditure, more on policy considerations than the more mundane matters of public expenditure management. For many years, the IMF's Public Expenditure Management Division has answered specific questions raised by fiscal economists on such missions. Based on this experience, these guidelines arose from the need to provide a general overview of the principles and practices observed in three key aspects of public expenditure management: budget preparation, budget execution, and cash planning. For each aspect of public expenditure management, the guidelines identify separately the differing practices in four groups of countries - the francophone systems, the Commonwealth systems, Latin America, and those in the transition economies. Edited by Barry H. Potter and Jack Diamond, this publication is intended for a general fiscal, or a general budget, advisor interested in the macroeconomic dimension of public expenditure management.
Book Synopsis The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area by : Petya Koeva Brooks
Download or read book The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area written by Petya Koeva Brooks and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-21 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The euro area has experienced an unprecedented economic downturn and exceptional financial market turmoil in the past few years. Policymakers have faced the twin challenges of addressing cyclical economic weakness-not unlike other industrial countries following the global economic crisis-and the underlying weaknesses in the architecture of the currency union, weaknesses that appear to have been masked during the first relatively calm years of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Among member states, many structural weaknesses were exposed when economic performance declined significantly and financial markets became more discerning.This book focuses on the analytical underpinnings of real-time policy advice given to euro area policymakers during four cycles of the IMF's annual Article IV consultations (2012-15) with euro area authorities.
Book Synopsis The Irish Welfare State in the Twenty-First Century by : Mary P. Murphy
Download or read book The Irish Welfare State in the Twenty-First Century written by Mary P. Murphy and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-10-04 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a critical and theoretically-informed assessment of the nature and types of structural change occurring in the Irish welfare state in the context of the 2008 economic crisis. Its overarching framework for conceptualising and analysing welfare state change and its political, economic and social implications is based around four crucial questions, namely what welfare is for, who delivers welfare, who pays for welfare, and who benefits. Over the course of ten chapters, the authors examine the answers as they relate to social protection, labour market activation, pensions, finance, water, early child education and care, health, housing and corporate welfare. They also innovatively address the impact of crisis on the welfare state in Northern Ireland. The result is to isolate key drivers of structural welfare reform, and assess how globalisation, financialisation, neo-liberalisation, privatisation, marketisation and new public management have deepened and diversified their impact on the post-crisis Irish welfare state. This in-depth analysis will appeal to sociologists, economists, political scientists and welfare state practitioners interested in the Irish welfare state and more generally in the analysis of welfare state change.
Book Synopsis India Policy Forum 2013-14 by : Shekhar Shah
Download or read book India Policy Forum 2013-14 written by Shekhar Shah and published by SAGE Publications Pvt. Limited. This book was released on 2014-08-28 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The India Policy Forum (IPF) is organized by the National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) in New Delhi in partnership with the Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C. It aims to examine India’s economic reforms and its economic transition using policy-relevant empirical research. The IPF comprises an annual international conference in July in New Delhi and the IPF Volume that brings together the conference papers. These papers undergo detailed revisions after the conference based on discussants’ comments at the IPF and the guidance provided by the editors. The IPF is guided by distinguished international advisory and research panels. The first paper in this 2013 IPF Volume evaluates the impact of laws governing the operation of India’s labour market within the organized industrial sector. The next paper analyzes India’s role in the rapid development of international production networks. The third paper examines the conduct of Indian monetary policy since the onset of the global financial crisis, focusing on the persistent high rates of inflation in India. The fourth paper provides an overview of fiscal and monetary policies in the years after the financial crisis. The volume concludes with an assessment of the value of social audits, widely advocated as a tool for improving public accountability, in the MGNREGA program in Andhra Pradesh. The annual IPF Volume is globally the most cited collection of articles on India and should be useful to researchers and policy-makers in economics and political economy.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498344658 Total Pages :257 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-20 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.
