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Assessing House Prices With Prudential And Valuation Measures
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Book Synopsis Assessing House Prices with Prudential and Valuation Measures by : Michal Andrle
Download or read book Assessing House Prices with Prudential and Valuation Measures written by Michal Andrle and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we provide tools for assessing the house prices and housing valuation. We develop two approaches: (i) borrowing capacity approach, and (ii) intrinsic value approach. The borrowing capacity of households, together with their down payment, implies how much housing they can attain. In the intrinsic value approach, property value is viewed as a discounted present value of adjusted net rental income. Our approach does not involve a complex econometric model and only widely available data are used. The proposed indicators can guide households, financial markets and macroprudential authorities in their understanding of house prices development. To illustrate the concepts, we analyze the housing prices in the Czech Republic and assess the degree of market over-and undervaluation.
Book Synopsis Slovak Republic: Selected Issues by : International Monetary
Download or read book Slovak Republic: Selected Issues written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-21 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Selected Issues
Author :International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1513536087 Total Pages :79 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (135 download)
Book Synopsis Australia by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Download or read book Australia written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-03-05 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2019 Article IV Consultation with Australia discusses that a continued gradual economic recovery is expected, subject to downside risks. Growth should continue to recover in 2020, but it will take time for the economy to return to potential and restore inflation to within the target range. Despite sound macroeconomic fundamentals and policy management, growth remains below potential and inflation is slightly below its target range. Growth is projected to recover gradually in the near term, supported by monetary policy easing, tax cuts, and the recovery of housing markets. Nonetheless, inflation is forecast to remain slightly below the target range until 2021 due to persistent economic slack. Downside risks, including a renewed escalation of the China–US tensions and weaker private consumption, remain elevated and have increased recently due to the widespread bushfires and the coronavirus outbreak. On the upside, looser financial conditions could re-accelerate asset-price inflation, boosting private consumption but also adding to medium-term vulnerabilities.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498319378 Total Pages :67 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Czech Republic by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Czech Republic written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-06-13 with total page 67 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economy is doing well, but supply constraints are biting. Growth has slowed as the economy has reached capacity limits, with very low unemployment even as participation has increased. Recent wage increases have been very strong, ahead of productivity. So far, inflation remains contained. The economy continues to run a current account surplus, even though domestic absorption has picked up. But the housing market is pressured, especially in metropolitan areas. Policies should balance risks of overheating against a faster-than-expected slowdown and aim to boost potential growth.
Book Synopsis The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I by : Luc Nijs
Download or read book The Handbook of Global Shadow Banking, Volume I written by Luc Nijs and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page 822 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This global handbook provides an up-to-date and comprehensive overview of shadow banking, or market-based finance as it has been recently coined. Engaging in financial intermediary services outside of normal regulatory parameters, the shadow banking sector was arguably a critical factor in causing the 2007-2009 financial crisis. This volume focuses specifically on shadow banking activities, risk, policy and regulatory issues. It evaluates the nexus between policy design and regulatory output around the world, paying attention to the concept of risk in all its dimensions—the legal, financial, market, economic and monetary perspectives. Particular attention is given to spillover risk, contagion risk and systemic risk and their positioning and relevance in shadow banking activities. Newly introduced and incoming policies are evaluated in detail, as well as how risk is managed, observed and assessed, and how new regulation can potentially create new sources of risk. Volume I concludes with analysis of what will and still needs to happen in the event of another crisis. Proposing innovative suggestions for improvement, including a novel Pigovian tax to tame financial and systemic risks, this handbook is a must-read for professionals and policy-makers within the banking sector, as well as those researching economics and finance.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484309650 Total Pages :62 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Canada by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Canada written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-13 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper describes the proposed Canada Infrastructure Bank (CIB) that will be allocated Can$35 billion over an 11-year period. It will add to, and not replace, existing methods of financing public infrastructure at all levels of government, including the Federal Government’s Can$187 billion Investing in Canada plan covering 12 years. The CIB will be a wholly government-owned Crown corporation, subject to provisions of the Financial Administration Act (FAA), including the requirement to prepare a corporate plan, operating budget, and capital budget, for approval by the Government. The CIB and its investments will be on the federal government’s balance sheet. However, the infrastructure-related special purpose vehicles (SPVs) in which the CIB invests will not be on the government’s balance sheet. Attracting private capital requires offering a rate of return acceptable to the investor. Worldwide, there are trillions of dollars looking for safe returns over the long-term. The risk-adjusted rate of return sufficient to attract an investor is not known with precision ex-ante. Investors will seek the highest rate of return possible above its minimum threshold.
Book Synopsis Are House Prices Rising too Fast in Hong Kong SAR? by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Are House Prices Rising too Fast in Hong Kong SAR? written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sharp increase in house prices in Hong Kong SAR in 2009-2010 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. According to our measure of price deviation from fundamentals, which should be taken as an early warning indicator of market exuberance, the current level of house prices in Hong Kong SAR does not seem to be significantly higher than would be justified by underlying fundamentals. Moreover, unlike advanced economies before 2007-8, deviation from fundamentals has not been persistent in Hong Kong.Going forward, low interest rate and improving growth prospects, as well as a tight supply, particularly in the mass market, means that house price growth will continue to be strong.This is the period in which vulnerability may be accumulating, and tight prudential standards and fiscal measures will be required to tame price inflation.
Book Synopsis People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book People's Republic of China-Hong Kong Special Administrative Region written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-22 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic activity in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region has gained momentum since the second half of 2016 amid robust domestic demand and recovering external demand. Growth is projected to have risen by 3.7 percent in 2017, up from 2 percent in 2016. The strong growth momentum is expected to continue in the near term with annual growth of 2.8 percent in 2018. Consumption is projected to continue to be supported by a tight labor market and investment is expected to remain strong, with major infrastructure and housing projects in the pipeline. The economy is expected to continue to grow at about 3 percent over the medium term, close to its potential.
Download or read book Iceland written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-06-27 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Iceland: Selected Issues
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :149839485X Total Pages :51 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Norway by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Norway written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-02 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A conservative minority government took office in October 2013, ending eight years of Labor party-led governments. No major policy shift has taken place so far, but the government’s economic policy platform emphasizes lower taxes, more infrastructure investment, greater private ownership, and measures to improve productivity and competitiveness. New challenges are emerging as oil-related investment is peaking and competitiveness concerns are becoming more pressing.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475577737 Total Pages :118 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis Germany by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book Germany written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-06-29 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the risks and vulnerabilities of the German financial system and reviews both the German regulatory and supervisory framework and implementation of the common European framework insofar as it is relevant for Germany. The country is home to two global systemically important financial institutions, Deutsche Bank AG and Allianz SE. The system is also very heterogeneous, with a range of business models and a large number of smaller banks and insurers. The regulatory landscape has changed profoundly with strengthened solvency and liquidity regulations for banks (the EU Capital Requirements Regulation and Directive IV), and the introduction of macroprudential tools.
Book Synopsis Assessing China’s Residential Real Estate Market by : Ding Ding
Download or read book Assessing China’s Residential Real Estate Market written by Ding Ding and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-16 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s real estate market rebounded sharply after a temporary slowdown in 2014-2015. This paper uses city-level data to estimate the range of house price overvaluation across city-tiers and assesses the main risks of a sharp housing market slowdown. If house prices rise further beyond “fundamental” levels and the bubble expands to smaller cities, it would increase the likelihood and costs of a sharp correction, which would weaken growth, undermine financial stability, reduce local government spending room, and spur capital outflows. Empirical analysis suggests that the increasing intensity of macroprudential policies tailored to local conditions is appropriate. The government should expand its toolkit to include additional macroprudential measures and push forward reforms to address the fundamental imbalances in the residential housing market.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :147558802X Total Pages :51 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis Malaysia by : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Download or read book Malaysia written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-02-28 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This assessment is a review of the financial environment of Malaysia. Like many other Asian countries, Malaysia experienced financial distress in the late 1990s, but the country’s policy reforms have moved it to a successful economy. A ten-year financial plan (2001–10) by Bank Negara Malaysia restructured the financial sector. Banks were well capitalized, household debts were strengthened, and securities and insurances were developed. Malaysia thus became the global center for Islamic finance. The authorities look on to a developed Malaysia by 2020.
Book Synopsis With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility by : Mr.Ivo Krznar
Download or read book With Great Power Comes Great Responsibility written by Mr.Ivo Krznar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-05-12 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this paper is to assess the effectiveness of the policy measures taken by Canadian authorities to address the housing boom. We find that the the last three rounds of macroprudential policies implemented since 2010 were associated with lower mortgage credit growth and house price growth. The international experience suggests that—in addition to tighter loan-to-value limits and shorter amortization periods—lower caps on the debt-to-income ratio and higher risk weights could be effective if the housing boom were to reignite. Over the medium term, the authorities could consider structural measures to further improve the soundness of housing finance.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498308163 Total Pages :60 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis United Kingdom by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book United Kingdom written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-07-28 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: KEY ISSUES The economy has rebounded strongly and prospects are promising. Headwinds that previously held back the economy—relating notably to credit conditions and confidence—have eased. Nonetheless, sustaining strong growth will depend on a recovery in productivity growth and further demand rebalancing. The housing market brings risks of financial vulnerabilities. Sterling is moderately overvalued. The overall policy mix is appropriate, but policy settings might need to be adjusted quickly. Effective monetary conditions are very supportive, compensating for ongoing fiscal consolidation: ? Accommodative monetary policy is appropriate for now, given weak inflation pressures, but policy might need to be adjusted quickly if inflation takes off. Interest rate increases may also need to be considered if macroprudential tools are insufficient to deal with financial stability risks from the housing market. ? The authorities have recently implemented macroprudential measures, including limiting the share of high loan-to-income mortgages lenders can issue, establishing them as the primary defense against housing-related risks. They should stand ready to tighten these limits should current settings prove ineffective in reining in those risks. ? A lasting solution to house price pressures requires measures to address insufficient supply. Significant planning reforms have been undertaken, but political consensus is needed to make further progress in this area. ? High deficits and rising debt mean that fiscal consolidation needs to continue. The pace and composition of deficit reduction over the near term is appropriate. Further reducing the deficit over the medium term will be challenging; both revenue and expenditure measures should be considered, keeping in mind both equity and efficiency. ? The financial sector is more robust, the new financial architecture is settling in, and significant changes have been made to banks’ liquidity backstops to adapt to changing needs. Implementing macroprudential policy will be a test of the new architecture. Some problems—such as Too Important To Fail and bank misconduct— persist, and new challenges, such as from shadow banking, are emerging.
Book Synopsis Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies by : Ms.Nan Geng
Download or read book Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies written by Ms.Nan Geng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-13 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.
Book Synopsis The Future of Asian Finance by : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Download or read book The Future of Asian Finance written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-08-21 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asia’s financial systems proved resilient to the shocks from the global financial crisis, and growth since then has been strong. But new challenges have emerged in the region’s economies, including demographics and aging, the need to diversify from bank-dominated systems, urbanization and infrastructure, and the rebalancing of economic activity. This book takes stock of the challenges facing the region today and how economic systems in Asia’s advanced and emerging market economies compare with the rest of the world.